Loi, Sherene

Abstract Background Breast cancer is etiologically heterogeneous, but which risk factors differ in their associations across tumor subtypes remains unclear. We conducted a large, pooled analysis to evaluate independent, dose-response associations between breast cancer risk factors and quantitative tumor features. Methods Analyses of 15,731 invasive breast cancers from 24 studies evaluated associations (p-trend) between reproductive and hormonal factors, body mass index (BMI), alcohol, smoking, and family history in relation to quantitative immunohistochemistry measures on tissue microarrays (ER, PR, HER2, KI67, TP53) and tumor grade. Analyses in a subset of 10 population-based studies estimated subtype-specific odds ratios (ORs) comparing cases to controls. A Bayesian False Discovery Probability (BFDP) <0.2 was used to identify associations with strong statistical evidence. Results Nulliparity and later age at menopause were associated with higher ER-positivity (p-trend=0.021 and 0.001, respectively), with corresponding OR[ER+] (95% CI) = 1.49 (1.16-1.90) for nulliparous vs. parous and 1.07 (1.03-1.11) per 5 years. Current combined menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) use was associated with lower grade (p-trend<0.001), with OR [grade1] = 3.37 (2.69-4.21) for current vs. never users. Higher BMI was associated with lower ER-positivity and higher grade in premenopausal women (p-trend<0.001 and <0.001), with OR[ER+] = 0.80 (0.74-0.87) and OR[grade1] = 0.75 (0.63-0.88) per 5 units, and with higher PR-positivity and higher grade in postmenopausal women (p-trend<0.001 and <0.001), with OR[PR+] = 1.08 (1.03-1.14) and OR[grade 3] = 1.10 (1.04-1.17) per 5 units. Conclusion This pooled analysis of 15,731 cases showed that nulliparity, age at menopause, MHT, and BMI have independent, dose-response associations with ER, PR, and grade, clarifying patterns of etiologic heterogeneity. Associations with HER2, KI67 and TP53, or other risk factors did not meet our threshold for strong evidence.

ImportanceAdjuvant ovarian function suppression (OFS) with oral endocrine therapy improves outcomes for premenopausal patients with hormone receptor–positive (HR+) breast cancer but adds adverse effects. A genomic biomarker for selecting patients most likely to benefit from OFS-based treatment is lacking.ObjectiveTo assess the predictive and prognostic performance of the Breast Cancer Index (BCI) for OFS benefit in premenopausal women with HR+ breast cancer.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis prospective-retrospective translational study used all available tumor tissue samples from female patients from the Suppression of Ovarian Function Trial (SOFT). These individuals were randomized to receive 5 years of adjuvant tamoxifen alone, tamoxifen plus OFS, or exemestane plus OFS. BCI testing was performed blinded to clinical data and outcome. The a priori hypothesis was that BCI HOXB13/IL17BR ratio (BCI[H/I])–high tumors would benefit more from OFS and high BCI portended poorer prognosis in this population. Settings spanned multiple centers internationally. Participants included premenopausal female patients with HR+ early breast cancer with specimens in the International Breast Cancer Study Group tumor repository available for RNA extraction. Data were collected from December 2003 to April 2021 and were analyzed from May 2022 to October 2022.Main Outcomes and MeasuresPrimary end points were breast cancer–free interval (BCFI) for the predictive analysis and distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) for the prognostic analyses.ResultsTumor specimens were available for 1718 of the 3047 female patients in the SOFT intention-to-treat population. The 1687 patients (98.2%) who had specimens that yielded sufficient RNA for BCI testing represented the parent trial population. The median (IQR) follow-up time was 12 (10.5-13.4) years, and 512 patients (30.3%) were younger than 40 years. Tumors were BCI(H/I)-low for 972 patients (57.6%) and BCI(H/I)-high for 715 patients (42.4%). Patients with tumors classified as BCI(H/I)-low exhibited a 12-year absolute benefit in BCFI of 11.6% from exemestane plus OFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.48 [95% CI, 0.33-0.71]) and an absolute benefit of 7.3% from tamoxifen plus OFS (HR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.48-0.97]) relative to tamoxifen alone. In contrast, patients with BCI(H/I)-high tumors did not benefit from either exemestane plus OFS (absolute benefit, −0.4%; HR, 1.03 [95% CI, 0.70-1.53]; P for interaction = .006) or tamoxifen plus OFS (absolute benefit, −1.2%; HR, 1.05 [95% CI, 0.72-1.54]; P for interaction = .11) compared with tamoxifen alone. BCI continuous index was significantly prognostic in the N0 subgroup for DRFI (n = 1110; P = .004), with 12-year DRFI of 95.9%, 90.8%, and 86.3% in BCI low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk N0 cancers, respectively.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this prospective-retrospective translational study of patients enrolled in SOFT, BCI was confirmed as prognostic in premenopausal women with HR+ breast cancer. The benefit from OFS-containing adjuvant endocrine therapy was greater for patients with BCI(H/I)-low tumors than BCI(H/I)-high tumors. BCI(H/I)-low status may identify premenopausal patients who are likely to benefit from this more intensive endocrine therapy.

ImportanceThe absolute benefit of chemotherapy for all patients with stage I triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is unclear, and biomarkers are not currently available for selecting patients with an excellent outcome for whom neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy may have negligible benefit. High levels of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) are associated with favorable survival in TNBC, but data solely in stage I TNBC are lacking.ObjectiveTo examine the outcomes of patients of all ages with stage I TNBC solely and who received neither neoadjuvant nor adjuvant chemotherapy, according to centrally reviewed sTIL levels at prespecified cutoffs.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis cohort study used the Netherlands Cancer Registry to identify patients diagnosed with stage I TNBC between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2015, who were not treated with chemotherapy. Only patients who did not receive neoadjuvant and/or adjuvant chemotherapy were selected. The clinical data were matched with their corresponding pathology data provided by the Dutch Pathology Registry. Data analysis was performed between February and October 2023.Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary end point was breast cancer–specific survival (BCSS) at 5, 10, and 15 years for the prespecified sTIL level cutoffs of 30%, 50%, and 75%. Hematoxylin and eosin–stained slides were used for central review of histologic subtype, grade, and lymphovascular invasion. The International Immuno-Oncology Biomarker Working Group guidelines were used to score the sTIL levels; these levels were determined for 1041 patients.ResultsOf a total of 4511 females with stage I TNBC, patients who were not treated with chemotherapy were selected and tissue blocks requested; sTILs were scored in 1041 patients (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 64.4 [11.1] years, median follow-up 11.4 [95% CI, 10.9-11.9] years) who were included in the analyses.. Most tumors (952 [91.5%]) were invasive carcinomas of nonspecial histologic subtype. Most patients (548 [52.6%]) had pT1cN0 tumors. Median (range) sTIL level was 5% (1%-99%). A total of 775 patients (74.4%) had sTIL levels below 30%, 266 (25.6%) had 30% or greater, 203 (19.5%) had 50% or greater, and 141 (13.5%) had 75% or greater. Patients with pT1abN0 tumors had a more favorable outcome vs patients with pT1cN0 tumors, with a 10-year BCSS of 92% (95% CI, 89%-94%) vs 86% (95% CI, 82%-89%). In the overall cohort, sTIL levels of at least 30% were associated with better BCSS compared with sTIL levels less than 30% (96% and 87%, respectively; hazard ratio [HR], 0.45; 95% CI, 0.26-0.77). High sTIL levels of 50% or greater were associated with a better outcome than low sTIL levels of less than 50% (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.74) in patients with pT1C tumors, with a 10-year BCSS of 95% increasing to 98% with sTIL levels of 75% or greater.Conclusions and RelevanceResults of this study showed that patients with stage I TNBC and high level of sTILs who did not receive neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy had excellent 10-year BCSS. The findings further support the role of sTILs as integral biomarkers in prospective clinical trials of therapy optimization for this patient population.

LBA507 Background: In monarchE (NCT03155997), 2 years of adjuvant abemaciclib + ET resulted in sustained improvement in invasive disease-free survival (IDFS; HR=0.680, 7.6% absolute benefit at 5 years) in patients (pts) with HR+, HER2-, node-positive, high-risk EBC. Here, we investigate the prognostic value of ctDNA detection and dynamics in pts from monarchE. Methods: Samples were analyzed from a selected pt subset (n=1397; abemaciclib + ET arm, n=685; ET arm, n=712), enriched for overall IDFS events compared to the total monarchE study population (IDFS event rate: 31% [433/1397] vs 18% [992/5637]). Pts had blood collected pre-study treatment (baseline) and at 3, 6, or 24 months. ctDNA detection was performed using the personalized, tumor informed Signatera ctDNA assay (Natera, Inc) and whole exome sequencing (WES) of matched primary tumor and normal required for assay design was performed. Results: Among 1397 pts, 65% (n=910) had sufficient plasma samples and WES performed, and all 910 had successful ctDNA assay testing. Among these 910 pts, the IDFS event rate was 27% (abemaciclib + ET, 23% [101/438]; ET alone, 31% [146/472]). Rates of ctDNA positivity (at baseline and any change from baseline) and associated IDFS events are shown in Table. Among pts with ctDNA positivity, 87% had an IDFS event in comparison to 15% with persistent ctDNA negative (-) status during the study. Conclusions: In a pt subset from monarchE enriched for IDFS events, ctDNA detection was relatively infrequent (<20%); however, its detection at any time during the 24 months of study therapy was adversely prognostic. As compared to pts who had remaining ctDNA positive (+), pts who had clearance of ctDNA on therapy had lower risk of IDFS events, but the event risk still remained clinically meaningful in these pts. Clinical trial information: NCT03155997 . [Table: see text]

Abstract Background Two years of adjuvant abemaciclib + endocrine therapy (ET) resulted in significant and clinically meaningful improvement in invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and distant relapse-free survival (DRFS) in patients (pts) with HR+, HER2-, node-positive, high-risk early breast cancer (EBC) in the monarchE trial (NCT03155997). The benefit of abemaciclib was sustained beyond completion of treatment and deepened in magnitude at 4 years for IDFS and DRFS. This pilot study investigated the technical feasibility of ctDNA detection beginning prior to study treatment, as well as rates of persistence and clearance in a subset of EBC pts from monarchE using the clinically validated SignateraTM ctDNA assay. Methods Samples were analyzed from a selected subset of pts (n=178; 84 from abemaciclib+ET arm; 94 ET alone) who had blood collected both before initiating protocol directed therapy, Visit 1 (V1; randomization + ≤ 3 days) and near completion of the 2-year treatment period, Visit 27 (V27; 24 months +/- 5 days from V1). This cohort of pts was enriched for overall IDFS events compared to the total monarchE study population, however pts with relapses occurring prior to V27 were excluded. Primary tumors from selected pts were subjected to whole exome sequencing (WES). Selected samples included those from pts with a range of tumor mutation burden. Cell-free DNA was extracted from 356 plasma samples. A Signatera ctDNA assay was developed for each pt based on up to 16 variants detected by WES from each baseline tumor sample. Results The IDFS event rate for the selected subset (n=178) was 39.3% (abemaciclib+ET 34.5% [29/84] and ET alone 43.6% [41/94]). Ten pts (5.6%) were initially ctDNA+ and 42 pts (23.6%) were persistently (7 pts, 3.9%) or became (35 pts, 19.7%) ctDNA+ at V27. Notably, 70% of pts who were initially ctDNA+ and 100% of pts who were either persistently ctDNA+ or became ctDNA+ experienced recurrence (see Table 1). In contrast, none of the 3 pts that cleared ctDNA+ developed recurrence. In pts persistently ctDNA negative (neg), 28 (21.1%) experienced recurrence. Overall, 10% (7/70) of pts with IDFS events were initially ctDNA+ and 50% (35/70) had detectable ctDNA at V27. Conclusions Detection of ctDNA soon after completing neoadjuvant chemotherapy was infrequent, but also associated with a high-risk of recurrence. ctDNA positivity was common at the end of the 2-year treatment period and was highly prognostic with all pts subsequently developing disease recurrence. Importantly, ~30% of pts with early ctDNA detection ultimately dropped below detection limits during the 2-year treatment period and none developed recurrence. Although some pts remained persistently ctDNA neg during this study and experienced recurrence, the delay in recurrence may indicate longitudinal benefit from remaining ctDNA neg. Future planned analysis of an expanded cohort reflective of the intent to treat population including additional timepoints within the 2-year treatment period will further define how ctDNA dynamics may identify pts at high-risk of recurrence. Table 1. Summary of Subset Positivity Rates. + positive; - negative; NA, not applicable. Citation Format: Sherene Loi, Stephen Johnston, Carlos Arteaga, Stephanie Graff, Sarat Chandarlapaty, Matthew Goetz, Christine Desmedt, Jorge Reis-Filho, Hironobu Sasano, Vanessa Rodrik-Outmezguine, Anthony Sireci, Cynthia Sandoval Rubenstein, Helen Won, Deli Liu, Lacey M. Litchfield, Nicholas Turner. Results from a pilot study exploring ctDNA detection using a tumor-informed assay in the monarchE trial of adjuvant abemaciclib with endocrine therapy in HR+, HER2-, node-positive, high-risk early breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PS06-01.

Abstract Background Two years of adjuvant abemaciclib combined with endocrine therapy (ET) resulted in significant and clinically meaningful improvement in invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and distant relapse-free survival (DRFS) in patients (pts) with HR+, HER2-, node-positive, high-risk early breast cancer in the monarchE trial (NCT03155997). Abemaciclib benefit was sustained beyond the completion of treatment (tx) with deepening magnitude of absolute benefit in IDFS and DRFS at 5 years. Here, we evaluate comprehensive molecular profiling of archived primary tumor tissue and association with clinical outcomes. Methods For biomarker analysis, a proportionally stratified random sampling case-cohort design was utilized to include all patients who experienced an IDFS event at a pre-specified interim analysis with a median follow up of 54 months. A cohort of 895 pts (189 with IDFS event) in the abemaciclib + ET arm was matched 1:1 with 903 pts (270 with IDFS event) in the ET arm. Baseline primary tumor samples underwent exome-capture RNA sequencing (RNAseq; n=1324, 23% intent-to-treat (ITT) population) and paired tumor-normal (germline blood samples) whole-exome sequencing (WES; n=1234, 22% ITT population). Expression-based intrinsic subtypes (i.e., luminal A (LumA), luminal B (LumB), HER2-enriched (HER2E), basal- and normal-like) were characterized using the Absolute Intrinsic Molecular Subtyping model. The 21-gene expression signature score (Oncotype DX test) was inferred from RNAseq; samples were categorized into lower (0-25) and high (26-100) risk groups. To investigate associations of biomarkers with abemaciclib benefit, WES genomic events including oncogenic and hotspot mutations by OncoKB, and copy number events, of incidence &gt;9% were pre-selected. Results The biomarker subset of monarchE was reflective of the ITT population. A total of 1190 tumors (abemaciclib+ET n= 605; ET alone n=585) yielded adequate RNAseq results. Intrinsic subtype distribution was consistent across tx arms (Table A). Low tumor purity limited assessment of the normal-like subtype. The 4-year IDFS benefit of abemaciclib was consistent across all subtypes. LumA cancers had the lowest risk of recurrence while HER2E and basal-like subtypes had the highest. Inferred 21-gene expression signature score showed similar benefits from abemaciclib in both lower and high-risk groups (Table B). A total of 1173 tumors yielded adequate WES results (abemaciclib+ET n=580; ET alone n=593). Consistent abemaciclib benefit was observed across the most frequently altered genes (Table C). In exploratory analysis, lower benefit from abemaciclib was seen in the subset of focal-high level MYC amplified tumors (n=176, HR 1.30, 95% CI, 0.77, 2.20) compared to MYC non-amplified tumors (n=997, HR 0.62, 95% CI, 0.47, 0.80, nominal interaction p=0.014). The treatment benefit of abemaciclib was observed across all subpopulations of altered genes based on gene expression data. Conclusions Adjuvant abemaciclib+ET maintained IDFS benefit compared to ET alone across all molecular subtypes as measured by RNAseq. Benefit was consistent across most altered genes assessed by WES, except for the subset of tumors with MYC amplification. Additional research is necessary to confirm these findings. Table. Citation Format: Nicholas Turner, Jorge Reis-Filho, Matthew Goetz, Christine Desmedt, Sarat Chandarlapaty, Hironobu Sasano, Carlos Arteaga, Sherene Loi, Stephanie Graff, Deli Liu, Vanessa Rodrik-Outmezguine, Anthony Sireci, Cynthia Sandoval Rubenstein, Helen Won, Lacey M. Litchfield, Maria Munoz, Stephen Johnston. Genomic and transcriptomic profiling of primary tumors from patients with HR+, HER2-, node-positive, high-risk early breast cancer in the monarchE trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr GS03-06.

Importance The association of tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) abundance in breast cancer tissue with cancer recurrence and death in patients with early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) who are not treated with adjuvant or neoadjuvant chemotherapy is unclear. Objective To study the association of TIL abundance in breast cancer tissue with survival among patients with early-stage TNBC who were treated with locoregional therapy but no chemotherapy. Design, Setting, and Participants Retrospective pooled analysis of individual patient-level data from 13 participating centers in North America (Rochester, Minnesota; Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada), Europe (Paris, Lyon, and Villejuif, France; Amsterdam and Rotterdam, the Netherlands; Milan, Padova, and Genova, Italy; Gothenburg, Sweden), and Asia (Tokyo, Japan; Seoul, Korea), including 1966 participants diagnosed with TNBC between 1979 and 2017 (with follow-up until September 27, 2021) who received treatment with surgery with or without radiotherapy but no adjuvant or neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Exposure TIL abundance in breast tissue from resected primary tumors. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was invasive disease-free survival [iDFS]. Secondary outcomes were recurrence-free survival [RFS], survival free of distant recurrence [distant RFS, DRFS], and overall survival. Associations were assessed using a multivariable Cox model stratified by participating center. Results This study included 1966 patients with TNBC (median age, 56 years [IQR, 39-71]; 55% had stage I TNBC). The median TIL level was 15% (IQR, 5%-40%). Four-hundred seventeen (21%) had a TIL level of 50% or more (median age, 41 years [IQR, 36-63]), and 1300 (66%) had a TIL level of less than 30% (median age, 59 years [IQR, 41-72]). Five-year DRFS for stage I TNBC was 94% (95% CI, 91%-96%) for patients with a TIL level of 50% or more, compared with 78% (95% CI, 75%-80%) for those with a TIL level of less than 30%; 5-year overall survival was 95% (95% CI, 92%-97%) for patients with a TIL level of 50% or more, compared with 82% (95% CI, 79%-84%) for those with a TIL level of less than 30%. At a median follow-up of 18 years, and after adjusting for age, tumor size, nodal status, histological grade, and receipt of radiotherapy, each 10% higher TIL increment was associated independently with improved iDFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.92 [0.89-0.94]), RFS (HR, 0.90 [0.87-0.92]), DRFS (HR, 0.87 [0.84-0.90]), and overall survival (0.88 [0.85-0.91]) (likelihood ratio test, P &amp;lt; 10e-6). Conclusions and Relevance In patients with early-stage TNBC who did not undergo adjuvant or neoadjuvant chemotherapy, breast cancer tissue with a higher abundance of TIL levels was associated with significantly better survival. These results suggest that breast tissue TIL abundance is a prognostic factor for patients with early-stage TNBC.

Abstract Recent advances in the field of immuno‐oncology have brought transformative changes in the management of cancer patients. The immune profile of tumours has been found to have key value in predicting disease prognosis and treatment response in various cancers. Multiplex immunohistochemistry and immunofluorescence have emerged as potent tools for the simultaneous detection of multiple protein biomarkers in a single tissue section, thereby expanding opportunities for molecular and immune profiling while preserving tissue samples. By establishing the phenotype of individual tumour cells when distributed within a mixed cell population, the identification of clinically relevant biomarkers with high‐throughput multiplex immunophenotyping of tumour samples has great potential to guide appropriate treatment choices. Moreover, the emergence of novel multi‐marker imaging approaches can now provide unprecedented insights into the tumour microenvironment, including the potential interplay between various cell types. However, there are significant challenges to widespread integration of these technologies in daily research and clinical practice. This review addresses the challenges and potential solutions within a structured framework of action from a regulatory and clinical trial perspective. New developments within the field of immunophenotyping using multiplexed tissue imaging platforms and associated digital pathology are also described, with a specific focus on translational implications across different subtypes of cancer. © 2024 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Abstract Modern histologic imaging platforms coupled with machine learning methods have provided new opportunities to map the spatial distribution of immune cells in the tumor microenvironment. However, there exists no standardized method for describing or analyzing spatial immune cell data, and most reported spatial analyses are rudimentary. In this review, we provide an overview of two approaches for reporting and analyzing spatial data (raster versus vector‐based). We then provide a compendium of spatial immune cell metrics that have been reported in the literature, summarizing prognostic associations in the context of a variety of cancers. We conclude by discussing two well‐described clinical biomarkers, the breast cancer stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes score and the colon cancer Immunoscore, and describe investigative opportunities to improve clinical utility of these spatial biomarkers. © 2023 The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.