Ignatiadis, Michail

Treatment-induced ovarian function loss is a significant concern for many young patients with breast cancer. Accurately predicting this risk is crucial for counselling young patients and informing their fertility-related decision-making. However, current risk prediction models for treatment-related ovarian function loss have limitations. To provide a broader representation of patient cohorts and improve feature selection, we combined retrospective data from six datasets within the FoRECAsT (Infertility after Cancer Predictor) databank, including 2679 pre-menopausal women diagnosed with breast cancer. This combined dataset presented notable missingness, prompting us to employ cross imputation using the k-nearest neighbours (KNN) machine learning (ML) algorithm. Employing Lasso regression, we developed an ML model to forecast the risk of treatment-related amenorrhea as a surrogate marker of ovarian function loss at 12 months after starting chemotherapy. Our model identified 20 variables significantly associated with risk of developing amenorrhea. Internal validation resulted in an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.820 (95% CI: 0.817–0.823), while external validation with another dataset demonstrated an AUC of 0.743 (95% CI: 0.666–0.818). A cutoff of 0.20 was chosen to achieve higher sensitivity in validation, as false negatives—patients incorrectly classified as likely to regain menses—could miss timely opportunities for fertility preservation if desired. At this threshold, internal validation yielded sensitivity and precision rates of 91.3% and 61.7%, respectively, while external validation showed 92.9% and 60.0%. Leveraging ML methodologies, we not only devised a model for personalised risk prediction of amenorrhea, demonstrating substantial enhancements over existing models but also showcased a robust framework for maximally harnessing available data sources.

Abstract Purpose: The aim of PREDICT was to confirm clinical validity and the potential for clinical utility of serial circulating tumor cell (CTC) enumeration in patients with metastatic breast cancer, focusing on its prognostic value in different breast cancer subtypes and clinical settings. Experimental Design: In total, 4,436 individual patient-level data with CTC results from both baseline and one follow-up (CellSearch; Menarini Silicon Biosystems) were analyzed to evaluate the association between CTC detection and overall survival (OS) in the full patient cohort and separately for tumor and treatment types. Results: Using the cutoff ≥1 CTC for CTC positivity, 913 (20.6%) patients had 0 CTCs at both time points (neg/neg) and 325 (7.3%) and 1,189 (26.8%) patients converted from CTC negative to CTC positive (neg/pos) or vice versa (pos/neg), whereas 2,009 (45.3%) patients had at least one CTC at both time points (pos/pos). The median OS for the neg/neg, neg/pos, pos/neg, and pos/pos group was 45.6, 26.1, 32.3, and 17.3 months, respectively (P < 0.0001, global log-rank test). CTC responders (pos/neg) showed a lower risk of death compared with CTC nonresponders (pos/pos; HR, 0.48; 95% confidence interval, 0.44–0.53). Similar results were obtained in subgroup analyses according to hormone receptor and HER2 subtype, treatment type, and with a ≥5 CTC cutoff for CTC positivity. Conclusions: Follow-up CTC assessments strongly predict OS independently from tumor subtype and treatment. New randomized trials to define the clinical utility of CTC monitoring for risk stratification and as an early response marker in metastatic breast cancer are urgently needed.

PURPOSE To investigate the clinical behavior of breast cancer in young BRCA carriers according to the specific BRCA gene ( BRCA1 v BRCA2 ) and the association of the timing of genetic testing (before v at diagnosis) with prognosis. METHODS This was an international, multicenter, hospital-based, retrospective cohort study that included 4,752 patients harboring germline pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants (PVs) in BRCA1 or BRCA2 , who were diagnosed with stage I-III invasive breast cancer at 40 years or younger between January 2000 and December 2020 in 78 centers worldwide (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03673306 ). RESULTS Compared with BRCA2 carriers (n = 1,683), BRCA1 carriers (n = 3,069) had more frequently hormone receptor–negative (74.4% v 15.5%) and high-grade (77.5% v 49.1%) tumors. Similar outcomes were observed in BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers but with a different pattern and risk of disease-free survival events over time. Compared with patients tested for BRCA at diagnosis (ie, between 2 months before and up to 6 months after diagnosis; n = 1,671), those tested before diagnosis (ie, any time up to 2 months before diagnosis; n = 411) had smaller tumors (T1: 61.3% v 32.4%), less nodal involvement (N0: 65.9% v 50.8%), less frequently received chemotherapy (84.4% v 92.9%), and axillary dissection (37.5% v 47.4%). Patients tested before diagnosis had better overall survival (OS; unadjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.61 [95% CI, 0.40 to 0.92]); however, this result lost statistical significance after adjustment for potential confounders including tumor stage (adjusted HR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.47 to 1.15]). CONCLUSION This global study provides evidence on the different clinical behavior of breast cancer in young BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers. Identifying a BRCA PV in healthy individuals was associated with earlier-stage breast cancer diagnosis and lower treatment burden, as well as better unadjusted OS.

ImportanceThe absolute benefit of chemotherapy for all patients with stage I triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is unclear, and biomarkers are not currently available for selecting patients with an excellent outcome for whom neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy may have negligible benefit. High levels of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) are associated with favorable survival in TNBC, but data solely in stage I TNBC are lacking.ObjectiveTo examine the outcomes of patients of all ages with stage I TNBC solely and who received neither neoadjuvant nor adjuvant chemotherapy, according to centrally reviewed sTIL levels at prespecified cutoffs.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis cohort study used the Netherlands Cancer Registry to identify patients diagnosed with stage I TNBC between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2015, who were not treated with chemotherapy. Only patients who did not receive neoadjuvant and/or adjuvant chemotherapy were selected. The clinical data were matched with their corresponding pathology data provided by the Dutch Pathology Registry. Data analysis was performed between February and October 2023.Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary end point was breast cancer–specific survival (BCSS) at 5, 10, and 15 years for the prespecified sTIL level cutoffs of 30%, 50%, and 75%. Hematoxylin and eosin–stained slides were used for central review of histologic subtype, grade, and lymphovascular invasion. The International Immuno-Oncology Biomarker Working Group guidelines were used to score the sTIL levels; these levels were determined for 1041 patients.ResultsOf a total of 4511 females with stage I TNBC, patients who were not treated with chemotherapy were selected and tissue blocks requested; sTILs were scored in 1041 patients (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 64.4 [11.1] years, median follow-up 11.4 [95% CI, 10.9-11.9] years) who were included in the analyses.. Most tumors (952 [91.5%]) were invasive carcinomas of nonspecial histologic subtype. Most patients (548 [52.6%]) had pT1cN0 tumors. Median (range) sTIL level was 5% (1%-99%). A total of 775 patients (74.4%) had sTIL levels below 30%, 266 (25.6%) had 30% or greater, 203 (19.5%) had 50% or greater, and 141 (13.5%) had 75% or greater. Patients with pT1abN0 tumors had a more favorable outcome vs patients with pT1cN0 tumors, with a 10-year BCSS of 92% (95% CI, 89%-94%) vs 86% (95% CI, 82%-89%). In the overall cohort, sTIL levels of at least 30% were associated with better BCSS compared with sTIL levels less than 30% (96% and 87%, respectively; hazard ratio [HR], 0.45; 95% CI, 0.26-0.77). High sTIL levels of 50% or greater were associated with a better outcome than low sTIL levels of less than 50% (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.74) in patients with pT1C tumors, with a 10-year BCSS of 95% increasing to 98% with sTIL levels of 75% or greater.Conclusions and RelevanceResults of this study showed that patients with stage I TNBC and high level of sTILs who did not receive neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy had excellent 10-year BCSS. The findings further support the role of sTILs as integral biomarkers in prospective clinical trials of therapy optimization for this patient population.

Abstract Background: Oncofertility counseling in BRCA carriers has unique challenges due to a possible negative impact of germline pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants (PVs) on reproductive potential and the indication to undergo risk-reducing bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy. While previous studies demonstrated the safety of pregnancy in women with prior breast cancer (BC) history, limited evidence exists in BRCA carriers specifically. We report the results of the largest study to date investigating likelihood of pregnancy after BC, reproductive and disease outcomes specifically in BRCA carriers. Methods: This was an international, multicenter, hospital-based, retrospective cohort study including young BRCA carriers with history of BC (NCT03673306). Eligible patients were women harboring germline PVs in BRCA1 and/or BRCA2 and diagnosed with stage I-III invasive BC at the age of ≤ 40 years between January 2000 and December 2020. BRCA healthy carriers or patients with BRCA variants of unknown significance, non-invasive BC, lack of follow-up, prior ovarian cancer or other malignancies without history of BC were excluded. Primary endpoints were pregnancy rate and disease-free survival (DFS). Overall survival (OS), BC specific survival (BCSS), pregnancy, fetal and obstetric outcomes were secondary endpoints. To mitigate the impact of guaranteed time bias, two survival analyses were performed: 1) Extended Cox model with occurrence of pregnancy as a time-varying covariate; 2) Case-control analysis by matching 1:3 patients with and without a pregnancy for type of BRCA PV, hormone receptor status, nodal status and year at diagnosis; moreover, each control had to have a disease-free interval longer than the time occurring between BC diagnosis and conception of the matched case. Results: From 78 centers worldwide, 4,732 patients were included, of whom 659 had at least one pregnancy after BC (pregnancy cohort) and 4,073 did not (non-pregnancy cohort). Patients in the pregnancy cohort were significantly more likely to carry BRCA1 PVs, to be younger at BC diagnosis, to have node-negative and hormone receptor-negative (HR-) BC (all p< 0.01). Pregnancy rate at 10 years was 22% (95% CI 21%-24%) overall, 18% (95% CI 16%-21%) and 26% (95% CI 24%-26%) in patients with HR+ and HR- BC, respectively (p< 0.01). Median time from BC diagnosis to conception was 3.5 years (IQR 2.2-5.3 years), significantly longer in patients with HR+ than HR- BC (4.3 vs 3.2 years, p< 0.01). Among 659 patients with a pregnancy after BC, 45 (6.8%) and 63 (9.6%) experienced an induced abortion or a miscarriage, respectively. Of the 517 (78.5%) patients with completed pregnancy, 54 (10.4%) had twins and 406 (78.5%) delivered at term (delivery ≥37 weeks). Among the 571 babies born, 5 (0.9%) had congenital anomalies. Median follow-up was 7.8 years (IQR, 4.5-12.6 years). No significant difference in DFS was observed between the pregnancy and non-pregnancy cohorts (unadjusted HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.82-1.15, p=0.74; adjusted HR [aHR] 0.99, 95% CI 0.81-1.20, p=0.90). Patients in the pregnancy cohort showed significantly better BCSS (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.38-0.74, p< 0.01; aHR 0.59, 95% CI 0.41-0.86, p< 0.01) and OS (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.38-0.72, p< 0.01; aHR 0.58, 95% CI 0.40-0.85, p< 0.01). Similar results were obtained in the case-control analysis. Subgroup analyses of survival endpoints according to patient, tumor and treatment characteristics will be presented at the conference. Conclusions: In this global study, 1 out of 5 young BRCA carriers conceived within 10 years after a BC diagnosis, higher than rates previously reported in unselected young BC populations. Pregnancy following BC in BRCA carriers did not appear to adversely impact maternal prognosis or fetal outcomes. These findings should be incorporated into oncofertility counseling of young BRCA carriers with BC. Citation Format: Matteo Lambertini, Eva Blondeaux, Elisa Agostinetto, Anne-Sophie Hamy-Petit, Hee Jeong Kim, Camila Chiodi, Rinat Bernstein-Molho, Florentine Hilbers, Katarzyna Pogoda, Estela Carrasco Lopez, Kevin Punie, Jyoti Bajpai, Michail Ignatiadis, Halle Moore, Kelly-Anne Phillips, Angela Toss, Christine Rousset-Jablonski, Fedro Alessandro Peccatori, Tiphaine Renaud, Alberta Ferrari, Shani Paluch-Shimon, Robert Fruscio, Wanda Cui, Stephanie Wong, Claudio Vernieri, Kathryn Ruddy, Maria Vittoria Dieci, Alexios Matikas, Mariya Rozenblit, Cynthia Villareal Garza, Laura De Marchis, Lucia Del Mastro, Fabio Puglisi, Maria Del Pilar Estevez-Diz, Kenny A. Rodriguez-Wallberg, Bela Mrinakova, Sarah Meister, Luca Livraghi, Florian Clatot, Rinat Yerushalmi, Carmine De Angelis, Rodrigo Sánchez-Bayona, Icro Meattini, Natalia Cichowska-Cwalińska, Martine Berlière, Mahmoud Salama, Ugo De Giorgi, Amir Sonnenblick, Hatem Azim, Ann Partridge. Pregnancy after breast cancer in young women with germline BRCA pathogenic variants: results from an international cohort study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr GS02-13.

ImportanceYoung women with breast cancer who have germline pathogenic variants in BRCA1 or BRCA2 face unique challenges regarding fertility. Previous studies demonstrating the feasibility and safety of pregnancy in breast cancer survivors included limited data regarding BRCA carriers.ObjectiveTo investigate cumulative incidence of pregnancy and disease-free survival in young women who are BRCA carriers.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsInternational, multicenter, hospital-based, retrospective cohort study conducted at 78 participating centers worldwide. The study included female participants diagnosed with invasive breast cancer at age 40 years or younger between January 2000 and December 2020 carrying germline pathogenic variants in BRCA1 and/or BRCA2. Last delivery was October 7, 2022; last follow-up was February 20, 2023.ExposurePregnancy after breast cancer.Main Outcomes and MeasuresPrimary end points were cumulative incidence of pregnancy after breast cancer and disease-free survival. Secondary end points were breast cancer–specific survival, overall survival, pregnancy, and fetal and obstetric outcomes.ResultsOf 4732 BRCA carriers included, 659 had at least 1 pregnancy after breast cancer and 4073 did not. Median age at diagnosis in the overall cohort was 35 years (IQR, 31-38 years). Cumulative incidence of pregnancy at 10 years was 22% (95% CI, 21%-24%), with a median time from breast cancer diagnosis to conception of 3.5 years (IQR, 2.2-5.3 years). Among the 659 patients who had a pregnancy, 45 (6.9%) and 63 (9.7%) had an induced abortion or a miscarriage, respectively. Of the 517 patients (79.7%) with a completed pregnancy, 406 (91.0%) delivered at term (≥37 weeks) and 54 (10.4%) had twins. Among the 470 infants born with known information on pregnancy complications, 4 (0.9%) had documented congenital anomalies. Median follow-up was 7.8 years (IQR, 4.5-12.6 years). No significant difference in disease-free survival was observed between patients with or without a pregnancy after breast cancer (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.81-1.20). Patients who had a pregnancy had significantly better breast cancer–specific survival and overall survival.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this global study, 1 in 5 young BRCA carriers conceived within 10 years after breast cancer diagnosis. Pregnancy following breast cancer in BRCA carriers was not associated with decreased disease-free survival.Trial RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03673306

Abstract Background: Several studies suggest clinical utility of serial circulating tumor cell (CTC) enumeration as a means of assessing response status in metastatic breast cancer (MBC). The aim of this study is to conduct a comprehensive pooled analysis comprising globally available data to further define and explore the role of CTC enumeration as a tool for early treatment monitoring in patients with MBC with a focus on the predictive power in different breast cancer subtypes and clinical settings. Methods: In a global effort, peer-reviewed published studies with data on repeated CTC assessments (CellSearch® technology; Menarini Silicon Biosystems; Bologna, Italy) in MBC patients were screened and investigators were asked to provide individual patient data for this pooled analysis. 2761 cases from 32 data sets with data on both baseline and one follow up CTC assessments were included in the analysis (median time interval between the two CTC assessments 35 days). Data were analyzed using log rank tests and Cox regressions to evaluate the association between serial CTC enumeration results and overall survival (OS) in the full patient cohort and defined subgroups. Results: 588 (21.3%) patients had no CTCs at both time points (neg/neg), 236 (8.5%) patients were CTC negative at baseline and CTC positive at follow up (neg/pos), 712 (25.8%) patients converted from CTC positive at baseline to CTC negative (pos/neg), and 1225 (44.4%) patients had at least one CTC at both time points (pos/pos). Log rank tests showed significant differences in OS between these four CTC change groups (p < 0.0001 for all pairwise comparisons except for the comparison between neg/pos and pos/neg, p = 0.015). Median OS for the neg/neg, neg/pos, pos/neg and pos/pos group was 45.6, 26.1, 34.6, and 17.6 months, respectively. Hazard ratios (HR) (reference group neg/neg) were 1.38 (95% CI 1.16 - 1.64) for the pos/neg group, 1.78 (95% CI 1.43 - 2.22) for the neg/pos group, and 3.06 (95% CI 2.63 - 3.56) for the pos/pos group. Results were similar if a cutoff of 5 CTCs was used for CTC positivity (pos/neg group: HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.25 - 1.63; neg/pos group: HR 2.39, 95% CI 1.91 - 2.99; pos/pos group: HR 3.54, 95% CI 3.12 - 4.02). In total, 2586 patients could be assigned to different tumor subtypes based on known hormone receptor (ER) and HER2 status of the primary tumor: 1513 (58.5%) patients had a luminal-like tumor (ER positive, HER2 negative), 682 (26.4%) patients had a HER2-positive tumor, and 391 (15.1%) patients had a triple-negative tumor. In patients with luminal-like tumors, the hazard ratios were 1.67 (95% CI 1.29 - 2.17), 2.01 (95% CI 1.45 - 2.77), and 3.87 (95% CI 3.09 - 4.83) for the pos/neg, neg/pos, and pos/pos group, respectively. In patients with HER2-positive tumors, the neg/pos group (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.12 - 2.53) and the pos/pos group (HR 2.11, 95% CI 1.58 - 2.83) showed significantly worse OS compared to the neg/neg group, while in triple-negative patients, the pos/pos group had a significantly shorter OS compared to the neg/neg group (HR 2.99, 95% CI 2.11 - 4.24). The results will be up-dated by inclusion of additional large data sets (CALGB 40502, CALGB 40503, COMET, SWOG S0500, TBCRC 001) for the analysis to be presented at SABCS 2020. Conclusion: This large pooled analysis confirms that at a median of 35 days after treatment initiation, follow-up CTC assessments strongly predict overall survival. These results suggest potential clinical utility of CTC monitoring as early response marker in MBC, especially in luminal-like tumors. Citation Format: Wolfgang J Janni, Tracy C. Yab, Daniel F. Hayes, Massimo Cristofanilli, Francois-Clement Bidard, Michail Ignatiadis, Meredith M. Regan, Catherine Alix-Panabières, William E. Barlow, Carlos Caldas, Lisa A. Carey, Luc Dirix, Tanja Fehm, Jose A. Garcia-Saenz, Paola Gazzaniga, Daniele Generali, Lorenzo Gerratana, Rafael Gisbert-Criado, William Jacot, Zefei Jiang, Evi Lianidou, Mark J.M. Magbanua, Luis Manso, Dimitrios Mavroudis, Volkmar Müller, Elisabetta Munzone, Klaus Pantel, Jean-Yves Pierga, Brigitte Rack, Sabine Riethdorf, Hope S. Rugo, Kostandinos Sideras, Stefan Sleijfer, Jeffrey Smerage, Justin Stebbing, Leon W.M.M. Terstappen, José Vidal-Martínez, Rita Zamarchi, Karthik Giridhar, Thomas W.P. Friedl, Minetta C. Liu. Clinical utility of repeated circulating tumor cell (CTC) enumeration as early treatment monitoring tool in metastatic breast cancer (MBC) - a global pooled analysis with individual patient data [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2020 San Antonio Breast Cancer Virtual Symposium; 2020 Dec 8-11; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS4-08.

Background Limited data exist on the safety of using anti–human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) targeted agents during pregnancy. To date, only retrospective studies have assessed the prognosis of patients with a pregnancy after prior early breast cancer, with no data in HER2‐positive patients. Methods The Neoadjuvant Lapatinib and/or Trastuzumab Treatment Optimization (NeoALTTO) trial and the Adjuvant Lapatinib and/or Trastuzumab Treatment Optimization (ALTTO) trial were randomized phase 3 trials for patients with HER2‐positive early breast cancer. In both trials, pregnancy information was prospectively collected. Pregnancy outcomes were compared between patients unintentionally exposed to trastuzumab and/or lapatinib during gestation (the exposed group) and those who became pregnant after trastuzumab and/or lapatinib completion (the unexposed group). In the ALTTO trial, disease‐free survival (DFS) was compared between pregnant patients and those aged 40 years or younger without a subsequent pregnancy via an extended Cox model with time‐varying covariates to account for a guarantee‐time bias. Results Ninety‐two patients (12 in the exposed group and 80 in the unexposed group) had a pregnancy: 7 in the NeoALTTO trial and 85 in the ALTTO trial. Seven patients (58.3%) in the exposed group and 10 patients (12.5%) in the unexposed group opted for an induced abortion; in the unexposed group, 10 patients (12.5%) had a spontaneous abortion. No pregnancy/delivery complications were reported for the remaining cases, who successfully completed their pregnancy, with the exception of 1 fetus with trisomy 21 (Down syndrome). No significant difference in DFS (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.12; 95% confidence interval, 0.52‐2.42) was observed between young patients with a pregnancy (n = 85) and young patients without a pregnancy (n = 1307). Conclusions For patients with HER2‐positive early breast cancer, having a pregnancy after treatment completion appears to be safe without compromising fetal outcome or maternal prognosis.