Weir, Ashley

Abstract Despite homologous recombination (HR) deficiency being an important predictor of survival in high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSC), its status is rarely considered in large-scale studies of prognostic signatures and biomarkers. We sought to develop a gene expression-based classifier of HR deficient (HRD) HGSCs, suitable for archival FFPE tumor samples, to determine whether established prognostic markers were dependent on HR status. Using 361 HGSCs from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) where HR status was defined by the genomic gold standard, a HRD score, we trained and tested a ridge penalized logistic regression model. This 218-gene mRNA expression signature was then applied in 6002 HGSCs from the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis (OTTA) consortium to predict the probability of a sample being HRD. In this large cohort of FFPE samples, we sought to understand the relationship between HR and overall survival. Applying Kaplan-Meier analyses and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression modelling, adjusting for age and stratified by stage and study, we examined the relationship between HR status and the PrOTYPE subtype, SPOT prognostic score and other known prognostic markers in HGSC. Our machine learning model was 84% accurate in a held-out subset of the TCGA (n=73). Of the 6002 OTTA HGSCs, 40.4% were predicted to be HRD. These cases were significantly younger, were enriched for early stage (FIGO I/II) and had improved outcomes when compared to HR proficient (HRP) cases (hazard ratio [HZR]=0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.66-0.76, p<2x10-16). A linear increase in survival time was observed as the probability of a sample being HRD increased. HGSCs with >75% likelihood of being HRD had a median 5-year survival of 49.3% (95%CI=46.2-52.6%) which was a 17.7% increase from those with <25% likelihood. Both PrOTYPE and SPOT were significantly associated with survival, independent of HR status (p<2x10-16 and p<2x10-16 respectively). Notably the probability of being HRD was negatively correlated with an unfavorable SPOT score (R=-0.32, p<2x10-16), suggesting that SPOT partially captures the survival advantage of HR deficiency. Several individual biomarkers, assessed in 1248 to 2858 cases, showed HR dependent survival associations. HRD HGSCs with high GMNN expression had significantly improved, long-term outcomes (4-10years, HZR=0.39, 95%CI=0.20-0.78, p=0.01), and may be a marker of exceptional survival, while AR negative HRD cases had poorer outcomes, earlier in disease progression (0-4years, HZR=1.43, 95%CI=1.03-1.98, p=0.03). Significantly poorer prognoses were observed in HRP cases expressing PTEN (HZR=1.39, 95%CI=1.04-1.87, p=0.03), and in HRD cases with high expression of MyD88 (HZR=1.21, 95%CI=1.01-1.45, p=0.04). RB1 and FOXJ1 protein expression, and CD8+ T cell abundance were prognostic irrespective of HR status. Our study contributes to understanding the association between HR and HGSC survival in a statistically powered cohort and demonstrates heterogeneity in outcomes through clinically relevant prognostic signatures and biomarkers. Citation Format: Ashley L. Weir, Derek Chiu, Aline Talhouk, Mike S. Anglesio, Dale W. Garsed, Anna DeFazio, Holly H. Harris, Joellen M. Schildkraut, Andrew Berchuck, Ellen L. Goode, Paul D.P. Pharoah, David Huntsman, David Bowtell, Jen A. Doherty, Nadia M. Davidson, Martin Köbel, Susan J. Ramus. Homologous recombination DNA repair dependent survival associations in high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma: an Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Advances in Ovarian Cancer Research; 2025 Sep 19-21; Denver, CO. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(18_Suppl):Abstract nr B046.

AbstractOur objective was to test whether p53 expression status is associated with survival for women diagnosed with the most common ovarian carcinoma histotypes (high‐grade serous carcinoma [HGSC], endometrioid carcinoma [EC], and clear cell carcinoma [CCC]) using a large multi‐institutional cohort from the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis (OTTA) consortium. p53 expression was assessed on 6,678 cases represented on tissue microarrays from 25 participating OTTA study sites using a previously validated immunohistochemical (IHC) assay as a surrogate for the presence and functional effect of TP53 mutations. Three abnormal expression patterns (overexpression, complete absence, and cytoplasmic) and the normal (wild type) pattern were recorded. Survival analyses were performed by histotype. The frequency of abnormal p53 expression was 93.4% (4,630/4,957) in HGSC compared to 11.9% (116/973) in EC and 11.5% (86/748) in CCC. In HGSC, there were no differences in overall survival across the abnormal p53 expression patterns. However, in EC and CCC, abnormal p53 expression was associated with an increased risk of death for women diagnosed with EC in multivariate analysis compared to normal p53 as the reference (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.36–3.47, p = 0.0011) and with CCC (HR = 1.57, 95% CI 1.11–2.22, p = 0.012). Abnormal p53 was also associated with shorter overall survival in The International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage I/II EC and CCC. Our study provides further evidence that functional groups of TP53 mutations assessed by abnormal surrogate p53 IHC patterns are not associated with survival in HGSC. In contrast, we validate that abnormal p53 IHC is a strong independent prognostic marker for EC and demonstrate for the first time an independent prognostic association of abnormal p53 IHC with overall survival in patients with CCC.

AbstractBackgroundCyclin E1 (CCNE1) is a potential predictive marker and therapeutic target in tubo‐ovarian high‐grade serous carcinoma (HGSC). Smaller studies have revealed unfavorable associations for CCNE1 amplification and CCNE1 overexpression with survival, but to date no large‐scale, histotype‐specific validation has been performed. The hypothesis was that high‐level amplification of CCNE1 and CCNE1 overexpression, as well as a combination of the two, are linked to shorter overall survival in HGSC.MethodsWithin the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium, amplification status and protein level in 3029 HGSC cases and mRNA expression in 2419 samples were investigated.ResultsHigh‐level amplification (>8 copies by chromogenic in situ hybridization) was found in 8.6% of HGSC and overexpression (>60% with at least 5% demonstrating strong intensity by immunohistochemistry) was found in 22.4%. CCNE1 high‐level amplification and overexpression both were linked to shorter overall survival in multivariate survival analysis adjusted for age and stage, with hazard stratification by study (hazard ratio [HR], 1.26; 95% CI, 1.08‐1.47, p = .034, and HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.05‐1.32, p = .015, respectively). This was also true for cases with combined high‐level amplification/overexpression (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.09‐1.47, p = .033). CCNE1 mRNA expression was not associated with overall survival (HR, 1.00 per 1‐SD increase; 95% CI, 0.94‐1.06; p = .58). CCNE1 high‐level amplification is mutually exclusive with the presence of germline BRCA1/2 pathogenic variants and shows an inverse association to RB1 loss.ConclusionThis study provides large‐scale validation that CCNE1 high‐level amplification is associated with shorter survival, supporting its utility as a prognostic biomarker in HGSC.