Johnson, Keith A.

Importance In vivo biomarkers for detecting neuropathologies from repetitive head impacts (RHI), including chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE), are needed. Objective To evaluate the utility of plasma phosphorylated tau 217 (p-tau217), assess its performance as a beta-amyloid (Aβ) biomarker in participants with RHI exposure at risk for CTE, and explore concordance with CTE neuropathology in a postmortem subsample. Design, Setting, and Participants This longitudinal, multicenter, case-control study used data from the Diagnostics, Imaging, and Genetics Network for the Objective Study and Evaluation of CTE (DIAGNOSE CTE) Research Project, collected from September 2016 to October 2023. Participants were former American football players (case participants) and asymptomatic men unexposed to RHI (control participants). A subsample had available neuropathologic data. Exposures RHI, traumatic encephalopathy syndrome (TES) diagnoses, and levels of CTE certainty. Main Outcomes and Measures Plasma p-tau217 (classified as positive [≥0.63 pg/mL], intermediate [0.40-0.62 pg/mL], and negative [<0.40 pg/mL]), Aβ–positron emission tomography (PET; 18 F-florbetapir; with Aβ-positive defined as a standardized uptake value ratio [SUVR] ≥1.10), and tau-PET ( 18 F-flortaucipir). TES diagnoses were assigned by multidisciplinary consensus conference. Analyses of postmortem brains controlled for age, race, and APOE ε4 status. Results Among 231 participants (mean [SD] age, 57.75 [8.25] years), 177 were former football players (117 professional and 60 college) and 54 were unexposed participants. Former football players had higher baseline mean (SD) p-tau217 concentrations than unexposed participants (0.35 [0.26] pg/mL vs 0.27 [0.14] pg/mL; P = .008), although this was driven by a higher proportion of Aβ-PET–positive participants among former players. Plasma p-tau217 increased over time across the sample (B = 0.207 [95% CI, 0.117-0.298]; P < .001), with no significant time × exposure group interactions. Among football players, p-tau217 showed no time × group interactions with TES diagnosis, TES-CTE certainty, or RHI metrics. Higher p-tau217 concentration correlated with higher global Aβ-PET SUVR (B = 0.058 [95% CI, 0.053-3.501; P = .01), with a few discordant cases (5 participants were p-tau217–negative and Aβ-PET–positive; 7 participants were p-tau217–positive and Aβ-PET–negative). P-tau217 had similar areas under the curve for projecting Aβ-PET positivity as cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) p-tau181/Aβ42 and CSF Aβ40/42 measures (p-tau217: AUC, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.80-0.96]; CSF p-tau181/Aβ42: AUC, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.79-1.00]; CSF Aβ40/42: AUC, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.72-0.98]). Among 9 brain donors, 6 had CTE (stages II-IV; none with Alzheimer disease). Seven had negative or intermediate p-tau217, concordant with Aβ-PET. Two p-tau217 outliers with stage III CTE had normal concentrations upon additional testing. Conclusions and Relevance The findings of this study suggest that plasma p-tau217 concentration is unlikely to be useful for the detection of CTE, but it does show utility for ruling out Aβ pathology in participants at risk for CTE.

Abstract Repetitive head impacts sustained during American football have been associated with neuropathological changes such as white matter shear injuries. However, the impact of specific factors, such as age of first exposure and cumulative head impact burden, on white matter integrity remains unclear. This study investigated in vivo white matter microstructural changes using diffusion tensor imaging and tract-based spatial statistics in 165 male former American football players (mean age 57.3 years, range 45–74) and 52 unexposed asymptomatic male controls (mean age 59.4 years, range 45–74) in the DIAGNOSE CTE Research Project. Compared to controls, former football players exhibited significantly higher fractional anisotropy (FA) in 1.97% of the white matter skeleton (1552 voxels; Cohen’s d = 0.587) and higher tissue-corrected FA (FAt) in 1.48% of the white matter skeleton (1004 voxels; Cohen’s d = 0.616). No significant differences were observed for mean diffusivity, axial diffusivity, radial diffusivity, or free water between football players and controls. Among football players, there were no significant differences in the white matter microstructure between players diagnosed with traumatic encephalopathy syndrome and those without the diagnosis. Lower FA was significantly associated with older age (P < 0.00001) and an earlier age of first exposure to tackle football (P < 0.01), while lower FAt was associated with greater cumulative head impact burden, specifically higher linear acceleration (P < 0.04) and rotational force (P < 0.02). This study highlights the influential role of exposure factors on white matter microstructure in former American football players, as well as the utility of diffusion tensor imaging to aid in characterizing the long-term effects of repetitive head impacts in contact sport athletes.

Importance Alzheimer disease (AD) biomarker and genetic testing results are increasingly disclosed to cognitively unimpaired adults in research and could in the future inform clinical treatment decisions in this population. Objectives To assess psychological outcomes after returning 3 categories of amyloid biomarker results as well as apolipoprotein E ( APOE ) genotypes. Design, Setting, and Participants This cohort study was a secondary analysis of data collected as part of screening for the multisite AHEAD preclinical AD trial. Participants were individuals aged 55 to 80 years undergoing screening from July 14, 2020, to October 15, 2024. Exposure Participants were informed whether they had not-detected, intermediate, or elevated amyloid positron emission tomography levels, as well as their APOE genotype, which were categorized as noncarrier, ε4 heterozygote, or ε4 homozygote. Main outcomes and measures Impact of Events Scale (IES; 15 items to assess intrusive thoughts and avoidance; each item is scored as not at all [0], rarely [1], sometimes [3], or often [5]; total range, 0-75), collected 24 to 72 hours after disclosure, and change in a scale measuring concerns about AD dementia (adapted scale using 6 items in which participants indicated their level of agreement with statements related to their perceived probability of developing AD dementia; items scored as strongly disagree [1] through strongly agree [5]; total range, 6-30), calculated by subtracting the score collected before biomarker testing from 1 collected after biomarker and genetic test results disclosure. Results Among 3414 included individuals, the mean (SD) age was 68.8 (6.0) years and 2116 (62%) were female. Group mean IES scores were below clinically significant thresholds. Nevertheless, across genetic groups, learning an elevated amyloid result (1184 participants) was associated with higher IES (mean [SD], 10.5 [10.9]) than intermediate amyloid (482 participants; mean [SD] IES, 8.8 [9.8]), and intermediate amyloid was associated with higher scores than not-detected amyloid (1748 participants; mean [SD] IES, 6.5 [8.4]). Across amyloid groups, learning APOE ε4 homozygosity (337 participants) was associated with higher mean (SD) IES (12.7 [11.6]) than heterozygosity (1609 participants; 9.1 [10.2]), and heterozygosity was associated with higher IES than noncarrier status (1468 participants; mean [SD] IES, 6.2 [8.1]). Both types of information were significant in an analysis of covariance model; no interaction effect was observed. In contrast, only biomarker disclosure was associated with differential change in concerns about AD dementia. Those with elevated amyloid showed a mean (SD) increase in concern (0.8 [3.5]), those with intermediate amyloid showed a smaller increase (0.4 [3.7]), and those with not-detected amyloid showed decreased concerns (−1.1 [4.2]). Conclusions and Relevance In this cohort study of cognitively unimpaired adults, associations with intrusive thoughts were observed to differ among genetic and biomarker subgroups; such associations were limited to biomarker subgroups for measures of perceived dementia risk.

Abstract Background Sex, education and race/ethnicity are all associated with risk of Alzheimer's disease dementia. Here, we assess the effects of self‐reported sex, educational attainment and race/ethnicity on amyloid‐positivity, and tau‐PET‐positivity in 12,048 (7,394 cognitively unimpaired [CU], 2,177 MCI, and 2,477 dementia) individuals from 42 cohorts worldwide. Method Logistic generalized estimating equations were used to estimate frequency of amyloid‐positivity (using cohort‐specific thresholds for amyloid‐PET [84%] or CSF) and tau‐PET‐positivity (cohort‐specific thresholds of 2SD above mean temporal uptake in amyloid‐negative controls). We assessed: i) sex and APOEε4 ( N = 10,098) associations, to complement earlier findings of a higher frequency of tau‐positivity in females, ii) effects of lower/higher education ( N = 10,970; cohort‐specific median‐split), and iii) effects of race/ethnicity (non‐Hispanic White [hereafter: White], N = 4880; Asian, N = 116; Black or African‐American [hereafter: Black], N = 353; Hispanic, N = 356, only from Northern‐American cohorts). Outcomes were frequency of amyloid‐positivity in CU individuals only, and tau‐PET‐positivity in both amyloid‐positive (AB+) CU and cognitively impaired (CI, i.e. MCI and dementia) individuals. Interaction effects on the relationship between age and amyloid/tau‐positivity were assessed and only retained in the models when significant. Result Female sex was associated with an APOEε4 ‐independent increased frequency of amyloid‐positivity (β=0.51[0.22], p = 0.02) in CU and increase of tau‐positivity in both AB+CU (β=0.27[0.08]) and AB+CI (β=0.37[0.08], both p <0.01). Remarkably, tau‐positivity frequencies of female APOEε4 non‐carriers were equivalent to male APOEε4 carriers in AB+CI (Figure 1). No significant sex* APOE interactions were observed. In CU, higher education was associated with lower amyloid‐positivity frequency (β=‐0.12[0.05], p = 0.02). In contrast, among AB+CU, there was an age*education interaction effect that indicated more pronounced age effects on tau‐positivity in individuals with higher education (age*education:β interaction =0.03[0.01], p <0.01). There were no education effects in AB+CI (Figure 2). In CU, an age*race/ethnicity interaction effect was observed across all non‐White groups compared to White (Hispanic:β interaction =‐0.05[0.01], p <0.01; Black:‐0.04[0.01], p <0.01; Asian:‐0.02[0.01], p = 0.04). This suggests that the impact of age on amyloid‐positivity was less pronounced in non‐White groups. Furthermore, in AB+CI, Hispanic ethnicity was related to higher tau‐positivity frequency than White (β=0.51[0.22], p = 0.02; Figure 3). Conclusion In this multi‐center initiative comprised of clinical and community‐based cohorts, we observed that self‐reported sex, educational attainment and race/ethnicity were related to positivity‐frequencies of Alzheimer's disease pathology.

Abstract Background The Joint Propagation Model (JPM)‐based CenTauR scale was recently introduced to harmonize tau‐PET quantification across different radiotracers. This study examined how CenTauR harmonization enhances the comparability of tau‐PET quantification across matched cohorts using different tracers. The evaluation focused on three key aspects: (1) comparing tau‐PET positivity rates as defined by CenTauR, (2) evaluating its diagnostic accuracy for symptomatic AD, and (3) analyzing longitudinal changes in tau‐PET rates over time. Method The JPM, developed by the CPAD‐led Tau PET Harmonization Working Group (Leuzy et al., Alzheimers Dement. 2024; Figure 1A), models relationships between anchor point subjects and head‐to‐head tau‐PET SUVR data onto the CenTauR scale, providing conversion equations for multiple tracers. JPM equations were applied to [ 18 F]flortaucipir SUVR (Meta‐temporal ROI) data from 561 cognitively impaired participants in the ADNI and OASIS‐3 studies. Using ROC analysis, we determined the CenTauR cut‐off for positivity (T+) that maximized the Youden index for discriminating between FDA‐approved positive/negative visual reads. Three separate cohorts, scanned using [ 18 F]flortaucipir (ADNI), [ 18 F]MK‐6240 (CPAS), and [ 18 F]RO‐948 (BioFINDER‐2), were matched 1:1 by age, MMSE, amyloid‐β, and clinical diagnosis. CenTauR‐based metrics were compared across these cohorts. Result A cut‐off of 18 CenTauRs was found to optimally classify [ 18 F]flortaucipir PET visual reads (Figure 1B). The matching procedure identified 1089 participants (363 per cohort). The frequency of T+ using the 18 CenTauRs cut‐off for the Meta‐Temporal ROI was highly comparable across tracers across groups, except for the Aβ‐positive cognitively unimpaired group, where variability was more pronounced due to a smaller sample size (Figure 2A). Similarly, tau‐PET discriminative accuracy for symptomatic AD vs controls remained similar across [ 18 F]flortaucipir and [ 18 F]MK‐6240 (Figure 2B). In a separate sample of 212 matched participants from ADNI ([ 18 F]flortaucipir) and AIBL ([ 18 F]MK‐6240) with baseline and 1‐year follow‐up tau‐PET scans, 1‐year change in CenTauRs was comparable (Figure 2C). An exploratory voxelwise transformation, utilizing the Meta‐Temporal conversion equation in a representative case scanned with both [ 18 F]flortaucipir and [ 18 F]MK‐6240, demonstrates the potential for voxelwise CenTauR harmonization (Figure 3). Conclusion These analyses suggest that CenTauR harmonization increases the comparability of tau‐PET data acquired with different tracers. Additional validation analyses with larger cohorts including other radiotracers ([ 18 F]PI‐2620) are underway.

Abstract Background The Joint Propagation Model (JPM)‐based CenTauR scale was recently introduced to harmonize tau‐PET quantification across different radiotracers. This study examined how CenTauR harmonization enhances the comparability of tau‐PET quantification across matched cohorts using different tracers. The evaluation focused on three key aspects: (1) comparing tau‐PET positivity rates as defined by CenTauR, (2) evaluating its diagnostic accuracy for symptomatic AD, and (3) analyzing longitudinal changes in tau‐PET rates over time. Method The JPM, developed by the CPAD‐led Tau PET Harmonization Working Group (Leuzy et al., Alzheimers Dement. 2024; Figure 1A), models relationships between anchor point subjects and head‐to‐head tau‐PET SUVR data onto the CenTauR scale, providing conversion equations for multiple tracers. JPM equations were applied to [¹⁸F]flortaucipir SUVR (Meta‐temporal ROI) data from 561 cognitively impaired participants in the ADNI and OASIS‐3 studies. Using ROC analysis, we determined the CenTauR cut‐off for positivity (T+) that maximized the Youden index for discriminating between FDA‐approved positive/negative visual reads. Three separate cohorts, scanned using [¹⁸F]flortaucipir (ADNI), [¹⁸F]MK‐6240 (CPAS), and [¹⁸F]RO‐948 (BioFINDER‐2), were matched 1:1 by age, MMSE, amyloid‐β, and clinical diagnosis. CenTauR‐based metrics were compared across these cohorts. Result A cut‐off of 18 CenTauRs was found to optimally classify [ 18 F]flortaucipir PET visual reads (Figure 1B). The matching procedure identified 1089 participants (363 per cohort). The frequency of T+ using the 18 CenTauRs cut‐off for the Meta‐Temporal ROI was highly comparable across tracers across groups, except for the Aβ‐positive cognitively unimpaired group, where variability was more pronounced due to a smaller sample size (Figure 2A). Similarly, tau‐PET discriminative accuracy for symptomatic AD vs controls remained similar across [ 18 F]flortaucipir and [ 18 F]MK‐6240 (Figure 2B). In a separate sample of 212 matched participants from ADNI ([¹⁸F]flortaucipir) and AIBL ([¹⁸F]MK‐6240) with baseline and 1‐year follow‐up tau‐PET scans, 1‐year change in CenTauRs was comparable (Figure 2C). An exploratory voxelwise transformation, utilizing the Meta‐Temporal conversion equation in a representative case scanned with both [¹⁸F]flortaucipir and [¹⁸F]MK‐6240, demonstrates the potential for voxelwise CenTauR harmonization (Figure 3). Conclusion These analyses suggest that CenTauR harmonization increases the comparability of tau‐PET data acquired with different tracers. Additional validation analyses with larger cohorts including other radiotracers ([¹⁸F]PI‐2620) are underway.

Abstract Repetitive head impacts are common in contact and collision sports and are linked to structural brain changes and an elevated risk of neurodegenerative diseases such as Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy. Identifying early in vivo structural markers remains challenging. Although diagnosis currently requires post-mortem confirmation, clinical symptoms, including cognitive impairment and behavioural changes, are reflected in the diagnosis of Traumatic Encephalopathy Syndrome. These symptoms align with dysfunction in key brain regions—amygdala, hippocampus and thalamus—which support memory, emotion and behaviour and commonly show tau pathology in Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy. This study uses shape analysis to examine structural differences in these regions between former American football players and unexposed asymptomatic controls and evaluates the influence of age, head impact exposure and clinical diagnosis on brain structure. We analyzed brain morphology in former American football players (n = 163) and unexposed, asymptomatic controls (n = 53). Structural segmentation was performed with FreeSurfer 7.1, and the shape analysis pipeline was used to generate subregional reconstructions. Vertex-level morphometry, based on the logarithm of the Jacobian determinant and radial distance, quantified local surface area dilation and thickness. Group differences were examined with covariate-adjusted linear regression models contrasting football players and controls, as well as participants with and without a Traumatic Encephalopathy Syndrome diagnosis. Partial correlations examined the influence of age, age of first football exposure and cumulative head impact index metrics, including frequency, linear acceleration and rotational force. Models were adjusted accordingly for age, body mass index, education, race, imaging site, apolipoprotein ϵ4 status and total intracranial volume. Former football players exhibited bilateral surface area contractions in the hippocampus and amygdala, along with reduced amygdala thickness, compared to controls. Older age was associated with widespread surface contractions and thinning across all regions, except for preserved thickness in the left hippocampus. An earlier age of first exposure to football correlated with surface contractions in the thalamus and left hippocampus. Greater cumulative linear acceleration was linked to bilateral hippocampal surface contractions and reduced thickness in the left thalamus, while greater rotational force exposure was associated with hippocampal thinning. No significant structural differences were found between players with and without a diagnosis of Traumatic Encephalopathy Syndrome. These findings extend volume-based research by revealing localized alterations in surface area dilation and thickness and emphasize the roles of age and repetitive head impact exposure in long-term brain changes.

Abstract Repetitive head impacts are associated with structural brain changes and an increased risk for chronic traumatic encephalopathy, a progressive neurodegenerative disease that can only be diagnosed after death. Chronic traumatic encephalopathy is defined by the abnormal accumulation of phosphorylated tau protein, particularly at the depths of the superior frontal sulci, suggesting that sulcal morphology may serve as a relevant structural biomarker. Contact sport athletes, such as former football players, are at elevated risk due to their prolonged exposure to repetitive head impacts. Cortical atrophy linked to underlying tau accumulation may result in shallower and wider sulci, potentially making sulcal morphology an imaging marker for identifying individuals at risk for this disease. This study investigated sulcal morphological differences in former football players and examined associations with age, football-related exposure, clinical diagnosis of traumatic encephalopathy syndrome, levels of certainty for chronic traumatic encephalopathy pathology, neuropsychological performance, and positron emission tomography imaging using flortaucipir. We analysed structural magnetic resonance imaging data from 169 male former football players (mean age 57.2 (8.2) years, range 45–74) and 54 age-matched, unexposed asymptomatic male controls (mean age 59.4 (8.5) years, range 45–74). Sulcal depth and width were quantified using the CalcSulc, focusing on two regions in each hemisphere commonly affected by chronic traumatic encephalopathy pathology: the superior frontal and occipitotemporal sulci. Generalized least squares models were used to assess group differences and interactions with age and football exposure variables, including age of first exposure, total years played, and cumulative head impact exposure. An analysis of covariance evaluated relationships between sulcal morphology, clinical measures, and flortaucipir uptake, adjusting for age, race, body mass index, education, imaging site, apolipoprotein E4 status, and total intracranial volume. Former football players demonstrated significantly shallower sulcal depth in the left superior frontal sulcus compared to unexposed controls. Earlier age of first exposure and longer football careers were associated with greater widening of the left occipitotemporal sulcus. Higher cumulative head impact exposure was linked to reduced sulcal depth in the left superior frontal region. However, sulcal morphology was not associated with clinical diagnosis, levels of certainty, neuropsychological test performance, or flortaucipir imaging. These findings suggest that sulcal morphology may reflect cumulative exposure to repetitive head impacts, particularly in brain regions vulnerable to chronic traumatic encephalopathy pathology. Future ante- and post-mortem validation studies are needed to determine whether sulcal morphology can serve as a reliable in vivo biomarker of risk.

Importance Tau positron emission tomography (PET) allows in vivo detection of neurofibrillary tangles, a core neuropathologic feature of Alzheimer disease (AD). Objective To provide estimates of the frequency of tau PET positivity and its associated risk of clinical outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants Longitudinal study using data pooled from 21 cohorts, comprising a convenience sample of 6514 participants from 13 countries, collected between January 2013 and June 2024. Cognitively unimpaired individuals and patients with a clinical diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment (MCI), AD dementia, or other neurodegenerative disorders were included. Exposures Tau PET with flortaucipir F 18, amyloid-β (Aβ) PET, and clinical examinations. Tau PET scans were visually rated as positive according to a US Food and Drug Administration– and European Medicines Agency–approved method, designed to indicate the presence of advanced neurofibrillary tangle pathology (Braak stages V-VI). Main Outcomes and Measures Frequency of tau PET positivity and absolute risk of clinical progression (eg, progression to MCI or dementia). Results Among the 6514 participants (mean age, 69.5 years; 50.5% female), median follow-up time ranged from 1.5 to 4.0 years. Of 3487 cognitively unimpaired participants, 349 (9.8%) were tau PET positive; the estimated frequency of tau PET positivity was less than 1% in those aged younger than 50 years, and increased from 3% (95% CI, 2%-4%) at 60 years to 19% (95% CI, 16%-24%) at 90 years. Tau PET positivity frequency estimates increased across MCI and AD dementia clinical diagnoses (43% [95% CI, 41%-46%] and 79% [95% CI, 77%-82%] at 75 years, respectively). Most tau PET–positive individuals (92%) were also Aβ PET positive. Cognitively unimpaired participants who were positive for both Aβ PET and tau PET had a higher absolute risk of progression to MCI or dementia over the following 5 years (57% [95% CI, 45%-71%]) compared with both Aβ PET–positive/tau PET–negative (17% [95% CI, 13%-22%]) and Aβ PET–negative/tau PET–negative (6% [95% CI, 5%-8%]) individuals. Among participants with MCI at the time of the tau PET scan, an Aβ PET–positive/tau PET–positive profile was associated with a 5-year absolute risk of progression to dementia of 70% (95% CI, 59%-81%). Conclusions and Relevance In a large convenience sample, a positive tau PET scan occurred at a nonnegligible rate among cognitively unimpaired individuals, and the combination of Aβ PET positivity and tau PET positivity was associated with a high risk of clinical progression in both preclinical and symptomatic stages of AD. These findings underscore the potential of tau PET as a biomarker for staging AD pathology.

AbstractBackgroundThe residual approach has found wide application in researching cognitive resilience, a phenomenon conceptually understood as cognitive performance being better‐than‐typical for an individual, despite apparent AD pathology. The standard residual approach extracts information about an individual’s resilience from the residuals of a linear model predicting cognition. This approach is subject to several limiting assumptions. Here, we explore the implications of these assumptions and propose an alternative predictive modeling approach which circumvents them.MethodsOur alternative approach relies on training a machine learning model on a sample of participants who follow a “typical” clinical progression (Fig. 1A). Residuals are then extracted for a heterogeneous dataset that potentially includes resilient participants by comparing observed cognitive outcomes to those predicted by the “typical” model (Fig. 1B). Additionally, our estimate can be refined by effectively estimating and removing model error from the extracted residual by leveraging a second predictive model (Fig. 1C). Using simulated data, we explore the assumptions made by the standard approach and the consequences of their violation. We then contrast this against our approach.ResultsOur simulations demonstrated that the standard residual approach only extracted accurate resilience estimates if the predictors used in the model explained cognition sufficiently well, while being unrelated to resilience itself. That is, as the predictors explain more of the resilience, the residuals became increasingly determined by model error (Fig. 2). We found that residuals achieved with our approach are more precise and provide individualized estimates that are unaffected by the aforementioned trade‐off (Fig. 3).ConclusionsOur approach holds several advantages over the standard approach: The definition of resilience can be freely adjusted and enforced via different definitions of “typical”, it allows for incorporating complex, non‐linear models without removing relevant information from the residual, the error component of the residual can be estimated through cross‐validation, and all predictors that potentially explain cognition can be included into the model without losing resilience information from the residual. Our approach can be used to measure any phenomenon that can be operationalized as a deviation from a typical outcome and, thus, is also applicable for researching resistance to pathology.