Vachon, Celine M.

Background: Breast cancer polygenic risk scores (PRS) and traditional risk models (e.g., the Gail model [Gail]) are known to contribute largely independent information, but it is unclear how the overlap varies by ancestry, age, disease type (invasive breast cancer, DCIS), and risk threshold. Methods: In a retrospective case–control study, we evaluated risk prediction performance in 180,398 women (161,849 of European ancestry; 18,549 of Asian ancestry). Odds ratios (ORs) from logistic regression models and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were estimated. Results: PRS for invasive disease showed a stronger association in younger (<50 years) women (OR = 2.51, AUC = 0.622) than in women ≥ 50 years (OR = 2.06, AUC = 0.653) of European ancestry. PRS performance in Asians was lower (OR range = 1.62–1.64, AUC = 0.551–0.600). Gail performance was modest across groups and poor in younger Asian women (OR = 0.94–0.99, AUC = 0.523–0.533). Age interactions were observed for both PRS (p < 0.001) and Gail (p < 0.001) in Europeans, whereas in Asians, age interaction was observed only for Gail (invasive: p < 0.001; DCIS: p = 0.002). PRS identified more high-risk individuals than Gail in Asian populations, especially ≥50 years, while Gail identified more in Europeans. Overlap between PRS, Gail, and family history was limited at higher thresholds. Calibration analysis, comparing empirical and model-based ROC curves, showed divergence for both PRS and Gail (p < 0.001), which indicates miscalibration. In Europeans, family history and prior biopsies drove Gail discrimination. In younger Asians, age at first live birth was influential. Conclusions: PRS adds value to risk stratification beyond traditional tools, especially in younger women and Asian ancestry populations.

Abstract Recent studies have shown that associations between common genetic variation and gene expression in breast tumors provide insight into the functional mechanisms underlying breast cancer risk loci. However, the relationship between genetic variation, gene expression, and risk of triple negative (TN) breast cancer remains largely unexplored. We performed a genome-wide expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) analysis of TN breast cancer using 668 formalin-fixed paraffin embedded TN tumors from the Triple Negative Breast Cancer Consortium (TNBCC) to identify novel genes relevant to TN breast cancer risk and to further explore the biology underlying known TN risk loci. Cis-eQTLs were defined as correlations between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) and expression of genes within 1Mb, and trans-eQTLs were defined as the remainder of all SNP-gene correlations. In a genome-wide analysis, we identified 68,012 cis-eQTLs, representing correlations between 42,193 SNPs and 2,092 genes that were significant at a 10% false discovery rate (FDR). We also identified 70 trans-eQTLs across two unique genes at the same FDR threshold. Five cis-eQTLs involved SNPs previously associated with TN breast cancer risk (p&lt;5.0x10-5) in 3,700 TN cases and 4,700 controls from the TNBCC. Three of these, located on chromosomes 5p (cis-eQTL p=4.8x10-34; risk p=1.1x10-7), 7p (cis-eQTL p=6.1x10-10; risk p=1.3x10-7), and 17q (cis-eQTL p=1.8x10-15; risk p=2.9x10-7), have previously been reported in public databases of normal tissue. The remaining two TN breast cancer cis-eQTLs, located on chromosomes 8q (cis-eQTL p=6.3x10-6, risk p=8.3x10-6) and 14q (cis-eQTL p=3.1x10-6, risk p=1.2x10-5), have not been reported as eQTLs in other tissues. In addition, 12 of 25 known TN breast cancer risk loci (PEX14, MDM4, 2q31.1, ESR1, 11q13.1, 11q24.3, 12p13.1, PTHLH, NTN4, 12q24, 19p13.1, MLK1), contained at least one significant cis-eQTL. In summary, we have identified five cis-eQTLs that may identify novel risk loci for TN breast cancer. Citation Format: Kristen S. Purrington, Drakoulis Yannoukakos, Jane Carpenter, Heli Nevanlinna, Angela Cox, Gianluca Severi, Christine Ambrosone, Amanda Ewart Toland, Andrew K. Godwin, Hiltrud Brauch, Peter A. Fasching, Penelope Miron, Jenny Chang-Claude, Nicholas G. Martin, Grant W. Montgomery, Vessela Kristensen, Hoda Anton-Culver, Paul Goodfellow, Janet E. Olson, Hugues Sicotte, Naresh Prodduturi, Daniel W. Visscher, Jeanette E. Eckel-Passow, S. Keith Anderson, Seth Slettedahl, Curtis Olswold, Xianshu Wang, V. Shane Pankratz, Susan Slager, Wei Zheng, Arto Mannermaa, Ute Hamann, Diana M. Eccles, Celine M. Vachon, Fergus J. Couch. Expression quantitative trait locus analysis of triple negative breast cancer. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 105th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2014 Apr 5-9; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2014;74(19 Suppl):Abstract nr 3266. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2014-3266

ABSTRACTGenes that alter disease risk only in combination with certain environmental exposures may not be detected in genetic association analysis. By using methods accounting for gene‐environment (G × E) interaction, we aimed to identify novel genetic loci associated with breast cancer risk. Up to 34,475 cases and 34,786 controls of European ancestry from up to 23 studies in the Breast Cancer Association Consortium were included. Overall, 71,527 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), enriched for association with breast cancer, were tested for interaction with 10 environmental risk factors using three recently proposed hybrid methods and a joint test of association and interaction. Analyses were adjusted for age, study, population stratification, and confounding factors as applicable. Three SNPs in two independent loci showed statistically significant association: SNPs rs10483028 and rs2242714 in perfect linkage disequilibrium on chromosome 21 and rs12197388 in ARID1B on chromosome 6. While rs12197388 was identified using the joint test with parity and with age at menarche (P‐values = 3 × 10−07), the variants on chromosome 21 q22.12, which showed interaction with adult body mass index (BMI) in 8,891 postmenopausal women, were identified by all methods applied. SNP rs10483028 was associated with breast cancer in women with a BMI below 25 kg/m2 (OR = 1.26, 95% CI 1.15–1.38) but not in women with a BMI of 30 kg/m2 or higher (OR = 0.89, 95% CI 0.72–1.11, P for interaction = 3.2 × 10−05). Our findings confirm comparable power of the recent methods for detecting G × E interaction and the utility of using G × E interaction analyses to identify new susceptibility loci.