Resnick, Susan M.

Abstract INTRODUCTION New methods estimate amyloid positivity onset age (EAOA) from amyloid positron emission tomography (PET). We explore the genetics of EAOA to identify molecular factors underlying the earliest Alzheimer's disease (AD) changes. METHODS Harmonized amyloid PET data from 4216 participants were used in genome‐wide survival, tissue‐specific gene expression, and genetic covariance analyses of EAOA. RESULTS Variants in apolipoprotein E ( APOE ), ABCA7 , and RASGEF1C associated with earlier EAOA. APOE ε4/ε4 and ε3/ε4 converted 6.3 and 5 years earlier than ε3/ε3, respectively. ε2 was protective against earlier EAOA. rs4147929, an expression quantitative trait locus for ABCA7 , associated with a 4 year earlier EAOA. This variant was associated with lower brain expression of ABCA7 , which was associated with increased amyloid pathology at autopsy. Multiple immune‐related diseases shared genetic covariance with EAOA. DISCUSSION APOE , ABCA7 , and RASGEF1C associated with earlier EAOA, with supporting evidence from tissue‐specific expression analyses, offering insights into intervenable targets at early stages of AD. Highlights Novel methods estimate how long ago a patient converted to amyloid positivity. Estimating this amyloid clock allows us to determine the onset of the earliest Alzheimer's disease changes. We evaluated what genes influence when someone converts to amyloid positivity. Apolipoprotein E ( APOE ) , ABCA7 , and RASGEF1C associated with earlier age of amyloid positivity. Genetic results were supported by tissue‐specific expression analyses.

Background: Cognitive change is an important factor in understanding dementia. Estimating effects of exposures on cognitive change requires choosing an analytical timescale, typically time on study or current age. There is limited consensus regarding timescale choice in epidemiologic cognitive aging research. Methods: Using a coordinated analytic approach in 10 cohorts of older adults, we evaluated whether estimated effects of two exposures on memory change differed depending on timescale (time on study or current age). We modeled effects of apolipoprotein-E (APOE) ε4 genotype (a time-invariant exposure) and diabetes (a potentially time-varying/acquired exposure evaluated at baseline) using mixed-effects models with linear and nonlinear time specifications for both timescales. Results: Among APOE ε4 carriers, model-estimated memory scores at baseline (time on study timescale) or at each cohort’s median baseline age (current age timescale) were lower, and the average rate of decline was faster than among APOE ε4 noncarriers. Model-estimated memory scores at baseline or at median baseline age were generally similar across baseline diabetes status, with variability across cohorts in the diabetes-memory change association. In some cohorts, trends in diabetes-memory change associations differed in direction across timescales. Conclusions: Timescale was largely inconsequential for estimated effects of APOE genotype, but yielded differences in estimated diabetes effects, raising questions about the appropriate scale. The current age scale may be problematic because diabetes was measured heterogeneously in age across individuals, a common issue in aging cohorts. Our work demonstrates approaches to evaluate alternative timescales, including in multicohort analyses, and highlights potential implications for estimated exposure effects on cognitive change.

AbstractBackgroundThe residual approach has found wide application in researching cognitive resilience, a phenomenon conceptually understood as cognitive performance being better‐than‐typical for an individual, despite apparent AD pathology. The standard residual approach extracts information about an individual’s resilience from the residuals of a linear model predicting cognition. This approach is subject to several limiting assumptions. Here, we explore the implications of these assumptions and propose an alternative predictive modeling approach which circumvents them.MethodsOur alternative approach relies on training a machine learning model on a sample of participants who follow a “typical” clinical progression (Fig. 1A). Residuals are then extracted for a heterogeneous dataset that potentially includes resilient participants by comparing observed cognitive outcomes to those predicted by the “typical” model (Fig. 1B). Additionally, our estimate can be refined by effectively estimating and removing model error from the extracted residual by leveraging a second predictive model (Fig. 1C). Using simulated data, we explore the assumptions made by the standard approach and the consequences of their violation. We then contrast this against our approach.ResultsOur simulations demonstrated that the standard residual approach only extracted accurate resilience estimates if the predictors used in the model explained cognition sufficiently well, while being unrelated to resilience itself. That is, as the predictors explain more of the resilience, the residuals became increasingly determined by model error (Fig. 2). We found that residuals achieved with our approach are more precise and provide individualized estimates that are unaffected by the aforementioned trade‐off (Fig. 3).ConclusionsOur approach holds several advantages over the standard approach: The definition of resilience can be freely adjusted and enforced via different definitions of “typical”, it allows for incorporating complex, non‐linear models without removing relevant information from the residual, the error component of the residual can be estimated through cross‐validation, and all predictors that potentially explain cognition can be included into the model without losing resilience information from the residual. Our approach can be used to measure any phenomenon that can be operationalized as a deviation from a typical outcome and, thus, is also applicable for researching resistance to pathology.

AbstractBackgroundStructural variants range from simple loss or gain of genetic material to complex events that restructure entire chromosomes. This heterogeneity coupled with variant size greater than sequencing read‐length makes structural variant mapping from short‐read sequencing data difficult and error‐prone. Consequently, the role of structural variants is poorly explored in many phenotypes, including dementia.MethodWe used the GATK‐SV pipeline that combines four external structural variant mapping algorithms with machine‐learning to build high‐quality consensus structural variant calls. We applied GATK‐SV to short‐read whole‐genome sequencing data of 2,601 frontotemporal dementia‐amyotrophic lateral sclerosis spectrum (FTD/ALS) patients, 2,612 Lewy body dementia (LBD) patients, and 4,132 neurologically unaffected participants.ResultAfter stringent quality‐control, we performed genome‐wide association studies on 2,307 ALS/FTD patients versus 3,677 controls with 4,699 common structural variants and 2,355 LBD patients versus 3,700 controls with 4,889 common structural variants. In the FTD/ALS cohort, we identified well‐known risk variants at the C9orf72 (p‐value = 4.99×10‐18, OR = 14.47, 95% CI = 7.90–26.49) and MAPT loci (p‐value = 3.48×10‐6, OR = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.68–0.86) corroborating the ability of our pipeline to identify disease‐associated structural variants. Moreover, we discovered, replicated, and validated TPCN1 as a novel risk locus for LBD (p‐value = 9.18×10‐6, OR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.22–1.67). Further, we identified rare exonic variants with known pathogenic or likely pathogenic effects, such as an SNCA gene duplication in LBD and a deletion of exons 1 and 2 in CHCHD10 in FTD/ALS. We additionally observed structural variants in regulatory regions, e.g. a deletion of a key PSEN2 enhancer, which resulted in an approximate 0.70 fold‐change in PSEN2 expression in LBD. Finally, we built an interactive web app where structural variants can be visualized and explored (https://ndru-ndrs-lng-nih.shinyapps.io/non_ad_dementias_sv_app/).ConclusionCommon and rare structural variants play a role in LBD and FTD/ALS. Our structural variant resource is publicly available and can be used to further explore the role of structural variants in LBD and FTD/ALS.

AbstractBackgroundBlood phosphorylated tau (p‐tau) has proven to be the primary candidate as an accessible and scalable biomarker for Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Both p‐tau181 and p‐tau217 are highly accurate to detect AD within dementia cases. Our recent work in cerebrospinal fluid, however, indicates p‐tau231 to be associated to incipient AD pathology. In light of this, we developed a Single molecule array (Simoa) to detect plasma p‐tau231 and assessed its performance in multiple domains, specifically, its ability to detect preclinical AD.MethodIn all cohorts, plasma p‐tau231 was quantified using an in‐house Simoa method developed at the Clinical Neurochemistry Laboratory, Gothenburg University, Sweden. Data presented in this study are samples acquired from Translational Biomarkers of Aging and Dementia (TRIAD, n=503), King’s College London (n=55), Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (n=145), KARVIAH (n=140), Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (n=430), University College London (n=70), Paris University (n=213), PREVENT‐AD (n=257), University of California (n=309) and ALFA+ (n=385).ResultIn the TRIAD cohort, plasma p‐tau231 demonstrated high accuracy in determining AD from young individuals (AUC=0.95), Aβ‐ elderly (AUC=0.92), Aβ‐ MCI (AUC=0.88) and other neurodegenerative disorders (AUC=0.92). In an autopsy study, plasma p‐tau231 could detect neuropathologically confirmed AD amongst dementia cases (AUC=0.99). In comparing healthy elderly Aβ‐ and Aβ+ individuals, p‐tau231 predicted preclinical Aβ pathology (AUC=0.83). Furthermore, inflection points of the weighted regression curves demonstrate that increases in plasma p‐tau231 occur before plasma p‐tau181 as a function of Aβ deposition load. Plasma p‐tau231 data from additional cohorts will focus on cross‐sectional and longitudinal preclinical datasets. In addition, further data will show the performance of p‐tau231 in symptomatic and presymptomatic PSEN1/APP mutation carriers, memory clinic cohorts, longitudinal neuropathology confirmed and acute neurological injury.ConclusionPlasma p‐tau231 is a new biomarker specific for AD pathology and at higher concentrations relative to p‐tau181 and p‐tau217. Our initial results indicate that plasma p‐tau231 is equivalent to p‐tau181 in diagnostic utility but has greater potential as a biomarker to monitor emerging Aβ pathology. This presentation will give an overview of novel cross‐sectional and longitudinal plasma p‐tau231 data, in more than 3000 individuals, that encompasses the AD continuum, familial AD and other neurological conditions.

AbstractBackgroundHearing impairment is associated with cognitive decline but whether it is a cause or marker is unknown. We investigated the association of hearing impairment with brain volumes and 8‐year cognitive decline. Because the superior temporal gyrus (STG) is the location of the primary auditory cortex, we stratified results by STG volume to investigate if the association of hearing and cognition differed among participants with and without evidence of possible hearing‐related brain atrophy.MethodWe used data from 1195 community‐dwelling adults (72‐94 years, 61% female, 36% black) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. A composite cognitive score was created from 10 neuropsychological tests administered at 3 study visits spanning 8 years (2011‐13 to 2018‐19). Brain volumes were calculated from structural magnetic resonance imaging scans for 6 regions of interest. Pure tone air conduction hearing thresholds (frequencies 0.5‐4 kHz) were obtained in 2016‐17 and averaged, with better‐ear hearing impairment defined as an average >25 dB. Multivariable‐adjusted linear regression was used to estimate cross‐sectional differences in standardized brain volumes, adjusting for intracranial volume, demographic and clinical covariates. We estimated differences in annual rates of cognitive change by hearing impairment status adjusting for demographic and clinical covariates using linear mixed models; results were stratified by intracranial volume‐adjusted STG volume (below vs. equal to or greater than the median value).ResultThe mean STG volume difference comparing hearing impairment to normal hearing was ‐0.121 standard deviations (SD) (95% CI: ‐0.213, ‐0.028). Overall, the difference in the rate of cognitive decline associated with hearing impairment was ‐0.014 SD (‐0.023, ‐0.005). Hearing was more strongly associated with cognitive decline among participants with smaller STG volumes; rate difference, ‐0.014 SD (‐0.027, ‐0.002) compared to ‐0.008 (‐0.022, 0.006) for participants with larger STG volumes.ConclusionHearing impairment was associated with smaller brain volumes in the primary auditory region, but not with other regions. Our stratified analysis suggests that hearing treatment might be an important possible strategy to delay cognitive decline, even among participants with hearing‐related brain atrophy. Furthermore, the adverse cognitive effects of hearing impairment could potentially be mitigated if early hearing treatment can prevent STG atrophy.

Abstract Recent study has shown that incident dementia risk is higher among older persons who decline in both cognition and gait. This study assesses whether this relationship exists in multiple other aging populations. Data are from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (n=662, 51%women,22%blacks), Health, Aging and Body Composition Study (n=746, 51%women,44%blacks), and Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (n=2771, 48%women,0.3%blacks). Participants were at least 60, initially free of cognitive impairment, dementia, and dismobility (gait speed≤0.6m/s), with repeated measures of verbal memory and gait speed before dementia diagnosis (average follow-up 5.8-12.1 years). Within each cohort, participants were divided into four groups: memory decliners alone, gait decliners alone, dual decliners, or neither (healthy agers). Gait speed decline was defined as a loss of ≥0.05m/sec/year; memory decline was defined as cohort specific bottom slope tertile. Incident dementia risk was examined by Cox regression with healthy agers as reference, adjusted for sex, race, baseline age, gait speed and memory. Across studies, incident dementia ranged from 3% to 17%. Compared to healthy agers, memory decliners alone had 3.4 to 4.3 times higher risk for developing dementia (p<0.01). Gait decliners alone had 2.1-5.6 times higher risk for dementia (p<0.05). Dual decliners had 7.6-10.8 times the risk (p<0.001). Dual decline signifies a more rapid progression to dementia. These consistent findings suggest that dual decliners might be a potentially valuable target group for both preventive interventions and mechanistic studies. Whether dual decline identifies a particular subtype or multiple subtypes of dementia remains to be investigated.

AbstractThe Alzheimer's Association's Research Roundtable met in November 2017 to explore the new National Institute on Aging and the Alzheimer's Association Research Framework for Alzheimer's disease. The meeting allowed experts in the field from academia, industry, and government to provide perspectives on the new National Institute on Aging and the Alzheimer's Association Research Framework. This review will summarize the “A, T, N System” (Amyloid, Tau, and Neurodegeneration) using biomarkers and how this may be applied to clinical research and drug development. In addition, challenges and barriers to the potential adoption of this new framework will be discussed. Finally, future directions for research will be proposed.