Goode, E.

PURPOSE To compare mortality risk among long-term survivors of high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) with that of the general US population and to examine how mortality and recurrence trends have evolved under changing treatment approaches. MATERIALS AND METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study including patients with histologically confirmed HGSOC treated at a single referral cancer center from 1991 to 2022. Mortality risk, expressed as standardized mortality ratios (SMRs, ratio of observed deaths in the study population to expected deaths in an age-matched US population), was assessed at diagnosis and yearly on patients without events (disease persistence, recurrence, or death from any cause). RESULTS A total of 2,074 consecutive patients were included. The median follow-up was 12.5 years (IQR, 11.7-13.8). Most patients were stage III (1,396, 69.2%), 1,299 (62.8%) underwent primary cytoreductive surgery, and 1,688 (87.4%) received platinum-taxane as first-line therapy. At diagnosis, the mortality rate was 7.40 times higher than that in the general population (95% CI, 7.04 to 7.77). By 7 event-free years, the 95% CI for the SMR included 1 for the first time, and at 10 years, the SMR was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.72 to 1.49), indicating no statistically significant excess mortality compared with the general population. In those event-free at 10 years, the 5-year cumulative incidence of ovarian cancer–related deaths (8.2% [95% CI, 4.2 to 16.0]) was comparable with that of non–ovarian cancer–related deaths (6.3% [95% CI, 2.9 to 13.8]). CONCLUSION In this cohort, mortality risk steadily declined for patients who remained event-free, approaching that of the general population by 7 years after diagnosis. These results emphasize the importance of individualized, long-term follow-up to address both recurrence risk and survivorship needs.

Abstract Background: Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) is composed of five major histologic types: 1) high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC), accounting for most cases (∼70%); and the rarer 2) clear cell, 3) endometrioid, 4) mucinous, and 5) low- grade serous carcinoma (LGSC). As EOC risk factors are histology specific, as are the site of precursor lesions, accurate subtyping is critical to understanding EOC prognostic factors and etiology. Our aim was to compare two currently employed histology assignment strategies using gene expression, DNA methylation, and clinical outcome data Methods: Histology assignment based on: a) pathologist, and b) an integrated pathologist and IHC prediction algorithm (pathIHC) (using ARID1A, CDKN2A, DKK1, HNF1B, MDM2, PGR, TP53, TFF3, VIM, and WT1 staining patterns), was compared for tumors of all histologies at the Mayo Clinic, Rochester. The 500 most variable probes from Illumina Methylation450 BeadChips (N = 259) and Agilent 4×44K expression arrays (N = 245) were used to perform unsupervised hierarchical clustering. Fisher's Exact test was used to test the association of clusters with histology. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to test the association of clusters and histology with time to progression (TTP) and time to death (TTD). Results: Eighty-two percent of tumors were concordant between histology assignment strategies. Clustering based on methylation data produced two distinct clusters. PathIHC produced more homogenous clusters (p-value = 2.8×10-16) than pathology alone (p = 1.3×10-9). Cluster M1, characterized by high levels of methylation across almost all probes, was enriched for the rarer EOC subtypes; cluster M2, characterized by moderate levels of methylation across 50%-75% of probes, was predominantly HGSC. These patterns were observed irrespective of histology assignment strategy; however, when using histology by pathologist, cluster M2 had more endometrioid and LGSC tumors interspersed with HGSC tumors. Clustering based on expression data also produced two clusters. PathIHC produced slightly more homogenous clusters (p = 9.0×10-11, pathology alone, p = 2.3×10-10). Cluster E1 was enriched for the rarer EOC subtypes; cluster E2 was primarily serous lineage tumours (HGSC and LGSC), particularly when using histology by pathIHC. Considering only clinical outcomes, histologies by pathology were more significantly different in terms of TTP (p = 1.1×10-6) and TTD (p = 1.7×10-3) than histologies by pathIHC (TTP, p = 5.4×10-6; TTD, p = 5.7×10-3). Conclusions: Histology by pathIHC produced more homogeneous clusters in both the methylation and expression data; thus, molecular data supports this strategy. Differences in clinical outcomes (TTP and TTD) between histology groups were more pronounced when using assignment by pathologist; thus, clinical data supports this strategy. Citation Format: M A. Earp, S J. Winham, S M. Armasu, B L. Fridley, M C. Larson, Z C. Fogarty, K R. Kalli, C Wang, G L. Keeney, J M. Cunningham, S Ramus, M Kobel, E L. Goode. Comparison of pathology versus IHC-based ovarian carcinoma histology assignment using gene expression, DNA methylation, and clinical outcome data. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 106th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2015 Apr 18-22; Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(15 Suppl):Abstract nr 4246. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2015-4246