Citations

Background: Several breast cancer (BC) risk prediction models have been developed to provide personal risk assessments. Though individually validated, their performance has not been systematically evaluated across a wide range of populations or ages. Methods: We harmonized individual-level baseline questionnaire data and incident BC diagnoses from 21 cohorts from North America, Europe, and Australia participating in the Breast Cancer Risk Prediction Project. Five-year absolute risk of invasive BC was estimated for five established risk prediction models using classical risk factors only. Discrimination was evaluated by area under the curve (AUC). Calibration was assessed using average and risk-decile specific expected to observed (E/O) ratios. Performance metrics were meta-analyzed across cohorts and models. Metaregression tested associations between cohort characteristics and performance metrics. Results: This analysis included 1,595,977 women aged 20-75 years, enrolled in studies between 1976-2015, with 19,062 (1.2%) invasive BC cases ascertained within 5 years from exposure assessment. Age-adjusted AUCs were similar across models and cohorts (pooled AUCs by model: 0.57-0.58), while E/O ratios varied substantially (pooled E/O ratios by model: 0.83-1.25). Overestimation was common among predicted high-risk individuals (>3%). No appreciable differences in model performance by cohort age, birth year, race, and variable missingness emerged. Calibration improved after assigning race-specific incidence rates. Conclusion: Existing BC risk prediction models provided similar risk discrimination across multiple cohorts, although there was overestimation of risk for high-risk individuals. Performance variation across cohorts was not driven by specific characteristics, which supports development of a unified risk model for diverse populations that leverages appropriate incidence rates.

Abstract Background Meningiomas lack effective therapies for recurrent or aggressive disease. NF2 inactivation, commonly in meningioma, may sensitize tumors to FAK inhibition and interact with MAPK signaling. This study investigated the therapeutic activity of defactinib (FAK inhibitor) and avutometinib (RAF/MEK inhibitor) alone and in combination in preclinical meningioma models. Methods MAPK-altered meningioma cell lines, IOMM-Lee (NF2 wild-type, BRAF p.V600E) and CH157-MN (NF2 mutant, NRAS p.Q61K), BenMen-1 (NF2 mutant, MAPK wild-type), and three patient-derived NF2 mutant cell lines were cultured in matrigel and treated with defactinib and avutometinib in 3D cell viability assays. In vivo, flank and intracranial xenograft models of IOMM-Lee and CH157-MN were treated with VS-4718 (FAK inhibitor, superior pharmokinetics in mice), avutometinib, or combination. Tumor growth, survival, and pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic properties were assessed. Results In vitro, combination therapy showed synergistic or additive effects in CH157-MN and IOMM-Lee cells, respectively. Defactinib alone demonstrated activity in NF2-mutant patient-derived and BenMen-1 cells, while avutometinib did not. In vivo, avutometinib monotherapy suppressed tumor growth and extended survival in both flank and intracranial xenograft models, with evidence of favorable pharmacokinetic properties and target pathway inhibition in intracranial tumors. Combination therapy provided enhanced and sustained control of flank CH157-MN meningioma compared to avutometinib alone but did not significantly improve survival over avutometinib alone in intracranial models. Conclusions Avutometinib demonstrated robust anti-tumor effects in flank and intracranial models of MAPK-altered meningioma. Combination benefits were context dependent. Defactinib activity in NF2-mutant patient-derived cells without targetable MAPK-kinase alterations highlights the importance of genomic biomarkers to guide personalized strategies.

Background: Despite guideline support for plain radiography (XR) in low-risk pediatric blunt trauma, CT remains the predominant imaging modality for cervical spine evaluation, increasing radiation exposure. We evaluated contemporary XR utilization and its diagnostic performance in children meeting consensus criteria for XR-first imaging. Study Design: We performed a prospective, multicenter observational study of 19,995 children enrolled in the Western Pediatric Cervical Spine Study across 72 U.S. trauma centers (2022–2025). Children appropriate for XR screening (Glasgow Coma Scale score >13, asymptomatic, non-obtunded) were identified using consensus criteria. XR utilization, sensitivity, and negative predictive value (NPV) were assessed, and multivariable logistic regression identified predictors of XR use. Results: XR was performed in 39% of patients overall and varied significantly by trauma center type (pediatric 48% vs adult 14% vs mixed 15%; p<0.001), whereas CT was used in 60%. Among XR-appropriate children (n=12,650), an estimated 7,705 CT examinations could potentially have been replaced with XR. In the overall cohort, XR sensitivity for any cervical spine injury was 30.3% (95% CI 26.2–34.6%) with an NPV of 95.2% (95% CI 94.7–95.7%). In XR-appropriate children, only two clinically significant cervical spine injuries were missed, yielding a sensitivity of 75.0% (95% CI 34.9–96.8%) and an NPV of 99.9% (95% CI 99.9%–100.0%). Conclusions: Plain radiography is substantially underutilized in children meeting consensus criteria for XR-first imaging. In appropriately selected patients, XR demonstrated an NPV of 99.9% for clinically significant cervical spine injury, supporting broader implementation of XR-first imaging strategies to reduce CT utilization and pediatric radiation exposure.

Background : Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a major cause of cancer-related mortality. Optimal treatment decisions are challenging, and existing treatment allocation frameworks may not fully reflect the evolving therapeutic landscape or contemporary clinical practices in North America. Methods : Using a modified Delphi process, a multidisciplinary panel of 20 North American experts in hepatology, medical oncology, surgery, radiology, and radiation oncology developed a consensus-based treatment framework for HCC, termed the BEACON-HCC system. The framework was informed by current evidence and expert opinion through iterative discussion and voting. In a pilot study using 29 real-world patient cases, we assessed concordance between external expert recommendations and BEACON-HCC recommendations and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) 2025 treatment recommendations. Results : The BEACON-HCC treatment allocation framework diverges from prior frameworks by incorporating nuanced clinical features such as degree of intrahepatic tumor burden and vascular invasion, and adverse tumor prognostic markers, to align treatment allocation with tumor biology and therapeutic potential. Key innovations include the incorporation of emerging modalities such as external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), transarterial radioembolization (TARE), and systemic-locoregional combination therapies. In the pilot exercise, expert treatment decisions showed 96.6% concordance with BEACON-HCC recommendations and 72.4% concordance with BCLC recommendations. Conclusions : BEACON-HCC is a consensus-based framework for treatment allocation that incorporates the expanding range of therapeutic options available to patients in the North American HCC population. Expert treatment decisions showed a high concordance with the BEACON-HCC system; further validation using empiric clinical data is planned through the HCC-Live Consortium.

ABSTRACT Purpose We studied histologic Ewing sarcoma (ES) tumor response at local control surgery to explore associations between histologic response and chemotherapy practice changes over time and confirm its prognostic significance in the modern era. Methods We reviewed clinical data for 126 patients with ES treated at Mayo Clinic from 1977 to 2022, analyzing the percentage necrosis as a prognostic factor across chemotherapy regimens (including modern interval‐compressed VDC‐IE). Results In the historical cohort, 5‐year event‐free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) for patients with ≤5% versus greater than 5% viable tumor were 76% versus 59% ( p = 0.01) and 83% versus 62% ( p = 0.01). Review of 104 specimens by two pathologists identified the percentage remaining viable tumor as more reproducible than the percentage necrosis and/or fibrosis. On multivariable analysis of patients with localized disease ( n = 87), pelvic tumors and greater than 5% viable tumor remained independent risk factors for poor survival (EFS: hazard ratio [HR] 3.1, p < 0.01; OS: HR 2.1, p = 0.048). The modern cohort consisted of 22 patients. No patients with tumor size less than 8 cm at diagnosis and 100% necrosis after surgery had events; four of seven with tumors greater than 8 cm had events despite 100% necrosis. Conclusions Our results validate the historical threshold of greater than 5% viable tumor with older chemotherapy regimens but not with modern interval‐compressed VDC‐IE. In addition, inter‐rater reliability for the percentage viable is more reproducible than the percentage necrosis. Although numbers are small, tumors less than 8 cm with no viable tumor appear to be a favorable subgroup and suggest risk stratification using a combination of tumor size and any viable tumor should be evaluated in ES.

Abstract Polygenic risk scores (PRSs), which quantify inherited susceptibility to complex traits and diseases, have emerged as valuable tools for risk stratification and precision medicine. Despite their promise, PRS developed on European cohorts often demonstrate substantially reduced predictive accuracy in non-European populations, due to differences in genetic architecture. The disproportionate representation of European ancestry cohorts in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) leads to inequitable deployment of PRS technologies across diverse populations. Here, we introduce PRANA (Polygenic Risk Adaptation via Neural-network Architecture), a deep learning framework that adapts an existing PRS developed on one population to other ancestries. Unlike methods that require large-scale GWAS in the target population, PRANA leverages pre-trained PRS models derived from European cohorts and adapts them using modestly sized cohorts from the target population. We evaluated PRANA on seven complex traits in South Asian, East Asian and Ashkenazi Jewish populations, as well as in selected smaller East Asian subpopulations where the scarcity of training data poses a particular challenge. PRANA mostly improved predictive performance of the baseline PRS models by 5%-20% in terms of effect size (β) and Nagelkerke’s R², and, in most cases, outperformed existing cross-ancestry multi-PRS approaches. These results highlight PRANA as a scalable and practical strategy to reduce disparities in genomic risk prediction and advance the equitable application of PRS in diverse populations.

Background: Patients with spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) are at increased risk of cardiovascular events, including dissection in other arterial territories such as cervical arteries. Those with combined coronary and cervical arterial dissection (CACAD) may have more widespread arterial abnormalities and worse outcomes, underscoring the need for better risk stratification and personalized care. Objective: This study examined the prevalence of cervical artery dissection (CvAD) in patients diagnosed with SCAD, evaluated potential risk factors for developing CvAD, and assessed their impact on clinical outcomes, including all-cause mortality, SCAD recurrence, and stroke. The goal was to enhance risk stratification by identifying SCAD patients at increased risk for CvAD. Design: In this retrospective cohort study, patients diagnosed with SCAD between 2018 and 2024 across Mayo Clinic sites were identified using ICD-10 codes. Manual chart review confirmed CvAD diagnoses. Patients were stratified based on the presence or absence of CvAD. Chi-square and independent t-tests were used to compare risk factors and comorbidities. Univariate screening and multivariable logistic regression were used to identify predictors of CvAD. Results: Among 1380 patients with SCAD, 131 (9.5%) had CvAD. The median follow-up was 2.02 years (IQR: 1.1–5.2 years). All CvAD diagnoses were identified after the index SCAD event through systematic post-SCAD vascular imaging. The mean age was similar between groups (51.5 ± 11.3 years in CACAD vs. 50.9 ± 10.7 years in SCAD-only, p = 0.540), and the majority were female (93.9% vs. 91.9%, p = 0.529). Multivariable regression identified extremity arterial dissection (OR: 8.13, 95% CI: 3.41–19.36, p < 0.001), fibromuscular dysplasia (FMD) (OR: 7.52, 95% CI: 4.67–12.10, p < 0.001), connective tissue disorders (CTDs) (OR: 6.85, 95% CI: 2.35–19.98, p < 0.001), and anxiety (OR: 1.69, 95% CI: 1.01–2.81, p = 0.044) as significant predictors of CvAD. CvAD was a strong independent predictor of stroke (OR: 6.37, 95% CI: 2.93–13.87, p < 0.001). Mortality and SCAD recurrence did not differ significantly between groups. Conclusions: Patients with CACAD demonstrate a systemic vascular phenotype with significantly higher rates of FMD, connective tissue disease, extremity arterial dissection, and stroke. These findings highlight the importance of comprehensive vascular screening and individualized monitoring in at-risk SCAD patients.