Deek, Matthew P.

160 Background: To our knowledge, no tools are available to guide care in oligometastatic prostate cancer (omPC). Here, we leveraged individual patient-level data pooled from 8 randomized trials in the X-Met collaboration to construct CEREBRO, a tool for predicting patient-specific responses to various treatment scenarios. Methods: Patients with omPC from the STOMP, ORIOLE, SABR COMET, EXTEND continuous ADT, EXTEND intermittent ADT, ARTO, RADIOSA, and RAVENS trials were included. 6 patients (1%) with missing data were excluded. Treatment scenarios were defined as active surveillance (AS), metastasis-directed therapy (MDT), systemic therapy (ST), or MDT+ST. To account for varying baseline hazards, Weibull models were fit for overall survival (OS); progression-free survival (PFS); and castration-resistance free survival (CRFS) for patients with hormone-sensitive disease. Endpoint definitions were harmonized per X-Met framework. Results: Of 600 patients included (treatment scenarios: AS=50; MDT=153; ST=172; MDT+ST=225), 405 (67%) had hormone-sensitive omPC. With median follow-up of 38 months, median PFS, CRFS, and OS of all patients were 18, 70, and 84 months. In order of relative contribution, inputs for predicting outcomes were: treatment scenario, stage, prostate-specific antigen annotated by ADT status, metachronous vs synchronous presentation, imaging type, number of metastases, hormone sensitivity, and age. The model for each endpoint showed robust fit, calibration, superiority against the null model (per the likelihood ratio test), and risk stratification (Table). Median PFS times for model-defined low-, intermediate-, and high-risk strata were 46 months, 18 months, and 7 months ( p <0.0001). In addition, the PFS and OS models also showed strong discrimination via c index and a large interval of risk probabilities with additive clinical utility per decision-curve analysis (Table). A public webpage will be made available to facilitate prospective trial stratification, patient counseling for patient-specific outcome predictions for each potential treatment scenario, and forecasts comparing outcomes between treatment scenarios. Conclusions: CEREBRO is a high-performance tool, trained on robust prospective data from 8 randomized trials with routinely collected clinical variables, for predicting risk and treatment outcomes in omPC. Given the uncertainties in optimal timing of MDT and combination with ST, this tool has been built to facilitate current decision making. External validation is planned. Model summary. Endpoint C index (95% CI) Calibration Likelihood ratio p Risk strata p Net clinical utility observed between thresholds PFS 0.72 (0.70-0.75) 1.04 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.2-1.0 CRFS 0.63 (0.60-0.70) 1.01 0.02 0.004 0.2-0.5 OS 0.81 (0.76-0.86) 1.01 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.05-1.0

PURPOSE Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have shown progression-free survival (PFS) benefits of metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) without androgen deprivation therapy for oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC). Most patients with bone metastatic (BM) omCSPC recur with additional bone disease after MDT. We hypothesized the BM-targeting alpha-emitter radium-223 dichloride (Ra223) could target subclinical bone disease and delay progression. METHODS This is an investigator-initiated, multicenter, open-label phase II RCT. Eligible men with recurrent omCSPC with ≥one bone metastasis (≤three on conventional imaging and/or ≤five on molecular imaging) were randomly assigned (1:1) to stereotactic ablative radiation (SABR) MDT alone or SABR MDT with Ra223 (six cycles). Primary end point was composite PFS. RESULTS From August 9, 2019, to March 2, 2023, 64 patients were randomly assigned, 33 to SABR MDT and 31 to SABR MDT/Ra223 balancing for key covariates. Most SABR MDT/Ra223 patients (87%) received six cycles of Ra223. The median PFS was 11.8 months with SABR MDT and 10.5 months with SABR MDT/Ra223 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.42 [95% CI, 0.79 to 2.56]; P = .24). Seven patients (11%) experienced grade 3 treatment-related adverse events (no grade 4 or 5), 2 of 33 (6%) with SABR and 5 of 30 (17%) with SABR MDT/Ra223. Patients with high-risk (HiRi) pathogenic mutations in ATM , BRCA1/2 , RB1 , or TP53 had worse PFS (HR, 5.95 [95% CI, 1.83 to 19.3]; P = .003). Greater T-cell receptor (TCR) unique productive rearrangements were prognostic for improved PFS independent of the treatment arm (aHR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.21 to 0.96]; P = .04). CONCLUSION Adding Ra223 to SABR MDT in BM omCSPC does not delay progression of disease. We provide evidence for an HiRi mutational signature and TCR repertoire as prognostic biomarkers in omCSPC treated with SABR MDT, highlighting the importance of collecting biological correlates in RCTs for omCSPC.

140 Background: In the phase II EXTEND iADT omPC basket, MDT+iADT improved progression-free survival (PFS) vs iADT. Here we present the primary results of the EXTEND cADT omPC basket. We further report a pre-specified combined analysis with updated results from the iADT basket and examine the effects of MDT on immunity. Methods: Patients with 1 to 5 omPC metastases were randomized 1:1 to MDT+cADT vs cADT (NCT03599765). MDT consisted of definitive local therapy. cADT consisted of ADT +/- second-generation anti-androgens. The primary endpoint was per-protocol PFS, defined by biochemical criteria (Prostate Cancer Working Group 3), radiologic measures (RECIST v1.1), clinical progression, or death. 87 patients were needed to show superiority at a one-sided P of 0.10 by log-rank test. CDR3 regions in rearranged T cell receptor (TCR) β-chains from pre- and post-enrollment peripheral blood were sequenced with immunoSEQ (Adaptive Biotech). TCR repertoire modulation was defined as having TCR expansion plus contraction using a false-discovery-corrected betabinomial model. TCR sequencing from the ORIOLE trial (NCT02680587) was assessed for external validation. Results: From 2018 to 2022, 87 randomized patients were treated per protocol (MDT+cADT: 45; cADT: 42). 39% had castrate resistant omPC. MDT was definitive radiotherapy in all cases. With median follow-up of 31 mo, median PFS was 47 mo after MDT+cADT vs 22 mo after cADT (HR 0.50; 95% CI 0.23 to 1.08; one-sided P = 0.036). In the combined analysis (N=174) with median follow-up of 42 mo, MDT+ADT improved PFS (HR 0.45; 95% CI 0.30 to 0.69; P < 0.001), radiologic PFS (HR 0.63; 95% CI 0.40 to 0.97; P = 0.038), and castration-resistance free-survival (HR 0.40; 95% CI 0.19 to 0.82; P = 0.013). MDT+ADT had higher odds of TCR repertoire modulation vs ADT (55% vs 15%, P < 0.001). This finding was validated in the ORIOLE trial (MDT: 57% vs observation: 19%, P = 0.03). Among the subset of patients with extreme responses, random forest modeling of 37 clinical/immune variables identified TCR repertoire modulation as the variable with highest importance; further, MDT+ADT induced TCR repertoire modulation in all patients with favorable responses (i.e. PFS > 4 years) and none with unfavorable responses (i.e. PFS < 1 year). Among all patients randomized to MDT+ADT, TCR repertoire modulation was associated with longer PFS (HR 0.21; 95% CI 0.06 to 0.76; P = 0.02). Conclusions: MDT+cADT met the PFS primary endpoint of the phase II EXTEND trial, warranting phase III testing. From the combined analysis, MDT+ADT may also improve longer term outcomes including radiologic PFS and castration-resistance-free survival. Improved outcomes may result from MDT-induced immunomodulation, with implications for future trial design. Clinical trial information: NCT03599765 .

Abstract Background: The trajectory of metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer varies based on disease presentation and biology. While proteomic profiling studies of primary prostate tissue have linked protein expression with metastatic progression and prognosis, few studies have explored biological changes after treatment and their associations with response. Therefore, we conducted proteomic profiling of patients with oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC) treated with stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) or observation in the ORIOLE phase 2 randomized clinical trial (RCT). Methods Plasma from omCSPC patients in the ORIOLE trial was collected at baseline (day 1), day 90, and day 180. Protein abundance was quantified using the Olink Explore Assay. Differential expression from baseline to day 90 or 180 in each treatment arm was analyzed using a 2-sided t-test with Benjamini-Hochberg correction. Changes in protein expression at day 90 and 180 were compared with a Pearson correlation. Pathway enrichment was performed via gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) using Reactome, KEGG, and Hallmark gene sets. Associations with progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests. Results In total, 1,472 proteins were assayed across 130 samples from 46 patients over 3 time points. Significant changes in expression post-SABR were noted at day 90 and 180 compared to baseline (using adjusted p-value cutoff of 0.05). At day 90, four proteins (FCRL1, CD22, TCL1A, FCER2) were downregulated; at day 180, only FCRL1, a Fc receptor-like gene family preferentially expressed in B cells, remained downregulated. No significant expression changes were found in the observation arm. Differential expression of proteins during follow-up were associated with PFS. In particular, LTO1, a maturation factor of ABCE1 important for ribosomal biogenesis and translation, was overexpressed at both day 90 and 180 post-SABR, and overexpression was associated with improved PFS at day 90 (median 24.5 mo vs 6 mo; p=0.017) and day 180 (median 33 mo vs 6 mo; p=0.043). These associations were absent in the observation arm. For proteins differentially expressed in the SABR arm at day 90, several signaling pathways were significantly enriched for patients with prolonged PFS, including positive enrichment of unfolded protein response (UPR) (p=0.008) and IL-4/IL-13 (p=0.009). At 180 days, several pathways were enriched for patients with prolonged PFS including negative enrichment of CTLA4 inhibitory signaling (p=0.005) and CD28 co-stimulation (p=0.008). Conclusion Proteomic analysis in omCSPC patients from the ORIOLE trial reveals significant expression changes at days 90 and 180 after SABR. B-cell signaling proteins were selectively downregulated in the SABR arm, and pathways associated with protein translation and immune response were enriched post-SABR for patients with prolonged PFS. Further research will explore connections to genomic and transcriptomic changes, with additional validation needed. Citation Format: Jarey H. Wang, Amol Shetty, Yang Song, Noura Radwan, Soha Bazyar, Xiaolei Shi, Theodore L. DeWeese, Daniel Y. Song, Ryan M. Phillips, Matthew P. Deek, Philip Sutera, Ana P. Kiess, Phuoc T. Tran. Proteomic profiling of oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer treated with stereotactic ablative radiotherapy. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Translating Targeted Therapies in Combination with Radiotherapy; 2025 Jan 26-29; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2025;31(2_Suppl):Abstract nr B031.

Clinical trials frequently include multiple end points that mature at different times. The initial report, typically based on the primary end point, may be published when key planned co‐primary or secondary analyses are not yet available. Clinical Trial Updates provide an opportunity to disseminate additional results from studies, published in JCO or elsewhere, for which the primary end point has already been reported. The initial STOMP and ORIOLE trial reports suggested that metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) in oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC) was associated with improved treatment outcomes. Here, we present long-term outcomes of MDT in omCSPC by pooling STOMP and ORIOLE and assess the ability of a high-risk mutational signature to risk stratify outcomes after MDT. The primary end point was progression-free survival (PFS) calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. High-risk mutations were defined as pathogenic somatic mutations within ATM, BRCA1/ 2, Rb1, or TP53. The median follow-up for the whole group was 52.5 months. Median PFS was prolonged with MDT compared with observation (pooled hazard ratio [HR], 0.44; 95% CI, 0.29 to 0.66; P value < .001), with the largest benefit of MDT in patients with a high-risk mutation (HR high-risk, 0.05; HR no high-risk, 0.42; P value for interaction: .12). Within the MDT cohort, the PFS was 13.4 months in those without a high-risk mutation, compared with 7.5 months in those with a high-risk mutation (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.25 to 1.11; P = .09). Long-term outcomes from the only two randomized trials in omCSPC suggest a sustained clinical benefit to MDT over observation. A high-risk mutational signature may help risk stratify treatment outcomes after MDT.

5011 Background: Emerging data suggest metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) improves outcomes in patients with oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC). Prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography (PSMA-PET/CT) can detect occult metastatic disease and has been proposed as a biomarker for treatment response. Herein we identify and validate a PSMA-PET biomarker for clinical outcomes following MDT in omCSPC. Methods: This was an international multi-institutional retrospective study of two completely independent cohorts of men with omCSPC, defined as ≤3 lesions, treated with metastasis-directed stereotactic ablative radiation therapy (SABR) who underwent PSMA-PET/CT prior to and 3-6 months after treatment. Pre- and post-SABR PSMA-PET/CT standardized uptake value (SUV) was measured for all lesions and PSMA response defined discretely using a cutpoint of ≥ 30% decrease in SUVmax. PSMA-PET response was correlated with lesion local control (LLC), radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS) defined using conventional and PET imaging, and metastasis-free survival (MFS) defined by conventional imaging alone. Results: A total of 131 patients with 261 treated metastases were included in the analysis, with median follow-up of 29 months (IQR 18.5-41.3). Following SABR, 78.4% of lesions experienced a partial or complete PSMA response. Multivariable analysis demonstrated SUV response significantly associated with improved LLC (HR = 9.97, 95%CI 3.92-25.4; p < 0.01). Patients with PSMA response in all lesions experienced significantly better rPFS (HR = 0.49, 95%CI 0.26-0.92; p = 0.03) compared to their counterparts and this maintained significance within both the discovery (p < 0.01) and validation (p = 0.01) cohorts. Within the discovery cohort, patients with PSMA response in all lesions also experienced significantly improved MFS (HR = 0.24, 95%CI 0.07-0.85; p = 0.03); analysis of the independent validation cohort is ongoing. Conclusions: Following SABR, PSMA-PET response is a robust and externally validated radiographic biomarker for rPFS and appears to be associated with MFS pending validation. This approach holds promise for guiding clinical management of omCSPC.