Knopman, David S.

Abstract Alzheimer’s disease (AD) emerges from multi-scale interactions between molecular pathology and disruptions in large-scale brain network dynamics. Understanding how these processes co-evolve and relate to disease stages is essential for advancing complex systems models of aging and AD, and for developing system-informed interventions. However, progress has been limited by a lack of large-scale longitudinal data. To address this, we examined the longitudinal relationship between subsystems of the default mode network (DMN) (posterior DMN, ventral DMN, anterior dorsal DMN) using task-free functional MRI (fMRI) and amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) imaging in a large longitudinal cohort spanning the clinico-biological spectrum of AD (n = 1,451; 2,763 time points) using mixed-effect models. We also assessed whether patterns of DMN connectivity predicted conversion to amyloid positivity, mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and dementia using Cox proportional hazards models. Our findings reveal a dynamic interplay between amyloid accumulation and connectivity within and between DMN subsystems, with both hyper- and hypoconnectivity emerging across DMN subsystems in association with increasing amyloid burden. Importantly, survival models showed that DMN connectivity patterns predicted conversion to critical stages of the disease, including not only conversion to MCI and dementia, but also conversion to amyloid positivity in otherwise clinically unimpaired individuals who were amyloid negative at baseline. These associations were independent of age, APOE4 status, sex, education, and in-scanner motion. These results support a model in which breakdowns in tightly regulated feedback loops governing DMN physiology represent a core systems-level pathophysiology of AD. Notably, this functional dyshomeostasis precedes detectable amyloidosis on imaging. Future studies should focus on the development of robust biomarkers of brain function that can be applied at the individual level, which could in turn help support the development of therapeutic approaches targeting system-level pathophysiology.

BACKGROUND: Cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) are associated with dementia, but the impact of specific microbleed patterns (with distinct pathophysiologies) is unclear. Lobar CMBs commonly result from cerebral amyloid angiopathy (sometimes with cortical superficial siderosis [cSS]), while subcortical microbleeds indicate a hypertensive cause. This study investigates the association of CMB presence, patterns, and frequency with dementia risk. METHODS: Participants from the ARIC-NCS (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities-Neurocognitive Study), a community-based longitudinal cohort, with a 3T research magnetic resonance imaging scan at visit 5 (2011–2013) and without prior intracerebral hemorrhage or dementia were included. CMB and cSS presence and location were evaluated using a T2* gradient-recalled echo sequence. Each individual’s pattern of CMBs was classified as no CMBs, subcortical only, mixed (subcortical and lobar±cSS), lobar±cSS only, or cSS. Dementia adjudication was determined by blinded review of cognitive testing, informant interviews, and hospital discharge codes or death certificates (from follow-up visits and ongoing surveillance). Cox proportional hazards models assessed associations between CMBs and incident dementia through 2020, adjusted for demographics, vascular risk factors, and white matter hyperintensities. RESULTS: Among 1583 participants (mean age, 76 years; 24.7% cumulative dementia incidence over a median of 23.6 follow-up years), 361 had CMBs. Compared with individuals without CMBs, those with mixed (hazard ratio, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.40–2.83]) or lobar±cSS (hazard ratio, 1.96 [95% CI, 1.30–2.97]) CMB patterns had increased dementia risk, whereas individuals with a subcortical-only pattern did not (hazard ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.78–1.39]). cSS presence (n=21; versus absence) showed an increased risk of dementia (hazard ratio, 2.57 [95% CI, 1.36–4.89]). Greater numbers of microbleeds across all CMB subtypes exhibited an increased risk of dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Lobar and mixed CMB patterns and increasing numbers of CMBs are associated with incident dementia. Certain CMB patterns have differential associations with dementia, but severe enough disease burden, regardless of CMB distribution, is associated with increased dementia risk.

Abstract Associations of Alzheimer’s disease biomarker progression with cognitive decline are important to inform patient prognosis. Of particular interest is how newly available plasma biomarkers evolve relative to cognitive decline. The goals of this work are to measure how much earlier versus later an individual’s progression on plasma and PET Alzheimer’s disease biomarkers is associated with earlier versus later cognitive progression and to estimate the average timeline of progression of these processes in the population. In this cohort study of 2369 Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) and 1591 Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) participants, we fit non-linear mixed-effects models to estimate how much earlier versus later each individual progresses on plasma phosphorylated tau (p-tau)217, amyloid PET, tau PET and auditory verbal learning test (AVLT) sum of trials relative to the population mean (individual adjustment), the associations of these individual adjustments among biomarker pairs and how covariates affect the timing of biomarker progression. The association of individual adjustments implies mechanistic associations and the amount of variability in cognitive decline accounted for by each biomarker. By applying cut-off points, we also estimated the relative timing that these biomarkers become abnormal in the population. Associations of individual adjustments were moderate between all biomarkers and AVLT (R = 0.38–0.47) in the MCSA and stronger (R = 0.74–0.81) in ADNI; plasma p-tau217 accounted for 16% of the variability in timing of AVLT decline in the MCSA and 64% in ADNI. APOE ɛ4 carriership was associated with earlier biomarker progression. AVLT became abnormal after the biomarkers up to age 90, after which AVLT was estimated to become abnormal prior to tau biomarkers. The association of the timing of plasma and PET Alzheimer’s disease biomarker progression with cognitive decline was modest in the MCSA population-based sample and stronger in the Alzheimer’s disease-enriched ADNI cohort. The timing of plasma p-tau217 progression explained a similar degree of variability in AVLT progression as amyloid PET, supporting its utility as a marker of disease progression. The estimated temporal ordering of biomarkers and cognitive abnormality was as anticipated (amyloid, tau, cognition) up to the age of 90, beyond which AVLT was estimated to become abnormal prior to tau biomarkers, likely related to the effects of non-Alzheimer’s disease co-pathologies.