Background Past research in population health trends has shown that injuries form a substantial burden of population health loss. Regular updates to injury burden assessments are critical. We report Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 Study estimates on morbidity and mortality for all injuries. Methods We reviewed results for injuries from the GBD 2017 study. GBD 2017 measured injury-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. To measure non-fatal injuries, GBD 2017 modelled injury-specific incidence and converted this to prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs and YLDs were summed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Findings In 1990, there were 4 260 493 (4 085 700 to 4 396 138) injury deaths, which increased to 4 484 722 (4 332 010 to 4 585 554) deaths in 2017, while age-standardised mortality decreased from 1079 (1073 to 1086) to 738 (730 to 745) per 100 000. In 1990, there were 354 064 302 (95% uncertainty interval: 338 174 876 to 371 610 802) new cases of injury globally, which increased to 520 710 288 (493 430 247 to 547 988 635) new cases in 2017. During this time, age-standardised incidence decreased non-significantly from 6824 (6534 to 7147) to 6763 (6412 to 7118) per 100 000. Between 1990 and 2017, age-standardised DALYs decreased from 4947 (4655 to 5233) per 100 000 to 3267 (3058 to 3505). Interpretation Injuries are an important cause of health loss globally, though mortality has declined between 1990 and 2017. Future research in injury burden should focus on prevention in high-burden populations, improving data collection and ensuring access to medical care.
Global, Regional, and National Burden of Calcific Aortic Valve and Degenerative Mitral Valve Diseases, 1990–2017
Background: Nonrheumatic valvular diseases are common; however, no studies have estimated their global or national burden. As part of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017, mortality, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for calcific aortic valve disease (CAVD), degenerative mitral valve disease, and other nonrheumatic valvular diseases were estimated for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017. Methods: Vital registration data, epidemiologic survey data, and administrative hospital data were used to estimate disease burden using the Global Burden of Disease Study modeling framework, which ensures comparability across locations. Geospatial statistical methods were used to estimate disease for all countries, because data on nonrheumatic valvular diseases are extremely limited for some regions of the world, such as Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Results accounted for estimated level of disease severity as well as the estimated availability of valve repair or replacement procedures. DALYs and other measures of health-related burden were generated for both sexes and each 5-year age group, location, and year from 1990 to 2017. Results: Globally, CAVD and degenerative mitral valve disease caused 102 700 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 82 700–107 900) and 35 700 (95% UI, 30 500–42 500) deaths, and 12.6 million (95% UI, 11.4 million–13.8 million) and 18.1 million (95% UI, 17.6 million–18.6 million) prevalent cases existed in 2017, respectively. A total of 2.5 million (95% UI, 2.3 million–2.8 million) DALYs were estimated as caused by nonrheumatic valvular diseases globally, representing 0.10% (95% UI, 0.09%–0.11%) of total lost health from all diseases in 2017. The number of DALYs increased for CAVD and degenerative mitral valve disease between 1990 and 2017 by 101% (95% UI, 79%–117%) and 35% (95% UI, 23%–47%), respectively. There is significant geographic variation in the prevalence, mortality rate, and overall burden of these diseases, with highest age-standardized DALY rates of CAVD estimated for high-income countries. Conclusions: These global and national estimates demonstrate that CAVD and degenerative mitral valve disease are important causes of disease burden among older adults. Efforts to clarify modifiable risk factors and improve access to valve interventions are necessary if progress is to be made toward reducing, and eventually eliminating, the burden of these highly treatable diseases.
Venous thromboembolism risk with contemporary lenalidomide-based regimes for multiple myeloma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
e19503 Background: The risk of venous thromboembolic events (VTE) despite mandatory thromboprophylaxis (TPx) in patients with multiple myeloma (MM) receiving contemporary lenalidomide (Len)-based regimens is not well-defined. Methods: Medline, Embase, and CENTRAL databases were queried to identify phase 1-3 clinical trials of Len-based regimens with mandatory TPx published until April 2018. Random effects meta-analysis was performed using CMAv3 software to obtain crude, and per 100 patient-cycle incidence rate (IR). Prespecified subgroup analyses were performed to obtain IR for VTE by (1) line of treatment (newly diagnosed [ND], relapsed/refractory [RR] and maintenance [Mx] phase) and (2) different Len-based regimens. Results: We screened 1069 citations and analyzed data from 43 trials with 8696 patients, including 17 in ND, 23 in RR and 3 in Mx phase. 12 out of 43 were Phase 3 randomized controlled trials. The overall incidence of VTE in 8696 patients was 4.6% (95% CI, 3.7-5.8%), with 1.0 event (95% CI, 0.7-1.4%) per 100 patient cycles. In patients with NDMM (n = 3295), 193 (5.9%) experienced VTE with a pooled IR of 0.9 (95% CI, 0.3-2.3) per 100 patient-cycle. Among RRMM patients (n = 3981), 251 (6.3%) experienced VTE with a pooled IR of 1.0 (95% CI, 0.4-2.3) per 100 patient-cycle. The incidence of VTE was highest with the following triplet regimens: Rd + Proteasome inhibitor (PIs) and Rd + Anthracycline (Ac) [+/- Vincristine], with the latter having a high risk of VTE regardless of the treatment phase (table). With Len Mx (n = 1420), 38 (2.7%) patients had VTE, with a pooled IR of 0.2 (95% CI, 0-2.1) per 100 patient-cycle. Conclusions: Patients with MM undergoing treatment with Len-based regimens remain at risk of VTE despite current TPx strategies. The estimates of VTE IR provided by this analysis can guide clinicians in assessing treatment-related risk of VTE in this setting. [Table: see text]
Diagnosis and Management of Lemierre’s Syndrome Presented with Multifocal Pneumonia and Cerebral Venous Sinus Thrombosis
A 27-year-old female patient initially presented with fever, myalgia, sore throat that progressed to multifocal pneumonia, and cerebral sinus venous thrombosis. A combination of upper respiratory symptoms with tooth infection, positive blood culture for Fusobacterium nucleatum, computed tomography (CT) chest finding of multifocal pneumonia, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) finding of internal jugular vein thrombosis (IJVT) and cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVST) suggested Lemierre syndrome. The patient was managed with fluids, antibiotics, and anticoagulants. The patient survived and discharged from the hospital. The patient’s symptoms improved at 2 months of follow-up.
1680 Left ventricular filling pressure assessment with exercise stress echocardiography in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation
Abstract Background Noninvasive parameters of LV filling pressure (E/e’) and pulmonary pressures (RVSP) by Doppler echocardiography correlate with functional capacity and outcome in sinus rhythm (SR). Their role in AF is less clear. Elevated left ventricular filling pressures (E/e’) and pulmonary artery systolic pressures (PASP) by Doppler stress echocardiography correlate with impaired functional capacity in patients in sinus rhythm (SR). However, there is limited data in atrial fibrillation (AF). Purpose The aim of this study was to delineate the characteristics of patients with AF referred for exercise stress echocardiography and determine the prevalence and significance of E/e’ and PASP elevations in AF. Methods Subjects were patients referred for exercise treadmill stress echocardiography (n= 14,937) and underwent regional wall motion assessment, Doppler assessment of mitral inflow (E) and early tissue relaxation (e’) velocities and PASP at rest and immediately following maximum symptom limited exercise. Exclusion criteria included significant valvular heart disease (moderate or greater stenosis and/or regurgitation of any cardiac valve or previous valve repair or replacement) (1%), congenital heart disease (<1%) or refusal to participate in research (<1%). Results Patients with AF (n = 310, 2%) were older (71 ± 10 vs 59 ± 13 years, p < 0.001). While resting blood pressure was similar, resting heart rates were higher in AF (80 ± 17 bpm vs 73 ± 13 bpm, p < 0.0001). AF patients achieved lower workloads (6.4 ± 2.4 METS vs 9 ± 2.4 METS, p < 0.001) with lower peak double products (22336 ± 6677 vs 25148 ± 5438, p < 0.001). Rates of resting (27% vs 10%, p < 0.0001) and exercise-induced (37% vs 20%, p < 0.0001) regional wall motion abnormalities were higher in AF. Mean E/e’ was higher in AF at rest (12 ± 5 vs 9 ± 3, p < 0.001) and with exercise (12 ± 5 vs 10 ± 4, p < 0.001), with a higher percentage of patients in AF having E/e’ ≥15 at rest (20% vs 6% in SR, p= <0.001) and with exercise in (23% vs 8%, p < 0.001). PASP was higher in AF at rest (33 ± 8 mm Hg vs 28 ± 6 mm Hg, p < 0.001) and with exercise (48 ± 12 vs 42 ± 11, p < 0.001) compared to SR. E/e’ correlated with exercise capacity in AF and in SR, with an E/e’ cutoff of 11.7 that was best predictive of impaired functional capacity (< 5 METS in women and < 7 METS in men). Conclusions Abnormalities of E/e’ and PASP are more prevalent in patients with AF and correlate with impaired functional capacity. In patients with AF, a medial E/e’ ratio of ≥ 12 immediately following exercise is best associated with impaired functional capacity.
Venous thromboembolism risk with contemporary lenalidomide‐based regimens despite thromboprophylaxis in multiple myeloma: A systematic review and meta‐analysis
Background Thromboprophylaxis is routinely used with lenalidomide‐based regimens in multiple myeloma because of a substantial risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, little is known about the incidence of VTE with contemporary lenalidomide‐based regimens. The objective of the current study was to estimate the incidence of VTE despite thromboprophylaxis with currently used lenalidomide‐based regimens in patients with myeloma. Methods The Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane databases were queried from study inception to January 2019 for keywords to cover the following concepts: “lenalidomide,” “venous thromboembolism,” and “multiple myeloma.” Phase 1, 2, and 3 clinical trials evaluating lenalidomide‐based regimens with thromboprophylaxis were included. The pooled incidence rate of VTE was estimated using a random‐effects model. Results The search generated 1372 citations, with 51 clinical trials and 9069 patients included for analysis. The most common thromboprophylaxis agents were aspirin, low‐molecular‐weight heparin or warfarin, administered either per risk‐stratification or at investigators' discretion. The pooled incidence of VTE in trials of patients who had newly diagnosed and relapsed/refractory myeloma was 6.2% (95% CI, 5.4%‐7.1%) over median treatment durations ranging from 2 to 34 cycles, which translated into 1.2 VTE events per 100 patient‐cycles (95% CI, 0.9‐1.7 VTE events per 100 patient‐cycles). Among contemporary regimens, the risk of VTE was low with combined lenalidomide and low‐dose dexamethasone (0.2 [95% CI, 0.1‐0.6] events/100 patient‐cycles) and lenalidomide maintenance (0.0 [95% CI, 0.0‐0.7] events per 100 patient‐cycles). VTE risk was higher with combined lenalidomide and low‐dose dexamethasone plus proteasome inhibitors (1.3 [95% CI, 0.7‐2.3] events per 100 patient‐cycles). Conclusions Despite adequate thromboprophylaxis, lenalidomide‐based regimens have a substantial risk of VTE in controlled clinical trial settings. Further studies are needed on new thromboprophylaxis strategies with regimens that have a high VTE risk.
Gene Therapy for Thalassemia and Sickle Cell Anemia Poses Acceptable Toxicity and Efficacy: Clinical Outcomes in Forty-Seven Cases
Abstract Background: Sickle cell disorder (SCD) and transfusion dependent beta-thalassemia (TDT) are inherited disorders of β-globin genes leading to ineffective erythropoiesis, hemolysis and multi-organ damage. Though allogenic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) in the only potentially curative therapy, lack of full HLA-matched donor, increased risk of myeloablative conditioning (MAC) regimen related toxicity, poor prognosis in older age groups (>14 years), and a high risk of infections and graft versus host disease (GVHD) culminating into a high transplant related mortality (TRM) preclude HCT as a treatment option for many patients. Gene therapy has been proposed as a relatively new treatment option for these monogenic disorders. It involves transfection of harvested CD34+ hematopoietic stem cells (HSC) with viral vector to transfer a normal beta globin gene, which are then transplanted back to the autologous donor. However, the available data on gene therapy is extremely variable. The purpose of this review is to evaluate the risks and outcomes of SCD and TDT patients undergoing gene therapy. Methods: A systematic search of databases using PubMed, Embase, Web of science, Cochrane database and Clinicaltrials.gov was performed on with no restrictions of language or time period. A total of 4312 articles were identified and after duplicates removal, 3508 articles were screened for relevance. Clinical studies reporting the most recent follow up results about the efficacy and safety of gene therapy in patients with hemoglobinopathies were considered for inclusion. Their quality assessment was done using the Cochrane tool, and bias was evaluated regarding the study selection, performance, detection, attrition and the reporting of the clinical trials. RESULTS (table-1): Only 7 articles qualified for the strict selection criteria with an N of 47: six studies were phase I trials (Cavazzana, M. et al 2010, Boulad, F. et al 2013, Marktel, S. et al 2017, Kwiatkowski, J. et al 2017, Cavazzana, M. et al 2017, Kanter, J. et al 2017) and one was a phase III trial (Walters, M. et al 2017). Thirty five patients (74.4%) had TDT while 12 patients (25.5%) had SCD. All these patients did not have a suitable HLA-matched HCT donor. The length of follow up was heterogeneous owing to the step wise enrollment of participants and ranged from 2-36 months. Except for 4 cases, the age of included population was >13 years. Lentivirus BB305 encoding the HbAT87Q globin gene was used for gene delivery in 81% patients (n=38). The normal beta globin gene was transduced in remaining 9 TDT cases and it involved transduction using TNS 9.3.55 vector in two cases and with GLOBE lentivirus in 7 cases. MAC with busulfan was used in 81% cases (n=38), while treosulfan+thiotepa was used in 7 cases. The non-myeloablative (NMA) conditioning with busulfan was used in only 2 cases (both TDT). Bone marrow harvest was the source of HSCs in all SCD cases. Except for 3 SCD cases in HGB-204 trial and 3 TDT cases in HGB-207 which measured the potential improvement in outcome by an increase in DP-VCN, the range of drug vector copy number (DP-VCN) was 0.3-1.5 copies per diploid genome. The total hemoglobin (HB) level at last follow up was reported for 62% cases (n=29) and it was >8.8 g/dl in all cases. Twenty-one (60%) thalassemia cases were in a transfusion (Tx) free state at last follow up, including the 7 cases (20%) who developed a complete independence from transfusions. No such Tx-free state was noted in SCD cases although they developed a reduction in the Tx-requirement and 75% SCD cases (n=9) had a 30-100% reduction in the frequency of VOCs. All the cases were alive at their recent follow up with manageable toxicity form conditioning. Acceptable safety until the median follow-up from the 7 trials was established in all cases, with no reported development of post-treatment leukemia or new malignancy in these trials. DISCUSSION: In this largest series of gene therapy for the treatment of hemoglobinopathies (to our knowledge), we find it to be clinically effective in terms of reduction in transfusion needs; data to suggest an improved OS and disease free survival is promising, however long term data is awaited. Gene therapy appears to bypass the limitations faced by allo-HCT especially a high early TRM. Randomized trials reporting the efficacy and safety outcomes with longer follow ups are urgently required. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.
Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2017
6596 Background: Several previous systematic reviews and meta-analyses have attempted to summarize toxicity of Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). However, very soon after each one of these reviews has been published, it became outdated. ICIs are currently used in 14 different cancers and data is rapidly evolving from new clinical trials. A living Systematic review, which is defined as a systematic review that is continually updated to incorporate relevant new evidence as it becomes available, is necessary in this situations. Therefore, we performed an updated systematic review and a meta-analysis which will serve as a foundation of a living Systematic review. Methods: MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane were searched to identify phase 2 and 3 RCTs of PD-1/PD-L1 ICIs. Included studies compared either immunotherapy alone or combination with existing standard of care treatment and reported data for AE’s of interest. DerSimonian-Laird random effects Meta-Analysis was performed to derive pooled odds Ratio (OR) estimates for AE’s of interest. An infrastructure of a living systematic review is being developed and it includes monthly literature searches, cumulative meta-analysis and an online reporting platform. Results: We screened 6746 studies and 31 phase 3 and 2 phase 2 RCTs (n = 21,421) were included in the analysis. 22 RCTs used PD-1/PD-L1 ICIs as a single agent and 11 as a combination therapy. Selected toxicity estimates are summarized in a table. Conclusions: The meta-analysis updates previously published toxicity estimates and provides additional information about the risk of toxicities in single versus combination regimens. We have initiated the first living systematic review in oncology that will be continuously updated, incorporating relevant new evidence as it becomes available, and will provide accurate and up to date toxicity estimates to support clinical decision making. [Table: see text]