Pantel, Klaus

BACKGROUND Predictive biomarkers to guide chemotherapy decisions for metastatic castration–resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) are lacking. Preclinical studies indicate that circulating tumor cell (CTC) studies of chromosomal instability (CTC-CIN) can predict taxane resistance. METHODS The CARD trial randomized individuals with mCRPC progressing within a year of treatment with an androgen receptor pathway inhibitor (ARPI; enzalutamide or abiraterone acetate plus prednisolone/prednisone) to cabazitaxel or the alternative ARPI. As a preplanned biomarker analysis, CTCs were isolated from blood samples obtained at baseline, cycle 2, and the end of treatment. Associations between baseline CTC and CTC-CIN counts with imaging-based progression-free survival (ibPFS), overall survival (OS), time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression, RECIST 1.1 objective response rate (ORR), and PSA 50 response rate were assessed. RESULTS High baseline CTC-CIN counts significantly associated with worse OS after adjustment for confounding variables (median OS, 15.3 vs. 8.9 months; univariate HR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.52–3.06; P < 0.001; multivariate HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.01–2.43; P = 0.047). Detectable CTC-CIN counts at baseline may predict a lack of ibPFS and OS benefit when comparing cabazitaxel with ARPI. CONCLUSION This preplanned analysis of biomarker data from the CARD trial confirms that CTC-CIN counts are a clinically useful prognostic and predictive biomarker of taxane resistance in mCRPC. Detectable CTC-CIN at baseline defines a patient subpopulation with unmet clinical needs in which alternative therapeutics should be tested. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT02485691. FUNDING Funded by Sanofi and Epic Sciences.

Abstract Background: Chromosomal instability (CIN) is frequent in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) and determines taxane resistance. A circulating tumor cell (CTC) assay which morphologically identifies CTCs with CIN (CTC-CIN) from a single tube of whole blood could predict clinical outcomes in this population. We tested this hypothesis as a pre-planned, secondary outcome of the CARD trial, where patients with mCRPC progressing within a year of treatment with an androgen receptor pathway inhibitor (ARPI; enzalutamide or abiraterone acetate + prednisolone/prednisone) were randomized to treatment with cabazitaxel or the alternative ARPI. Methods: CTCs were isolated from blood samples obtained at baseline; cycle two, and end of treatment. The associations of baseline CTC and counts with imaging-based progression free survival (ibPFS), overall survival (OS), time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression, RECIST 1.1 objective response rate (ORR), and PSA50 response rate (PRR) were assessed. Results: Of 255 patients randomized, CTC counts were acquired from 237 patients at screening, 213 patients at C2D1, and 166 patients at EOT. High baseline CTC counts were significantly associated with worse OS (median OS, 14.9 vs 9.8 months; univariate HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.30 - 2.51; p &lt; 0.001). High baseline CTC-CIN counts were significantly associated with worse OS after adjustment for confounding variables (median OS, 15.3 vs 8.9 months; univariate HR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.52 - 3.06; p &lt; 0.001; multivariate HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.01 - 2.43; p = 0.047). Low CTC-CIN at baseline predicted ibPFS, ORR, and PRR benefit with cabazitaxel; conversely, high at baseline predicted no different ibPFS or OS outcomes with cabazitaxel or a second ARPI. Conclusions: This preplanned biomarker analysis of CARD confirmed that CTC-CIN counts are prognostic for OS and may be predictive of cabazitaxel benefit. (Funded by Sanofi and Epic Sciences; CARD ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02485691.) Citation Format: Ossian Longoria, Jan Rekowski, Santosh Gupta, Nick Beije, Klaus Pantel, Eleni Efstathiou, Cora Sternberg, Daniel Castellano, Karim Fizazi, Bertrand Tombal, Adam Sharp, Oliver Sartor, Sandrine Mace, Christine Geffriaud-Ricouard, Richard Wenstrup, Ronald de Wit, Johann de Bono. Morphological evaluation of chromosomal instability in circulating tumor cells and prediction of taxane resistance in metastatic prostate cancer: a prespecified sub-analysis of the CARD trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 1145

Abstract Purpose: The aim of PREDICT was to confirm clinical validity and the potential for clinical utility of serial circulating tumor cell (CTC) enumeration in patients with metastatic breast cancer, focusing on its prognostic value in different breast cancer subtypes and clinical settings. Experimental Design: In total, 4,436 individual patient-level data with CTC results from both baseline and one follow-up (CellSearch; Menarini Silicon Biosystems) were analyzed to evaluate the association between CTC detection and overall survival (OS) in the full patient cohort and separately for tumor and treatment types. Results: Using the cutoff ≥1 CTC for CTC positivity, 913 (20.6%) patients had 0 CTCs at both time points (neg/neg) and 325 (7.3%) and 1,189 (26.8%) patients converted from CTC negative to CTC positive (neg/pos) or vice versa (pos/neg), whereas 2,009 (45.3%) patients had at least one CTC at both time points (pos/pos). The median OS for the neg/neg, neg/pos, pos/neg, and pos/pos group was 45.6, 26.1, 32.3, and 17.3 months, respectively (P &lt; 0.0001, global log-rank test). CTC responders (pos/neg) showed a lower risk of death compared with CTC nonresponders (pos/pos; HR, 0.48; 95% confidence interval, 0.44–0.53). Similar results were obtained in subgroup analyses according to hormone receptor and HER2 subtype, treatment type, and with a ≥5 CTC cutoff for CTC positivity. Conclusions: Follow-up CTC assessments strongly predict OS independently from tumor subtype and treatment. New randomized trials to define the clinical utility of CTC monitoring for risk stratification and as an early response marker in metastatic breast cancer are urgently needed.

Abstract Background: Several studies suggest clinical utility of serial circulating tumor cell (CTC) enumeration as a means of assessing response status in metastatic breast cancer (MBC). The aim of this study is to conduct a comprehensive pooled analysis comprising globally available data to further define and explore the role of CTC enumeration as a tool for early treatment monitoring in patients with MBC with a focus on the predictive power in different breast cancer subtypes and clinical settings. Methods: In a global effort, peer-reviewed published studies with data on repeated CTC assessments (CellSearch® technology; Menarini Silicon Biosystems; Bologna, Italy) in MBC patients were screened and investigators were asked to provide individual patient data for this pooled analysis. 2761 cases from 32 data sets with data on both baseline and one follow up CTC assessments were included in the analysis (median time interval between the two CTC assessments 35 days). Data were analyzed using log rank tests and Cox regressions to evaluate the association between serial CTC enumeration results and overall survival (OS) in the full patient cohort and defined subgroups. Results: 588 (21.3%) patients had no CTCs at both time points (neg/neg), 236 (8.5%) patients were CTC negative at baseline and CTC positive at follow up (neg/pos), 712 (25.8%) patients converted from CTC positive at baseline to CTC negative (pos/neg), and 1225 (44.4%) patients had at least one CTC at both time points (pos/pos). Log rank tests showed significant differences in OS between these four CTC change groups (p &lt; 0.0001 for all pairwise comparisons except for the comparison between neg/pos and pos/neg, p = 0.015). Median OS for the neg/neg, neg/pos, pos/neg and pos/pos group was 45.6, 26.1, 34.6, and 17.6 months, respectively. Hazard ratios (HR) (reference group neg/neg) were 1.38 (95% CI 1.16 - 1.64) for the pos/neg group, 1.78 (95% CI 1.43 - 2.22) for the neg/pos group, and 3.06 (95% CI 2.63 - 3.56) for the pos/pos group. Results were similar if a cutoff of 5 CTCs was used for CTC positivity (pos/neg group: HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.25 - 1.63; neg/pos group: HR 2.39, 95% CI 1.91 - 2.99; pos/pos group: HR 3.54, 95% CI 3.12 - 4.02). In total, 2586 patients could be assigned to different tumor subtypes based on known hormone receptor (ER) and HER2 status of the primary tumor: 1513 (58.5%) patients had a luminal-like tumor (ER positive, HER2 negative), 682 (26.4%) patients had a HER2-positive tumor, and 391 (15.1%) patients had a triple-negative tumor. In patients with luminal-like tumors, the hazard ratios were 1.67 (95% CI 1.29 - 2.17), 2.01 (95% CI 1.45 - 2.77), and 3.87 (95% CI 3.09 - 4.83) for the pos/neg, neg/pos, and pos/pos group, respectively. In patients with HER2-positive tumors, the neg/pos group (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.12 - 2.53) and the pos/pos group (HR 2.11, 95% CI 1.58 - 2.83) showed significantly worse OS compared to the neg/neg group, while in triple-negative patients, the pos/pos group had a significantly shorter OS compared to the neg/neg group (HR 2.99, 95% CI 2.11 - 4.24). The results will be up-dated by inclusion of additional large data sets (CALGB 40502, CALGB 40503, COMET, SWOG S0500, TBCRC 001) for the analysis to be presented at SABCS 2020. Conclusion: This large pooled analysis confirms that at a median of 35 days after treatment initiation, follow-up CTC assessments strongly predict overall survival. These results suggest potential clinical utility of CTC monitoring as early response marker in MBC, especially in luminal-like tumors. Citation Format: Wolfgang J Janni, Tracy C. Yab, Daniel F. Hayes, Massimo Cristofanilli, Francois-Clement Bidard, Michail Ignatiadis, Meredith M. Regan, Catherine Alix-Panabières, William E. Barlow, Carlos Caldas, Lisa A. Carey, Luc Dirix, Tanja Fehm, Jose A. Garcia-Saenz, Paola Gazzaniga, Daniele Generali, Lorenzo Gerratana, Rafael Gisbert-Criado, William Jacot, Zefei Jiang, Evi Lianidou, Mark J.M. Magbanua, Luis Manso, Dimitrios Mavroudis, Volkmar Müller, Elisabetta Munzone, Klaus Pantel, Jean-Yves Pierga, Brigitte Rack, Sabine Riethdorf, Hope S. Rugo, Kostandinos Sideras, Stefan Sleijfer, Jeffrey Smerage, Justin Stebbing, Leon W.M.M. Terstappen, José Vidal-Martínez, Rita Zamarchi, Karthik Giridhar, Thomas W.P. Friedl, Minetta C. Liu. Clinical utility of repeated circulating tumor cell (CTC) enumeration as early treatment monitoring tool in metastatic breast cancer (MBC) - a global pooled analysis with individual patient data [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2020 San Antonio Breast Cancer Virtual Symposium; 2020 Dec 8-11; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS4-08.

Abstract Background: Preliminary results from the Success and Remagus trials showed that CTC detection by CellSearch® has adverse prognostic value in non-metastatic breast cancer. Moreover, several investigators have characterized HER2 expression on CTCs in early breast cancer. Since the majority of CTC-positive women with non-metastatic breast cancer have only 1 CTC detected / blood volume analyzed, we wanted to evaluate the inter-reader variability in this setting. This is a crucial step before moving forward with multi-lab/multi-center prospective testing of the clinical utility of the CellSearch® technology in non-metastatic breast cancer. Methods: Five galleries of CellSearch® images from 3 European and one US institution (a total of 307 images) were mailed to 22 independent readers from 14 European and US academic laboratories and 8 readers from two CellSearch® Veridex laboratories in a blinded fashion. These images came mainly from studies on CTC and/or HER2−positive CTC detection in breast cancer and included healthy women (negative controls), women with metastatic (positive controls) and non-metastatic disease (Pierga et al SABCS 2010, Pierga et al ASCO 2011, Riedthorf et al CCR 2010, Ignatiadis et al PLoS ONE 2011). Each reader reported the images as either CTC-negative or CTC-positive/HER2−negative or CTC-positive/HER2−positive. Kappa statistics were used to assess inter-reader agreement. The 8 Veridex readers were summarized by a majority voting system to derive a gold standard in order to compare each independent reader using discordance rates. Results: Kappa statistics showed moderate to good agreement between independent readers depending on the gallery evaluated (gallery 1 K: 0.55, gallery 2 K:0.57 gallery 3 K:0.64, gallery 4 K:0.72, gallery 5 K:0.85). These differences were attributed to differences in scoring difficulty of each gallery. Discordances in CTC-positive vs CTC-negative events between each reader and the gold standard ranged from 2.3%-31.3% with 7 readers showing discordance rates &lt;5%, 11 readers between 5–10%, 10 readers between 10–14% and only 2 readers showing discordance rates &gt;14% as compared to the gold standard (median discordance rate: 9.3%). Image analysis showed that investigators with high discordance rates compared to the Veridex gold standard were not always taking into account “morphological characteristics” for defining an event as CTC-positive. Discordant results between readers were mainly due to discordance in CTC definition and to a lesser extent in the definition of HER2−positivity. Indeed, discordances in assigning a CTC-positive event as either HER2−negative or HER2−positive ranged from 0.3−13.7% with 19 readers showing discordance rates &lt;5%, 7 readers between 5–10% and 4 readers with discordance rates &gt;10% (median discordance rate: 3.9%). Conclusion: In non-metastatic breast cancer, we observed low discordance between most independent readers and the gold standard for defining a CellSearch® event as CTC with very few readers showing high discordance rates. Concordance can be improved through appropriate training and the use of all the tools provided by the CellSearch® system for image interpretation. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2011;71(24 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-07-14.