Camp, Nicola J.

Abstract Background Breast cancer is etiologically heterogeneous, but which risk factors differ in their associations across tumor subtypes remains unclear. We conducted a large, pooled analysis to evaluate independent, dose-response associations between breast cancer risk factors and quantitative tumor features. Methods Analyses of 15,731 invasive breast cancers from 24 studies evaluated associations (p-trend) between reproductive and hormonal factors, body mass index (BMI), alcohol, smoking, and family history in relation to quantitative immunohistochemistry measures on tissue microarrays (ER, PR, HER2, KI67, TP53) and tumor grade. Analyses in a subset of 10 population-based studies estimated subtype-specific odds ratios (ORs) comparing cases to controls. A Bayesian False Discovery Probability (BFDP) <0.2 was used to identify associations with strong statistical evidence. Results Nulliparity and later age at menopause were associated with higher ER-positivity (p-trend=0.021 and 0.001, respectively), with corresponding OR[ER+] (95% CI) = 1.49 (1.16-1.90) for nulliparous vs. parous and 1.07 (1.03-1.11) per 5 years. Current combined menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) use was associated with lower grade (p-trend<0.001), with OR [grade1] = 3.37 (2.69-4.21) for current vs. never users. Higher BMI was associated with lower ER-positivity and higher grade in premenopausal women (p-trend<0.001 and <0.001), with OR[ER+] = 0.80 (0.74-0.87) and OR[grade1] = 0.75 (0.63-0.88) per 5 units, and with higher PR-positivity and higher grade in postmenopausal women (p-trend<0.001 and <0.001), with OR[PR+] = 1.08 (1.03-1.14) and OR[grade 3] = 1.10 (1.04-1.17) per 5 units. Conclusion This pooled analysis of 15,731 cases showed that nulliparity, age at menopause, MHT, and BMI have independent, dose-response associations with ER, PR, and grade, clarifying patterns of etiologic heterogeneity. Associations with HER2, KI67 and TP53, or other risk factors did not meet our threshold for strong evidence.

Abstract Polygenic risk scores (PRSs), which quantify inherited susceptibility to complex traits and diseases, have emerged as valuable tools for risk stratification and precision medicine. Despite their promise, PRS developed on European cohorts often demonstrate substantially reduced predictive accuracy in non-European populations, due to differences in genetic architecture. The disproportionate representation of European ancestry cohorts in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) leads to inequitable deployment of PRS technologies across diverse populations. Here, we introduce PRANA (Polygenic Risk Adaptation via Neural-network Architecture), a deep learning framework that adapts an existing PRS developed on one population to other ancestries. Unlike methods that require large-scale GWAS in the target population, PRANA leverages pre-trained PRS models derived from European cohorts and adapts them using modestly sized cohorts from the target population. We evaluated PRANA on seven complex traits in South Asian, East Asian and Ashkenazi Jewish populations, as well as in selected smaller East Asian subpopulations where the scarcity of training data poses a particular challenge. PRANA mostly improved predictive performance of the baseline PRS models by 5%-20% in terms of effect size (β) and Nagelkerke’s R², and, in most cases, outperformed existing cross-ancestry multi-PRS approaches. These results highlight PRANA as a scalable and practical strategy to reduce disparities in genomic risk prediction and advance the equitable application of PRS in diverse populations.

Summary Evidence for an association between insulin‐like growth factors (IGF) and multiple myeloma (MM) is inconsistent. We examined total IGF‐I concentrations and risk of MM by combining baseline serological data among UK Biobank participants ( n = 444 187; 732 incident MM) with a two‐sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) analysis using identified genetic variants associated with circulating total IGF‐I and IGF‐binding protein 3 (IGFBP‐3) in the InterLymph consortium (2434 MM and their 2567 controls). Finally, additional lymphoid neoplasm (LN) subtypes were included for comparison with the main hypothesis. Circulating IGF‐I level was positively associated with MM risk Hazard ratio‐HR‐per one standard deviation‐SD‐increase (HR 1‐SD = 1.11, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01–1.22; p ‐value = 0.03), especially closer to diagnosis. Genetically inferred IGF‐I levels were associated with increased MM risk (odds ratio [OR] = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.05–1.54) but not with any other LNs. Genetically inferred IGFBP‐3 levels showed no associations with any LN evaluated. Corroborating previous findings, in a secondary analysis, IGF‐I levels were associated with the risk of chronic lymphocytic leukaemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma (CLL/SLL) in males with higher body mass index (HR 1‐SD in obese male = 1.36, 95% CI: 1.14–1.61). Our serological and MR analyses suggest a contributing role of IGF‐I in the susceptibility of MM; the CLL/SLL findings warrant further investigation considering sex‐specific adiposity.

Background/Objectives: Family history is a known risk factor for multiple myeloma (MM) and its precursor condition, monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). Previous genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified 35 common loci associated with MM risk and 21 associated with MGUS. The objective of this study was to identify less common and rare genetic loci predisposing to MM/MGUS through whole-exome sequencing (WES)-based linkage analysis. Methods:Multipoint linkage analysis was conducted using the Multipoint Engine for Rapid Likelihood Inference (MERLIN) with the Lander–Green algorithm on germline WES data from 79 pedigrees with 2 or more affected relatives (120 MM, 86 MGUS, and 21 unaffected). Genome-wide linkage was evaluated using 12,946 independent single-nucleotide variants (linkage disequilibrium r2 < 0.05). Results: Significant linkage was observed at chromosome 6q22.33–q24.2 by the non-parametric model (logarithm-of-odds (LOD) = 3.3) and suggestive linkage by the dominant parametric model (heterogeneity LOD (HLOD) = 2.5). Fourteen rare variants within this region were prioritized using family-specific partial LOD scores and in silico functional prediction tools. Nine of these variants, REPS1, THEMIS, TAAR6, AHI1, VNN1, VNN3, MTFR2/FAM54A, LAMA2, and PHACTR2, overlapped immune-regulatory regions in blood cell lines and were not previously identified in GWASs. Conclusions: This study demonstrates the utility of applying a linkage analysis framework to familial WES data for identifying genomic regions and candidate genes that may contribute to MM/MGUS predisposition. These findings provide new insight into the inherited risk and etiology of familial MM and MGUS.

Background: Breast cancer polygenic risk scores (PRS) and traditional risk models (e.g., the Gail model [Gail]) are known to contribute largely independent information, but it is unclear how the overlap varies by ancestry, age, disease type (invasive breast cancer, DCIS), and risk threshold. Methods: In a retrospective case–control study, we evaluated risk prediction performance in 180,398 women (161,849 of European ancestry; 18,549 of Asian ancestry). Odds ratios (ORs) from logistic regression models and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were estimated. Results: PRS for invasive disease showed a stronger association in younger (<50 years) women (OR = 2.51, AUC = 0.622) than in women ≥ 50 years (OR = 2.06, AUC = 0.653) of European ancestry. PRS performance in Asians was lower (OR range = 1.62–1.64, AUC = 0.551–0.600). Gail performance was modest across groups and poor in younger Asian women (OR = 0.94–0.99, AUC = 0.523–0.533). Age interactions were observed for both PRS (p < 0.001) and Gail (p < 0.001) in Europeans, whereas in Asians, age interaction was observed only for Gail (invasive: p < 0.001; DCIS: p = 0.002). PRS identified more high-risk individuals than Gail in Asian populations, especially ≥50 years, while Gail identified more in Europeans. Overlap between PRS, Gail, and family history was limited at higher thresholds. Calibration analysis, comparing empirical and model-based ROC curves, showed divergence for both PRS and Gail (p < 0.001), which indicates miscalibration. In Europeans, family history and prior biopsies drove Gail discrimination. In younger Asians, age at first live birth was influential. Conclusions: PRS adds value to risk stratification beyond traditional tools, especially in younger women and Asian ancestry populations.

Abstract Obesity has been associated with non‐Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), but the evidence is inconclusive. We examined the association between genetically determined adiposity and four common NHL subtypes: diffuse large B‐cell lymphoma (DLBCL), follicular lymphoma, chronic lymphocytic leukemia, and marginal zone lymphoma, using eight genome‐wide association studies of European ancestry ( N = 10,629 cases, 9505 controls) and constructing polygenic scores for body mass index (BMI), waist‐to‐hip ratio (WHR), and waist‐to‐hip ratio adjusted for BMI (WHRadjBMI). Higher genetically determined BMI was associated with an increased risk of DLBCL [odds ratio (OR) per standard deviation (SD) = 1.18, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.05–1.33, p = .005]. This finding was consistent with Mendelian randomization analyses, which demonstrated a similar increased risk of DLBCL with higher genetically determined BMI (OR per SD = 1.12, 95% CI: 1.02–1.23, p = .03). No significant associations were observed with other NHL subtypes. Our study demonstrates a positive link between a genetically determined BMI and an increased risk of DLBCL, providing additional support for increased adiposity as a risk factor for DLBCL.

Abstract We investigated the influence of 55 583 autophagy-related single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) on chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) risk across 4 independent populations comprising 5472 CLL cases and 726 465 controls. We also examined their impact on overall survival (OS), time to first treatment (TTFT), autophagy flux, and immune responses. A meta-analysis of the 4 populations identified, to our knowledge, for the first time, significant associations between CDKN2A (rs3731204) and BCL2 (rs4940571, rs12457371, and rs1026825) SNPs and CLL risk, with CDKN2A showing the strongest association (P = 1.57 × 10−12). We also validated previously reported associations for FAS, BCL2, and BAK1 SNPs with CLL risk (P = 4.73 × 10−21 to 3.39 × 10−9). The CDKN2Ars3731204 and FASrs1926194 SNPs associated with increased CDKN2A and ACTA2 messenger RNA expression levels in the whole blood and/or lymphocytes (P = 5.1 × 10−7, P = 1.58 × 10−21, and P = 7.8 × 10−41), although no significant effect on autophagy flux was observed. However, associations were found between CDKN2A, BCL2, and FAS SNPs and various T-cell subsets, cytokine production, and circulating concentrations of interferon gamma, tumor necrosis factor–related apoptosis-inducing ligand, CD40, chemokine ligand 20, and interleukin-2 receptor subunit β proteins (P ≤ .005). No significant association was detected between autophagy variants and OS or TTFT, suggesting that these variants drive disease initiation rather than progression. In conclusion, this study identified 4 novel associations for CLL and provided insights into the biological pathways that influence CLL development.

Abstract Introduction: With over 80, 000 new cases of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) diagnosed annually, modifiable risk factors remain unclear. Circadian disruption, linked to cancers like breast and prostate, affects immune cells (e.g., natural killer cells and T-helper cells) by altering their trafficking and proliferation. Some studies (PMID: 30566672, 27611440) suggest long sleep may increase overall NHL risk, including a Mendelian randomization (MR) study (PMID: 32895918). However, no research has examined the causal relationship between sleep traits, including long sleep, and NHL risk, by subtypes. We hypothesize that sleep traits are causally associated with NHL subtypes in European populations, testing this using MR with data from the International Lymphoma Epidemiology Consortium (InterLymph). Methods: We conducted two-sample MR using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary data for sleep traits and NHL subtypes. Only independent, genome-wide significant (p &lt; 5×10-8) Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs) were selected as valid instruments, sourced from the UK Biobank. Sleep traits included chronotype (153 SNPs), insomnia (48 SNPs), sleep duration (78 SNPs), excessive daytime sleepiness (37 SNPs), short sleep (27 SNPs), and long sleep (8 SNPs). NHL subtype data were from InterLymph: follicular lymphoma (6, 508 cases / 64, 183 controls), mantle cell lymphoma (1, 169 cases / 61, 603 controls), Waldenstrom macroglobulinemia/lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma (WM/LPL: 1, 697 cases / 59, 333 controls), and chronic lymphocytic leukemia (8, 522 cases / 67, 653 controls). The primary analysis used inverse-variance weighted (IVW) random-effects, with MR-Egger for pleiotropy adjustment. Results: Using the IVW method, we did not identify any statistically significant causal association between sleep traits and the risk of NHL subtypes, but did yield several intriguing trends. Long sleep (sleep duration &gt;= 9 h per night) showed a marginally increased NHL risk [Odds ratio (OR) range: 1.51 - 247.9] across each subtype. Short sleep (sleep duration &lt; 7 h per night) showed a similar trend [OR range: 1.25 - 1.81], except for WM/LPL, where we noticed a negative trend. The confidence limit for long sleep was imprecise due to the small number of variants. We did not notice any significant directional horizontal pleiotropy or weak instrument bias. Conclusions: We found no conclusive evidence of a relationship between sleep traits and four NHL subtypes. However, we see suggestive trends of long and short sleep associated with higher risk of some NHL subtypes. These findings align with the previous studies, which showed long sleep was associated with higher risk of NHL overall. Future directions include expanding our analysis to additional NHL subtypes, generating polygenic risk scores, and conducting stratified analyses. Citation Format: Pankhil Shah, Brittany Crawford, Anwar Merchant, Brenda Birmann, Angelica Macauda, Michelle A. Hildebrandt, Aaron Norman, Neil E. Caporaso, Meredith Yeager, Michael Dean, Immaculata De Vivo, Lynn Goldin, Nicola J. Camp, Rosalie Griffin, Delphine Casabonne, Federico Canzian, Pelin Unal, Elad Ziv, Catherine R. Marinac, Alexandra Nieters, Stephen J. Chanock, Mitchell J. Machiela, Michael Conry, Charlie Zhong, Hanla A. Park, Simon Cheah, Jonathan N. Hofmann, Elizabeth E. Brown, Celine Vachon, Susan Slager, Sonja Berndt, Sophia S. Wang, Vijai Joseph, James McKay, Henrik Hjalgrim, Lara Sucheston-Campbell, Karl Smith-Byrne, Alyssa Clay-Gilmour. Association between sleep traits and risk of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma subtypes: a mendelian randomization study in the International Lymphoma Epidemiology (InterLymph) Consortium [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 7415.

Introduction: Over 80,000 new cases of Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma (NHL) are diagnosed annually, but modifiable risk factors are largely unknown. Circadian disruption has been identified as a risk factor for several cancers, including breast and prostate cancer, and affects immune cells such as Natural Killer (NK) cells and T-helper cells. Disruptions in circadian rhythms can lead to aberrant immune cell trafficking and proliferation. Despite this biological connection, evidence linking circadian disruptions to NHL remains inconclusive. Only single Mendelian Randomization (MR) study (PMID: 32895918) has explored the causal relationship between sleep traits and overall NHL risk, without examining NHL subtypes. Studies have shown distinct risk factor profiles among NHL subtypes. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the causal relationship between sleep traits and NHL subtypes in European populations using MR. Methods: We conducted a two-sample MR analyses using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary data on sleep traits and NHL subtypes. The GWAS summary statistics on sleep traits were obtained from publicly available UKBiobank datasets. The sleep traits analyzed included chronotype (N=449,734), insomnia (N=237,627), sleep duration (N=446,118), daytime sleepiness (N=452,071), short sleep (N=411,934), and long sleep (N=339,926). Only independent, genome-wide significant SNPs (p &lt; 5×10-8) were considered as valid instruments. The NHL subtype-specific summary statistics came from the InterLymph including follicular lymphoma (FL: N=6,508 cases / 64,183 controls), mantle cell lymphoma (MCL: N=1,169 cases / 61,603 controls), and Waldenström macroglobulinemia/lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma (WM/LPL: N=1,697 cases / 59,333 controls). Our primary analysis used the random-effects inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method. In addition, we employed MR-Egger to adjust for directional pleiotropy. Heterogeneity in the MR results was evaluated with Cochran's Q statistic. Results: The IVW method did not identify any statistically significant causal association between sleep traits and the risk of NHL subtypes (FL,MCL,WM/LPL), but did yield several intriguing associations. Chronotype (early rising) showed a tendency towards a marginally an increased NHL risk across subtypes [Odds ratio (OR) range: 1.07 - 2.56]. Conversely, a decreased risk was noted for long sleep (≥ 9 hours vs. 7-8 hours) [OR range: 0.19 - 0.62], insomnia [OR range: 0.72 - 0.88], and short sleep (excludes MCL) [OR range: 0.12 - 0.72]. Confidence limit for long sleep was wide due to small number of variants (N=8). The MR-Egger regression analysis did not provide evidence of significant directional horizontal pleiotropy. The F-statistics for all sleep traits were greater than 10 indicating absences of weak instrument bias. Conclusions: Our study found no statistically significant associations between sleep traits and three NHL subtypes (FL, MCL, WM/LPL) in European populations. However, we observed potential influences of chronotype, long and short sleep, and insomnia on NHL risk. These findings align with and extend previous MR study by providing subtype-specific insights. Future directions include expanding our analysis to additional NHL subtypes, generating polygenic risk scores, and conducting stratified analyses using the InterLymph population. These efforts aim to further elucidate the complex relationship between sleep characteristics and NHL risk across diverse subtypes and populations.

Background: CLL is the most prevalent adult leukemia with a highly heterogenous genetic landscape leading to extremely varied clinical outcomes. Previously, CLL patients with immunoglobulin heavy chain variable region ( IGHV) mutated status and presence of deletion 13q14 [del(13q)] were identified as favorable-risk with most patients remaining on lifetime observation. However, other intrinsic factors contributing to CLL disease progression and leading to treatment initiation remain unknown. Our goal was to identify patients at high-risk of progression with added predictive value (APV) beyond IGHV-status and presence of del(13q). Methods: Flow cytometry was used to sort CD19+CD5+ malignant cells in peripheral blood from CLL patients at Huntsman Cancer Institute at University of Utah and triple sequencing generated (tumor whole transcriptome and paired tumor-normal whole exome data). We used SPECTRA, a novel dimension reduction transcriptome approach, to derive a set of independent, intrinsic, quantitative transcriptome tumor variables from 249 CLL patients with quality-controlled transcriptome sequence data. From this set, 182 treatment-naïve (TN) patients with quality-controlled clinical variables were used as a discovery cohort set to derive a SPECTRA-based risk score for TTFT using multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling. Event time was date of patient specimen acquisition to initiation of frontline therapy with patients censored at last follow-up or death. Gaussian mixture modeling (GMM) was performed to identify evidence for distinct risk groups within the quantitative risk score. GMM-risk groups, and further stratifications by IGHV mutational and del(13q) status, were used in hazard ratios (HR) and to illustrate differences in Kaplan-Meier time-to-event curves. An independent publicly available dataset of 548 TN CLL patients with clinical and transcriptome data for CD19+ enriched cells was used for replication. Results: SPECTRA produced 19 quantitative spectra variables to describe most of the expression variation across the 249 CLL patients. In multivariable Cox modeling for TTFT, 7 spectra were significant and retained in a final model, which GMM separated into a bi-modal distribution and defined high (N=83) and low-risk (N=99) groups (HR=5.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.4-9.7). In a post-hoc model including IGHV mutational and del(13q) status, the spectra-risk score showed significant APV beyond both factors (p&lt;0.001 for both). The discovery study timeframe was 6.3 years (y) and included 109 IGHV-mutated and 75 del(13q) patients. In the IGHV-mutated patients, median TTFT (mTTFT) was significantly shorter for spectra-high risk patients (3.1y) vs. spectra-low risk patients (median not reached [NR]; p&lt;0.001). Similarly, in the del(13q) patients, mTTFT was significantly shorter in high-risk patients (3.3y) compared to median NR for spectra-low (p&lt;0.001) ( Figure). Importantly, stratification of patients into low- and high-risk SPECTRA scores provided significant additional information for prediction of TTFT than IGHV mutational and del(13q) status ( Figure). For validation, we applied the same spectra-risk score to the independent data set containing 301 IGHV-mutated and 278 del(13q) CLL patients. In the replication set, the mTTFT in the IGHV-mutated patients who were spectra-high was 3.3y vs. 11.2y in spectra-low (p&lt;0.001). Similarly, in the replication set of del(13q) patients, spectra-high-risk patients had a mTTFT of 2.7y vs. 10.7y for spectra-low (p&lt;0.001). Conclusion: A transcriptome risk score utilizing novel SPECTRA variables identified a substantial subset of CLL patients with IGHV-mutated status and presence of del(13q) who have uncharacteristically short TTFT, but who would be classified as favorable risk under current best practice stratification. Future directions include validating our results with external patient cohorts from Mayo Clinic and investigating the genetic and transcriptomic profile of SPECTRA low- and high-risk cohorts to determine targetable pathways for treatment.