Pike, Malcolm C.

Abstract Background: Chronic inflammation is implicated in ovarian carcinogenesis, but how different inflammation-related exposures individually or jointly affect histotype-specific associations remains unclear. Materials and Methods: We pooled data from 16 case-control studies in the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium to evaluate associations of eight inflammation-related factors (anti-inflammatory: aspirin use, tubal ligation (TL); pro-inflammatory: endometriosis, obesity, lifetime ovulatory cycles (LOC), smoking, pelvic inflammatory disease (PID), polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS)) with epithelial ovarian cancer (OvC) by histologic subtype. We examined individual associations and clustering of risk factors across histotypes and computed population attributable risk (PAR) for each factor. We assessed additive and multiplicative interactions for exposure combinations. Results: Associations with OvC risk differed by histotype (e.g., high-grade serous: aspirin: OR=0.90; 95%CI 0.82, 0.99; TL: OR=0.80; 95%CI 0.73, 0.88; overall serous: endometriosis: OR=1.17; 95%CI 1.03, 1.31; high LOC: OR=1.42; 95%CI 1.28, 1.58; obesity (low-grade serous): OR=1.50; 95%CI 1.14, 1.98). Clustering analyses showed highly correlated risk profiles in endometrioid and clear cell (r=0.91). High-grade serous and mucinous profiles were moderately correlated with endometrioid and clear cell (r=0.60) tumors. The profile for low-grade serous (r=0.36) tumors was distinct from other histotypes. PAR estimates suggested modifying aspirin use, TL, and LOCs could substantially reduce burdens of endometrioid, clear cell and mucinous tumors. Out of 28 exposure combinations tested in overall OvC and 189 by histotype, we observed 12 interactions. Not using aspirin regularly showed positive additive interactions with obesity and high LOCs, particularly in endometrioid tumors (obesity relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI)=0.74, 95%CI 0.31, 1.18; Pint=0.001 for; LOCs RERI=0.80, 95%CI 0.03, 1.56; Pint=0.04). Not using aspirin regularly also showed a positive additive interaction with endometriosis in clear cell tumors (RERI=1.77, 95%CI 0.03, 3.52; Pint=0.05). Lack of TL showed positive interactions with obesity in endometrioid (RERI=0.86, 95%CI 0.17, 1.53; Pint=0.01) and mucinous (RERI=1.10, 95%CI 0.23, 1.97; Pint=0.01) tumors, while negative additive interactions were observed for smoking and endometriosis in endometrioid tumors (RERI=-1.12, 95%CI -2.19, -0.05; Pint=0.04). A multiplicative interaction was observed between obesity and endometriosis in mucinous tumors (Pint=0.01). Conclusion: The findings suggest ovarian tumorigenesis is strongly shaped by pro- and anti-inflammatory pathways that act largely independently. Further examining these pathways may clarify the origins of histotype heterogeneity and guide prevention strategies. Citation Format: Maxwell Akonde, Britton Trabert, SHELLEY TWOROGER, Allan Jensen, Kathryn L. Terry, Joshua Sampson, Hoda Anton-Culver, David Bowtell, Elisa V. Bandera, Angela Brooks-Wilson, Andrew Berchuck, Daniel William Cramer, Linda S. Cook, Julie M. Cunningham, Jennifer A. Doherty, Ellen L. Goode, Marc T. Goodman, Holly Ruth Harris, Susanne K. Kjaer, Nhu Le, Alice Wen-Ron Lee, Francesmary Modugno, Kirsten B. Moysich, Celeste Pearce, Malcolm C. Pike, Harvey A. Risch, Mary A. Rossing, Joellen M. Schildkrau, Daniel O. Stram, Rebecca Sutphen, David Van Den Berg, Penelope M. Webb, Anna Wu, Argyrios Ziogas, Nicolas A. Wentzensen. Inflammation-related exposures and histotype- specific ovarian cancer risk in the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium (OCAC) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 6261.

Abstract Purpose: Endometrioid ovarian carcinoma (ENOC) is the second most-common type of ovarian carcinoma, comprising 10%–20% of cases. Recently, the study of ENOC has benefitted from comparisons to endometrial carcinomas including defining ENOC with four prognostic molecular subtypes. Each subtype suggests differential mechanisms of progression, although tumor-initiating events remain elusive. There is evidence that the ovarian microenvironment may be critical to early lesion establishment and progression. However, while immune infiltrates have been well studied in high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma, studies in ENOC are limited. Experimental Design: We report on 210 ENOC, with clinical follow-up and molecular subtype annotation. Using multiplex IHC and immunofluorescence, we examine the prevalence of T-cell lineage, B-cell lineage, macrophages, and populations with programmed cell death protein 1 or programmed death-ligand 1 across subtypes of ENOC. Results: Immune cell infiltrates in tumor epithelium and stroma showed higher densities in ENOC subtypes with known high mutation burden (POLEmut and MMRd). While molecular subtypes were prognostically significant, immune infiltrates were not (overall survival P > 0.2). Analysis by molecular subtype revealed that immune cell density was prognostically significant in only the no specific molecular profile (NSMP) subtype, where immune infiltrates lacking B cells (TILB minus) had inferior outcome (disease-specific survival: HR, 4.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.1–14.7; P < 0.05). Similar to endometrial carcinomas, molecular subtype stratification was generally superior to immune response in predicting outcomes. Conclusions: Subtype stratification is critical for better understanding of ENOC, in particular the distribution and prognostic significance of immune cell infiltrates. The role of B cells in the immune response within NSMP tumors warrants further study.

Abstract Background The role of ovulation in epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) is supported by the consistent protective effects of parity and oral contraceptive use. Whether these factors protect through anovulation alone remains unclear. We explored the association between lifetime ovulatory years (LOY) and EOC. Methods LOY was calculated using 12 algorithms. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) estimated the association between LOY or LOY components and EOC among 26 204 control participants and 21 267 case patients from 25 studies. To assess whether LOY components act through ovulation suppression alone, we compared beta coefficients obtained from regression models with expected estimates assuming 1 year of ovulation suppression has the same effect regardless of source. Results LOY was associated with increased EOC risk (OR per year increase = 1.014, 95% CI = 1.009 to 1.020 to OR per year increase = 1.044, 95% CI = 1.041 to 1.048). Individual LOY components, except age at menarche, also associated with EOC. The estimated model coefficient for oral contraceptive use and pregnancies were 4.45 times and 12- to 15-fold greater than expected, respectively. LOY was associated with high-grade serous, low-grade serous, endometrioid, and clear cell histotypes (ORs per year increase = 1.054, 1.040, 1.065, and 1.098, respectively) but not mucinous tumors. Estimated coefficients of LOY components were close to expected estimates for high-grade serous but larger than expected for low-grade serous, endometrioid, and clear cell histotypes. Conclusions LOY is positively associated with nonmucinous EOC. Differences between estimated and expected model coefficients for LOY components suggest factors beyond ovulation underlie the associations between LOY components and EOC in general and for non-HGSOC.

Abstract Mucinous ovarian carcinoma (MOC) is a rare histotype of ovarian cancer. Women with advanced disease (FIGO stage III/IV) have very poor outcomes, with 5-year survival of <20%. Little is known about the anti-tumor immune response in MOC, limiting potential immunotherapeutic options for patients. Immune data from 3 platforms were analysed. A NanoString mRNA expression panel with 39 immune-related genes (n=60 MOC, n=4198 other ovarian histotypes), a NanoString mRNA plexset with PD-1, PD-L1 (n=241 MOC, n=115 upper and lower gastrointestinal (GI) cancers), and 2 multicolor immunofluorescence (mcIF) panels (n=121 MOC) for CD68, PD-L1, PD-1, CD8 and FOXP3. Data overlapped all platforms for 22 MOC. Immune marker expression by ovarian cancer histotype was measured. Uni- and multivariable Cox Proportional Hazards assessed overall survival (OS) within MOC. Hierarchical clustering looked for subgroups of patients based on co-expression of immune genes. Compared to more common high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSC) and GI cancers, MOC were less immunologically active. High IGHM expression was associated with poorer OS (HR 1.31 (95% CI 1.02–1.69), p=0.033). High tumor densities of FOXP3 and PD-1 positive cells conferred poorer OS in a model with age, stage and site; however, these and PD-L1 and CD68 were associated with grade. The 39 gene NanoString and mcIF datasets revealed 4 clusters, roughly translating to immune cold, moderate and hot (groups 3,4). mcIF analysis revealed a subset with PD-L1 expression in the absence of T-regulatory cell infiltrates. This study provides novel insights into the MOC immune landscape. Despite relatively low immune activity overall, immunotherapy could be explored for a subset of patients with MOC. Supported by NSW Ministry of Health and UNSW Sydney, through the NSW Health PhD Scholarship Program 2017-2022; Translational Cancer Research Network top-up scholarship 2021

AbstractBackgroundCyclin E1 (CCNE1) is a potential predictive marker and therapeutic target in tubo‐ovarian high‐grade serous carcinoma (HGSC). Smaller studies have revealed unfavorable associations for CCNE1 amplification and CCNE1 overexpression with survival, but to date no large‐scale, histotype‐specific validation has been performed. The hypothesis was that high‐level amplification of CCNE1 and CCNE1 overexpression, as well as a combination of the two, are linked to shorter overall survival in HGSC.MethodsWithin the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium, amplification status and protein level in 3029 HGSC cases and mRNA expression in 2419 samples were investigated.ResultsHigh‐level amplification (>8 copies by chromogenic in situ hybridization) was found in 8.6% of HGSC and overexpression (>60% with at least 5% demonstrating strong intensity by immunohistochemistry) was found in 22.4%. CCNE1 high‐level amplification and overexpression both were linked to shorter overall survival in multivariate survival analysis adjusted for age and stage, with hazard stratification by study (hazard ratio [HR], 1.26; 95% CI, 1.08‐1.47, p = .034, and HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.05‐1.32, p = .015, respectively). This was also true for cases with combined high‐level amplification/overexpression (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.09‐1.47, p = .033). CCNE1 mRNA expression was not associated with overall survival (HR, 1.00 per 1‐SD increase; 95% CI, 0.94‐1.06; p = .58). CCNE1 high‐level amplification is mutually exclusive with the presence of germline BRCA1/2 pathogenic variants and shows an inverse association to RB1 loss.ConclusionThis study provides large‐scale validation that CCNE1 high‐level amplification is associated with shorter survival, supporting its utility as a prognostic biomarker in HGSC.

Abstract Background: Ovarian cancer is the deadliest gynecologic cancer. Standard treatments for advanced stage high-grade serous ovarian cancer, the most common type, include (1) primary cytoreductive surgery (PCS) followed by adjuvant chemotherapy or (2) neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) with interval debulking surgery. Patients in whom PCS is unlikely to yield optimal cytoreduction to no visible residual disease (R0) or who have medical contraindications to PCS are recommended to undergo NACT. Previous studies on associations between environmental factors and risk of any macroscopic residual disease have yielded inconsistent results. We aimed to (1) comprehensively examine the associations between demographic, lifestyle and reproductive factors and risk of residual disease after PCS; and (2) develop and internally validate a risk prediction model based on these factors. Methods: We used pooled data on 3,492 women who had PCS following a diagnosis with advanced stage high-grade serous ovarian, fallopian tube or primary peritoneal cancers from the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium. Fifteen exposures of interest included age at diagnosis, menopausal status, race/ethnicity, education level, first-degree family history of ovarian cancer, endometriosis, smoking, body mass index, parity, incomplete pregnancy, tubal ligation, use of combined oral contraceptives, depot-medroxyprogesterone acetate, estrogen (ET), and combined estrogen-progestin therapy. We fit logistic regression models to examine each exposure-residual disease association in 80% of the data (n=2,794; random selection of participants). We developed a risk prediction model including the factors with p-values ≤0.2. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess the model’s discrimination in the remaining 20% of the data (n=698). Results: Of the 3,492 participants, 2,003 (57%) had residual disease following PCS. Older age at diagnosis was associated with an increased risk of residual disease (OR=1.07 per five years, 95% CI 1.03-1.11). In contrast, a family history of ovarian cancer (OR=0.63, 95% CI 0.42-0.95) or ET use for 5+ years (OR=0.61, 95% CI 0.39-0.96) were associated with achieving R0. These above factors were included in the risk prediction model as were race/ethnicity, personal history of endometriosis, and smoking, whose p-values ≤0.2. The model showed modest performance in the validation set (AUC=0.64). Conclusions: Younger age at diagnosis, family history of ovarian cancer, and long-term ET use were associated with achieving R0 following PCS. Future studies incorporating genetic and clinical factors to improve the risk prediction for residual disease following PCS are warranted. Citation Format: Minh Tung Phung, Andrew Berchuck, Ellen L. Goode, Marc T. Goodman, Gillian E. Hanley, Jean Richardson, Bronwyn Grout, Anne Chase, Cindy McKinnon Deurloo, Beth Y. Karlan, Toon Van Gorp, Keitaro Matsuo, Karen McLean, Malcolm C. Pike, Joellen M. Schildkraut, Kathryn L. Terry, Anna DeFazio, Penelope M. Webb, Paul D. P. Pharoah, Susan J. Ramus, Celeste Leigh Pearce. Environmental factors associated with residual disease after ovarian cancer primary cytoreduction surgery [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 2248.

Abstract Background: There is suggestive evidence that inflammation is related to ovarian cancer survival. However, more research is needed to identify inflammation-related factors that are associated with ovarian cancer survival and to determine their combined effects. Methods: This analysis used pooled data on 8,147 women with invasive epithelial ovarian cancer from the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium. The prediagnosis inflammation-related exposures of interest included alcohol use; aspirin use; other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use; body mass index; environmental tobacco smoke exposure; history of pelvic inflammatory disease, polycystic ovarian syndrome, and endometriosis; menopausal hormone therapy use; physical inactivity; smoking status; and talc use. Using Cox proportional hazards models, the relationship between each exposure and survival was assessed in 50% of the data. A weighted inflammation-related risk score (IRRS) was developed, and its association with survival was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models in the remaining 50% of the data. Results: There was a statistically significant trend of increasing risk of death per quartile of the IRRS [HR = 1.09; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03–1.14]. Women in the upper quartile of the IRRS had a 31% higher death rate compared with the lowest quartile (95% CI, 1.11–1.54). Conclusions: A higher prediagnosis IRRS was associated with an increased mortality risk after an ovarian cancer diagnosis. Further investigation is warranted to evaluate whether postdiagnosis exposures are also associated with survival. Impact: Given that pre- and postdiagnosis exposures are often correlated and many are modifiable, our study results can ultimately motivate the development of behavioral recommendations to enhance survival among patients with ovarian cancer.

Abstract A majority of patients with high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSC) develop progressive disease following primary treatment, with a five-year survival rate of approximately 40%, and less than 10% survive more than 10 years. Profound genomic instability, treatment with DNA-damaging drugs, and a large tumor burden promote the development of acquired resistance in a large proportion of patients, including multiple convergent resistant events within individuals. Despite the propensity of HGSC to develop drug resistance, a small proportion of patients with advanced disease at diagnosis become long-term survivors. These exceptional patients include those who had suboptimal surgical clearance, and therefore were not cured surgically, and others who have had no evidence of disease recurrence following initial surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy. Our study, which is part of the international collaborative Multidisciplinary Ovarian Cancer Outcomes Group (MOCOG), seeks to identify molecular, immunologic, and epidemiologic factors that influence long-term survival in HGSC. This presentation describes our genomic and immunologic analysis of exceptional survival of this deadly disease. Patient characteristics and clinical histories were evaluated to identify patients diagnosed with advanced stage (Stage IIIC/IV) and histopathologically confirmed HGSC with greater than 10-year overall survival. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) was performed on primary tumors (median 78x coverage) and germline samples (median 39x coverage) of 55 long-term survivors. Primary tumor samples were also characterized by RNA sequencing, DNA methylation profiling, and immunohistochemistry. Thirty-eight (69%) of long-term surviving patients had residual disease following surgery, suggestive of highly chemosensitive disease. Most patients (41, 75%) were alive at last follow-up and 26 (47%) were progression free. Somatic mutation burden was higher in primary tumors of long-term survivors relative to controls. Genome-wide mutational signatures were predominantly Signature 3 (associated with homologous recombination deficiency), Signature 1 (age related), and Signatures 5, 8, and 16 (unknown etiology). Inactivation of the tumor suppressor RB1 by structural rearrangements or homozygous deletion was frequent in long-term survivors, with 33% of tumors showing associated loss of RB1 protein expression by immunohistochemistry compared to 13% of unselected HGSC controls (n=207; P = 0.001). In an independent HGSC cohort (n=847), RB1 protein loss was associated with prolonged survival (HR: 0.75, P < 0.001) compared to patients with RB1-positive tumors. Furthermore, co-occurrence of germline mutations in BRCA1 or BRCA2 and RB1 loss was associated with a significantly longer overall survival compared to patients with retained RB1 protein expression and no germline BRCA mutation (HR: 0.44, P < 0.001). Multiplexed immunohistochemical analysis with immune cell panels demonstrated distinct associations with long-term survivors. This study delineates the full landscape of genomic alterations in HGSC of long-term survivors. Our findings indicate that specific mutations are associated with enhanced host immune responses and long-term survival. Citation Format: Dale Garsed, Ahwan Pandey, Sian Fereday, Kathryn Alsop, Maartje Wouters, Flurina Saner, Catherine Kennedy, Celeste Pearce, Malcolm Pike, Susan Ramus, Martin Kobel, Anna deFazio, Ellen Goode, Brad Nelson, David Bowtell. Molecular analysis of exceptional response in high-grade serous ovarian cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference on Advances in Ovarian Cancer Research; 2019 Sep 13-16, 2019; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2020;26(13_Suppl):Abstract nr IA05.

Abstract Background Parity is associated with decreased risk of invasive ovarian cancer; however, the relationship between incomplete pregnancies and invasive ovarian cancer risk is unclear. This relationship was examined using 15 case-control studies from the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium (OCAC). Histotype-specific associations, which have not been examined previously with large sample sizes, were also evaluated. Methods A pooled analysis of 10 470 invasive epithelial ovarian cancer cases and 16 942 controls was conducted. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between incomplete pregnancies and invasive epithelial ovarian cancer were estimated using logistic regression. All models were conditioned on OCAC study, race and ethnicity, age, and education level and adjusted for number of complete pregnancies, oral contraceptive use, and history of breastfeeding. The same approach was used for histotype-specific analyses. Results Ever having an incomplete pregnancy was associated with a 16% reduction in ovarian cancer risk (OR = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.79 to 0.89). There was a trend of decreasing risk with increasing number of incomplete pregnancies (2-sided Ptrend < .001). An inverse association was observed for all major histotypes; it was strongest for clear cell ovarian cancer. Conclusions Incomplete pregnancies are associated with a reduced risk of invasive epithelial ovarian cancer. Pregnancy, including incomplete pregnancy, was associated with a greater reduction in risk of clear cell ovarian cancer, but the result was broadly consistent across histotypes. Future work should focus on understanding the mechanisms underlying this reduced risk.

Abstract Purpose: Gene expression–based molecular subtypes of high-grade serous tubo-ovarian cancer (HGSOC), demonstrated across multiple studies, may provide improved stratification for molecularly targeted trials. However, evaluation of clinical utility has been hindered by nonstandardized methods, which are not applicable in a clinical setting. We sought to generate a clinical grade minimal gene set assay for classification of individual tumor specimens into HGSOC subtypes and confirm previously reported subtype-associated features. Experimental Design: Adopting two independent approaches, we derived and internally validated algorithms for subtype prediction using published gene expression data from 1,650 tumors. We applied resulting models to NanoString data on 3,829 HGSOCs from the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium. We further developed, confirmed, and validated a reduced, minimal gene set predictor, with methods suitable for a single-patient setting. Results: Gene expression data were used to derive the predictor of high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma molecular subtype (PrOTYPE) assay. We established a de facto standard as a consensus of two parallel approaches. PrOTYPE subtypes are significantly associated with age, stage, residual disease, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, and outcome. The locked-down clinical grade PrOTYPE test includes a model with 55 genes that predicted gene expression subtype with >95% accuracy that was maintained in all analytic and biological validations. Conclusions: We validated the PrOTYPE assay following the Institute of Medicine guidelines for the development of omics-based tests. This fully defined and locked-down clinical grade assay will enable trial design with molecular subtype stratification and allow for objective assessment of the predictive value of HGSOC molecular subtypes in precision medicine applications. See related commentary by McMullen et al., p. 5271