PURPOSE To compare mortality risk among long-term survivors of high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) with that of the general US population and to examine how mortality and recurrence trends have evolved under changing treatment approaches. MATERIALS AND METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study including patients with histologically confirmed HGSOC treated at a single referral cancer center from 1991 to 2022. Mortality risk, expressed as standardized mortality ratios (SMRs, ratio of observed deaths in the study population to expected deaths in an age-matched US population), was assessed at diagnosis and yearly on patients without events (disease persistence, recurrence, or death from any cause). RESULTS A total of 2,074 consecutive patients were included. The median follow-up was 12.5 years (IQR, 11.7-13.8). Most patients were stage III (1,396, 69.2%), 1,299 (62.8%) underwent primary cytoreductive surgery, and 1,688 (87.4%) received platinum-taxane as first-line therapy. At diagnosis, the mortality rate was 7.40 times higher than that in the general population (95% CI, 7.04 to 7.77). By 7 event-free years, the 95% CI for the SMR included 1 for the first time, and at 10 years, the SMR was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.72 to 1.49), indicating no statistically significant excess mortality compared with the general population. In those event-free at 10 years, the 5-year cumulative incidence of ovarian cancer–related deaths (8.2% [95% CI, 4.2 to 16.0]) was comparable with that of non–ovarian cancer–related deaths (6.3% [95% CI, 2.9 to 13.8]). CONCLUSION In this cohort, mortality risk steadily declined for patients who remained event-free, approaching that of the general population by 7 years after diagnosis. These results emphasize the importance of individualized, long-term follow-up to address both recurrence risk and survivorship needs.
Prognostic relevance of gene signatures in high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma.
5510 Background: Transcriptional profiling of ovarian cancers has proven to be complex. As such it has been difficult to validate existing signatures across studies. Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) researchers have identified four molecular subtypes of high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC). However, survival duration did not differ significantly for the TCGA subtypes. Potential limitations of the TCGA data include short clinical follow-up (45% were alive at the time of last follow-up) and the need to unify gene expression measures from multiple platforms. Methods: Clinically annotated stage-II–IV HGSOC samples (n = 175) with >70% tumor cell content were profiled using the Agilent Whole Human Genome 4 x 44K chip. To identify subtypes non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) of mRNA expression was performed using ~2000 genes with the highest variability across patients. In parallel differentially expressed genes were identified using the Rosetta Similarity Search Tool as well as analysis of variance based on genes known to be involved in epithelial to mesenchymal transition. Results: Median follow-up time was 35 months (range, 0–202 months, 12% were alive at the time of last follow-up). NMF clustering confirmed four HGSOC subtypes (immunoreactive, differentiated, proliferative, and mesenchymal) on the basis of gene content in the clusters. Pathway signatures with therapeutic potential were identified for individual or multiple subtypes. Survival differed significantly between the four molecular subgroups in univariate (Hazard Ratio [HR] 2.4, 95% CI 1.5-4.1, p = 0.007) and multivariate (HR 2.3, 95% CI 1.3-4.0, p = 0.003) analyses when accounting for age, stage, grade, and postoperative residual tumor. Using the supervised clustering approach two distinct molecular subtypes of HGSOC based on epithelial and mesenchymal gene expression signatures were identified with significantly different survival outcomes. Conclusions: Here we independently validate and expand upon the molecular TCGA classification of HGSOC. The potential of these two prognostic classifiers may lie in their ability to recognize categories of patients that are more likely to respond to particular therapies.
Utilizing propensity scores to determine the risk of recurrence and death in epithelial ovarian cancer.
5577 Background: Perioperative red blood cell transfusion (PRBCT) may be a negative prognostic marker in surgical oncology. We assessed PRBCT as an independent risk factor for recurrence and death from epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) in the largest cohort to date. Methods: Patient characteristics and process-of-care variables (NSQIP-defined, >130 variables) were retrospectively abstracted from 587 women who underwent primary staging and cytoreduction for EOC (1/1/03-12/29/08). Evaluated using propensity scoring with univariate logistic regression and odds ratios (OR) and Cox proportional hazards regression and hazard ratios (HR). Factors with p<0.1 used in multivariate models. Results: Rate of PRBCT was 77.0% (452/587). In univariable analysis, PRBCT was associated with older age (OR 1.25[95% CI 1.06, 1.48]/10yr increase), stage≥IIIa (4.66[3.04, 7.13]), splenectomy (26.63[3.67, 193.17]), higher surgical complexity (1.86[1.17, 2.95] score 2; 21.48 [7.37, 62.59] 3; referent 1), serous histology (2.36[1.57, 3.55]vs non-serous), longer operating time (1.58[1.36, 1.83]/hr increase), and residual disease (3.26[1.97, 5.41]≤1cm; 1.97[1.09, 3.56]>1cm), and lower preop hemoglobin (Hb) (1.89[1.59, 2.27]per 1g/dL decrease). In univariable analysis, PRBCT was associated with a higher risk of recurrence (HR 1.96[95% CI 1.43, 2.68]) and death (1.71[1.28, 2.28]). However, in multivariable analysis, stage≥IIIa (4.03[2.05, 6.49]), splenectomy (1.41[1.02, 1.95]), residual disease (1.86[1.41, 2.46]≤1cm; 2.91[2.02, 4.18]>1cm), and lower preop Hb (1.09[1.01, 1.19]) were associated with higher risk of recurrence. Older age (1.24[1.12, 1.37]), stage≥IIIa (3.07[1.93, 4.90]), albumin ≤3 g/dL (2.06[1.28, 3.31]), residual disease (1.63[1.22, 2.19]≤1cm; 3.03[2.19, 4.18]>1cm), and low Hb (1.08[1.00, 1.19]) were associated with higher risk of death. Serous histology (0.70[0.52, 0.95]) associated with lower risk of death. Conclusions: PRBCT does not appear to be directly associated with disease-free and overall survival in EOC. Lower preoperative Hb was associated with a higher risk of both recurrence and death. The need for PRBCT appears to be a stronger prognostic indicator than the receipt of PRBCT.
Prospective assessment of cost, morbidity, and survival associated with lymphadenectomy in low-risk endometrial cancer.
5004 Background: Since 1999, patients with low-risk endometrial cancer (EC) as defined by the Mayo criteria have preferably not undergone lymphadenectomy (LND) at our institution. We assess survival, sites of recurrence, morbidity, and cost per up-staged case in this low-risk cohort. Methods: Consecutive patients with Mayo-defined low-risk EC managed without (non-LND) and with LND were compared. Cause-specific survival (CSS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. 30-day cost analyses were equated to 2010 Medicare dollars. Results: Among 1,393 consecutive surgically managed EC cases, 385 (27.6%) met the Mayo low-risk criteria, accounting for 34.1% of type I EC. The 5-year CSS of the low-risk cases was 98.6 %. There were 80 LND cases (median # nodes, 29) and 305 non-LND cases. Complications within 30 days occurred in 37.5% and 19.3% of LND and non-LND cases, respectively (P<0.001). Nodal metastasis was identified in a single LND case (1.3%). There were 11 recurrences, 6 of which were vaginal. Not a single recurrence was detected in the pelvic or paraaortic nodal areas in these 385 patients, with a median follow-up of 5.4 years. The estimated prevalence (combining surgery and surveillance) of lymph node metastasis was 0.3%. The 5-year CSS in LND and non-LND cases was 97.3% and 99.0%, respectively (P=0.32). Patients were more than seven times as likely to die of co-morbidities than from EC. The 30-day median cost of care was $15,678 for LND cases compared to $11,028 for non-LND cases (P<0.001). The estimated cost per up-staged low-risk case was $439,990 if performed via endoscopy and $327,866 via laparotomy. If the 305 non-LND cases had been subjected to LND, an estimated additional $1,418,189 would have been expended. Conclusions: For patients with low-risk EC as defined by the Mayo criteria, lymphadenectomy dramatically increases morbidity and 30-day cost of care without discernible short- or long-term benefits: CSS was 99% with a 0.3% rate of nodal metastasis. In these low-risk patients, hysterectomy with salpingo-oophorectomy alone is appropriate surgical management and should be standard of care.
DONALD F. RICHARDSON PRIZE PAPERComparing Risk Stratification Criteria for Predicting Lymphatic Dissemination in Endometrial Cancer [06OP]
INTRODUCTION: To compare two published risk stratification criteria (Milwaukee Model vs. Mayo Criteria) to predict lymphatic dissemination (LD) in endometrioid endometrial cancer (EC). METHODS: Patients who underwent surgery for EC between 1/1/2004-9/30/2013 and had endometrioid histology without stage IV disease were included and classified as either low-risk or at-risk for LD using two independent risk stratification systems. LD was defined as positive nodes at time of surgery or lymph node recurrence within 2 years of surgery after negative lymph node assessment (LNA) or when LNA was not performed. False positive (FP) and false negative (FN) rates for each risk model were calculated. RESULTS: Among 1103 patients, 81 (7.3%) had LD (72 positive LN and 9 LN recurrences). Most patients (90.2%) had stage I disease. Integration of the Milwaukee Model was associated with a low at-risk rate for LD (38.1%) but a relatively high FN rate (13.6%, 95% CI 7.0-23.0). Conversely, the traditional Mayo Criteria using a tumor diameter (TD) cutoff of ≤2 cm (vs >2 cm) had a higher at-risk rate for LD (69.5%) but a FN rate of 0.0% (95% CI, 0-4.5). Modifying Mayo Criteria using a TD cutoff of ≤3 cm (vs >3 cm) identified fewer women at-risk than using ≤2 cm cutoff (56.8% vs. 69.5%), but had a higher FN rate of 3.7% (95% CI, 0.8-10.4). CONCLUSIONS: The Milwaukee Model had the lowest at-risk rate of LD but an unacceptable FN rate. Modifying the Mayo Criteria by increasing the TD cutoff from the traditional ≤2 cm to ≤3 cm would spare an estimated 12.7% of patients LNA, but the accompanying FN rate is unacceptably high. The traditional Mayo Criteria for low-risk EC remains the most accurate in determining which patients LNA can be omitted.
Abstract 2203: A prospective study of endometrial cancer detection in women presenting for evaluation of abnormal peri- and postmenopausal bleeding
Abstract Background: Endometrial cancer (EC) is the most common gynecologic malignancy in developed countries and the incidence and mortality of EC continue to rise in the US. When detected early, EC is highly curable, suggesting that early detection strategies could reduce EC mortality. Women who develop EC often have a prolonged history of abnormal bleeding, offering a window for identifying many at-risk women prior to the development of advanced cancer. To evaluate risk prediction, novel sampling and early detection strategies in women at increased risk of EC, we established a prospective cohort of women with abnormal bleeding that is followed for endometrial hyperplasia and cancer endpoints. Methods: We consecutively enrolled women ≥45 years old presenting to the Mayo Clinic for evaluation of abnormal uterine bleeding (AUB), postmenopausal bleeding (PMB), thickened endometrial stripe (ES) on imaging, or Lynch Syndrome (LS). From all women, an intravaginal tampon and an endometrial brushing via Tao brush were collected before endometrial biopsy. Epidemiological EC risk factor data, clinical data, and endometrial biopsy histology results were abstracted from medical records. Absolute risk of endometrial hyperplasia and EC were calculated overall and in strata based on clinical symptoms and risk factors. Results: Among the first 1,000 women enrolled into the study, 712 (71%) were overweight or obese, 534 (53%) were postmenopausal, and 214 (22%) were current hormone replacement therapy (HRT) users. Endometrial biopsy and, if indicated, subsequent hysterectomy, detected 39 ECs, 16 atypical hyperplasias, and 28 hyperplasias without atypia at baseline evaluation. Among 534 postmenopausal women, 453 (85%) reported any type of bleeding, with spotting (39%) and light bleeding (27%) being more common than heavy bleeding (14%). Among perimenopausal women with AUB (n=452), the absolute risk of EC at baseline was 0.9% and among women with PMB, the absolute risk of EC at baseline was 7.5%. Among women with PMB, EC risk was modified by HRT use (risk of 2.6% in women on HRT and 8.2% in women not on HRT, respectively), obesity (risk of 5.3%, 8.1% and 9.5% for women with normal, overweight, and obese BMI, respectively), and type of bleeding (risk of 9.7%, 4.9%, and 8.2% in women with spotting, light or heavy bleeding, respectively). Discussion: While risk of endometrial cancer in perimenopausal women with AUB is low, approximately 8% of women presenting for clinical work up of PMB have underlying EC. Clinical presentation and risk factors modify the absolute risk of EC and may inform clinical management. Additional recruitment and prospective follow-up is underway to improve estimates of short- and long-term EC risk in women with PMB. With its collection of tampon and Tao brush samples, the study will provide a unique resource to evaluate molecular markers of EC and EC risk in elevated-risk women. Citation Format: Nicolas A. Wentzensen, Megan Clarke, Viji Shridhar, Maureen Lemens, Matthew Hopkins, Lisa Ahlberg, Shannon Laughlin-Tommaso, Karl Podratz, Mark Sherman, Jamie Bakkum-Gamez. A prospective study of endometrial cancer detection in women presenting for evaluation of abnormal peri- and postmenopausal bleeding [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2018; 2018 Apr 14-18; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 2203.
Microarray Analysis on Gene Regulation by Estrogen, Progesterone and Tamoxifen in Human Endometrial Stromal Cells
Epithelial stromal cells represent a major cellular component of human uterine endometrium that is subject to tight hormonal regulation. Through cell-cell contacts and/or paracrine mechanisms, stromal cells play a significant role in the malignant transformation of epithelial cells. We isolated stromal cells from normal human endometrium and investigated the morphological and transcriptional changes induced by estrogen, progesterone and tamoxifen. We demonstrated that stromal cells express appreciable levels of estrogen and progesterone receptors and undergo different morphological changes upon hormonal stimulation. Microarray analysis indicated that both estrogen and progesterone induced dramatic alterations in a variety of genes associated with cell structure, transcription, cell cycle, and signaling. However, divergent patterns of changes, and in some genes opposite effects, were observed for the two hormones. A large number of genes are identified as novel targets for hormonal regulation. These hormone-responsive genes may be involved in normal uterine function and the development of endometrial malignancies.
Abstract 3477: Discovery and validation of methylation markers for early detection of endometrial cancer.
Abstract Background: Endometrial cancers account for over 46,000 cases and 8,100 deaths annually in the U.S. Endometrial cancers that are confined to the uterus portend an excellent prognosis, suggesting that development of early detection methods for these tumors could reduce mortality. To identify and validate markers with potential utility in early detection of endometrial cancers, we compared DNA methylation profiling data for endometrial cancer tissues collected in a population-based epidemiological study and a comparison set of benign endometrial tissues, and replicated promising candidates in a separate clinical study. Methods: We used the Illumina Golden Gate platform to profile DNA methylation of CpGs at 1536 sites (807 genes) using fixed tissues from 148 endometrial cancers included in the population-based Polish Endometrial Cancer Study (cases) and 23 benign endometrial tissues collected at Magee Women's Hospital (controls). Tissue cores (1.0-mm) removed from target-rich areas of blocks were used for DNA extraction, bisulfite treatment and profiling. We replicated top candidate markers by applying pyrosequencing assays to endometrial brushings performed prior to hysterectomy among 38 women with endometrial cancer and 37 with benign gynecological diseases treated at the Mayo Clinic and calculated odds ratios comparing the highest tertile of methylation values in controls for each marker with middle and low tertiles. In addition, we assessed discrimination across the whole range of cutoffs using Receiver Operator Characteristics (ROC) curves. Results: Methylation profiling identified 114 CpG sites with differential methylation levels between cases and controls (P≤10-7). Eight genes (ADCYAP1, ASCL2, HS3ST2, HTR1B, MME, NPY, and SOX1) which showed large case-control differences in methylation levels (≥ 0.4), and low values in controls (<0.2) were chosen for replication by pyrosequencing in pre-hysterectomy patients. In the replication study, higher methylation levels were found for 7 of 8 genes in endometrial brush samples from women with cancer as compared to women without cancer. In the replication study, odds ratios for association of methylation markers with endometrial cancer ranged from 3.6 (95%-CI: 1.35-9.47) for HTR1B to 10.9 (95%-CI: 3.23-36.91) for ASCL2. Discrimination of cases and controls was best for ADCYAP1 (area under ROC curve=0.89; 95% CI: 0.80-0.97), CDH13 (0.87; 95% CI: 0.80-0.97), and MME (0.87; 95% CI: 0.78-0.97). Conclusions: Analysis of DNA methylation markers in endometrial brushings is strongly associated with prevalent endometrial cancer at hysterectomy. Development and validation of a robust early detection marker panel for endometrial cancers, including non-endometrioid cancers and precursor lesions is ongoing. Citation Format: Nicolas A. Wentzensen, Jamie Bakkum, Keith Killian, Viji Shridhar, Lisa Adams, Richard Guido, Lori D'Ambrosio, Patricia Luhn, Joshua Sampson, Hannah Yang, Louise Brinton, Jolanta Lissowska, Karl Podratz, Mark Sherman. Discovery and validation of methylation markers for early detection of endometrial cancer. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 104th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2013 Apr 6-10; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2013;73(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 3477. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2013-3477
Discovery and validation of methylation markers for endometrial cancer
We investigated the HE4 variant-specific expression patterns in various normal tissues as well as in normal and malignant endometrial tissues. The relationships between mRNA variants and age, body weight, or survival are analyzed. ICAT-labeled normal and endometrial cancer (EC) tissues were analyzed with multidimensional liquid chromatography followed by tandem mass spectrometry. Levels of HE4 mRNA variants were measured by real-time PCR. Mean mRNA levels were compared among 16 normal endometrial samples, 14 grade 1 and 14 grade 3 endometrioid EC, 15 papillary serous EC, and 14 normal human tissue samples. The relationship between levels of HE4 variants and EC patient characteristics was analyzed with the use of Pearson correlation test. We found that, although all five HE4 mRNA variants are detectable in normal tissue samples, their expression is highly tissue-specific, with epididymis, trachea, breast and endometrium containing the highest levels. HE4-V0, -V1, and -V3 are the most abundant variants in both normal and malignant tissues. All variants are significantly increased in both endometrioid and papillary serous EC, with higher levels observed in grade 3 endometrioid EC. In the EC group, HE4-V1, -V3, and -V4 levels inversely correlate with EC patient survival, whereas HE4-V0 levels positively correlate with age. HE4 variants exhibit tissue-specific expression, suggesting that each variant may exert distinct functions in normal and malignant cells. HE4 levels appear to correlate with EC patient survival in a variant-specific manner. When using HE4 as a biomarker for EC management, the effects of age should be considered.