Saunders, Christobel

Treatment-induced ovarian function loss is a significant concern for many young patients with breast cancer. Accurately predicting this risk is crucial for counselling young patients and informing their fertility-related decision-making. However, current risk prediction models for treatment-related ovarian function loss have limitations. To provide a broader representation of patient cohorts and improve feature selection, we combined retrospective data from six datasets within the FoRECAsT (Infertility after Cancer Predictor) databank, including 2679 pre-menopausal women diagnosed with breast cancer. This combined dataset presented notable missingness, prompting us to employ cross imputation using the k-nearest neighbours (KNN) machine learning (ML) algorithm. Employing Lasso regression, we developed an ML model to forecast the risk of treatment-related amenorrhea as a surrogate marker of ovarian function loss at 12 months after starting chemotherapy. Our model identified 20 variables significantly associated with risk of developing amenorrhea. Internal validation resulted in an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.820 (95% CI: 0.817–0.823), while external validation with another dataset demonstrated an AUC of 0.743 (95% CI: 0.666–0.818). A cutoff of 0.20 was chosen to achieve higher sensitivity in validation, as false negatives—patients incorrectly classified as likely to regain menses—could miss timely opportunities for fertility preservation if desired. At this threshold, internal validation yielded sensitivity and precision rates of 91.3% and 61.7%, respectively, while external validation showed 92.9% and 60.0%. Leveraging ML methodologies, we not only devised a model for personalised risk prediction of amenorrhea, demonstrating substantial enhancements over existing models but also showcased a robust framework for maximally harnessing available data sources.

PURPOSE We investigated time to pregnancy, efficacy and safety of fertility preservation, and assisted reproductive technologies (ARTs) in women with early hormone receptor–positive breast cancer (BC) desiring future pregnancy. PATIENTS AND METHODS POSITIVE is an international, single-arm, prospective trial, in which 518 women temporarily interrupted adjuvant endocrine therapy to attempt pregnancy. We evaluated menstruation recovery and factors associated with time to pregnancy and investigated if ART use was associated with achieving pregnancy. The cumulative incidence of BC-free interval (BCFI) events was estimated according to the use of ovarian stimulation at diagnosis. The median follow-up was 41 months. RESULTS Two hundred seventy-three patients (53%) reported amenorrhea at enrollment, of whom 94% resumed menses within 12 months. Among 497 patients evaluable for pregnancy, 368 (74%) reported at least one pregnancy. Young age was the main factor associated with shorter time to pregnancy with cumulative incidences of pregnancy by 1 year of 63.5%, 54.3%, and 37.7% for patients age <35, 35-39, and 40-42 years, respectively. One hundred and seventy-nine patients (36%) had embryo/oocyte cryopreservation at diagnosis, of whom 68 reported embryo transfer after enrollment. Cryopreserved embryo transfer was the only ART associated with higher chance of pregnancy (odds ratio, 2.41 [95% CI, 1.75 to 4.95]). The cumulative incidence of BCFI events at 3 years was similar for women who underwent ovarian stimulation for cryopreservation at diagnosis, 9.7% (95% CI, 6.0 to 15.4), compared with those who did not, 8.7% (95% CI, 6.0 to 12.5). CONCLUSION In POSITIVE, fertility preservation using ovarian stimulation was not associated with short-term detrimental impact on cancer prognosis. Pregnancy rates were highest among those who underwent embryo/oocyte cryopreservation followed by embryo transfer.

Abstract Background: The POSITIVE trial recently demonstrated that temporary interruption of ET to attempt pregnancy does not increase the short-term risk of recurrence in pts with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) BC. Yet, uncertainty exists regarding the safety of ovarian stimulation for embryo/oocyte cryopreservation to preserve fertility in these pts. In addition, very limited data exist regarding safety and efficiency of ART to achieve pregnancy after ET interruption. Methods: POSITIVE is an international, single-arm, prospective trial that enrolled pts ≤ 42 years with stage I-III HR+ BC who had already received 18-30 months of ET prior to enrollment. The use of ART was a predefined 2ry endpoint. We evaluated factors associated with time to pregnancy in a Fine and Gray competing risks model, which included chemotherapy (chemo) ± GnRH analogue (GnRHa), age, prior ET, prior birth, and menstrual status at enrollment. The cumulative incidence of pregnancy at 12 months from enrollment by age was estimated controlling for competing risks. We performed a logistic regression model to evaluate whether ART use was associated with achieving pregnancy, adjusting for age, receipt of chemo ± GnRHa. The cumulative incidence of BCFI events was estimated according to whether or not ovarian stimulation for cryopreservation was performed at diagnosis and prior to enrollment. BC-free interval (BCFI) was defined as the time from enrollment until the first BC event (invasive local, regional, or distant recurrence or contralateral disease). A 24-month landmark analysis was performed to investigate the safety of ART use after enrollment. Median follow-up was 41 months. Results: 497 out of 516 included pts (96%) were followed for at least 6 months and were evaluable for pregnancy status. 368 out of 497 evaluable pts (74%) reported at least one pregnancy. In a multivariable model, young age was the only factor associated with shorter time to pregnancy. The cumulative incidence of pregnancy at 12 months was 64%, 54% and 38% for pts aged &lt; 35, 35-39 and 40-42 years, respectively. 179 pts (36.0%) had undergone ovarian stimulation for embryo/oocyte cryopreservation at diagnosis and prior to enrollment, of whom 68 (37.9%) reported cryopreserved embryo transfer after enrollment. 215 pts (43.3%) reported using any ART after enrollment, of whom 80 (37.2%) underwent ovarian stimulation for in-vitro fertilization (FIVET) or intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI). Other ART used included clomiphene (n=19), intrauterine insemination (n=37) and egg donation (n=17). Pregnancy rates were 82.4% and 67.5% for women who underwent cryopreserved embryo transfer and FIVET/ICSI, respectively. In a multivariate model, cryopreserved embryo transfer was the only ART independently associated with a higher chance of pregnancy (OR:2.41, 95% CI: 1.75-4.95). The cumulative incidence of BCFI events at 3 years was similar for women who underwent ovarian stimulation for cryopreservation at diagnosis and before enrollment, 9.7% (95% CI: 6.0-15.4%), and those who did not, 8.7% (95% CI: 6.0-12.5%). A 24-month landmark analysis showed no impact of ovarian stimulation for FIVET/ICSI after enrollment on BCFI. Conclusions: This is the largest prospective study to investigate fertility preservation and ART in pts with HR+ BC. Young age was the main factor associated with shorter time to pregnancy. Embryo/oocyte cryopreservation at BC diagnosis followed by embryo transfer after ET interruption was the only approach associated with an increased chance of pregnancy. Ovarian stimulation either at BC diagnosis for embryo/oocyte cryopreservation or after enrollment to POSITIVE for FIVET/ICSI did not appear to impact prognosis in the short term. These data are of paramount importance for oncofertility counselling of young BC pts. Citation Format: Hatem Azim, Samuel Niman, Ann Partridge, Isabelle Demeestere, Monica Ruggeri, Marco Colleoni, Cristina Saura, Chikako Shimizu, Anna Saetersdal, Judith Kroep, Audrey Mailliez, Ellen Warner, Virginia Borges, Frédéric Amant, Andrea Gombos, Akemi Kataoka, Christine Rousset-Jablonski, Simona Borstnar, Junko Takei, Jeong Eon Lee, Janice Walshe, Manuel Ruíz - Borrego, Halle Moore, Christobel Saunders, Vesna Bjelic-Radisic, Snezana Susnjar, Fatima Cardoso, Natalie Klar, Tanya Spanic, Kathryn Ruddy, Martine Piccart, Larissa Korde, Aron Goldhirsch, Richard Gelber, Olivia Pagani, Fedro Alessandro Peccatori. Fertility preservation and assisted reproductive technologies (ART) in breast cancer (BC) patients (pts) interrupting endocrine therapy (ET) to attempt pregnancy [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr GS02-11.

Abstract Background: Pregnancy after breast cancer (BC) is of substantial importance for many young women at diagnosis and during follow-up. BC treatment including standard endocrine therapy (ET) (5-10 years) may reduce ovarian reserve and the chances of subsequent successful pregnancy, given conception is contraindicated during ET. A temporary interruption of ET to attempt and carry a pregnancy in this population has never been prospectively studied. Methods: POSITIVE is a single-arm, prospective, investigator-initiated, international trial evaluating the safety and pregnancy outcomes of interrupting ET for young women with early-stage hormone-receptor-positive (HR+) BC who desire pregnancy. The primary objective is to assess the risk of BC relapse associated with ET interruption for ~2 years to achieve pregnancy. Women ≤42 years with stage I-III HR+ BC who received adjuvant ET (SERM alone, GnRH analogue plus SERM or AI) for 18 to 30 months and wished to interrupt ET to attempt pregnancy were eligible. The primary endpoint is breast cancer free interval (BCFI) defined as the time from enrollment to the first BC event (local, regional, distant recurrence or a new invasive contralateral BC). Planned sample size was 500 patients. Three interim analyses of BCFI were reviewed by the Data Safety Monitoring Committee (DSMC) to assure a 95% chance of stopping the trial early if the annual BCFI event rate exceeded 4%; with primary analysis triggered after 1600 patient years of follow-up (pyfu) and no more than 46 BCFI events defined as the safety threshold. The DSMC recommended continuing the study following each interim analysis. We now report the primary results. Results: From 12/2014 to 12/2019, 518 women were enrolled. At enrollment, the median age of participants was 37 years (27-43 years); 75.0% were nulliparous, 93.4% had stage I/II disease, 66.3% node-negative. Median time from BC diagnosis to enrollment was 29 months (IQR: 25-32). Tamoxifen alone was the most prescribed ET (41.7%), followed by tamoxifen+ovarian function suppression (35.7%). 62.0% of participants had received neo/adjuvant chemotherapy. At a median follow-up of 41 months (1638 pyfu), 44 participants had experienced a BCFI event, not exceeding the pre-specified safety threshold of 46 events. The 3-year BCFI failure percent was 8.9% (95% CI: 6.3 to 11.6%), similar to the 9.2% (95% CI: 7.6 to 10.8%) calculated in the comparative external control cohort from the SOFT/TEXT trials (Sun et al, Breast 2020). Of 497 women followed for pregnancy status, 368 (74.0%) had at least one pregnancy, 317 (63.8%) had at least one live birth, with a total of 365 babies born. Based on competing risk analysis, 76.3% of patients resumed ET (half within 26 months), 8.3% had BCFI event/death before ET resumption, and 15.4% had not resumed ET yet. Conclusions: The POSITIVE trial demonstrates that for young women with early HR+ BC desiring pregnancy, temporary interruption of ET to attempt pregnancy does not confer a greater short-term risk of recurrence than that observed in a modern historical control group that did not interrupt ET. Most participants have had a live birth. Further follow-up is planned to confirm long-term safety. These results should be considered in counselling BC patients desiring future pregnancy. Citation Format: Ann Partridge, Olivia Pagani, Samuel M. Niman, Monica Ruggeri, Fedro Alessandro A. Peccatori, Hatem A. Azim, Marco Colleoni, Cristina Saura, Chikako Shimizu, Anna Saetersdal, Judith Kroep, Audrey Mailliez, Ellen Warner, Virginia F. Borges, Frédéric Amant, Andrea Gombos, Akemi Kataoka, Christine Rousset-Jablonski, Simona Borstnar, Junko Takei, Jeong Eon Lee, Janice Walshe, Manuel Ruiz Borrego, Halle Moore, Christobel Saunders, Vesna Bjelic-Radisic, Snezana Susnjar, Fatima Cardoso, Karen L. Smith, Teresa Ferreiro Vilarino, Karin Ribi, Kathryn Ruddy, Sarra El-Abed, Martine Piccart, Larissa A. Korde, Aron Goldhirsch, Richard D. Gelber. Pregnancy Outcome and Safety of Interrupting Therapy for women with endocrine responsIVE breast cancer: Primary Results from the POSITIVE Trial (IBCSG 48-14/BIG 8-13) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr GS4-09.

Abstract We evaluated the joint associations between a new 313-variant PRS (PRS313) and questionnaire-based breast cancer risk factors for women of European ancestry, using 72 284 cases and 80 354 controls from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium. Interactions were evaluated using standard logistic regression and a newly developed case-only method for breast cancer risk overall and by estrogen receptor status. After accounting for multiple testing, we did not find evidence that per-standard deviation PRS313 odds ratio differed across strata defined by individual risk factors. Goodness-of-fit tests did not reject the assumption of a multiplicative model between PRS313 and each risk factor. Variation in projected absolute lifetime risk of breast cancer associated with classical risk factors was greater for women with higher genetic risk (PRS313 and family history) and, on average, 17.5% higher in the highest vs lowest deciles of genetic risk. These findings have implications for risk prevention for women at increased risk of breast cancer.