A clinical, evidence-based risk estimator for individualizing benefit and response in oligometastatic prostate cancer (CEREBRO): A tool from the X-Met collaboration.
160 Background: To our knowledge, no tools are available to guide care in oligometastatic prostate cancer (omPC). Here, we leveraged individual patient-level data pooled from 8 randomized trials in the X-Met collaboration to construct CEREBRO, a tool for predicting patient-specific responses to various treatment scenarios. Methods: Patients with omPC from the STOMP, ORIOLE, SABR COMET, EXTEND continuous ADT, EXTEND intermittent ADT, ARTO, RADIOSA, and RAVENS trials were included. 6 patients (1%) with missing data were excluded. Treatment scenarios were defined as active surveillance (AS), metastasis-directed therapy (MDT), systemic therapy (ST), or MDT+ST. To account for varying baseline hazards, Weibull models were fit for overall survival (OS); progression-free survival (PFS); and castration-resistance free survival (CRFS) for patients with hormone-sensitive disease. Endpoint definitions were harmonized per X-Met framework. Results: Of 600 patients included (treatment scenarios: AS=50; MDT=153; ST=172; MDT+ST=225), 405 (67%) had hormone-sensitive omPC. With median follow-up of 38 months, median PFS, CRFS, and OS of all patients were 18, 70, and 84 months. In order of relative contribution, inputs for predicting outcomes were: treatment scenario, stage, prostate-specific antigen annotated by ADT status, metachronous vs synchronous presentation, imaging type, number of metastases, hormone sensitivity, and age. The model for each endpoint showed robust fit, calibration, superiority against the null model (per the likelihood ratio test), and risk stratification (Table). Median PFS times for model-defined low-, intermediate-, and high-risk strata were 46 months, 18 months, and 7 months ( p <0.0001). In addition, the PFS and OS models also showed strong discrimination via c index and a large interval of risk probabilities with additive clinical utility per decision-curve analysis (Table). A public webpage will be made available to facilitate prospective trial stratification, patient counseling for patient-specific outcome predictions for each potential treatment scenario, and forecasts comparing outcomes between treatment scenarios. Conclusions: CEREBRO is a high-performance tool, trained on robust prospective data from 8 randomized trials with routinely collected clinical variables, for predicting risk and treatment outcomes in omPC. Given the uncertainties in optimal timing of MDT and combination with ST, this tool has been built to facilitate current decision making. External validation is planned. Model summary. Endpoint C index (95% CI) Calibration Likelihood ratio p Risk strata p Net clinical utility observed between thresholds PFS 0.72 (0.70-0.75) 1.04 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.2-1.0 CRFS 0.63 (0.60-0.70) 1.01 0.02 0.004 0.2-0.5 OS 0.81 (0.76-0.86) 1.01 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.05-1.0
Understanding the Impact of Salvage Radiation on the Long‐Term Natural History of Biochemically Recurrent Prostate Cancer After Radical Prostatectomy
ABSTRACT Purpose The natural history of biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP) remains understudied, with limited long‐term data from large cohorts inclusive of both salvage radiotherapy (SRT)‐treated and untreated patients. Herein, we sought to evaluate the outcomes of patients with BCR and the impact of SRT on disease progression. Materials and Methods Patients undergoing RP who developed BCR (PSA ≥ 0.20 ng/mL) were included. Patients with BCR treated with SRT were compared to untreated patients using risk‐set matching with time‐dependent propensity scores. The primary outcome was metastases, analyzed using Kaplan–Meier and Cox models. The number needed to treat (NNT) with SRT to prevent progression was derived at 5 and 15 years. Results Among 6881 patients with BCR, 2109 received SRT. At a median follow‐up of 10.2 years, 1147 patients developed metastases. The median PSA at the time of SRT was 0.50 ng/mL. After 1:1 propensity score matching (2109 patients per cohort), SRT significantly reduced the risk of metastases at 5 (12.7% vs. 19.3%, p < 0.0001) and 15 years (28.6% vs. 31.5%, p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, SRT independently reduced metastasis risk (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.63–0.90, p = 0.002), translating to NNT of 23 and 15 at 5 and 15 years, respectively. Interaction analyses between SRT and nodal status ( p = 0.04) showed greater metastasis risk reduction in pN+ (HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.22–0.77, p = 0.005) compared to pN− disease (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.67–0.97, p = 0.02). Conclusions Most patients with BCR post‐RP do not progress to metastasis. For those who do progress, SRT inarguably improves the oncologic outcomes in the BCR setting. However, careful patient selection and shared decision making should be encouraged in order to limit overtreatment and side effects.
Outcomes of Radium-223 and Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy Versus Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy for Oligometastatic Prostate Cancers: The RAVENS Phase II Randomized Trial
PURPOSE Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have shown progression-free survival (PFS) benefits of metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) without androgen deprivation therapy for oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC). Most patients with bone metastatic (BM) omCSPC recur with additional bone disease after MDT. We hypothesized the BM-targeting alpha-emitter radium-223 dichloride (Ra223) could target subclinical bone disease and delay progression. METHODS This is an investigator-initiated, multicenter, open-label phase II RCT. Eligible men with recurrent omCSPC with ≥one bone metastasis (≤three on conventional imaging and/or ≤five on molecular imaging) were randomly assigned (1:1) to stereotactic ablative radiation (SABR) MDT alone or SABR MDT with Ra223 (six cycles). Primary end point was composite PFS. RESULTS From August 9, 2019, to March 2, 2023, 64 patients were randomly assigned, 33 to SABR MDT and 31 to SABR MDT/Ra223 balancing for key covariates. Most SABR MDT/Ra223 patients (87%) received six cycles of Ra223. The median PFS was 11.8 months with SABR MDT and 10.5 months with SABR MDT/Ra223 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.42 [95% CI, 0.79 to 2.56]; P = .24). Seven patients (11%) experienced grade 3 treatment-related adverse events (no grade 4 or 5), 2 of 33 (6%) with SABR and 5 of 30 (17%) with SABR MDT/Ra223. Patients with high-risk (HiRi) pathogenic mutations in ATM , BRCA1/2 , RB1 , or TP53 had worse PFS (HR, 5.95 [95% CI, 1.83 to 19.3]; P = .003). Greater T-cell receptor (TCR) unique productive rearrangements were prognostic for improved PFS independent of the treatment arm (aHR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.21 to 0.96]; P = .04). CONCLUSION Adding Ra223 to SABR MDT in BM omCSPC does not delay progression of disease. We provide evidence for an HiRi mutational signature and TCR repertoire as prognostic biomarkers in omCSPC treated with SABR MDT, highlighting the importance of collecting biological correlates in RCTs for omCSPC.
Quantifying the benefit of salvage radiation versus surveillance for biochemically recurrent prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy.
382 Background: The natural history of biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP) is heterogeneous, with most patients not progressing to metastasis. Determining the impact and optimal timing of salvage radiation therapy (SRT) remains challenging, particularly in the absence of prospective randomized trials with a surveillance control arm. Our objective isto quantify the oncologic benefit of SRT among men with BCR after RP. Methods: Patients who underwent RP at Mayo Clinic between 1990 and 2017 and developed BCR (PSA≥0.20ng/mL) were included. Patients treated with SRT were compared to those managed with surveillance using risk-set matching with time-dependent propensity scores, accounting for covariates at BCR and post-BCR. The primary outcome was metastases, analyzed via Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models. The number needed to treat (NNT) with SRT to prevent progression was calculated using regression outputs at 5 and 15 years post-BCR. Interaction analyses identified factors modifying SRT’s effect on metastasis. Results: Of 6,881 patients with BCR, 2,109 received SRT. At a median follow-up of 10.2 years, 1,147 patients with BCR developed metastases. After 1:1 matching, SRT was associated with lower metastasis risk than surveillance at 5 years (12.7% vs 19.3%, p<0.0001) and 15 years (28.6% vs. 31.5%, p<0.001). SRT was independently associated with decreased metastasis risk (HR 0.75, 95%CI 0.63–0.90, p=0.002) on multivariable analysis, translating to NNT of 23 and 15 at 5 and 15 years, respectively (Table). Additionally, we noted a significant interaction between PSA at SRT and the association of SRT with metastasis (p-interaction=0.02), such that the reduction in metastatic progression with SRT vs. surveillance was restricted to the cohort of patients who received SRT for PSA>0.40ng/mL (HR 0.66, 95%CI 0.54–0.80, p<0.001). Conclusions: Most patients with BCR post-RP do not develop metastases. Indeed, the NNT with SRT to reduce metastasis versus surveillance indicates a generally indolent disease course. Further, the lack of a significant association of SRT with reduction of metastases in patients with a PSA≤0.40ng/mL underscores the importance of careful patient selection when considering early SRT. Our data establish the rationale for a randomized trial comparing early SRT versus surveillance for appropriately selected patients with BCR after RP. Hazard ratios of SRT after matching by propensity scores, and number needed to treat for systemic progression, prostate cancer specific mortality and overall mortality. DiseaseOutcome Hazard Ratio(95% CI) P value Number Needed to Treat* (95% CI) 5 years 15 years Systemic progression 0.75(0.63 – 0.90) 0.002 23(17 – 41) 15(11 – 27) Prostate cancer mortality 0.81 (0.64 – 1.03) 0.086 103(62 – 494) 26(15 – 124) Overall mortality 0.79 (0.70 – 0.89) 0.0001 38(29 – 62) 12(9 – 20) *Number needed to treat (NNT) calculated using regression based absolute differences in event free survival between salvage radiation therapy (SRT) and observation.
Safety evaluation of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) during lutetium-177-PSMA-617 (177Lu-PSMA-617) treatment for patients with metastatic prostate cancer.
129 Background: Few studies have explored the use of focal therapies to address select sites of resistant disease in men receiving 177-Lu-PSMA-617 for metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). Our institutional practice is to offer SBRT for patients with up to 5 sites of oligoprogression or non-responding lesions while undergoing 177Lu-PSMA-617 (every 6 weeks for 6 cycles total). This is determined by PSMA or choline PET imaging during the course of 177Lu-PSMA-617. Herein, we evaluated the safety of adding target SBRT during treatment with 177Lu-PSMA-617. Methods: This retrospective single institution analysis was conducted via systematic chart review to evaluate for adverse events during or after treatment. Grading of treatment-related adverse events was conducted using Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events Version 5.0 (CTCAE v5). Results: Thirty-one patients receiving 177Lu-PSMA-617 with 51 sites of oligoprogressive or non-responding metastatic disease were treated with SBRT. The median number of sites treated was 1 (range 1-4). Most patients received SBRT immediately after cycle 6 (32%) or after cycle 3 or 4 (42%). Bone was the most commonly treated site of disease (90%) with the majority (54%) of bone sites being spine or sacrum, followed by lymph nodes (10%). Ultimately, 84% of patients completed all 6 cycles of 177Lu-PSMA-617 (range 4-6). The median follow-up time was 19.1 months (IQR 15.5-22.4) after 177Lu-PSMA-617 therapy start. A total of 2 patients experienced a pathologic fracture within the SBRT treatment field that could possibly be related to radiotherapy. One patient experienced a grade 2 neuropathy which may have been related to radiation therapy. Other potential adverse events are listed (Table). Conclusions: Our data demonstrates a low rate of significant toxicity with the use SBRT during treatment with 177Lu-PSMA-617. Further study is indicated to determine the oncologic efficacy and potential late side effects of this treatment strategy. Adverse events. Event All Grades Grade > 3 Any Adverse Event 104 2 Anemia 29 (94%) 0 Low Platelets 11 (35.5%) 1 (3.2%) Any Pathologic Fracture 7 (22.5%) 1 (3.2%) Possible SBRT-related Pathologic Fracture 2 (6.5%) 1 (3.2%) Bone Pain Flare 3 (9.6%) 0 Neuropathy 1 (3.2%) 0
Abstract B031: Proteomic profiling of oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer treated with stereotactic ablative radiotherapy
Abstract Background: The trajectory of metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer varies based on disease presentation and biology. While proteomic profiling studies of primary prostate tissue have linked protein expression with metastatic progression and prognosis, few studies have explored biological changes after treatment and their associations with response. Therefore, we conducted proteomic profiling of patients with oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC) treated with stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) or observation in the ORIOLE phase 2 randomized clinical trial (RCT). Methods Plasma from omCSPC patients in the ORIOLE trial was collected at baseline (day 1), day 90, and day 180. Protein abundance was quantified using the Olink Explore Assay. Differential expression from baseline to day 90 or 180 in each treatment arm was analyzed using a 2-sided t-test with Benjamini-Hochberg correction. Changes in protein expression at day 90 and 180 were compared with a Pearson correlation. Pathway enrichment was performed via gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) using Reactome, KEGG, and Hallmark gene sets. Associations with progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests. Results In total, 1,472 proteins were assayed across 130 samples from 46 patients over 3 time points. Significant changes in expression post-SABR were noted at day 90 and 180 compared to baseline (using adjusted p-value cutoff of 0.05). At day 90, four proteins (FCRL1, CD22, TCL1A, FCER2) were downregulated; at day 180, only FCRL1, a Fc receptor-like gene family preferentially expressed in B cells, remained downregulated. No significant expression changes were found in the observation arm. Differential expression of proteins during follow-up were associated with PFS. In particular, LTO1, a maturation factor of ABCE1 important for ribosomal biogenesis and translation, was overexpressed at both day 90 and 180 post-SABR, and overexpression was associated with improved PFS at day 90 (median 24.5 mo vs 6 mo; p=0.017) and day 180 (median 33 mo vs 6 mo; p=0.043). These associations were absent in the observation arm. For proteins differentially expressed in the SABR arm at day 90, several signaling pathways were significantly enriched for patients with prolonged PFS, including positive enrichment of unfolded protein response (UPR) (p=0.008) and IL-4/IL-13 (p=0.009). At 180 days, several pathways were enriched for patients with prolonged PFS including negative enrichment of CTLA4 inhibitory signaling (p=0.005) and CD28 co-stimulation (p=0.008). Conclusion Proteomic analysis in omCSPC patients from the ORIOLE trial reveals significant expression changes at days 90 and 180 after SABR. B-cell signaling proteins were selectively downregulated in the SABR arm, and pathways associated with protein translation and immune response were enriched post-SABR for patients with prolonged PFS. Further research will explore connections to genomic and transcriptomic changes, with additional validation needed. Citation Format: Jarey H. Wang, Amol Shetty, Yang Song, Noura Radwan, Soha Bazyar, Xiaolei Shi, Theodore L. DeWeese, Daniel Y. Song, Ryan M. Phillips, Matthew P. Deek, Philip Sutera, Ana P. Kiess, Phuoc T. Tran. Proteomic profiling of oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer treated with stereotactic ablative radiotherapy. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Translating Targeted Therapies in Combination with Radiotherapy; 2025 Jan 26-29; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2025;31(2_Suppl):Abstract nr B031.
PSMA+ Extracellular Vesicles Are a Biomarker for SABR in Oligorecurrent Prostate Cancer: Analysis from the STOMP-like and ORIOLE Trial Cohorts
Abstract Purpose: Two randomized clinical trials (STOMP and ORIOLE) demonstrated that stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) can prolong androgen-deprivation therapy–free survival or progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with metachronous oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC). Although most patients with omCSPC have a more modest delay in progression, a small subset achieves a durable response following SABR. We investigated the prognostic and predictive value of circulating prostate-specific membrane antigen-positive (PSMA+) extracellular vesicles (EV) and PSA in a biomarker correlative study using blood samples from three independent patient cohorts. Experimental Design: Plasma samples from 46 patients with omCSPC on the ORIOLE trial and 127 patients with omCSPC on the STOMP trial protocol treated with SABR were included in the study. Pre-SABR PSMA+EV levels (EV/mL) were measured by nanoscale flow cytometry. Kaplan–Meier curves and logistic regression models were used to determine the association of PSMA+EV and PSA levels with clinical outcomes. Results: In the pooled cohorts, the median biochemical PFS were 26.1 and 15.0 months (P = 0.005), and the median radiographic PFS were 36.0 and 25.0 months (P = 0.003) for PSMA+EV-low and -high groups, respectively. The combination of pre-SABR low levels of both PSMA+EV and PSA was associated with a lower risk of radiographic progression (HR, 0.34, 95% confidence interval, 0.18–0.58; P = 0.0002). In the ORIOLE cohort, which included both an SABR arm and an observation arm, low PSMA+EV was predictive of benefit from SABR (P = 0.012). Conclusions: PSMA+EV is a novel prognostic and predictive biomarker of radiographically occult tumor burden in omCSPC. PSMA+EV may inform clinical decisions about identifying patients who will achieve a durable benefit from consolidative SABR alone.
Prognostic value of PSMA-extracellular vesicles in oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer treated with stereotactic ablative radiotherapy: A multi-center observational study.
191 Background: Two randomized clinical trials have demonstrated that SABR can prolong time to progression in oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC) patients. However, there is a need for predictive tools to identify patients who will benefit from SABR alone or with systemic therapy. We investigated the prognostic value of PSMA-positive extracellular vesicles (PSMA+EVs) in a blinded observational study using blood samples from three independent patient cohorts. Methods: We obtained plasma samples from 157 omCSPC patients treated with SABR from the ORIOLE cohort (N=30, JHU) and STOMP-like cohorts (N=80, UGhent; N=47, Iridium Net). Baseline PSMA+EV levels (EV/ml) were measured by nanoscale flow cytometry. Primary clinical endpoints were biochemical progression (bPFS) and radiographic progression (rPFS). Optimal cutoffs for PSA (ng/ml) and PSMA+EV (EVs/ml) were defined as the point with the most significant log-rank test split. Kaplan-Meier curves and univariate Cox regression models were used to determine the association of PSMA+EV levels with clinical outcomes. Results: Twenty percent of patients (N=157 total) were diagnosed with bone scan, 79% with PET imaging, and 1% with other modalities. Ninety-four percent of patients presented with ≤3 metastases on imaging. In the pooled STOMP-like cohorts, median bPFS was 27.9 and 18.0 months for PSMA+EV low and high groups, respectively (p=0.039). Median rPFS was 36.0 versus 27.0 months (p=0.029). In the ORIOLE cohort, median bPFS was 24.3 and 5.9 months in PSMA+EV low and high, respectively (p=0.021). Median rPFS was 36.0 versus 11.1 months (p=0.019). High baseline PSMA+EV levels were associated with higher risk of both biochemical and radiographic progression (Table). Combination of baseline PSA low and PSMA+EV low outperformed either biomarker alone and better predicted risk of disease progression after SABR. Conclusions: While prospective biomarker-guided trials are warranted, a PSMA+EV blood test can aid patient selection by identifying omCSPC patients who may have durable responses to SABR without ADT. [Table: see text]
Application of Advanced Imaging to Prostate Cancer Diagnosis and Management: A Narrative Review of Current Practice and Unanswered Questions
Major advances in prostate cancer diagnosis, staging, and management have occurred over the past decade, largely due to our improved understanding of the technical aspects and clinical applications of advanced imaging, specifically magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and prostate-cancer-specific positron emission tomography (PET). Herein, we review the established utility of these important and exciting technologies, as well as areas of controversy and uncertainty that remain important areas for future study. There is strong evidence supporting the utility of MRI in guiding initial biopsy and assessing local disease. There is debate, however, regarding how to best use the imaging modality in risk stratification, treatment planning, and assessment of biochemical failure. Prostate-cancer-specific PET is a relatively new technology that provides great value to the evaluation of newly diagnosed, treated, and recurrent prostate cancer. However, its ideal use in treatment decision making, staging, recurrence detection, and surveillance necessitates further research. Continued study of both imaging modalities will allow for an improved understanding of their best utilization in improving cancer care.
Treatment modalities and survival outcomes in prostate cancer parenchymal brain metastasis
AbstractBackgroundProstate cancer (PCa) parenchymal brain metastases are uncommon and troubling observations in the course of the disease. Our study aims to evaluate the prevalence of brain metastases among PCa patients while reporting various therapeutic modalities, clinical features, and oncological outcomes.MethodsWe retrospectively identified 34 patients with parenchymal brain metastasis out of 4575 patients using a prospectively maintained database that contains clinicopathologic characteristics of PCa patients between January 2012 and December 2021. Based on the three treatment modalities used, the patients were divided into three groups: stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS), whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT), and systemic therapy alone. The Kaplan–Meier curve was used to calculate overall survival [OS] probability and the Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to compare between groups.ResultsAt the time of brain metastasis diagnosis, the median age was 66 years, the median (interquartile range [IQR]) prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) was 2.2 (0.1–26.6) ng/ml and the median (IQR) months from initial PCa diagnosis to brain metastasis development was 70.8 (27.6–100.9). The median (IQR) primary Gleason score was 8 (7–9) and over a median (IQR) follow‐up time of 2.2 (1.2–16.5) months, 76.5% (n = 26) of the patients died. Thirteen (38.2%) patients had solitary lesion, whereas 21 (61.8%) had ≥2 lesions. The lesions were supratentorial in 19 (55.9%) patients, infratentorial in six (17.6%), and both sides in nine (26.5%). Among all 34 patients, 10 (29.4%) were treated with SRS, seven (20.6%) with WBRT, and 17 (50%) with systemic therapy alone. OS varied greatly between the three treatment modalities (log‐rank test, p = 0.049). Those who were treated with SRS and WBRT had better OS compared with patients who were treated with systemic therapy alone (hazard ratio: 0.37, 95% confidence interval: 0.16–0.86, p = 0.022).ConclusionsIn our single‐institutional study, we confirmed that PCa brain metastasis is associated with poor survival outcomes and more advanced metastatic disease. Furthermore, we found that SRS and WBRT for brain metastasis in patients with recurrent PCa appear to be associated with improved OS as compared with systemic therapy alone and are likely secondary to selection bias.