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279 citation(s) found for "Sy, Ethan".

Circulating Tumor DNA Assessment of Disease Response in Large B-Cell Lymphoma: Lisocabtagene Maraleucel Versus Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation Standard Therapy
Stepan, Lara , Ansari, Sahar , Abramson, Jeremy, Okal, Abood, Dell’Aringa, Justine, Thompson, Ethan G., Crotta, Alessandro, Chow, Victor A. , Kamdar, Manali , Solomon, Scott R. , Johnston, Patrick B. , Glaß, Bertram , Mutsaers, Pim , Arnason, Jon, Mielke, Stephan , Hernandez-Ilizaliturri, Francisco, Bachanová, Veronika , Chabon, Jacob J. , Alizadeh, Ash A. , Peiser, Leanne, Abramson, Jeremy S. , Abramson, Jeremy S , Shadman, Mazyar , Izutsu, Koji , Bachanova, Veronika , Ibrahimi, Sami , Kurtz, David M , Alizadeh, Ash A , Peiser, Leanne , Kamdar, Manali , Mielke, Stephan , Ansari, Sahar, Arnason, Jon , Shadman, Mazyar , Hernandez‐Ilizaliturri, Francisco J. , Izutsu, Koji , Ibrahimi, Sami , Kurtz, David M.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | April 27, 2026 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 19 | Pages: 1767-1773

10.1200/jco-25-03051 | PMID 42044466 Get It

We report correlative circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analyses from TRANSFORM (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03575351 ) evaluating lisocabtagene maraleucel (liso-cel) versus standard of care (salvage immunochemotherapy, high-dose chemotherapy, autologous stem cell transplantation [ASCT]) in second-line large B-cell lymphoma (LBCL). ctDNA association with efficacy was investigated at predefined time points (random assignment, day 43, day 64, and day 126 [3 months after liso-cel, approximately 2 months after ASCT]) for 136 patients using ultrasensitive PhasED-Seq. ctDNA clearance (measurable residual disease [MRD] neg ) predicted longer event-free survival (EFS) at all time points in both arms, with significantly more liso-cel–treated patients achieving MRD neg . Liso-cel demonstrated superior outcomes versus ASCT, including longer EFS, progression-free survival (PFS), and duration of response among patients in complete response (CR) and MRD neg . ctDNA re-emergence in patients with CR after ASCT confirmed its potential in predicting relapse. MRD neg remained significantly associated with EFS after adjusting for positron emission tomography (PET) response, while interaction testing revealed a significant interaction between PET status and treatment arm for EFS. Liso-cel achieved deeper, more durable molecular clearance by ctDNA, consistent with superior EFS and PFS versus ASCT for second-line LBCL treatment. ctDNA-MRD provided prognostic value beyond PET, supporting its role as a complementary biomarker for treatment response and relapse prediction.
Fosmanogepix Treatment for Coccidioidomycosis Under an Expanded Access Program
Cohen, Stuart H. , Allyn, Paul , Rathe, Jennifer , Nanayakkara, Deepa , Hutfles, Gerald, Vijayan, Tara , Smith, Ethan A , Saling, Christopher , Ilges, Dan , Schlamm, Haran T., Thompson, George R. , Rathe, Jennifer , Hutfles, Gerald , Vijayan, Tara , Smith, Ethan A , Ilges, Dan , Thompson, George R , Allyn, Paul R , Chow, Felicia C.

Clinical Infectious Diseases | April 18, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1093/cid/ciag271 | PMID 42015519 Get It

Abstract Coccidioidomycosis is an invasive fungal infection that can disseminate and cause severe disease. Fosmanogepix (“gepix”), a first-in-class antifungal available via expanded access (NCT06433128), was successful in 8/11 patients (meningitis, 6/8 [75%]; nonmeningeal dissemination, 2/3 [66%]) and was well tolerated for a median treatment duration of 208 days.
Abstract LB364: TOP1-DNA protein complex as a predictive biomarker for NKTR-102/Rucaparib combination therapy in PARP-inhibitor resistant ovarian cancer
Venkatachalam, Annapoorna , Nitschmann, Caroline C., Flatten, Karen S., Hurley, Rachel, Hou, Xiaonan, Schenider, Paula A., Goergen, Krista M., Maurer, Matthew, Heinzen, Ethan P. , Oberg, Ann L. , Weroha, S John, Hou, Xiaonan , Correia, Cristina , Haluska, Paul , Kaufmann, Scott H. , Swisher, Elizabeth M.

Cancer Research | April 17, 2026 | Volume: 86 | Issue: 8_Supplement | Pages: LB364-LB364

10.1158/1538-7445.am2026-lb364 Get It

Abstract Despite long-standing interest in combining topoisomerase I (TOP1) poisons with PARP inhibitors (PARPis), the mechanistic basis for the variable and often unpredictable response to this strategy remains unclear. Early preclinical studies suggested that PARP inhibition amplifies TOP1 poison-induced DNA damage, implying broad therapeutic potential; however, emerging translational and clinical data—particularly in ovarian cancer—indicate that synergy is context-dependent and governed by tumor-intrinsic features that have not been fully defined.Here we assessed determinants of response in five HR proficient ovarian cancer (OC) patient-derived xenografts (PDXs) previously treated with the SN-38 prodrug etirinotecan pegol (NKTR-102) in combination with the PARPi rucaparib (C. Nitschmann, Clin. Cancer Res. 22(2) Suppl. B50, 2016). Although all models were refractory to single-agent rucaparib, 50% exhibited enhancement of NKTR-102-induced tumor regression with the addition of rucaparib. Neither PARP1 abundance nor extent of rucaparib-mediated poly(ADP-ribose) suppression correlated with therapeutic benefit. Instead, sensitization was restricted to PDXs intrinsically responsive to NKTR-102 and was strongly associated with high levels of NKTR-102-induced TOP1-DNA covalent complexes. In further analysis, 2 of 3 resistant PDXs exhibited high levels of the ABC transporter ABCG2 despite lack of previous therapy, revealing a previously underappreciated mechanism of de novo resistance that limits effective TOP1 inhibitor activity independent of homologous recombination status. Notably, NKTR-102 response did not track with platinum/taxane sensitivity, highlighting the distinct molecular circuitry governing TOP1 poison susceptibility.Collectively, these findings demonstrate that rucaparib can potentiate NKTR-102-induced regression in tumors capable of forming abundant TOP1-DNA covalent complexes. This work identifies TOP1-DNA complex trapping and lack of ABCG2 expression as mechanistic predictors of benefit, providing an updated framework for selecting patients most likely to respond to TOP1 poison/PARPi combinations and challenging the long-standing assumption that PARP inhibition can universally resensitize tumors to TOP1 poisons. Citation Format: Annapoorna Venkatachalam, Caroline C. Nitschmann, Karen S. Flatten, Rachel Hurley, Xiaonan Hou, Cristina Correia, Paula A. Schenider, Krista Goergen, Matthew Maurer, Ethan P. Heinzen, Ann L. Oberg, S John Weroha, Paul Haluska, Scott H. Kaufmann, Elizabeth M. Swisher. TOP1-DNA protein complex as a predictive biomarker for NKTR-102/Rucaparib combination therapy in PARP-inhibitor resistant ovarian cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 2 (Late-Breaking, Clinical Trial, and Invited Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(8_Suppl):Abstract nr LB364.
Long-Term Survival in High-Grade Serous Ovarian Cancer Compared With the General US Population: A 30-Year Landmark Analysis
Vitis, Luigi Antonio De , Larson, Melissa C., Atkinson, Hunter J., Block, Matthew S. , CLIBY, W, Couch, Fergus J., Dowdy, Sean C., Glaser, Gretchen E., Goergen, Krista M., Goode, E., Gostout, Bobbie S., Hartmann, Lynn C., Heinzen, Ethan P. , Huang, Yajue, Jatoi, Aminah , Jones, Monica B., Karow, Katie J., Keeney, Gary L., Kumar, Amanika, Langstraat, Carrie L., Lee, Sun-Hee , Mariani, A., Ostby, Stuart A. , Peethambaram, Prema P. , Podratz, Karl C. , Shahi, Maryam , Sherman, M., Sommerfield, Marla Kay, Wall, Vonda M., Weroha, S. John, Hendrickson, Andrea E. Wahner , Maurer, Matthew J., Bakkum-Gamez, Jamie, Oberg, Ann L. , Cliby, William A. , Couch, Fergus J. , Larson, Melissa C. , Glaser, Gretchen , Couch, Fergus J. , De Vitis, Luigi A, Jones, Monica, Glaser, Gretchen , Larson, Melissa C , Cliby, William A , Atkinson, Hunter J., Dowdy, Sean C. , Hartmann, Lynn C. , Kumar, Amanika , Langstraat, Carrie , Sherman, Mark E. , Sommerfield, Marla-Kay, Swisher, Elizabeth M. , Wall, Vonda M., Maurer, Matthew J. , Kaufmann, Scott H. , Bakkum‐Gamez, Jamie N.

JCO Oncology Advances | March 20, 2026 | Volume: 3 | Issue: 1 | Pages: No page available

10.1200/oa-25-00142 | PMID 41918500 Get It

PURPOSE To compare mortality risk among long-term survivors of high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) with that of the general US population and to examine how mortality and recurrence trends have evolved under changing treatment approaches. MATERIALS AND METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study including patients with histologically confirmed HGSOC treated at a single referral cancer center from 1991 to 2022. Mortality risk, expressed as standardized mortality ratios (SMRs, ratio of observed deaths in the study population to expected deaths in an age-matched US population), was assessed at diagnosis and yearly on patients without events (disease persistence, recurrence, or death from any cause). RESULTS A total of 2,074 consecutive patients were included. The median follow-up was 12.5 years (IQR, 11.7-13.8). Most patients were stage III (1,396, 69.2%), 1,299 (62.8%) underwent primary cytoreductive surgery, and 1,688 (87.4%) received platinum-taxane as first-line therapy. At diagnosis, the mortality rate was 7.40 times higher than that in the general population (95% CI, 7.04 to 7.77). By 7 event-free years, the 95% CI for the SMR included 1 for the first time, and at 10 years, the SMR was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.72 to 1.49), indicating no statistically significant excess mortality compared with the general population. In those event-free at 10 years, the 5-year cumulative incidence of ovarian cancer–related deaths (8.2% [95% CI, 4.2 to 16.0]) was comparable with that of non–ovarian cancer–related deaths (6.3% [95% CI, 2.9 to 13.8]). CONCLUSION In this cohort, mortality risk steadily declined for patients who remained event-free, approaching that of the general population by 7 years after diagnosis. These results emphasize the importance of individualized, long-term follow-up to address both recurrence risk and survivorship needs.
A clinical, evidence-based risk estimator for individualizing benefit and response in oligometastatic prostate cancer (CEREBRO): A tool from the X-Met collaboration.
Ost, P.I.E.T., Hwang, Hyunsoo , Msaouel, Pavlos, Francolini, Giulio, Livi, L., Tran, Phuoc T., Kiess, Ana P. , Wang, Jarey, Phillips, Ryan, Deek, Matthew P. , Jereczek-Fossa, Barbara Alicja, Ludmir, Ethan B., Blanchard, P., Sun, Ryan, Palma, David A. , Tang, Chad, Sherry, Alexander D. , Msaouel, Pavlos , Francolini, Giulio , Phillips, Ryan , Marvaso, Giulia , Jereczek‐Fossa, Barbara Alicja , Ludmir, Ethan B. , Blanchard, Pierre , Sun, Ryan , Tang, Chad

Journal of Clinical Oncology | March 2, 2026 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 7_suppl | Pages: 160-160

10.1200/jco.2026.44.7_suppl.160 Get It

160 Background: To our knowledge, no tools are available to guide care in oligometastatic prostate cancer (omPC). Here, we leveraged individual patient-level data pooled from 8 randomized trials in the X-Met collaboration to construct CEREBRO, a tool for predicting patient-specific responses to various treatment scenarios. Methods: Patients with omPC from the STOMP, ORIOLE, SABR COMET, EXTEND continuous ADT, EXTEND intermittent ADT, ARTO, RADIOSA, and RAVENS trials were included. 6 patients (1%) with missing data were excluded. Treatment scenarios were defined as active surveillance (AS), metastasis-directed therapy (MDT), systemic therapy (ST), or MDT+ST. To account for varying baseline hazards, Weibull models were fit for overall survival (OS); progression-free survival (PFS); and castration-resistance free survival (CRFS) for patients with hormone-sensitive disease. Endpoint definitions were harmonized per X-Met framework. Results: Of 600 patients included (treatment scenarios: AS=50; MDT=153; ST=172; MDT+ST=225), 405 (67%) had hormone-sensitive omPC. With median follow-up of 38 months, median PFS, CRFS, and OS of all patients were 18, 70, and 84 months. In order of relative contribution, inputs for predicting outcomes were: treatment scenario, stage, prostate-specific antigen annotated by ADT status, metachronous vs synchronous presentation, imaging type, number of metastases, hormone sensitivity, and age. The model for each endpoint showed robust fit, calibration, superiority against the null model (per the likelihood ratio test), and risk stratification (Table). Median PFS times for model-defined low-, intermediate-, and high-risk strata were 46 months, 18 months, and 7 months ( p <0.0001). In addition, the PFS and OS models also showed strong discrimination via c index and a large interval of risk probabilities with additive clinical utility per decision-curve analysis (Table). A public webpage will be made available to facilitate prospective trial stratification, patient counseling for patient-specific outcome predictions for each potential treatment scenario, and forecasts comparing outcomes between treatment scenarios. Conclusions: CEREBRO is a high-performance tool, trained on robust prospective data from 8 randomized trials with routinely collected clinical variables, for predicting risk and treatment outcomes in omPC. Given the uncertainties in optimal timing of MDT and combination with ST, this tool has been built to facilitate current decision making. External validation is planned. Model summary. Endpoint C index (95% CI) Calibration Likelihood ratio p Risk strata p Net clinical utility observed between thresholds PFS 0.72 (0.70-0.75) 1.04 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.2-1.0 CRFS 0.63 (0.60-0.70) 1.01 0.02 0.004 0.2-0.5 OS 0.81 (0.76-0.86) 1.01 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.05-1.0
Metastasis-directed therapy with or without pembrolizumab for oligometastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma: Pooled analysis of two prospective single-arm phase II trials.
To, Van , D'souza, Criselle, Kiany, Simin , Thio, Niko , Liu, Suyu, Sun, Xiaowen, Castle, Becky, Macdonald, Sean, Choi, Haesun , Ludmir, Ethan B., Jonasch, Eric, Tannir, Nizar M., Msaouel, Pavlos, Haymaker, Cara, Tang, Chad, Siva, Shankar, Sherry, Alexander D. , D’Souza, Criselle , Sun, Xiaowen , Macdonald, Sean , Pryor, David I. , Azad, Arun , Ludmir, Ethan B. , Jonasch, Eric W. , Msaouel, Pavlos , Neeson, Paul Joseph , Tang, Chad , Siva, Shankar

Journal of Clinical Oncology | March 2, 2026 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 7_suppl | Pages: 498-498

10.1200/jco.2026.44.7_suppl.498 Get It

498 Background: Radiotherapy-based metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) has emerged as a viable treatment paradigm for oligometastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). However, the optimal integration of MDT with frontline immune checkpoint inhibition (ICI) is unclear, especially in light of the M1 NED subgroup analysis of KEYNOTE-564 suggestive of a larger benefit from adjuvant pembrolizumab. Here, we sought to compare the effects of MDT with or without pembrolizumab on clinical and translational outcomes among patients with oligometastatic ccRCC enrolled on two prospective phase II trials. Methods: We undertook an exploratory cohort study of two prospective, single-arm, investigator-initiated phase II trials. The RAPPORT trial (NCT02855203) assigned 30 patients to radiotherapy-based MDT followed by pembrolizumab 200 mg Q3W for eight cycles (MDT+ICI cohort). The MD Anderson trial (NCT03575611) assigned 121 patients to serial MDT (which was almost exclusively radiotherapy-based) without systemic therapy (MDT cohort). For both trials, eligibility criteria consisted of 1 to 5 ccRCC metastatic lesions amenable to MDT. For the present analysis, the primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS), prospectively defined by RECIST v1.1 and analyzed using Cox regression. Peripheral blood flow cytometry obtained at baseline, end of MDT in both cohorts (after 1 cycle of ICI in the MDT+ICI cohort), and after completion of all treatment in both cohorts (3 months in the MDT alone cohort and 12 months in the MDT+ICI cohort) was compared using adjusted linear mixed effect models. Results: A total of 150 patients were included for analysis (MDT+ICI: 30; MDT: 120). Median follow-up time was 34 months (MDT+ICI: 28; MDT: 36). At enrollment, the MDT+ICI cohort had a larger number of metastases (median 3 vs 1). Adjusted for prognostic factors, median PFS was 28 months after MDT+ICI and 17 months after MDT (HR, 0.57; 95% CI: 0.31 to 0.998; P = 0.049). Induction of activated systemic CD8 + T cells (ICOS + ) was observed in both cohorts following MDT; however, this increase was greater in the MDT+ICI cohort. Moreover, there was evidence of decreased systemic CD8 + T cell immunosuppression (CD73 + ) following treatment cessation in the MDT+ICI group. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the largest prospective analysis of MDT for ccRCC in the ICI era. The addition of maintenance ICI to MDT may improve clinical outcomes in patients with oligometastatic ccRCC. Greater immunomodulatory signals were observed with MDT+ICI, providing a mechanistic link to the clinical benefits. The ASTROs trial (NCT06004336) randomizing patients with oligometastatic ccRCC to MDT with or without pembrolizumab has been initiated to test the hypotheses generated by the present study. Clinical trial information: NCT02855203 and NCT03575611 .
Longitudinal Trends in Iron Deficiency Screening and Treatment Before Elective Surgery: A Retrospective Observational Study
Cho, David , Medina-Rincón, Germán José , Behaine, Juan Jose Morales , Robbins, Kellie A., Hanson, Andrew C. , Crispell, Ethan H., Cho, David J , Robbins, Kellie A , Crispell, Ethan H. , Warner, Matthew A.

Anesthesia & Analgesia | February 16, 2026 | Volume: 143 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 434-437

10.1213/ane.0000000000007976 | PMID 41698238 Get It

Prevalence of Intracranial and Cervical Artery Abnormalities in Patients with Hypermobile Ehlers–Danlos Syndrome and Hypermobility Spectrum Disorders Presenting to an Academic Headache Clinic
Rozen, Todd D. , Rozen, Ethan M., Wilson, Frances C., Shields, Raymond C., Hayes, Sharonne N., Knight, Dacre R. T., Gajarawala, Shilpa N., Sandhu, Sukhwinder J.S., Bhatt, Alok A. , Fairweather, DeLisa, Hayes, Sharonne N. , Fairweather, DeLisa , Sandhu, Sukhwinder J.S. , Knight, Dacre , Wilson, Frances C , Hayes, Sharonne N , Knight, Dacre R T , Gajarawala, Shilpa , Sandhu, Sukhwinder S , Bhatt, Alok A , Fairweather, DeLisa , Rozen, Todd D. , Bruno, Katelyn A. , Tweet, Marysia S.

Neurology International | February 11, 2026 | Volume: 18 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 33

10.3390/neurolint18020033 | PMID 41745718 Get It

Background/Objective: It remains unknown whether patients with the more common forms of hypermobility carry an elevated risk for the development of intracranial/cervical artery abnormalities. The objective of this study was to determine the prevalence of unruptured intracranial aneurysms, spontaneous cervical artery dissections, and fibromuscular dysplasia in patients with hypermobile Ehlers–Danlos Syndrome (hEDS) and hypermobility spectrum disorders (HSD) who presented to an academic headache clinic. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study. We used an electronic medical record to look for all patients seen at the Mayo Clinic Florida Headache Center and EDS Clinic between 2019 and 2025 with a diagnosis of hEDS or HSD and neuroimaging of both the intracranial and cervical arteries. Results: There were 103 patients who met the inclusion criteria. There was no statistically significant difference between hEDS and HSD patients in developing cerebral/cervical arterial anomalies. Of the sample, 95% of the hypermobile patients with abnormal neuroimaging also had migraine. A total of eleven (10.7%) patients (hEDS + HSD) were diagnosed with unruptured intracranial aneurysms. Trends included age less than 50 years, small aneurysms in the anterior circulation, and having migraine with aura. Five (4.8%) patients were diagnosed with spontaneous cervical artery dissection with trends for HSD, over the age of 50 years, vertebral artery involvement and a history of migraine without aura. Six (5.8%) patients were diagnosed with fibromuscular dysplasia with trends for HSD, over the age of 50 years, carotid artery involvement and a history of migraine with aura. Conclusions: This is the first study to identify that patients with the more common type of EDS, HSD and hEDS, and a possible concomitant history of migraine have a heightened risk for the development of unruptured intracranial aneurysms, spontaneous cervical artery dissections, and fibromuscular dysplasia. Our findings suggest the need for targeted screening with intracranial and extracranial arterial imaging for this unique patient population.
Disruption of Cell-Adhesion Signaling Resolves Unwanted Progenitor Specification in Stem Cell-Derived α and β Cell Grafts
Knofczynski, Kyle R , Law, Ethan, Lewis-Brinkman, Sean , Khashim, Zenith , Schornack, Anna Marie R , Shrestha, Swikriti , Jennings, Lauren T. , Peterson, Quinn P. , Law, Ethan W. , Jennings, Lauren , Law, Ethan W , Schornack, Anna Marie , Peterson, Quinn

Cells | February 9, 2026 | Volume: 15 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 314

10.3390/cells15040314 | PMID 41744757 Get It

Directed differentiation protocols have recently been developed to produce stem cell-derived α (SC-α) cells as a potential component of a complete cell-based therapy for T1D, to complement the more widely studied stem cell-derived β (SC-β) cells. Differentiation protocols for SC-β cells produce off-target cell populations implicated in the development of outgrowths in SC-β cell grafts, but outgrowths from SC-α cells have not been explored. This study identifies that engrafted SC-α cells generate outgrowths of similar composition to SC-β cell outgrowths. Both cell types share outgrowth-driving populations marked by SOX9, CDX2, or SOX2. Single-cell RNA sequencing was used to reveal an enrichment in cell-adhesion signaling events in outgrowth-driving populations. Small-molecule inhibition of the Notch pathway was insufficient to disrupt all three outgrowth-driving populations. A comprehensive disruption of cell-adhesion signaling via single-cell dispersion and reaggregation is found to reduce the outgrowth propensity in engrafted SC-α and SC-β cells. Together, these results suggest that disrupting residual progenitor cells with SC-α and SC-β cell clusters can enhance the safety profile of these cell therapy products for T1D therapy.
Control arm overperformance in phase 3 oncology clinical trials
Nalin, Ansel P. , Msaouel, P., Grippin, Adam J, Kouzy, Ramez, Jaoude, Joseph Abi , Miller, Avital M. , Meimoun, Noah S. , Ludmir, Ethan B, Sherry, Alexander D. , Msaouel, Pavlos , Ludmir, Ethan B. , Kouzy, Ramez , Msaouel, Pavlos , Kouzy, Ramez , Abi Jaoude, Joseph , Miller, Avital M , Ludmir, Ethan B , Sherry, Alexander D , Grippin, Adam , Lin, Timothy A.

Cancer | February 7, 2026 | Volume: 132 | Issue: 4 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/cncr.70306 | PMID 41653086 Get It

Abstract Background In randomized clinical trials (RCTs), anticipating control arm outcomes is important for power calculations and enrollment goals. Unexpected overperformance of the control arm can underpower RCTs. The objective of this study was to estimate the prevalence of control arm overperformance in phase 3 oncology RCTs. Methods The authors conducted a meta‐epidemiological study of two‐arm, superiority‐design, phase 3 oncology RCTs. They reviewed articles/publications and protocols for power calculations, justification, and outcomes. Control arm performance was measured as the ratio of observed control arm outcomes relative to pretrial estimates, and overperformance was defined as a 10% improvement. Results In total, 385 RCTs met inclusion criteria. The primary end point was overall survival (OS) in 134 RCTs (35%). Of 311 RCTs (81%) that provided a pretrial estimate for control arm performance, 138 RCTs (44%) cited a justification for the estimate. Greater than expected control arm performance was associated with lower odds of meeting the primary end point (adjusted odds ratio, 0.989; 95% confidence interval, 0.981–0.998; p = 0.015). Of 244 RCTs that were evaluable for control arm performance, 104 (43%) exhibited overperformance. RCTs that used OS as a primary end point were more likely to exhibit control arm overperformance compared with RCTs that used other primary end points (56% vs. 33%; adjusted odds ratio, 2.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.42–4.15; p = .001). Conclusions Control arm overperformance is common in phase 3 oncology RCTs and is associated with trial outcomes, suggesting an effect on study power. Because overperformance appears to be especially prevalent when OS is the primary end point, the effects of postprogression therapies on OS may be underappreciated. Alternative strategies for designing trials should be considered for reliable estimation of treatment effects.