Maurer, Matthew J.

Marketing authorizations for oncology drugs are often based on single‐arm trials (SATs), and real‐world data‐based external comparator cohorts (ECCs) are increasingly explored to contextualize results. In retrospective studies, comparators may be identified by time of diagnosis but included based on time of relapse; such sampling strategies can introduce bias, potentially leading to erroneous efficacy conclusions. Simulated diffuse large B‐cell lymphoma (DLBCL) cohorts were generated using published time‐to‐relapse and post‐relapse survival distributions. Three ECC sampling strategies were evaluated: naïve (screening and inclusion periods coincide), delayed (inclusion period extends beyond screening), and displacement (screening and inclusion periods shifted relative to each other). Different sampling strategies caused significant changes in the time‐to‐relapse distribution in the ECC and, by proxy, the estimated 2‐year post‐relapse overall survival (22.5–52.2%). Naïve sampling consistently resulted in oversampling of early relapses, though bias was reduced with extended inclusion periods; in hypothetical trials, it produced inflated Type I errors (10.5–84.9%) despite α = 0.025. Delayed sampling reduced bias when the inclusion period was sufficiently extended to capture late relapses, yielding unbiased estimates under long delays (Type I error of 2.5% at a 6‐year delay). Displacement sampling depended strongly on the degree of shift: moderate shifts minimized bias, whereas long displacements introduced substantial distortion (Type I error of 2.7% and 0.0% at displacements of 2 and 5, respectively). Real‐world data‐based ECCs in relapsed/refractory oncology are susceptible to selection bias from sampling strategies, particularly through distortions in time‐to‐relapse, leading to erroneous efficacy conclusions; similar bias may occur in non‐oncology settings where time‐to‐treatment initiation is prognostic.

Abstract Germinal center (GC)-derived lymphomas arise within a specialized immune ecosystem, yet whether malignant cells direct its remodeling remains unclear. Integrating genomic, transcriptomic, spatial, and functional analyses across follicular lymphoma and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, we define a developmental framework linking malignant B-cell differentiation state to tumor microenvironment (TME) organization. Rather than segregating by histology, lymphomas align along a shared differentiation continuum in which proliferative dark zone (DZ) states associate with immune-depleted TMEs, whereas post-GC/memory B-cell (MBC) states drive inflamed but immunosuppressed TMEs. Spatial profiling reveals collapse of GC architecture and emergence of suppressive myeloid niches along this trajectory. Single-cell lineage reconstruction uncovers a DZ-to-MBC developmental axis underlying lymphoma evolution. Genetic reprogramming in vivo demonstrates that malignant differentiation state is sufficient to instruct TME remodeling. Collectively, these findings establish malignant differentiation state as a causal determinant of immune architecture across GC-derived lymphomas and identify lineage-directed immune reprogramming as a potential therapeutic strategy.

Abstract The purpose of this study was to explore epigenetic dysregulation resulting from deleterious SPEN mutations in diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Truncating (tr) SPEN mutations are among defining variants in LymphGen:BN2 and DLBclass:C1. We previously found SPEN mutations enriched in DLBCL that failed to reach EFS24, and inferior survival was observed in SPEN-tr vs all other BN2 and C1. Differential gene expression (DEG) in these groups identified >1000 DEGs including upregulation of IKZF3 and BCL2 and downregulation of MHC-II, overall suggesting an alternative, aggressive biology for a subset of BN2/C1 cases generally thought to have favorable outcomes. In healthy cells, SPEN is a dynamic epigenetic regulator with roles in chromatin formation and as a NOTCH co-repressor. We hypothesized that loss of SPEN reprograms the epigenetic landscape to drive the aggressive phenotype in affected DLBCL. Methods: OCI-LY3 cell line with CRISPR/Cas9-induced SPEN-tr mutations was analyzed by ATAC and RNA-seq. Diagnostic DLBCL FFPE tumor biopsies from the Molecular Epidemiology Resource (MER) were analyzed by 850k/EPIC methylation array (n=164). SPEN-depleted OCI-LY3 cells displayed significant (|Log2FC|>2) peaks of open (n=3083) and closed (n=1729) chromatin indicative of systemic epigenetic reprogramming, with enriched peaks (FDR<0.01, |Log2FC|>2) converging on pro-survival and immune evasion (ATP11C, BCL11B, RAG1/2 genes) and negatively enriched for cell cycle and apoptotic pathways (CDK6, TP63, CD80 genes). Chromatin accessibility featured enrichment for TCF3/4 and ZEB1 binding motifs and depletion of EBF1, REL, and NFKB1/2 motifs (FDR<0.0001, |Z-score|>5), suggesting a shift to an activated, post-germinal center program (via open TCF3/4 motifs) with reduced reliance on NF-kB signaling. Footprinting analysis further revealed decreased occupancy at NFKB2 and REL/B motifs, and reduced occupancy at HES1 with elevated occupancy at Rbpjl motifs (p<0.05, |Score|>0.2) indicating downregulation of NF-kB is in favor of non-canonical Notch transcription programming. Merging gene expression and accessibility, gene-peak concordance was observed for elevated CXCR4 and IL6 expression and decreased SOCS1, CD274 (PD-L1), and CCND1 expression (FDR<0.01, |Log2FC|>1), suggesting expression programs feature uncontrolled JAK/STAT signaling (via high IL6, low SOCS1) with immune evasion mechanisms independent of PD-L1. By methylation array, strong epigenetic reprogramming was observed in SPEN-tr DLBCL (n=8), where differential methylation analysis vs WT (n=146), vs BN2 (n=4), and vs C1 (n=15) samples revealed hypermethylation signatures (p<0.05, |FC|>1) indicative of reduced cell-cell signaling and antigen presentation pathways (including HLA-A/G/H). In conclusion, SPEN-depletion triggers systemic epigenetic reprogramming to enhance immune evasion and non-canonical Notch target genes. SPEN-tr DLBCL should be considered with heightened risk estimation and as prime candidates for personalized treatments beyond standard therapy. Citation Format: Janek S. Walker, Joseph P. Novak, Abigail R. Dropik, Zilin Xianyu, Michelle K. Manske, Matthew J. Maurer, Eric Mou, Rebecca L. King, Stephen M. Ansell, Thomas M. Habermann, Thomas E. Witzig, James R. Cerhan, Anne J. Novak. Deleterious SPEN mutations induce epigenetic reprogramming to promote survival and enhance immune evasion pathways in an aggressive subset of BN2/C1 DLBCL tumors [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Fifth AACR International Meeting on Advances in Malignant Lymphoma: From Discovery to Clinical Impact; 2026 Jun 24-27; Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Blood Cancer Discov 2026;7(3_Suppl):Abstract nr A006.

Abstract Background: Although some vaccines seem to be associated with a lower risk of lymphoma, their impact on outcomes is largely unknown. Methods: Data from a large prospective lymphoma cohort study were utilized to estimate associations of self-reported history of vaccination against hepatitis A, hepatitis B, influenza, and yellow fever with event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) using Cox proportional hazard models. Results: None of the vaccines were associated with EFS [hazard ratio (HR) 0.77–1] or OS (HRs 0.96–1.04). Similarly, there were no significant associations between the vaccines and outcomes for each lymphoma subtype. Conclusions: Prior vaccination against selected viruses was not associated with EFS or OS among patients with lymphoma. Impact: We did not find evidence for an impact of prior vaccination on lymphoma prognosis.

ABSTRACT One quarter of patients with diffuse large B‐cell lymphoma (DLBCL) who achieve a complete response following front‐line therapy will eventually experience disease relapse. Existing prognostic models use baseline factors to predict outcomes from the start of initial therapy and are not intended for use following completion of treatment. We developed a conditional event‐free survival (cEFS) tool that predicts a patient's risk of lymphoma recurrence after completing front‐line therapy taking into consideration baseline risk characteristics plus the time the patient has been in remission. Model development used pooled and harmonized data from two observational cohorts and four randomized trials of patients with newly diagnosed DLBCL treated with immunochemotherapy and either achieving a complete response or not experiencing an event within 12 weeks of end of therapy. Cox proportional‐hazards regression modeling with backwards stepwise selection was utilized for model development. External validation was performed using a large independent data registry. In total, data from 2757 patients were used for model development. The risk of experiencing an event at a time point after having survived a period of time could be computed parsimoniously using four basic predictors: age, ECOG performance status grade, Ann Arbor stage, and lactate dehydrogenase level. C‐index in the model development cohort was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.63–0.68), compared to 0.64 (95% CI, 0.62–0.66) in the external validation cohort. We believe that this dynamic risk prediction tool will not only aid clinicians in providing data‐driven recommendations for surveillance, but also assist patients themselves with key decisions, such as family planning.

Abstract A short diagnosis-to-treatment interval independently predicts inferior outcomes in follicular lymphoma. Using international discovery and validation cohorts, we demonstrate its prognostic value beyond established prognostic indices, with implications for risk stratification, clinical trial design, and interpretation.

Abstract We evaluated outcomes by management type for patients with stage IA nodular lymphocyte-predominant Hodgkin lymphoma (NLPHL) in the Global NLPHL One Working Group retrospective database of 2243 patients with stages I to IV disease diagnosed from 1992 to 2021 at 38 international institutions. A total of 779 patients had stage IA disease with median age of 35 years (range, 3-89) and median follow-up of 6.1 years. The 6-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival were 86.3% and 97.7%, respectively. Outcomes were analyzed for the 2 groups: complete resection and unresected disease. Patients with a complete resection and observation alone (n = 99) had a 6-year PFS of 65.5% vs 90.5% for those who received radiotherapy (RT) (n = 53). Patients with unresected disease (n = 627; 80.5%) had a 6-year PFS of 62.0% for rituximab alone (n = 31), 89.6% for RT alone (n = 325), 76.8% for ABVD (doxorubicin, bleomycin, vinblastine, dacarbazine) alone (n = 40), and 94.3% for ABVD plus RT (n = 130). A total of 127 patients relapsed (16.3%), of which 25 (19.7%) had transformation. Our analysis suggests the following: (1) RT improves the PFS in patients with completely resected disease; (2) rituximab or ABVD alone does not appear to achieve a durable response; and (3) chemotherapy was not observed to add additional PFS benefit when used in combination with RT. Thus, for stage IA NLPHL, RT alone is likely sufficient for definitive treatment.

ABSTRACT Soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 2 (sTNFR2) is a member of the TNF superfamily whose normal bodily distribution is largely limited to low level expression on lymphoid cells. It has emerged as an important inducible receptor that activates a signaling pathway for cancer growth. We evaluated sTNFR2 as a prognostic biomarker for overall survival (OS) in newly diagnosed lymphoma using a prospective cohort study with banked pretreatment serum samples. sTNFR2 was higher in 1513 lymphoma patients compared to 499 age and sex matched controls ( p < 0.0001). Using Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios [HR] (high vs. low tertile), higher levels of sTNFR2 at diagnosis were associated with inferior OS across all seven major lymphoma subtypes: Hodgkin lymphoma ( p < 0.0001; HR = 12.6), diffuse large B‐cell lymphoma ( p < 0.0001; HR = 2.6), follicular lymphoma ( p = 0.00017; HR = 2.5), mantle cell lymphoma ( p < 0.0001; HR = 4.2), small lymphocytic lymphoma ( p = 0.012; HR = 2.4), marginal zone lymphoma ( p = 0.0012; HR = 3.1), and T‐cell lymphoma ( p < 0.0001; HR = 3.1). Using CITE‐seq profiling of tumor microenvironment tissue, we sought to identify cellular source(s) of circulating sTNFR2. In tumor tissue from follicular lymphoma, high TNFR2‐expressing cells were found to be T‐regulatory (Treg) cells, suggestive of a Treg‐driven cancer. In tissue from a case of marginal zone lymphoma, high TNFR2 expression was found on CD4+ and CD8+ T cells, B cells, and monocytes but also directly on tumor cells. We conclude sTNRF2 is a strong prognostic biomarker of OS across major lymphoma subtypes and may be useful to guide therapeutic choices, including targeted therapies against immunosuppressive TNFR2‐expressing Tregs.

PURPOSE To compare mortality risk among long-term survivors of high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) with that of the general US population and to examine how mortality and recurrence trends have evolved under changing treatment approaches. MATERIALS AND METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study including patients with histologically confirmed HGSOC treated at a single referral cancer center from 1991 to 2022. Mortality risk, expressed as standardized mortality ratios (SMRs, ratio of observed deaths in the study population to expected deaths in an age-matched US population), was assessed at diagnosis and yearly on patients without events (disease persistence, recurrence, or death from any cause). RESULTS A total of 2,074 consecutive patients were included. The median follow-up was 12.5 years (IQR, 11.7-13.8). Most patients were stage III (1,396, 69.2%), 1,299 (62.8%) underwent primary cytoreductive surgery, and 1,688 (87.4%) received platinum-taxane as first-line therapy. At diagnosis, the mortality rate was 7.40 times higher than that in the general population (95% CI, 7.04 to 7.77). By 7 event-free years, the 95% CI for the SMR included 1 for the first time, and at 10 years, the SMR was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.72 to 1.49), indicating no statistically significant excess mortality compared with the general population. In those event-free at 10 years, the 5-year cumulative incidence of ovarian cancer–related deaths (8.2% [95% CI, 4.2 to 16.0]) was comparable with that of non–ovarian cancer–related deaths (6.3% [95% CI, 2.9 to 13.8]). CONCLUSION In this cohort, mortality risk steadily declined for patients who remained event-free, approaching that of the general population by 7 years after diagnosis. These results emphasize the importance of individualized, long-term follow-up to address both recurrence risk and survivorship needs.