Lundt, Emily S

BACKGROUND: White matter hyperintensities (WMH) are widely used to assess cerebral small vessel disease but reflect late-stage injury. Diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) biomarkers have been proposed to capture earlier small vessel disease-related microstructural damage but their temporal progression relative to WMH and risk factors associated with progression remain unexplored. METHODS: We identified 2077 participants from the population-based cohort study of the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging in Olmsted County, Minnesota (aged 50–101 years) collected between 05/2005 and 09/2024 with longitudinal neuroimaging. Using multioutput nonlinear mixed-effects models in those with at least 2 fluid-attenuated inversion recovery-MRI and diffusion MRI scans, we characterized the temporal progression of WMH and 4 diffusion MRI biomarkers: fractional anisotropy of the genu of the corpus callosum, peak width of skeletonized mean diffusivity, free water, and Arteriolosclerosis-score, which were automatically estimated. Models incorporated participant-specific time shifts, correlations between biomarkers, and effects of risk factors (sex, education, APOE ε4 status, cardiometabolic conditions). RESULTS: The study population had a mean age of 78 years, 47% were women, 28% were APOE ε4 allele carriers, and 80% were cognitively unimpaired, with an average follow-up of 5.2 years (SD, 4.3 years) for fluid-attenuated inversion recovery-MRI and 4.3 years (SD, 3.9 years) for diffusion MRI. Arteriolosclerosis-score, fractional anisotropy of the genu of the corpus callosum, free water, and peak width of skeletonized mean diffusivity became abnormal in 50% of the study population 16, 12, 10, and 7 years before WMH become abnormal (half-width of CI <1 year), respectively. Global markers (Arteriolosclerosis-score, free water, peak width of skeletonized mean diffusivity, and WMH) were correlated, indicating shared substrates of widespread white matter injury. Fractional anisotropy of the genu of the corpus callosum, a vascular risk microstructural injury biomarker, was weakly coupled with WMH and had an earlier but more linear worsening across adulthood. Cardiometabolic conditions predicted earlier worsening of all biomarkers. Female participants showed earlier WMH, fractional anisotropy of the genu of the corpus callosum, and Arteriolosclerosis-score abnormalities, whereas male participants exhibited earlier peak width of skeletonized mean diffusivity and free water abnormalities. CONCLUSIONS: Diffusion MRI biomarkers were abnormal at least a decade before WMH become abnormal in the population, revealing a prolonged phase of early small vessel disease and highlighting their potential for small vessel disease prevention.

Abstract Associations of Alzheimer’s disease biomarker progression with cognitive decline are important to inform patient prognosis. Of particular interest is how newly available plasma biomarkers evolve relative to cognitive decline. The goals of this work are to measure how much earlier versus later an individual’s progression on plasma and PET Alzheimer’s disease biomarkers is associated with earlier versus later cognitive progression and to estimate the average timeline of progression of these processes in the population. In this cohort study of 2369 Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) and 1591 Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) participants, we fit non-linear mixed-effects models to estimate how much earlier versus later each individual progresses on plasma phosphorylated tau (p-tau)217, amyloid PET, tau PET and auditory verbal learning test (AVLT) sum of trials relative to the population mean (individual adjustment), the associations of these individual adjustments among biomarker pairs and how covariates affect the timing of biomarker progression. The association of individual adjustments implies mechanistic associations and the amount of variability in cognitive decline accounted for by each biomarker. By applying cut-off points, we also estimated the relative timing that these biomarkers become abnormal in the population. Associations of individual adjustments were moderate between all biomarkers and AVLT (R = 0.38–0.47) in the MCSA and stronger (R = 0.74–0.81) in ADNI; plasma p-tau217 accounted for 16% of the variability in timing of AVLT decline in the MCSA and 64% in ADNI. APOE ɛ4 carriership was associated with earlier biomarker progression. AVLT became abnormal after the biomarkers up to age 90, after which AVLT was estimated to become abnormal prior to tau biomarkers. The association of the timing of plasma and PET Alzheimer’s disease biomarker progression with cognitive decline was modest in the MCSA population-based sample and stronger in the Alzheimer’s disease-enriched ADNI cohort. The timing of plasma p-tau217 progression explained a similar degree of variability in AVLT progression as amyloid PET, supporting its utility as a marker of disease progression. The estimated temporal ordering of biomarkers and cognitive abnormality was as anticipated (amyloid, tau, cognition) up to the age of 90, beyond which AVLT was estimated to become abnormal prior to tau biomarkers, likely related to the effects of non-Alzheimer’s disease co-pathologies.

Abstract Dementia and mortality rates rise inexorably with age and consequently interact. However, because of the major logistical difficulties in accounting for both outcomes in a defined population, very little work has examined how risk factors and biomarkers for incident dementia are influenced by competing mortality. The objective of this study was to examine long-term associations between amyloid PET, APOE ɛ4, sex, education and cardiovascular/metabolic conditions, and hazard and absolute risk of dementia and mortality in individuals without dementia at enrolment. Participants were enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging, a population-based study of cognitive ageing in Olmsted County, MN, USA. All were without dementia and were age 55–92 years at enrolment and were followed longitudinally. Predictor variables were amyloid PET, APOE ɛ4 status, sex, education, cardiovascular/metabolic conditions and age. The main outcomes were incident dementia and mortality. Multivariable, multi-state models were used to estimate mortality and incident dementia rates and absolute risk of dementia and mortality by predictor variable group. Of the 4984 participants in the study, 4336 (87%) were cognitively unimpaired and 648 (13%) had mild cognitive impairment at enrolment. The median age at enrolment was 75 years; 2463 (49%) were women. The median follow-up time was 9.4 years (7.5 years after PET). High versus normal amyloid (hazard ratio 2.11, 95% confidence interval 1.43–2.79), APOE ɛ4 (women: hazard ratio 2.24, 95% confidence interval 1.80–2.77; men: hazard ratio 1.37, 95% confidence interval 1.09–1.71), older age and two additional cardiovascular/metabolic conditions (hazard ratio 1.37, 95% confidence interval 1.22–1.53) were associated with the increased hazard of dementia (all P &lt; 0.001). Among APOE ɛ4 carriers with elevated amyloid, remaining lifetime risk of dementia at age 65 years was greater in women [74% (95% confidence interval 65–84%) high and 58% (95% confidence interval 52–65%) moderate amyloid], than men [62% (95% confidence interval 52–73%) high and 44% (95% confidence interval 35–53%) moderate amyloid]. Overall, the hazard and absolute risk of dementia varied considerably by predictor group. The absolute risk of dementia associated with predictors characteristic of Alzheimer’s disease was greater in women than men while at the same time the combination of APOE ɛ4 non-carrier with normal amyloid was more protective in women than men. This set of findings may be attributed in part to different biological effects and in part to lower mortality rates in women.

Abstract Introduction The aim of this study was to examine white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and fractional anisotropy (FA) in empirically derived incident mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subtypes. Methods We evaluated 188 participants with incident MCI in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) identified as having one of four cluster‐derived subtypes: subtle cognitive impairment, amnestic, dysnomic, and dysexecutive. We used linear regression models to evaluate whole brain and regional WMH volumes. We examined fractional anisotropy (FA) on a subset of 63 participants with diffusion tensor imaging. Results Amnestic and dysexecutive subtypes had higher WMH volumes in differing patterns than cognitively unimpaired; the dysexecutive subtype had higher WMH than subtle cognitive impairment. There was widespread WM degeneration in long association and commissural fibers in the amnestic, dysnomic, and dysexecutive subtypes, and corpus callosum FA accounted for significant variability in global cognition. Discussion White matter changes likely contribute to cognitive symptoms in incident MCI.

Abstract Normal brain aging is accompanied by patterns of functional and structural change. Alzheimer's disease (AD), a representative neurodegenerative disease, has been linked to accelerated brain aging at respective age ranges. Here, we developed a deep learning-based brain age prediction model using fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET and structural MRI and tested how the brain age gap relates to degenerative cognitive syndromes including mild cognitive impairment, AD, frontotemporal dementia, and Lewy body dementia. Occlusion analysis, performed to facilitate interpretation of the model, revealed that the model learns an age- and modality-specific pattern of brain aging. The elevated brain age gap in dementia cohorts was highly correlated with the cognitive impairment and AD biomarker. However, regions generating brain age gaps were different for each diagnosis group of which the AD continuum showed similar patterns to normal aging in the CU.

Background: Longitudinal, but not cross-sectional, cognitive testing is one option proposed to define transitional cognitive decline for individuals on the Alzheimer’s disease continuum. Objective: Compare diagnostic accuracy of cross-sectional subtle objective cognitive impairment (sOBJ) and longitudinal objective decline (ΔOBJ) over 30 months for identifying 1) cognitively unimpaired participants with preclinical Alzheimer’s disease defined by elevated brain amyloid and tau (A+T+) and 2) incident mild cognitive impairment (MCI) based on Cogstate One Card Learning (OCL) accuracy performance. Methods: Mayo Clinic Study of Aging cognitively unimpaired participants aged 50 + with amyloid and tau PET scans (n = 311) comprised the biomarker-defined sample. A case-control sample of participants aged 65 + remaining cognitively unimpaired for at least 30 months included 64 who subsequently developed MCI (incident MCI cases) and 184 controls, risk-set matched by age, sex, education, and visit number. sOBJ was assessed by OCL z-scores. ΔOBJ was assessed using within subjects’ standard deviation and annualized change from linear regression or linear mixed effects (LME) models. Concordance measures Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) or C-statistic and odds ratios (OR) from conditional logistic regression models were derived. sOBJ and ΔOBJ were modeled jointly to compare methods. Results: sOBJ and ΔOBJ-LME methods differentiated A+T+ from A-T- (AUC = 0.64, 0.69) and controls from incident MCI (C-statistic = 0.59, 0.69) better than chance; other ΔOBJ methods did not. ΔOBJ-LME improved prediction of future MCI over baseline sOBJ (p = 0.003) but not over 30-month sOBJ (p = 0.09). Conclusion: Longitudinal decline did not offer substantial benefit over cross-sectional assessment in detecting preclinical Alzheimer’s disease or incident MCI.

AbstractIntroductionThis study evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the Cogstate Brief Battery (CBB) for mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and prodromal Alzheimer's disease (AD) in a population‐based sample.MethodsParticipants included adults ages 50+ classified as cognitively unimpaired (CU, n = 2866) or MCI (n = 226), and a subset with amyloid (A) and tau (T) positron emission tomography who were AD biomarker negative (A–T–) or had prodromal AD (A+T+).ResultsDiagnostic accuracy of the Learning/Working Memory Composite (Lrn/WM) for discriminating all CU and MCI was moderate (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.75), but improved when discriminating CU A–T– and MCI A+T+ (AUC = 0.93) and when differentiating MCI participants without AD biomarkers from those with prodromal AD (AUC = 0.86). Conventional cut‐offs yielded lower than expected sensitivity for both MCI (38%) and prodromal AD (73%).DiscussionClinical utility of the CBB for detecting MCI in a population‐based sample is lower than expected. Caution is needed when using currently available CBB normative data for clinical interpretation.

AbstractIntroductionWe examined differences in cortical thickness in empirically derived mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subtypes in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging.MethodsWe compared cortical thickness of four incident MCI subtypes (n = 192) to 1257 cognitive unimpaired individuals.ResultsThe subtle cognitive impairment cluster had atrophy in the entorhinal and parahippocampal cortex. The amnestic, dysnomic, and dysexecutive clusters also demonstrated entorhinal cortex atrophy as well as thinning in temporal, parietal, and frontal isocortex in somewhat different patterns.DiscussionWe found patterns of atrophy in each of the incident MCI clusters that corresponded to their patterns of cognitive impairment. The identification of MCI subtypes based on cognitive and structural features may allow for more efficient trial and study designs. Given individuals in the subtle cognitive impairment cluster have less structural changes and cognitive decline and may represent the earliest group, this could be a unique group to target with early interventions.