Shete, Sanjay

Abstract Background Lung adenocarcinoma in never-smokers is a major public health burden, especially among East Asian women. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are promising for risk stratification but are primarily developed in European-ancestry populations. We aimed to develop and validate single- and multi-ancestry PRSs for East Asian never-smokers to improve lung adenocarcinoma risk prediction. Methods PRSs were developed using genome-wide association study summary statistics from East Asian (8002 cases; 20 782 controls) and European (2058 cases; 5575 controls) populations. Single-ancestry models included a PRS with 25 single nucleotide variants (PRS-25), PRS clumping and thresholding (CT), and LDpred2; multi-ancestry models included LDpred2 plus European PRS-128, PRS-CSx, and clumping and thresholding, super learning, empirical Bayes (CT-SLEB). Performance was evaluated in independent East Asian data from the Female Lung Cancer Consortium and externally validated in the Nanjing Lung Cancer Cohort. We assessed predictive accuracy via area under the curve operating procedure (AUC), with 10-year and (ages 30-80 years) absolute risks estimates. Results The best multi-ancestry PRS, using East Asian and European data via CT-SLEB, outperformed the best East Asian-only (LDpred2; AUC = 0.629, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.618 to 0.641), achieving an AUC of 0.640 (95% CI = 0.629 to 0.653) and odds ratio of 1.71 (95% CI = 1.61 to 1.82) per standard deviation increase. Nanjing Lung Cancer Cohort validation confirmed robust performance (AUC = 0.649, 95% CI = 0.623 to 0.676). The top 20% PRS group had a 3.92-fold higher lung adenocarcinoma risk than the bottom 20%. Further, the top 5% PRS group reached a 6.69% lifetime absolute risk. Notably, this group reached the average population 10-year lung adenocarcinoma risk at age 50 years (0.42%) by age 41 years, 9 years earlier. Conclusions Multi-ancestry PRS approaches enhance lung adenocarcinoma risk stratification in East Asian never-smokers, with consistent external validation, suggesting future clinical utility.

Abstract Background: Clinical, molecular, and genetic epidemiology studies displayed remarkable differences between ever- and never-smoking lung cancer. Methods: We conducted a stratified multi-population (European, East Asian, and African descent) association study on 44,823 ever-smokers and 20,074 never-smokers to identify novel variants that were missed in the non-stratified analysis. Functional analysis including expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) colocalization and DNA damage assays, and annotation studies were conducted to evaluate the functional roles of the variants. We further evaluated the impact of smoking quantity on lung cancer risk for the variants associated with ever-smoking lung cancer. Results: Five novel independent loci, GABRA4, intergenic region 12q24.33, LRRC4C, LINC01088, and LCNL1 were identified with the association at two or three populations (P < 5 × 10−8). Further functional analysis provided multiple lines of evidence suggesting the variants affect lung cancer risk through excessive DNA damage (GABRA4) or cis-regulation of gene expression (LCNL1). The risk of variants from 12 independent regions, including the well-known CHRNA5, associated with ever-smoking lung cancer was evaluated for never-smokers, light-smokers (packyear ≤ 20), and moderate-to-heavy-smokers (packyear > 20). Different risk patterns were observed for the variants among the different groups by smoking behavior. Conclusions: We identified novel variants associated with lung cancer in only ever- or never-smoking groups that were missed by prior main-effect association studies. Impact: Our study highlights the genetic heterogeneity between ever- and never-smoking lung cancer and provides etiologic insights into the complicated genetic architecture of this deadly cancer.

Abstract Differences by sex in lung cancer incidence and mortality have been reported which cannot be fully explained by sex differences in smoking behavior, implying existence of genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development. However, the information about sex dimorphism in lung cancer risk is quite limited despite the great success in lung cancer association studies. By adopting a stringent two-stage analysis strategy, we performed a genome-wide gene–sex interaction analysis using genotypes from a lung cancer cohort including ~ 47 000 individuals with European ancestry. Three low-frequency variants (minor allele frequency < 0.05), rs17662871 [odds ratio (OR) = 0.71, P = 4.29×10−8); rs79942605 (OR = 2.17, P = 2.81×10−8) and rs208908 (OR = 0.70, P = 4.54×10−8) were identified with different risk effect of lung cancer between men and women. Further expression quantitative trait loci and functional annotation analysis suggested rs208908 affects lung cancer risk through differential regulation of Coxsackie virus and adenovirus receptor gene expression in lung tissues between men and women. Our study is one of the first studies to provide novel insights about the genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development.

Abstract Background: Somatic EGFR mutations define a subset of non–small cell lung cancers (NSCLC) that have clinical impact on NSCLC risk and outcome. However, EGFR-mutation-status is often missing in epidemiologic datasets. We developed and tested pragmatic approaches to account for EGFR-mutation-status based on variables commonly included in epidemiologic datasets and evaluated the clinical utility of these approaches. Methods: Through analysis of the International Lung Cancer Consortium (ILCCO) epidemiologic datasets, we developed a regression model for EGFR-status; we then applied a clinical-restriction approach using the optimal cut-point, and a second epidemiologic, multiple imputation approach to ILCCO survival analyses that did and did not account for EGFR-status. Results: Of 35,356 ILCCO patients with NSCLC, EGFR-mutation-status was available in 4,231 patients. A model regressing known EGFR-mutation-status on clinical and demographic variables achieved a concordance index of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74–0.77) in the training and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.74–0.79) in the testing dataset. At an optimal cut-point of probability-score = 0.335, sensitivity = 69% and specificity = 72.5% for determining EGFR-wildtype status. In both restriction-based and imputation-based regression analyses of the individual roles of BMI on overall survival of patients with NSCLC, similar results were observed between overall and EGFR-mutation-negative cohort analyses of patients of all ancestries. However, our approach identified some differences: EGFR-mutated Asian patients did not incur a survival benefit from being obese, as observed in EGFR-wildtype Asian patients. Conclusions: We introduce a pragmatic method to evaluate the potential impact of EGFR-status on epidemiological analyses of NSCLC. Impact: The proposed method is generalizable in the common occurrence in which EGFR-status data are missing.

Abstract There is growing evidence showing that sex disparity in lung cancer risk cannot be fully explained by sex differences in smoking behavior, implying existence of genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development. However, the information about sex dimorphism in lung cancer risk is quite limited despite the great success in lung cancer association studies. By adopting a stringent two-stage analysis strategy, we performed a genome-wide gene-sex interaction analysis using genotype from a lung cancer cohort including ~ 47,000 individuals with European ancestry. Three low-frequency variants (minor allele frequency < 0.05), rs17662871 (OR=0.71, p=4.29x10-8); rs79942605 (OR=2.17, p=2.81x10-8); and rs208908 (OR=0.70, p=4.54x10-8), were identified with different risk effect of lung cancer between men and women. Further eQTL and functional annotation analysis suggested rs208908 affect lung cancer risk through differential regulation of CXADR (Coxsackie Virus And Adenovirus Receptor) gene expression in lung tissues between men and women. Our study is one of the first studies to provide novel insights about the genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development.

Abstract Background: Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer death worldwide, with 15% to 20% occurring in never smokers. To assess genetic determinants for prognosis among never smokers, we conducted a genome-wide investigation in the International Lung Cancer Consortium (ILCCO). Methods: Genomic and clinical data from 1,569 never-smoking patients with lung cancer of European ancestry from 10 ILCCO studies were included. HRs and 95% confidence intervals of overall survival were estimated. We assessed whether the associations were mediated through mRNA expression–based 1,553 normal lung tissues from the lung expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) dataset and Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx). For cross-ethnicity generalization, we assessed the associations in a Japanese study (N = 887). Results: One locus at 13q22.2 was associated with lung adenocarcinoma survival at genome-wide level, with carriers of rs12875562-T allele exhibiting poor prognosis [HR = 1.71 (1.41–2.07), P = 3.60 × 10−8], and altered mRNA expression of LMO7DN in lung tissue (GTEx, P = 9.40 × 10−7; Lung eQTL dataset, P = 0.003). Furthermore, 2 of 11 independent loci that reached the suggestive significance level (P &lt; 10−6) were significant eQTL affecting mRNA expression of nearby genes in lung tissues, including CAPZB at 1p36.13 and UBAC1 at 9q34.3. One locus encoding NWD2/KIAA1239 at 4p14 showed associations in both European [HR = 0.50 (0.38–0.66), P = 6.92 × 10−7] and Japanese populations [HR = 0.79 (0.67–0.94), P = 0.007]. Conclusions: Based on the largest genomic investigation on the lung cancer prognosis of never smokers to date, we observed that lung cancer prognosis is affected by inherited genetic variants. Impact: We identified one locus near LMO7DN at genome-wide level and several potential prognostic genes with cis-effect on mRNA expression. Further functional genomics work is required to understand their role in tumor progression.

1512 Background: Tobacco smoking profoundly impacts LC risk; however, data are limited as to what extent SC prior to diagnosis impacts LC overall survival (OS) and lung cancer specific survival (LCSS). LC screening offers a possible teachable moment, but there is uncertainty of SC benefits after a lifetime of smoking. We use the ILCCO database to answer if SC prior to LC dx is associated with better OS and LCSS, considering time since smoking cessation (TSSC). Methods: Using individual data, analysis was performed on 17 ILCCO studies with available TSSC to estimate survival using univariable analysis and models of stage-adjusted and cumulative smoking-adjusted multivariable analysis. Adjusted Hazard Ratios (aHR) from Cox models, cubic spline smooth curves and Kaplan-Meier curves were created. Sensitivity analysis was performed for TSSC and LCSS on 13 studies. Results: Of 34649 patients, 14322 (41%) were current smokers 14273 (41%) ex-smokers and 6054 (18%) never smokers at diagnosis. We confirmed that ex-smokers (aHR 0.88 CI 0.86-0.91) and never smokers (aHR 0.76 CI 0.73-0.8) improved OS compared to current smokers. Amongst ex-smokers, < 2y TSSC (aHR 0.88 CI 0.82-0.94), 2-5y TSSC (aHR 0.83 CI 0.77-0.90) and > 5y TSSC (aHR 0.8 CI 0.76-0.84) had improved OS compared to CS. Sensitivity analysis showed a trend towards improved LCSS survival for < 2y TSSC (aHR 0.95 CI 0.86-1.05) and 2-5y TSSC (aHR 0.93 CI 0.83-1.04), whereas > 5y TSSC significantly improved LCSS by 15% (aHR 0.85 CI 0.78-0.92). To mimic the LC screening participants, in analysis of > 30 pack-years individuals, associations were strikingly strong: < 2y TSSC had improved OS by 14% (aHR 0.86 CI 0.80-0.93); 2-5y TSSC by 17% (aHR 0.83 CI 0.76-0.90); and > 5 TSSC by 22% (aHR 0.78 CI 0.74-0.83), compared to current smokers; for < 30 packs-years, a trend towards better OS was observed for < 2y TSSC (aHR 0.95 CI 0.92-1.02) and 2-5y TSSC (aHR 0.86 CI 0.74-1.01), whereas > 5y TSSC improved OS by 23% (aHR 0.77 CI 0.72-0.82). Conclusions: Among ex-smokers, the risk of overall death was reduced by 12% on < 2y TSSC, 17% on 2-5y TSSC and 20% > 5y TSSC, whereas for LCSS, the benefit was significant only for > 5y TSCC, compared to current smokers at time of diagnosis. Here we demonstrate that convincing screening participants to quit smoking at any point of their trajectory, even just prior to dx such as < 2y TSSC, improved OS, and LCSS benefit was present beyond 5y of quitting. These relationships are independent of pack-years, age, across all stages and other prognostic variables.

Abstract BACKGROUND: Approximately 5% of gliomas occur in individuals with a family history of glioma, and first-degree relatives of brain tumor cases have a two-fold increase in risk of brain tumor. Recent somatic characterization has shown that tumors from familial cases are indistinguishable from sporadic cases, suggesting that familial cases may arise through similar mechanisms of gliomagenesis, and therefore may be associated with common variants as well as rare mutations. In this analysis, we assessed whether previously identified common risk variants are associated with familial glioma. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Glioma International Case Control (GICC) and Gliogene studies for 448 cases with reported family history, 4,405 cases without reported family history, and 3,288 controls. We assessed 25 risk loci previously identified by glioma GWAS, and odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were calculated using an additive genetic logistic regression model adjusted for age, sex, and the first two principal components for familial cases versus unaffected controls, and non-familial cases versus controls. Results were considered significant at p&lt;0.002 (Bonferroni correction for 25 tests). RESULTS: Significant associations were detected at 5/25 loci, including TERT, EGFR, CCDC26, CDKN2B, and RTEL1. The strongest association was at rs55705857 (CCDC26, OR=2.7, p=7.49x10-17). For GBM (222 familial cases), significant associations were detected at 6/26 loci (TERT, EGFR, CDKN2B, TP53 and RTEL1), while in non-GBM (205 familial cases) significant associations were detected at 3/25 loci (LRIG1, CCDC26, PHLDB1). These SNPs were further examined using a case-only approach comparing familial to non-familial cases, and there was no significant difference in allele frequencies by family history status. There was a strong correlation between log(OR) for familial cases only versus non-familial cases (adjusted R2=0.88). CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis we identified a significant association between familial glioma and five common risk loci previously identified by glioma GWAS. This provides further evidence of shared pathways of genetic risk and gliomagenesis between familial and non-familial glioma. Further exploration is necessary to determine the overall contribution of common genetic variation to risk of familial glioma. Citation Format: Quinn T. Ostrom, Georgina Armstrong, Christopher I. Amos, Jonine L. Bernstein, Elizabeth B. Claus, Jeanette E. Eckel-Passow, Dora Il'yasova, Christoffer Johansen, Daniel H. Lachance, Rose K. Lai, Ryan T. Merrell, Sara H. Olson, Joellen H. Schildkraut, Sanjay S. Shete, Richard S. Houlston, Robert B. Jenkins, Margaret R. Wrensch, Beatrice Melin, Jill S. Barnholtz-Sloan, Melissa L. Bondy. Previously identified common glioma risk SNPs are associated with familial glioma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 4173.

Glioma incidence is highest in non‐Hispanic Whites, and to date, glioma genome‐wide association studies (GWAS) to date have only included European ancestry (EA) populations. African Americans and Hispanics in the US have varying proportions of EA, African (AA) and Native American ancestries (NAA). It is unknown if identified GWAS loci or increased EA is associated with increased glioma risk. We assessed whether EA was associated with glioma in African Americans and Hispanics. Data were obtained for 832 cases and 675 controls from the Glioma International Case–Control Study and GliomaSE Case–Control Study previously estimated to have <80% EA, or self‐identify as non‐White. We estimated global and local ancestry using fastStructure and RFMix, respectively, using 1,000 genomes project reference populations. Within groups with ≥40% AA (AFR ≥0.4 ), and ≥15% NAA (AMR ≥0.15 ), genome‐wide association between local EA and glioma was evaluated using logistic regression conditioned on global EA for all gliomas. We identified two regions (7q21.11, p = 6.36 × 10 −4 ; 11p11.12, p = 7.0 × 10 −4 ) associated with increased EA, and one associated with decreased EA (20p12.13, p = 0.0026) in AFR ≥0.4 . In addition, we identified a peak at rs1620291 ( p = 4.36 × 10 −6 ) in 7q21.3. Among AMR ≥0.15 , we found an association between increased EA in one region (12q24.21, p = 8.38 × 10 −4 ), and decreased EA in two regions (8q24.21, p = 0. 0010; 20q13.33, p = 6.36 × 10 −4 ). No other significant associations were identified. This analysis identified an association between glioma and two regions previously identified in EA populations (8q24.21, 20q13.33) and four novel regions (7q21.11, 11p11.12, 12q24.21 and 20p12.13). The identifications of novel association with EA suggest regions to target for future genetic association studies.

Abstract Background: There have been few studies of sufficient size to address the relationship between glioma risk and the use of aspirin or NSAIDs, and results have been conflicting. The purpose of this study was to examine the associations between glioma and aspirin/NSAID use, and to aggregate these findings with prior published studies using meta-analysis. Methods: The Glioma International Case-Control Study (GICC) consists of 4,533 glioma cases and 4,171 controls recruited from 2010 to 2013. Interviews were conducted using a standardized questionnaire to obtain information on aspirin/NSAID use. We examined history of regular use for ≥6 months and duration-response. Restricted maximum likelihood meta-regression models were used to aggregate site-specific estimates, and to combine GICC estimates with previously published studies. Results: A history of daily aspirin use for ≥6 months was associated with a 38% lower glioma risk, compared with not having a history of daily use [adjusted meta-OR = 0.62; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.54–0.70]. There was a significant duration-response trend (P = 1.67 × 10−17), with lower ORs for increasing duration of aspirin use. Duration-response trends were not observed for NSAID use. In the meta-analysis aggregating GICC data with five previous studies, there was a marginally significant association between use of aspirin and glioma (mOR = 0.84; 95% CI, 0.70–1.02), but no association for NSAID use. Conclusions: Our study suggests that aspirin may be associated with a reduced risk of glioma. Impact: These results imply that aspirin use may be associated with decreased glioma risk. Further research examining the association between aspirin use and glioma risk is warranted.