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Background: Breast cancer polygenic risk scores (PRS) and traditional risk models (e.g., the Gail model [Gail]) are known to contribute largely independent information, but it is unclear how the overlap varies by ancestry, age, disease type (invasive breast cancer, DCIS), and risk threshold. Methods: In a retrospective case–control study, we evaluated risk prediction performance in 180,398 women (161,849 of European ancestry; 18,549 of Asian ancestry). Odds ratios (ORs) from logistic regression models and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were estimated. Results: PRS for invasive disease showed a stronger association in younger (<50 years) women (OR = 2.51, AUC = 0.622) than in women ≥ 50 years (OR = 2.06, AUC = 0.653) of European ancestry. PRS performance in Asians was lower (OR range = 1.62–1.64, AUC = 0.551–0.600). Gail performance was modest across groups and poor in younger Asian women (OR = 0.94–0.99, AUC = 0.523–0.533). Age interactions were observed for both PRS (p < 0.001) and Gail (p < 0.001) in Europeans, whereas in Asians, age interaction was observed only for Gail (invasive: p < 0.001; DCIS: p = 0.002). PRS identified more high-risk individuals than Gail in Asian populations, especially ≥50 years, while Gail identified more in Europeans. Overlap between PRS, Gail, and family history was limited at higher thresholds. Calibration analysis, comparing empirical and model-based ROC curves, showed divergence for both PRS and Gail (p < 0.001), which indicates miscalibration. In Europeans, family history and prior biopsies drove Gail discrimination. In younger Asians, age at first live birth was influential. Conclusions: PRS adds value to risk stratification beyond traditional tools, especially in younger women and Asian ancestry populations.

Background/Objectives: Treating critically ill patients is complex and often subjective. This study investigates adherence to clinical guidelines for sepsis among different providers. Considering the strengths of the recommendations, we hypothesize that heterogeneity in the decision-making process will be low and independent of provider background and psychological makeup. Methods: This cohort study used two clinical vignettes of sepsis. Providers were given standardized treatment plans for 7 days, and their responses were recorded. Demographical, professional, and psychological (ambiguity tolerance, defensiveness, anxiety due to uncertainty, risk-taking behavior, decision styles, and optimism) variables were acquired. Results: Crystalloids were commonly used in both vignettes. Pressor engagement, especially norepinephrine, increased significantly after the third day. Providers recommended antibiotics and no provider stopped antibiotic therapy. Cluster analysis revealed no differences in therapy implementation among provider types, but some differences existed between the two vignettes. Cluster #1 was characterized by the implementation of early light bundle therapy combined with the use of pressors and a notable enhancement in therapies by the fifth day (Early Cluster). Cluster #2 (Minimalists) involved consistent engagement only in light bundle therapy throughout the treatment period. Cluster #3 (Escalation) comprised providers who rapidly escalated treatment using multiple different modalities. Cluster #3 stood out as most providers were female, non-MD, with significant ICU duties, and enhanced rational thinking. Conclusions: Providers differ in implementation styles of the sepsis treatment standard based on types of therapies selected not studied psychological variables.

Abstract Background Lung adenocarcinoma in never-smokers is a major public health burden, especially among East Asian women. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are promising for risk stratification but are primarily developed in European-ancestry populations. We aimed to develop and validate single- and multi-ancestry PRSs for East Asian never-smokers to improve lung adenocarcinoma risk prediction. Methods PRSs were developed using genome-wide association study summary statistics from East Asian (8002 cases; 20 782 controls) and European (2058 cases; 5575 controls) populations. Single-ancestry models included a PRS with 25 single nucleotide variants (PRS-25), PRS clumping and thresholding (CT), and LDpred2; multi-ancestry models included LDpred2 plus European PRS-128, PRS-CSx, and clumping and thresholding, super learning, empirical Bayes (CT-SLEB). Performance was evaluated in independent East Asian data from the Female Lung Cancer Consortium and externally validated in the Nanjing Lung Cancer Cohort. We assessed predictive accuracy via area under the curve operating procedure (AUC), with 10-year and (ages 30-80 years) absolute risks estimates. Results The best multi-ancestry PRS, using East Asian and European data via CT-SLEB, outperformed the best East Asian-only (LDpred2; AUC = 0.629, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.618 to 0.641), achieving an AUC of 0.640 (95% CI = 0.629 to 0.653) and odds ratio of 1.71 (95% CI = 1.61 to 1.82) per standard deviation increase. Nanjing Lung Cancer Cohort validation confirmed robust performance (AUC = 0.649, 95% CI = 0.623 to 0.676). The top 20% PRS group had a 3.92-fold higher lung adenocarcinoma risk than the bottom 20%. Further, the top 5% PRS group reached a 6.69% lifetime absolute risk. Notably, this group reached the average population 10-year lung adenocarcinoma risk at age 50 years (0.42%) by age 41 years, 9 years earlier. Conclusions Multi-ancestry PRS approaches enhance lung adenocarcinoma risk stratification in East Asian never-smokers, with consistent external validation, suggesting future clinical utility.

Abstract Background Physical activity (PA) is an established protective factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), but it is unclear if genetic variants modify this effect. To investigate this possibility, we conducted a genome-wide gene–PA interaction analysis. Methods Using logistic regression and two-step and joint tests, we analyzed interactions between common genetic variants across the genome and PA in relation to CRC risk. Self-reported PA levels were categorized as active (≥ 8.75 MET-h/wk) vs. inactive (< 8.75 MET-h/wk) and as study- and sex-specific quartiles of activity. Results PA had an overall protective effect on CRC (OR [active vs. inactive] = 0.85; 95%CI = 0.81–0.90). The two-step GxE method identified an interaction between rs4779584, an intergenic variant near the GREM1 and SCG5 genes, and PA for CRC risk (p-interaction = 2.6×10 − 8 ). Stratification by genotype at this locus showed a significant reduction in CRC risk by 20% in active vs. inactive participants with the CC genotype (OR = 0.80; 95%CI = 0.75–0.85), but no significant PA–CRC association among CT or TT carriers. When PA was modeled as quartiles, the 1-d.f. GxE test identified that rs56906466, an intergenic variant near the KCNG1 gene, modified the association between PA and CRC (p-interaction = 3.5×10 − 8 ). Stratification at this locus showed that increase in PA (highest vs. lowest quartile) was associated with a lower CRC risk solely among TT carriers (OR = 0.77; 95%CI = 0.72–0.82). Conclusions In summary, we identified two genetic variants that modified the association between PA and CRC risk. One of them, related to GREM1 and SCG5 , suggests that the bone morphogenetic protein (BMP)-related, inflammatory, and/or insulin signaling pathways may be associated with the protective influence of PA on colorectal carcinogenesis.

The insulin-like growth factor binding protein, acid-labile subunit (IGFALS), plays a crucial role in glucose metabolism and immune regulation, key processes in recovery from surgery. Here, we studied the perioperative serum IGFALS dynamics and explored potential clinical implications. A total of 79 patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery with implementation of cardiopulmonary bypass had their serum isolated at baseline, 24 h, seven days, and three months postoperatively to assess serum concentrations of IGFALS and insulin growth factor 1 (IGF-1). Markers of perioperative injury included troponin I (TnI), high-mobility group box 1 (HMGB-1), and heat shock protein 60 (Hsp-60). Inflammatory status was assessed via interleukin-6 (IL-6) and interleukin-8 (IL-8). Additionally, we measured in vitro cytokine production to viral stimulation of whole blood and monocytes. Surrogates of neuronal distress included neurofilament light chain (NF-L), total tau (τ), phosphorylated tau at threonine 181 (τp181), and amyloid β40 and β42. Renal impairment was defined by RIFLE criteria. Cardiac dysfunction was denoted by serum N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels. Serum IGFALS levels declined significantly after surgery and remained depressed even at 3 months. Administration of acetaminophen and acetylsalicylic acid differentiated IGFALS levels at the 24 h postoperatively. Serum IGFALS 24 h post-operatively correlated with production of cytokines by leukocytes after in vitro viral stimulation. Serum amyloid-β1-42 was significantly associated with IGFALS at baseline and 24 h post-surgery Patients discharged home had higher IGFALS levels at 28 days and 3 months than those discharged to healthcare facilities or who died. These findings suggest that IGFALS may serve as a prognostic biomarker for recovery trajectory and postoperative outcomes in cardiac surgery patients.

ImportanceEtiologic heterogeneity in breast carcinogenesis needs to be well characterized for targeted prevention. Associations between menopausal hormonal therapy (MHT) and oral contraceptive (OC) use and breast cancer intrinsic-like subtypes are not well understood.ObjectiveTo examine whether exogenous hormone use is differentially associated with breast cancer subtypes and to evaluate heterogeneity by intrinsic-like subtypes.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis study pooled data from 31 nested and population-based case-control studies involved in the Breast Cancer Association Consortium. The study population included individuals with breast cancer and control participants from 13 case-control studies nested in prospective cohorts (recruited between 1982 and 2011) and 18 population-based case-control studies (recruited between 1990 and 2013). Data analysis was performed in June 2024.ExposureMHT use (estrogen-progestin therapy [EPT] or estrogen-only therapy [ET]) in postmenopausal women and OC use in premenopausal women (never, past use, or current use).Main Outcomes and MeasuresBreast cancer intrinsic-like subtypes (luminal A–like, luminal B–like, luminal B–ERBB2 [formerly HER2 or HER2/neu]-like, ERBB2 enriched–like, or triple-negative) were determined by immunohistochemistry of tumor sections. Polytomous logistic regression was performed to estimate the association between exogenous hormones and risk of breast cancer by intrinsic-like subtypes. Analyses by subtypes were stratified by body mass index (BMI [calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared]; healthy weight, 18.5-&amp;lt;25; overweight, 25-&amp;lt;30; or obesity, ≥30).ResultsThis study included 42 269 individuals with breast cancer (11 901 [28.2%] premenopausal and 30 368 [71.8%] postmenopausal; 23 353 [55.2%] had a known intrinsic-like subtype) and 71 072 control participants. The mean (SD) age of all participants was 57.9 (10.9) years. In postmenopausal women, associations between current MHT use (EPT or ET) and breast cancer differed by subtype. Current EPT users with healthy weight were more likely to be diagnosed with luminal A–like (odds ratio [OR], 2.51 [95% CI, 2.26-2.80]) or luminal B–ERBB2-like (OR, 1.95 [95% CI, 1.61-2.37]) subtypes. These associations were attenuated but remained for individuals with overweight (OR, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.02-1.92]) or obesity (OR, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.01-2.78]). EPT use increased the odds of being diagnosed with luminal B–like tumors solely in women with healthy weight (OR, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.17-1.86]). Current ET use was positively associated with luminal A–like disease in women with healthy weight only (OR, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.01-1.32]), showing inverse associations with higher BMI (obesity: OR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.50-0.85]). In premenopausal women, recent OC use was associated with luminal B–ERBB2-like (OR, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.09-2.08]), ERBB2 enriched–like (OR, 2.33 [95% CI, 1.55-3.51]), and triple-negative (OR, 1.75 [95% CI, 1.33-2.29]; P &amp;lt; .04 for heterogeneity) tumors.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this study, clear differences were observed in associations between current EPT use and luminal-like breast cancer subtypes and other subtypes. EPT users with healthy weight were more likely to be diagnosed with luminal-like breast cancer compared with nonusers. Subtype heterogeneity was less apparent in associations of OC and ET use. Future studies on contemporary formulations, patterns of use, and routes of administration of exogenous hormone usage are warranted.

Objective Motor neuron disease (MND) is a progressive neurological disorder with no known cure that damages motor neurons. The purpose of this analysis is to examine the place of death for MND patients in the United States during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and to investigate the extent of specific comorbidities. Methods We obtained death certificate and associated comorbidities data for all U.S. MND deaths from 2018 to 2021 and conducted a population-based cross-sectional analysis of the deaths pre-COVID-19 (2018-2019) and during COVID-19 (2020-2021). We hypothesized that place of death and comorbidities associated with place of death for MND patients in the United States were altered during the COVID-19 pandemic in comparison to the 2 years period before the pandemic. Results We analyzed 30 066 MND deaths (14 562 pre-COVID-19 and 15 504 during COVID-19) aged 20 years and older. During COVID-19, MND deaths at home increased (54.4% vs 45.5% pre-COVID). Hispanic individuals had an increased likelihood of dying at home compared to a nursing home or hospice (OR = 1.57, 95%CI: 1.22-2.02), but a decreased likelihood compared to a hospital (OR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.51-0.72). Among the top comorbidities listed, there was a 27.8% increase in diabetes mellitus and a 20.2% increase in essential hypertension during COVID-19. During COVID-19, diabetes mellitus was more commonly reported as a comorbidity for deaths occurring in hospitals (OR = 1.40, 95%CI: 1.03-1.89) or at home (OR = 1.26, 95%CI: 1.03-1.55), while essential hypertension was more commonly reported with deaths at home (OR = 1.17, 95%CI: 1.01-1.36). Conclusion Our analysis showed an increase in at-home MND deaths as well as certain comorbidities during the COVID-19 pandemic, suggesting MND patients had a higher likelihood of death from non-COVID-19 comorbidities.

Importance Tau positron emission tomography (PET) allows in vivo detection of neurofibrillary tangles, a core neuropathologic feature of Alzheimer disease (AD). Objective To provide estimates of the frequency of tau PET positivity and its associated risk of clinical outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants Longitudinal study using data pooled from 21 cohorts, comprising a convenience sample of 6514 participants from 13 countries, collected between January 2013 and June 2024. Cognitively unimpaired individuals and patients with a clinical diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment (MCI), AD dementia, or other neurodegenerative disorders were included. Exposures Tau PET with flortaucipir F 18, amyloid-β (Aβ) PET, and clinical examinations. Tau PET scans were visually rated as positive according to a US Food and Drug Administration– and European Medicines Agency–approved method, designed to indicate the presence of advanced neurofibrillary tangle pathology (Braak stages V-VI). Main Outcomes and Measures Frequency of tau PET positivity and absolute risk of clinical progression (eg, progression to MCI or dementia). Results Among the 6514 participants (mean age, 69.5 years; 50.5% female), median follow-up time ranged from 1.5 to 4.0 years. Of 3487 cognitively unimpaired participants, 349 (9.8%) were tau PET positive; the estimated frequency of tau PET positivity was less than 1% in those aged younger than 50 years, and increased from 3% (95% CI, 2%-4%) at 60 years to 19% (95% CI, 16%-24%) at 90 years. Tau PET positivity frequency estimates increased across MCI and AD dementia clinical diagnoses (43% [95% CI, 41%-46%] and 79% [95% CI, 77%-82%] at 75 years, respectively). Most tau PET–positive individuals (92%) were also Aβ PET positive. Cognitively unimpaired participants who were positive for both Aβ PET and tau PET had a higher absolute risk of progression to MCI or dementia over the following 5 years (57% [95% CI, 45%-71%]) compared with both Aβ PET–positive/tau PET–negative (17% [95% CI, 13%-22%]) and Aβ PET–negative/tau PET–negative (6% [95% CI, 5%-8%]) individuals. Among participants with MCI at the time of the tau PET scan, an Aβ PET–positive/tau PET–positive profile was associated with a 5-year absolute risk of progression to dementia of 70% (95% CI, 59%-81%). Conclusions and Relevance In a large convenience sample, a positive tau PET scan occurred at a nonnegligible rate among cognitively unimpaired individuals, and the combination of Aβ PET positivity and tau PET positivity was associated with a high risk of clinical progression in both preclinical and symptomatic stages of AD. These findings underscore the potential of tau PET as a biomarker for staging AD pathology.

Abstract The development of targeted therapy for patients with multiple myeloma (MM) is hampered by the low frequency of actionable genetic abnormalities. Gain or amplification of chromosome 1q (1q+) is the most frequent arm-level copy number gain in patients with MM and is associated with higher risk of progression and death despite recent therapeutic advances. Thus, developing targeted therapy for patients with MM with 1q+ stands to benefit a large portion of patients in need of more effective management. Here, we used large-scale dependency screens and drug screens to systematically characterize the therapeutic vulnerabilities of MM with 1q+ and displayed increased sensitivity to myeloid cell leukemia-1 (MCL1) and phosphatidyl inositol 3-kinase (PI3K) inhibitors. Using single-cell RNA sequencing, we compared subclones with and without 1q+ within the same patient tumors and demonstrated that 1q+ is associated with higher levels of MCL1 and the PI3K pathway. Furthermore, by isolating isogenic clones with different copy number profiles for part of the chromosome 1q arm, we observed increased sensitivity to MCL1 and PI3K inhibitors with arm-level gain. Lastly, we demonstrated synergy between MCL1 and PI3K inhibitors and dissected their mechanism of action in MM with 1q+, uncovering a cytostatic effect. In conclusion, this study highlights that MM with 1q+ may present enhanced sensitivity to MCL1 and PI3K inhibitors, enabling their use at lower doses without sacrificing efficacy, and may thus accelerate the development of targeted therapy for patients with MM and 1q+.

The immune system’s response to an invading pathogen is the critical determinant in recovery from illness. Here, we hypothesize that the immune response will swiftly follow classical activation and a resolution trajectory in patients with the rapid evolution of symptoms if challenged by a viral pathogen for the first time. Alternatively, a dysregulated response will be signified by a protracted clinical trajectory. Consequently, we enrolled 106 patients during the first wave of COVID-19 and collected their blood within 24 h, 48 h, 7 days, and over 28 days from symptoms onset. The pathogenic burden was measured via serum levels of the S-spike protein and specific immunoglobulin titers against the S and N proteins of SARS-CoV-2. The nonspecific immunological response was gauged using interleukin 6, leukocytosis, and C-reactive protein. Coagulation status was assessed. Several serum biomarkers were used as surrogates of clinical outcomes. We identified four clusters depending on the onset of symptoms (immediate [A], 6 days [B], 12 days [C], and over 21 days [D]). High variability in the S-spike protein in cluster A was present. The corresponding immunoglobulin titer was random. Only procalcitonin differentiated clusters in terms of markers of nonspecific inflammation. Coagulation markers were not significantly different between clusters. Serum surrogates on cardiomyopathy and neuronal pathology exhibited significant variability. Implementation of ECMO or noninvasive ventilation was more prominent in cluster C and D. Interestingly, SOFA or APACHE II scores were not different between nominal (A and B) versus dysregulated clusters (C and D).