Keeney, Gary L.

PURPOSE To compare mortality risk among long-term survivors of high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) with that of the general US population and to examine how mortality and recurrence trends have evolved under changing treatment approaches. MATERIALS AND METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study including patients with histologically confirmed HGSOC treated at a single referral cancer center from 1991 to 2022. Mortality risk, expressed as standardized mortality ratios (SMRs, ratio of observed deaths in the study population to expected deaths in an age-matched US population), was assessed at diagnosis and yearly on patients without events (disease persistence, recurrence, or death from any cause). RESULTS A total of 2,074 consecutive patients were included. The median follow-up was 12.5 years (IQR, 11.7-13.8). Most patients were stage III (1,396, 69.2%), 1,299 (62.8%) underwent primary cytoreductive surgery, and 1,688 (87.4%) received platinum-taxane as first-line therapy. At diagnosis, the mortality rate was 7.40 times higher than that in the general population (95% CI, 7.04 to 7.77). By 7 event-free years, the 95% CI for the SMR included 1 for the first time, and at 10 years, the SMR was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.72 to 1.49), indicating no statistically significant excess mortality compared with the general population. In those event-free at 10 years, the 5-year cumulative incidence of ovarian cancer–related deaths (8.2% [95% CI, 4.2 to 16.0]) was comparable with that of non–ovarian cancer–related deaths (6.3% [95% CI, 2.9 to 13.8]). CONCLUSION In this cohort, mortality risk steadily declined for patients who remained event-free, approaching that of the general population by 7 years after diagnosis. These results emphasize the importance of individualized, long-term follow-up to address both recurrence risk and survivorship needs.

Abstract Background Abnormal uterine bleeding requires the investigation of the endometrium. Histology is typically used but there remains room for the improvement and use of cytology. Methods Women presenting for clinically indicated office endometrial biopsy were prospectively enrolled. Tao endometrial brushing and office endometrial biopsy were performed, and surgical procedure if clinically indicated. Tao brush cytology specimens were blindly reviewed by up to three pathologists, consensus obtained, and scored as: benign, atypical (favor benign), suspicious, positive for malignancy, or non‐diagnostic. Cytology and histology were compared to surgical pathology to determine sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values to detect AH (atypical hyperplasia) or EC (endometrial cancer). Results Clinical indications of 197 enrolled patients included postmenopausal bleeding (90, 45.7%), abnormal uterine bleeding (94, 47.7%), and abnormal endometrium on ultrasound without bleeding (13, 6.6%). Of the 197 patients, 185 (93.9%) had cytology score consensus and a total of 196 (99.5%) had consensus regarding cytology positivity. Surgical pathology diagnoses (N = 85) were 13 (15.3%) FIGO grade 1 or 2 EC, 3 (3.5%) AH, and 69 (81.2%) benign endometrium. Sensitivity and specificity to detect EC or AH were 93.7% and 100%, respectively, via endometrial biopsy; 87.5% and 63.8%, respectively, via endometrial cytology when scores of malignancy, suspicious, or atypical were considered positive. Conclusions In a high‐risk population, Tao brush endometrial cytology showed high sensitivity to detect AH and EC comparable to biopsy histology when considering scores of malignancy, suspicious, atypical, and non‐diagnostic. Revisiting the potential value of endometrial cytology in the contemporary era of endometrial diagnostic workup is warranted.

Abstract Purpose: Gene expression–based molecular subtypes of high-grade serous tubo-ovarian cancer (HGSOC), demonstrated across multiple studies, may provide improved stratification for molecularly targeted trials. However, evaluation of clinical utility has been hindered by nonstandardized methods, which are not applicable in a clinical setting. We sought to generate a clinical grade minimal gene set assay for classification of individual tumor specimens into HGSOC subtypes and confirm previously reported subtype-associated features. Experimental Design: Adopting two independent approaches, we derived and internally validated algorithms for subtype prediction using published gene expression data from 1,650 tumors. We applied resulting models to NanoString data on 3,829 HGSOCs from the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium. We further developed, confirmed, and validated a reduced, minimal gene set predictor, with methods suitable for a single-patient setting. Results: Gene expression data were used to derive the predictor of high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma molecular subtype (PrOTYPE) assay. We established a de facto standard as a consensus of two parallel approaches. PrOTYPE subtypes are significantly associated with age, stage, residual disease, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, and outcome. The locked-down clinical grade PrOTYPE test includes a model with 55 genes that predicted gene expression subtype with >95% accuracy that was maintained in all analytic and biological validations. Conclusions: We validated the PrOTYPE assay following the Institute of Medicine guidelines for the development of omics-based tests. This fully defined and locked-down clinical grade assay will enable trial design with molecular subtype stratification and allow for objective assessment of the predictive value of HGSOC molecular subtypes in precision medicine applications. See related commentary by McMullen et al., p. 5271

5004 Background: Since 1999, patients with low-risk endometrial cancer (EC) as defined by the Mayo criteria have preferably not undergone lymphadenectomy (LND) at our institution. We assess survival, sites of recurrence, morbidity, and cost per up-staged case in this low-risk cohort. Methods: Consecutive patients with Mayo-defined low-risk EC managed without (non-LND) and with LND were compared. Cause-specific survival (CSS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. 30-day cost analyses were equated to 2010 Medicare dollars. Results: Among 1,393 consecutive surgically managed EC cases, 385 (27.6%) met the Mayo low-risk criteria, accounting for 34.1% of type I EC. The 5-year CSS of the low-risk cases was 98.6 %. There were 80 LND cases (median # nodes, 29) and 305 non-LND cases. Complications within 30 days occurred in 37.5% and 19.3% of LND and non-LND cases, respectively (P<0.001). Nodal metastasis was identified in a single LND case (1.3%). There were 11 recurrences, 6 of which were vaginal. Not a single recurrence was detected in the pelvic or paraaortic nodal areas in these 385 patients, with a median follow-up of 5.4 years. The estimated prevalence (combining surgery and surveillance) of lymph node metastasis was 0.3%. The 5-year CSS in LND and non-LND cases was 97.3% and 99.0%, respectively (P=0.32). Patients were more than seven times as likely to die of co-morbidities than from EC. The 30-day median cost of care was $15,678 for LND cases compared to $11,028 for non-LND cases (P<0.001). The estimated cost per up-staged low-risk case was $439,990 if performed via endoscopy and $327,866 via laparotomy. If the 305 non-LND cases had been subjected to LND, an estimated additional $1,418,189 would have been expended. Conclusions: For patients with low-risk EC as defined by the Mayo criteria, lymphadenectomy dramatically increases morbidity and 30-day cost of care without discernible short- or long-term benefits: CSS was 99% with a 0.3% rate of nodal metastasis. In these low-risk patients, hysterectomy with salpingo-oophorectomy alone is appropriate surgical management and should be standard of care.

Abstract Background: Pathological complete response (pCR) is accepted by FDA as a surrogate endpoint for accelerated approval of targeted agents in combination with chemotherapy based on better long-term outcomes compared to residual disease (Cortazar 2014). Methods: The multi-center, adaptively-randomized I-SPY2 platform trial uses pCR as the primary endpoint to identify investigational agents that will improve outcomes in women with stage 2/3 breast cancer with high risk of early recurrence, across all signatures, based on hormone receptor (HR), HER2, and 70-gene (MammaPrint) status. For patients with HR+ HER2- tumors, only 70-gene (Mammaprint) high-risk patients are enrolled. To date, 1200+ patients have been randomized to one of 14 arms: control (paclitaxel followed by AC); veliparib/carboplatin; neratinib; MK2206; trebananib; trastuzumab/pertuzumab; ado-trastuzumab emtansine/pertuzumab; pembrolizumabx4; ganitumab/metformin; ganetespib; PLX-3397. 7 agents graduated in at least one signature (&gt; 85% probability of success in a 300-patient phase III confirmatory trial); 2 did not graduate; 1 stopped for toxicity, and 3 are enrolling (patritumab/trastuzumab, talazoparib/irinotecan, pembrolizumabx8). Local pathologists were centrally trained using the Residual Cancer Burden (RCB) assessment to ensure uniform evaluation and response classification; RCB 0 = pCR. Results: We evaluated the relationship between pCR and event free (EFS) and distant disease free survival (DDFS) in the first 522 pts (median follow-up:2.5 years). 180 pts achieved pCR (36%) while 338 did not (RCB=1-3). There were 82 EFS and 65 DRFS events. Over the entire group (including all arms), pCR was highly associated with 3-year EFS (p&lt;0.001 for both). Pts achieving pCR had a 3% recurrence risk (RR) at 3 years; those with non-pCR had 24% RR over this time period. For distant recurrence, the 3-year RR with pCR was 2%, compared to 20% in pts with non-pCR. As expected, pCR rates varied by breast cancer subtype (HR+/HER2: 18% (35/196), HR+/HER2+: 40% (33/82), HR-/HER2+:68% (34/50), HR-/HER2-:41% (76/188)). The relationship between pCR and EFS was significant and clinically impactful within each subtype. 3-year survival (pCR group)Hazard Ratio OverallOverallHR+/HER2-HER2+TNBCEFS97%0.08 (0.03-0.23)0.14 (0.02-1.04)0 (NA)0.11 (0.03-0.37)DDFS98%0.08 (0.03-0.26)0.17 (0.01-1.23)0 (NA)0.09 (0.02-0.40) Conclusions: The first long-term efficacy results from the I-SPY2 TRIAL demonstrate that achieving pCR is a very strong surrogate endpoint for improved EFS and DDFS in a high-risk population, across all treatment arms, regardless of subtype. I-SPY2 shows substantially lower estimated EFS hazards for patients achieving pCR, compared to the 5 yr EFS hazard ratio for pCR vs not in Cortazar (hazard ratio 0.49), demonstrating important differences between a metaanalysis compared to a platform trial with uniform high-risk eligibility, standardized pathology assessment, and multiple targeted therapies. Our data support the use of pCR as a primary endpoint for accelerated approval of new drugs if EFS is evaluated in the same population. Based on these findings, the I-SPY2 TRIAL will test whether therapy can be deescalated or escalated for individual patients with the goal of achieving pCR for all. Citation Format: Yee D, DeMichele A, Isaacs C, Symmans F, Yau C, Albain KS, Hylton NM, Forero-Torres A, van't Veer LJ, Perlmutter J, Rugo HS, Melisko M, Chen Y-Y, Balassanian R, Krings G, Datnow B, Hasteh F, Tipps A, Weidner N, Zhang H, Tickman R, Thornton S, Ritter J, Amin K, Klein M, Chen B, Keeney G, Ocal T, Feldman M, Klipfel N, Sattar H, Mueller J, Gwin K, Baker G, Kallakury B, Zeck J, Duan X, Ersahin C, Gamez R, Troxell M, Mansoor A, Grasso LeBeau L, Sams S, Wisell J, Wei S, Harada S, Vinh T, Stamatakos MD, Tawfik O, Fan F, Adams A, Rendi M, Minton S, Magliocco A, Sahoo S, Fang Y, Hirst G, Singhrao R, Asare SM, Wallace AM, Chien AJ, Ellis ED, Han HS, Clark AS, Boughey JC, Elias AD, Nanda R, Korde L, Murthy R, Lang J, Northfelt D, Khan Q, Edmiston KK, Viscusi R, Haley B, Kemmer K, Zelnak A, Berry DA, Esserman LJ. Pathological complete response predicts event-free and distant disease-free survival in the I-SPY2 TRIAL [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS3-08.