Christiani, David C.

Abstract Understanding tumor cell dynamics can improve prognosis and treatment but remains limited for lung adenocarcinoma in people who have never smoked (NS-LUAD). With RNA sequencing data from 684 NS-LUAD cases and validation in an independent dataset, we identified three subtypes with distinct phenotypic traits and cell compositions. Additional genomic and histologic data further characterized the subtypes. “Steady,” marked by low proliferation, high alveolar cell fraction, moderate-to-well differentiation, and fewer driver gene alterations, is linked to prolonged survival and low immune evasion. “Proliferative” shows high proliferation markers, TP53 mutations, and gene fusions. “Chaotic,” with high epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition markers, has the worst prognosis, even within stage I tumors. Lacking known molecular or histologic characteristics, this aggressive subtype is solely identified by transcriptomic data. A 60-gene signature recapitulates the classification and predicts survival even within subgroups based on tumor stage or known genomic features, emphasizing its potential for improving early-stage NS-LUAD prognostication in clinical settings. Significance: The transcriptome of 684 NS-LUAD identifies three subtypes with different cellular dynamics and genomic and morphologic features. A 60-gene signature accurately stratifies subjects for mortality risk, even in stage I, offering a potential clinically applicable tool for treatment decision-making in patients with NS-LUAD. See related commentary by Azizi et al., p. 423

Background: Rare, functionally deleterious genetic variants have been implicated as having substantially larger effect sizes than common variants, potentially accounting for much of the missing heritability in lung cancer (LC). Over 25 years, the Genetic Epidemiology of LC Consortium (GELCC) has curated an invaluable resource of specimens and data from individuals with a strong family history of LC. Methods: Whole-genome and exome sequencing data were analyzed in 129 high-risk familial LC (FLC) families, defined as having two first-degree relatives or three or more second-degree relatives affected by LC (177 affected FLC and 309 unaffected relatives). The discovery focused on rare (allele frequency < 1% in gnomAD global population) and deleterious variations (missense, stop-gained, frameshift) enriched in FLC. Promising candidates were further external validated in 2,408 sporadic lung cancer (SLC) cases and 885 population controls from the International Lung Cancer Consortium. Results: We identified 168 variants with moderate-to-large effects on FLC risk, 100 of which were validated for SLC risk (Table 1 Table 1. Top 20 candidates Gene Rare (MAF < 1%), deleterious variants No. of variant carrier counts Odds Ratio, LC vs Control FLC | Relative | SLC | Control FLC+SLC SLC Oncogene ERBB3 / HER3 p.A1131T 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 35 15 JAK p.V651M 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 62 51 NOTCH3 p.R1560P 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 48 29 ROS1 p.N785X 6 | 4 | 10 | 0 110 74 USP6 p.R522 fs del 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 62 45 Tumor suppressor gene ATM p.L2332P 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 76 59 LZTS2 p.K458R 4 | 4 | 18 | 0 152 133 NPIPB13 p.V270 fs del 13 | 14 | 10 | 0 159 74 PARK2 / PRKN p.P153R 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 76 59 RB1 p.A525G 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 62 45 SLX4 p.S1716T 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 83 66 SYNE1 p.M6566I 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 62 52 TGFBRAP1 p.T301R 5 | 0 | 11 | 0 110 82 WNK1 p.K583 fs del 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 187 171 Other cancer-associated gene CFTR p.R74W 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 55 30 FLG p.R3404 fs del 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 69 30 LTN1 p.R349H 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 110 74 MLNR p.Q334 fs del 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 152 134 SLC39A11 p.R38Q 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 117 96 TTYH2 p.R493C 5 | 4 | 14 | 0 131 104 Dose effect of the top candidates No. candidates 0 variant allele 67 | 194 | 1911 | 834 reference reference 1 variant allele 50 | 66 | 363 | 50 3.5 (2.6 - 4.7) 3.2 (2.3 - 4.3) 2 variant alleles 15 | 18 | 62 | 1 32 (4.5 - 230) 27 (3.8 - 195) 3+ variant alleles 45 | 31 | 72 | 0 98 (6 - 1506) 62 (3.9 -1012) lists 20 top hits). Among these, 15 variants mapped to our previously identified lung cancer linkage locus at 6q23-25 (ROS1, PARK2, SYNE1). Others were enriched in oncogenes (ERBB3, JAK1, MET), tumor suppressor genes (ATM, BRCA2, RB1), and genes involved in the extracellular matrix (COL6A3, FLG, MUC5B). Importantly, individuals carrying more than two combinations of these variants exhibited exceptionally strong dose effects, with odds ratios (OR) exceeding 27. Conclusion: Our findings underscore the significant role of rare, high-penetrance variants in FLC etiology and highlight promising targets for early detection and personalized treatment. Future in-depth mechanistic studies are planned to evaluate the pathogenic effects of these specific alleles. Citation Format: Yanhong Liu, Claudio Pikielny, Xiangjun Xiao, Bo Peng, Yafang Li, Jinyoung Byun, Chao Cheng, Dakai Zhu, Spiridon Tsavachidis, Colette Gaba, Elena Kupert, Ellen L. Goode, Erin L. Crawford, Kristen Purrington, Marshall Anderson, Michael Cole, Paul Brennan, Geoffrey Liu, James McKay, John K. Field, Rayjean J. Hung, David C. Christiani, Diptasri Mandal, James C. Willey, Ann Schwartz, Joan Bailey-Wilson, Susan M. Pinney, Christopher I. Amos. High-penetrance rare variants underlying familial lung cancer risk: Insights from the Genetic Epidemiology of Lung Cancer Consortium [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 3815.

ABSTRACT Understanding lung cancer evolution can identify tools for intercepting its growth. In a landscape analysis of 1024 lung adenocarcinomas (LUAD) with deep whole-genome sequencing integrated with multiomic data, we identified 542 LUAD that displayed diverse clonal architecture. In this group, we observed an interplay between mobile elements, endogenous and exogenous mutational processes, distinct driver genes, and epidemiological features. Our results revealed divergent evolutionary trajectories based on tobacco smoking exposure, ancestry, and sex. LUAD from smokers showed an abundance of tobacco-related C:G>A:T driver mutations in KRAS plus short subclonal diversification. LUAD in never smokers showed early occurrence of copy number alterations and EGFR mutations associated with SBS5 and SBS40a mutational signatures. Tumors harboring EGFR mutations exhibited long latency, particularly in females of European-ancestry (EU_N). In EU_N, EGFR mutations preceded the occurrence of other driver genes, including TP53 and RBM10. Tumors from Asian never smokers showed a short clonal evolution and presented with heterogeneous repetitive patterns for the inferred mutational order. Importantly, we found that the mutational signature ID2 is a marker of a previously unrecognized mechanism for LUAD evolution. Tumors with ID2 showed short latency and high L1 retrotransposon activity linked to L1 promoter demethylation. These tumors exhibited an aggressive phenotype, characterized by increased genomic instability, elevated hypoxia scores, low burden of neoantigens, propensity to develop metastasis, and poor overall survival. Re-activated L1 retrotransposition-induced mutagenesis can contribute to the origin of the mutational signature ID2, including through the regulation of the transcriptional factor ZNF695 , a member of the KZFP family. The complex nature of LUAD evolution creates both challenges and opportunities for screening and treatment plans.

Abstract Background: Clinical, molecular, and genetic epidemiology studies displayed remarkable differences between ever- and never-smoking lung cancer. Methods: We conducted a stratified multi-population (European, East Asian, and African descent) association study on 44,823 ever-smokers and 20,074 never-smokers to identify novel variants that were missed in the non-stratified analysis. Functional analysis including expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) colocalization and DNA damage assays, and annotation studies were conducted to evaluate the functional roles of the variants. We further evaluated the impact of smoking quantity on lung cancer risk for the variants associated with ever-smoking lung cancer. Results: Five novel independent loci, GABRA4, intergenic region 12q24.33, LRRC4C, LINC01088, and LCNL1 were identified with the association at two or three populations (P < 5 × 10−8). Further functional analysis provided multiple lines of evidence suggesting the variants affect lung cancer risk through excessive DNA damage (GABRA4) or cis-regulation of gene expression (LCNL1). The risk of variants from 12 independent regions, including the well-known CHRNA5, associated with ever-smoking lung cancer was evaluated for never-smokers, light-smokers (packyear ≤ 20), and moderate-to-heavy-smokers (packyear > 20). Different risk patterns were observed for the variants among the different groups by smoking behavior. Conclusions: We identified novel variants associated with lung cancer in only ever- or never-smoking groups that were missed by prior main-effect association studies. Impact: Our study highlights the genetic heterogeneity between ever- and never-smoking lung cancer and provides etiologic insights into the complicated genetic architecture of this deadly cancer.

Abstract Background The shared inherited genetic contribution to risk of different cancers is not fully known. In this study, we leverage results from 12 cancer genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to quantify pairwise genome-wide genetic correlations across cancers and identify novel cancer susceptibility loci. Methods We collected GWAS summary statistics for 12 solid cancers based on 376 759 participants with cancer and 532 864 participants without cancer of European ancestry. The included cancer types were breast, colorectal, endometrial, esophageal, glioma, head and neck, lung, melanoma, ovarian, pancreatic, prostate, and renal cancers. We conducted cross-cancer GWAS and transcriptome-wide association studies to discover novel cancer susceptibility loci. Finally, we assessed the extent of variant-specific pleiotropy among cancers at known and newly identified cancer susceptibility loci. Results We observed widespread but modest genome-wide genetic correlations across cancers. In cross-cancer GWAS and transcriptome-wide association studies, we identified 15 novel cancer susceptibility loci. Additionally, we identified multiple variants at 77 distinct loci with strong evidence of being associated with at least 2 cancer types by testing for pleiotropy at known cancer susceptibility loci. Conclusions Overall, these results suggest that some genetic risk variants are shared among cancers, though much of cancer heritability is cancer-specific and thus tissue-specific. The increase in statistical power associated with larger sample sizes in cross-disease analysis allows for the identification of novel susceptibility regions. Future studies incorporating data on multiple cancer types are likely to identify additional regions associated with the risk of multiple cancer types.

Abstract Introduction: Radiotherapy has long been examined in association with second malignancies, but the impact of radiotherapy for initial primary lung cancer (IPLC) on the risk of second primary lung cancer (SPLC) remains controversial. We evaluated associations between IPLC radiotherapy and the risks of SPLC and overall mortality among lung cancer survivors. Methods: We identified 689,785 patients diagnosed with IPLC in 1988-2013 from SEER. We applied cause-specific Cox (CSC) regression to evaluate association between IPLC radiotherapy and SPLC risk, adjusting for age at IPLC diagnosis, IPLC stage and histology, and prior history of cancer. To allow a latency period of exposure to IPLC radiotherapy on SPLC risk, we performed subgroup analyses restricted to patients who survived ≥5 and ≥10 years after IPLC diagnosis. Using Cox regression, we evaluated association between IPLC radiotherapy and overall mortality, adjusting for the same covariates used in the CSC analysis. Mediation analysis quantified the indirect effect of IPLC radiotherapy on overall mortality mediated through radiotherapy-driven SPLC diagnosis. Validation utilized data from 7,758 IPLC patients (496 SPLCs) at Mayo Clinic. Results: Of 689,785 IPLC patients, 18,818 (2.7%) developed SPLC in SEER. IPLC patients treated with radiotherapy had a reduced SPLC risk versus non-irradiated patients when evaluated at the time of initial diagnosis (cause-specific hazard ratio [csHR]=0.90, P<1x10-6). However, the association between IPLC radiotherapy and SPLC risk was reversed when analyses were restricted to those who survived at least 5 years (csHR=1.08, P=0.01) and 10 years (csHR=1.16, P=0.009), thus long-term survivors treated with IPLC radiotherapy having a significantly increased risk of SPLC. Mayo Clinic data showed consistent results, with the effect of IPLC radiotherapy increasing from csHR of 2.41 (P<1x10-6) to 3.38 (P=0.001) among 5-year and 10-year survivors, respectively. Similarly, compared to non-irradiated patients, those treated with IPLC radiotherapy showed a significantly increased risk of overall mortality among 10-year survivors (hazard ratio [HR]=1.46, P<1x10-6 in SEER and HR=1.54, P=5.1X10-5 in Mayo Clinic). Mediation analysis showed that a substantial proportion of the total effect of IPLC radiotherapy on overall mortality—ranging from 32% to 59%—was due to radiotherapy-driven SPLC among 10-year survivors in SEER and Mayo Clinic. Conclusions: IPLC radiotherapy is associated with increased risks of SPLC and overall mortality, with its effects more pronounced among long-term survivors. Citation Format: Eunji Choi, Vicky T. Lam, Jacqueline A. Aredo, Ashok V. Kumar, Jason Wampfler, Julie T. Wu, David C. Christiani, Iona Cheng, Christopher I. Amos, Rayjean J. Hung, Leah M. Backhus, Joel W. Neal, Heather A. Wakelee, Ping Yang, Summer S. Han. Long term effect of radiotherapy on risk of second primary lung cancer and overall mortality among lung cancer patients [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 3445.

Abstract Differences by sex in lung cancer incidence and mortality have been reported which cannot be fully explained by sex differences in smoking behavior, implying existence of genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development. However, the information about sex dimorphism in lung cancer risk is quite limited despite the great success in lung cancer association studies. By adopting a stringent two-stage analysis strategy, we performed a genome-wide gene–sex interaction analysis using genotypes from a lung cancer cohort including ~ 47 000 individuals with European ancestry. Three low-frequency variants (minor allele frequency < 0.05), rs17662871 [odds ratio (OR) = 0.71, P = 4.29×10−8); rs79942605 (OR = 2.17, P = 2.81×10−8) and rs208908 (OR = 0.70, P = 4.54×10−8) were identified with different risk effect of lung cancer between men and women. Further expression quantitative trait loci and functional annotation analysis suggested rs208908 affects lung cancer risk through differential regulation of Coxsackie virus and adenovirus receptor gene expression in lung tissues between men and women. Our study is one of the first studies to provide novel insights about the genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development.

Abstract Background: Somatic EGFR mutations define a subset of non–small cell lung cancers (NSCLC) that have clinical impact on NSCLC risk and outcome. However, EGFR-mutation-status is often missing in epidemiologic datasets. We developed and tested pragmatic approaches to account for EGFR-mutation-status based on variables commonly included in epidemiologic datasets and evaluated the clinical utility of these approaches. Methods: Through analysis of the International Lung Cancer Consortium (ILCCO) epidemiologic datasets, we developed a regression model for EGFR-status; we then applied a clinical-restriction approach using the optimal cut-point, and a second epidemiologic, multiple imputation approach to ILCCO survival analyses that did and did not account for EGFR-status. Results: Of 35,356 ILCCO patients with NSCLC, EGFR-mutation-status was available in 4,231 patients. A model regressing known EGFR-mutation-status on clinical and demographic variables achieved a concordance index of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74–0.77) in the training and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.74–0.79) in the testing dataset. At an optimal cut-point of probability-score = 0.335, sensitivity = 69% and specificity = 72.5% for determining EGFR-wildtype status. In both restriction-based and imputation-based regression analyses of the individual roles of BMI on overall survival of patients with NSCLC, similar results were observed between overall and EGFR-mutation-negative cohort analyses of patients of all ancestries. However, our approach identified some differences: EGFR-mutated Asian patients did not incur a survival benefit from being obese, as observed in EGFR-wildtype Asian patients. Conclusions: We introduce a pragmatic method to evaluate the potential impact of EGFR-status on epidemiological analyses of NSCLC. Impact: The proposed method is generalizable in the common occurrence in which EGFR-status data are missing.

Greater understanding of the pathways through which an environmental mixture operates is important to design effective interventions. We present new methodology to estimate natural direct and indirect effects and controlled direct effects of a complex mixture exposure on an outcome through a mediator variable. We implement Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression (BKMR) to allow for all possible interactions and nonlinear effects of (1) the co‐exposures on the mediator, (2) the co‐exposures and mediator on the outcome, and (3) selected covariates on the mediator and/or outcome. From the posterior predictive distributions of the mediator and outcome, we simulate counterfactuals to obtain posterior samples, estimates, and credible intervals of the mediation effects. Our simulation study demonstrates that when the exposure‐mediator and exposure‐mediator‐outcome relationships are complex, BKMR‐Causal Mediation Analysis performs better than current mediation methods. We applied our methodology to quantify the contribution of birth length as a mediator between in utero co‐exposure to arsenic, manganese, and lead, and children's neurodevelopmental scores, in a prospective birth cohort in Bangladesh. Among younger children, we found a negative (adverse) association between the metal mixture and neurodevelopment. We also found evidence that birth length mediates the effect of exposure to the metal mixture on neurodevelopment for younger children. If birth length were fixed to its percentile value, the harmful effect of the metal mixture on neurodevelopment is attenuated, suggesting nutritional interventions to help increase fetal growth, and thus birth length, could potentially block the harmful effect of the metal mixture on neurodevelopment.

Abstract There is growing evidence showing that sex disparity in lung cancer risk cannot be fully explained by sex differences in smoking behavior, implying existence of genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development. However, the information about sex dimorphism in lung cancer risk is quite limited despite the great success in lung cancer association studies. By adopting a stringent two-stage analysis strategy, we performed a genome-wide gene-sex interaction analysis using genotype from a lung cancer cohort including ~ 47,000 individuals with European ancestry. Three low-frequency variants (minor allele frequency < 0.05), rs17662871 (OR=0.71, p=4.29x10-8); rs79942605 (OR=2.17, p=2.81x10-8); and rs208908 (OR=0.70, p=4.54x10-8), were identified with different risk effect of lung cancer between men and women. Further eQTL and functional annotation analysis suggested rs208908 affect lung cancer risk through differential regulation of CXADR (Coxsackie Virus And Adenovirus Receptor) gene expression in lung tissues between men and women. Our study is one of the first studies to provide novel insights about the genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development.