Yeager, Meredith

Abstract Background Lung adenocarcinoma in never-smokers is a major public health burden, especially among East Asian women. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are promising for risk stratification but are primarily developed in European-ancestry populations. We aimed to develop and validate single- and multi-ancestry PRSs for East Asian never-smokers to improve lung adenocarcinoma risk prediction. Methods PRSs were developed using genome-wide association study summary statistics from East Asian (8002 cases; 20 782 controls) and European (2058 cases; 5575 controls) populations. Single-ancestry models included a PRS with 25 single nucleotide variants (PRS-25), PRS clumping and thresholding (CT), and LDpred2; multi-ancestry models included LDpred2 plus European PRS-128, PRS-CSx, and clumping and thresholding, super learning, empirical Bayes (CT-SLEB). Performance was evaluated in independent East Asian data from the Female Lung Cancer Consortium and externally validated in the Nanjing Lung Cancer Cohort. We assessed predictive accuracy via area under the curve operating procedure (AUC), with 10-year and (ages 30-80 years) absolute risks estimates. Results The best multi-ancestry PRS, using East Asian and European data via CT-SLEB, outperformed the best East Asian-only (LDpred2; AUC = 0.629, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.618 to 0.641), achieving an AUC of 0.640 (95% CI = 0.629 to 0.653) and odds ratio of 1.71 (95% CI = 1.61 to 1.82) per standard deviation increase. Nanjing Lung Cancer Cohort validation confirmed robust performance (AUC = 0.649, 95% CI = 0.623 to 0.676). The top 20% PRS group had a 3.92-fold higher lung adenocarcinoma risk than the bottom 20%. Further, the top 5% PRS group reached a 6.69% lifetime absolute risk. Notably, this group reached the average population 10-year lung adenocarcinoma risk at age 50 years (0.42%) by age 41 years, 9 years earlier. Conclusions Multi-ancestry PRS approaches enhance lung adenocarcinoma risk stratification in East Asian never-smokers, with consistent external validation, suggesting future clinical utility.

Abstract Introduction: With over 80, 000 new cases of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) diagnosed annually, modifiable risk factors remain unclear. Circadian disruption, linked to cancers like breast and prostate, affects immune cells (e.g., natural killer cells and T-helper cells) by altering their trafficking and proliferation. Some studies (PMID: 30566672, 27611440) suggest long sleep may increase overall NHL risk, including a Mendelian randomization (MR) study (PMID: 32895918). However, no research has examined the causal relationship between sleep traits, including long sleep, and NHL risk, by subtypes. We hypothesize that sleep traits are causally associated with NHL subtypes in European populations, testing this using MR with data from the International Lymphoma Epidemiology Consortium (InterLymph). Methods: We conducted two-sample MR using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary data for sleep traits and NHL subtypes. Only independent, genome-wide significant (p < 5×10-8) Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs) were selected as valid instruments, sourced from the UK Biobank. Sleep traits included chronotype (153 SNPs), insomnia (48 SNPs), sleep duration (78 SNPs), excessive daytime sleepiness (37 SNPs), short sleep (27 SNPs), and long sleep (8 SNPs). NHL subtype data were from InterLymph: follicular lymphoma (6, 508 cases / 64, 183 controls), mantle cell lymphoma (1, 169 cases / 61, 603 controls), Waldenstrom macroglobulinemia/lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma (WM/LPL: 1, 697 cases / 59, 333 controls), and chronic lymphocytic leukemia (8, 522 cases / 67, 653 controls). The primary analysis used inverse-variance weighted (IVW) random-effects, with MR-Egger for pleiotropy adjustment. Results: Using the IVW method, we did not identify any statistically significant causal association between sleep traits and the risk of NHL subtypes, but did yield several intriguing trends. Long sleep (sleep duration >= 9 h per night) showed a marginally increased NHL risk [Odds ratio (OR) range: 1.51 - 247.9] across each subtype. Short sleep (sleep duration < 7 h per night) showed a similar trend [OR range: 1.25 - 1.81], except for WM/LPL, where we noticed a negative trend. The confidence limit for long sleep was imprecise due to the small number of variants. We did not notice any significant directional horizontal pleiotropy or weak instrument bias. Conclusions: We found no conclusive evidence of a relationship between sleep traits and four NHL subtypes. However, we see suggestive trends of long and short sleep associated with higher risk of some NHL subtypes. These findings align with the previous studies, which showed long sleep was associated with higher risk of NHL overall. Future directions include expanding our analysis to additional NHL subtypes, generating polygenic risk scores, and conducting stratified analyses. Citation Format: Pankhil Shah, Brittany Crawford, Anwar Merchant, Brenda Birmann, Angelica Macauda, Michelle A. Hildebrandt, Aaron Norman, Neil E. Caporaso, Meredith Yeager, Michael Dean, Immaculata De Vivo, Lynn Goldin, Nicola J. Camp, Rosalie Griffin, Delphine Casabonne, Federico Canzian, Pelin Unal, Elad Ziv, Catherine R. Marinac, Alexandra Nieters, Stephen J. Chanock, Mitchell J. Machiela, Michael Conry, Charlie Zhong, Hanla A. Park, Simon Cheah, Jonathan N. Hofmann, Elizabeth E. Brown, Celine Vachon, Susan Slager, Sonja Berndt, Sophia S. Wang, Vijai Joseph, James McKay, Henrik Hjalgrim, Lara Sucheston-Campbell, Karl Smith-Byrne, Alyssa Clay-Gilmour. Association between sleep traits and risk of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma subtypes: a mendelian randomization study in the International Lymphoma Epidemiology (InterLymph) Consortium [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 7415.

Introduction: Over 80,000 new cases of Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma (NHL) are diagnosed annually, but modifiable risk factors are largely unknown. Circadian disruption has been identified as a risk factor for several cancers, including breast and prostate cancer, and affects immune cells such as Natural Killer (NK) cells and T-helper cells. Disruptions in circadian rhythms can lead to aberrant immune cell trafficking and proliferation. Despite this biological connection, evidence linking circadian disruptions to NHL remains inconclusive. Only single Mendelian Randomization (MR) study (PMID: 32895918) has explored the causal relationship between sleep traits and overall NHL risk, without examining NHL subtypes. Studies have shown distinct risk factor profiles among NHL subtypes. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the causal relationship between sleep traits and NHL subtypes in European populations using MR. Methods: We conducted a two-sample MR analyses using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary data on sleep traits and NHL subtypes. The GWAS summary statistics on sleep traits were obtained from publicly available UKBiobank datasets. The sleep traits analyzed included chronotype (N=449,734), insomnia (N=237,627), sleep duration (N=446,118), daytime sleepiness (N=452,071), short sleep (N=411,934), and long sleep (N=339,926). Only independent, genome-wide significant SNPs (p < 5×10-8) were considered as valid instruments. The NHL subtype-specific summary statistics came from the InterLymph including follicular lymphoma (FL: N=6,508 cases / 64,183 controls), mantle cell lymphoma (MCL: N=1,169 cases / 61,603 controls), and Waldenström macroglobulinemia/lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma (WM/LPL: N=1,697 cases / 59,333 controls). Our primary analysis used the random-effects inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method. In addition, we employed MR-Egger to adjust for directional pleiotropy. Heterogeneity in the MR results was evaluated with Cochran's Q statistic. Results: The IVW method did not identify any statistically significant causal association between sleep traits and the risk of NHL subtypes (FL,MCL,WM/LPL), but did yield several intriguing associations. Chronotype (early rising) showed a tendency towards a marginally an increased NHL risk across subtypes [Odds ratio (OR) range: 1.07 - 2.56]. Conversely, a decreased risk was noted for long sleep (≥ 9 hours vs. 7-8 hours) [OR range: 0.19 - 0.62], insomnia [OR range: 0.72 - 0.88], and short sleep (excludes MCL) [OR range: 0.12 - 0.72]. Confidence limit for long sleep was wide due to small number of variants (N=8). The MR-Egger regression analysis did not provide evidence of significant directional horizontal pleiotropy. The F-statistics for all sleep traits were greater than 10 indicating absences of weak instrument bias. Conclusions: Our study found no statistically significant associations between sleep traits and three NHL subtypes (FL, MCL, WM/LPL) in European populations. However, we observed potential influences of chronotype, long and short sleep, and insomnia on NHL risk. These findings align with and extend previous MR study by providing subtype-specific insights. Future directions include expanding our analysis to additional NHL subtypes, generating polygenic risk scores, and conducting stratified analyses using the InterLymph population. These efforts aim to further elucidate the complex relationship between sleep characteristics and NHL risk across diverse subtypes and populations.