Diehn, Maximillian

Abstract The complementarity and clinical utility of combining liquid biopsies and radiomic image analysis has not been demonstrated. ctDNA minimal residual disease after chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is highly prognostic, but on-treatment biomarkers are needed to enable response-adapted therapies. In this study, we analyzed 418 patients with NSCLC undergoing CRT to develop and validate a novel dynamic risk model that accurately predicts ultimate progression-free survival during treatment. We optimize tissue-free variant calling from plasma samples to facilitate ctDNA monitoring and demonstrate the importance of accounting for persistent clonal hematopoiesis variants. We show that mid-CRT ctDNA concentration is prognostic for disease progression and integrate additional pre-CRT risk factors, including radiomics, into a combined model that improves outcome prediction. Our results suggest that tumor features, radiomics, and mid-CRT ctDNA analysis are complementary and can identify patients at high and low risk of progression to potentially enable response-adapted therapies. Significance: This study demonstrates that combining tumor features, radiomics, and ctDNA analysis improves outcome prediction in NSCLC treated with CRT therapy. Our integrated model could enable personalized and response-adapted therapies to reduce toxicity and improve outcomes in patients. See related commentary by Anagnostou and Aggarwal, p. 1534

Abstract Purpose: NFE2L2/KEAP1/CUL3 mutations have been validated for radioresistance in cell-based assays and animal models. However, clinical validation of these biomarkers has been challenging because of multimodality treatment regimens. This study aims to investigate the association between NFE2L2/KEAP1/CUL3 mutations and patient outcomes, including local failure, locoregional failure, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival, using samples from a phase III trial in which patients were treated with radiation monotherapy at two controlled doses. Patients and Methods: We investigated NFE2L2/KEAP1/CUL3 mutations in 250 randomized patients with T2N0 glottic squamous cell carcinoma receiving definitive radiotherapy in the NRG/RTOG 9512 trial. A total of 119 patients had available biospecimens that were subjected to amplicon-based next-generation sequencing to assess for the presence of NFE2L2/KEAP1/CUL3 mutations without regard to outcomes. Mutations in NFE2L2/KEAP1/CUL3 were assessed blinded to clinical outcomes. Cox models (two-sided α = 0.05) were used to evaluate the association with clinical outcomes, performed by an independent statistical team. Results: Nineteen of 119 patients (16.0%) had NFE2L2/KEAP1/CUL3 mutations. Patient, treatment, and tumor characteristics were similar between those with and without mutations. Patients with mutation compared with those without had significantly more local failure [HR = 3.50; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.56–7.89; P = 0.0025] and locoregional failure (HR = 3.80; 95% CI, 1.80–8.03; P = 0.0005). DFS was significantly worse for the mutated compared with the nonmutated group in the first 2 years (HR = 2.88; 95% CI, 1.46–5.66; P = 0.0022). The median DFS was shorter in the mutation group (10.3 months) versus those with intact NFE2L2/KEAP1/CUL3 (4.2 years). Conclusions: NFE2L2/KEAP1/CUL3 mutations may predict radiation treatment failure in T2N0 glottic cancer. See related commentary by Rao, p. 1563

Clinical trials frequently include multiple end points that mature at different times. The initial report, typically based on the primary end point, may be published when key planned co‐primary or secondary analyses are not yet available. Clinical Trial Updates provide an opportunity to disseminate additional results from studies, published in JCO or elsewhere, for which the primary end point has already been reported. The initial STOMP and ORIOLE trial reports suggested that metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) in oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC) was associated with improved treatment outcomes. Here, we present long-term outcomes of MDT in omCSPC by pooling STOMP and ORIOLE and assess the ability of a high-risk mutational signature to risk stratify outcomes after MDT. The primary end point was progression-free survival (PFS) calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. High-risk mutations were defined as pathogenic somatic mutations within ATM, BRCA1/ 2, Rb1, or TP53. The median follow-up for the whole group was 52.5 months. Median PFS was prolonged with MDT compared with observation (pooled hazard ratio [HR], 0.44; 95% CI, 0.29 to 0.66; P value < .001), with the largest benefit of MDT in patients with a high-risk mutation (HR high-risk, 0.05; HR no high-risk, 0.42; P value for interaction: .12). Within the MDT cohort, the PFS was 13.4 months in those without a high-risk mutation, compared with 7.5 months in those with a high-risk mutation (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.25 to 1.11; P = .09). Long-term outcomes from the only two randomized trials in omCSPC suggest a sustained clinical benefit to MDT over observation. A high-risk mutational signature may help risk stratify treatment outcomes after MDT.