Citations

Objective Age of symptom onset is highly variable in familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration (f‐FTLD). Accurate prediction of onset would inform clinical management and trial enrollment. Prior studies indicate that individualized maps of brain atrophy can predict conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD. We used a Bayesian linear mixed‐effect (BLME) prediction method for identifying accelerated brain volume loss to predict conversion to dementia. Methods Participants included 234 asymptomatic or prodromal carriers of C9orf72 , GRN , or MAPT mutations (including 21 dementia converters) with ≥3 longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T1‐weighted scans. The BLME models established individual voxel‐wise gray matter trajectories using the first 2 scans. Person‐specific clusters of accelerated volume loss were estimated in subsequent scans and tested as predictors of dementia conversion compared with other approaches in time‐varying Cox proportional hazard models covarying for age. Receiver‐operating characteristic (ROC) curves estimated utility of cluster volume in discriminating which participants converted to dementia within 24 months. Results The BLME cluster volume predicted conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD mutation carriers overall and separately in C9orf72 , GRN , and MAPT , with comparable hazard ratios observed for atrophy W‐maps and regional volumes. Within a 24‐month timeframe, BLME cluster volume discriminated dementia converters from non‐converters with larger areas under the curve (AUCs) than other approaches. Interpretation Bayesian‐modeled individualized atrophy scores predict dementia progression among asymptomatic f‐FTLD mutation carriers and may have increased utility compared with other structural imaging methods when studying individuals over shorter timeframes that align with clinical trial design. ANN NEUROL 20269999:n/a–n/a

Introduction: Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) is a clinical construct encompassing heterogenous possible mechanisms of incident stroke, potentially with variable responsiveness to anticoagulation and antiplatelet treatment. This study aims to identify differences in recurrent stroke risk based on phenotypic clusters in an ESUS population, and whether some clusters may benefit relatively more from anticoagulation over antiplatelet therapy. Methods: We identified patient phenotypes from a multicenter, retrospective cohort study of 1909 ESUS patients by dividing them into groups using Partitioning Around Medoids (PAM) with correlation-weighted Gower distance over 23 baseline demographic, clinical, laboratory, radiographic, and cardiac features. We confirmed optimal clustering at 3 groups. We assessed cluster associations with time to recurrent stroke using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. We then employed a causal survival forest to estimate conditional average treatment effects (CATE) of anticoagulation versus antiplatelet therapy using the same baseline features as predictors with a 365-day horizon for restricted mean survival time differences. Finally, we used best linear projection to identify baseline features predictive of treatment effect and assessed whether effects differed significantly by cluster. Results: Cluster 1 (n=542) identified a low-risk, younger sample with minimal baseline disability and comorbidity burden. Cluster 2 (n=743) comprised a moderate-risk phenotype with intermediate comorbidity. Cluster 3 (n=626) represented the oldest and highest-risk phenotype. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated significant differences in stroke-free survival across patient clusters (p < 0.001), where Cluster 1 experienced the lowest recurrent stroke rate and Cluster 3 had the highest. The clustering algorithm successfully identified clinically meaningful phenotypes with distinct risk profiles. While CATE varied across clusters, the differences were not statistically significant. Conclusion: In a multicenter ESUS population, we identified 3 distinct phenotypic clusters, each comprising nearly one-third of the sample and with a differential risk of recurrent stroke. Although cluster was not a significant effect modifier, substantial CATE variability by cluster was observed. Future clinical trials may consider evaluating secondary stroke prevention therapies among phenotypically similar patients who may respond differentially to novel therapies.

Background: Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) comprises infarct mechanisms presumed to be embolic and non-lacunar. One explanation for the lack of superiority of anticoagulation over aspirin is the inclusion of subcortical infarcts with white matter disease (WMD), reflecting small vessel pathology. We hypothesized that WMD is associated with recurrent ischemic stroke (RIS) in ESUS and this risk is not lessened by anticoagulation. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of the multicenter Cardiac Abnormalities in Stroke Prevention and Recurrence (CASPR) registry, including ESUS patients from 27 U.S. centers (2015–2024). WMD severity was graded using the Fazekas scale from MRI and dichotomized as mild (0–1) vs. moderate-to-severe (2–3). The primary outcome was RIS. Secondary outcomes were major bleeding and all-cause mortality. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) adjusted for baseline differences. Cox proportional hazards models assessed associations between WMD and outcomes. Subgroup analyses explored effect modification by age, risk factors, and treatment type. Results: Among 1,890 ESUS patients with MRI data, 684 (36.2%) had Fazekas 2–3. These patients were older with more vascular risk factors, but IPTW achieved covariate balance. In the weighted cohort, RIS occurred more frequently in Fazekas 2–3 vs. 0–1 (7.1% vs. 4.6%/year; HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.10–2.22, p = 0.01). Major bleeding and mortality were similar (bleeding: 1.7% vs. 1.8%/yr, HR 0.96, p = 0.92; death: 7.0% vs. 6.7%/yr, HR 1.04, p = 0.81). Subgroup analyses showed no interaction between WMD and age, vascular risk factors, or treatment type (antiplatelet vs. anticoagulation), suggesting consistent RIS risk in those with higher WMD. Discussion: Moderate-to-severe WMD identifies ESUS patients at higher risk of ischemic stroke recurrence, with no mitigation by anticoagulation. These findings suggest that WMD may indicate non-embolic mechanisms and support the use of imaging-based risk stratification in ESUS.

Background: Although the embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) construct was proposed as a unifying concept for embolic-appearing strokes without an identified cause, it includes patients with diverse and often unrecognized underlying mechanisms. This study investigates the differential rate of recurrent stroke according to the completeness of neurodiagnostic testing in a diverse multicenter cohort. Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of a multicenter observational cohort study (n=27 sites). Patients with ESUS were categorized into three groups: (1) established mechanism after further work up (ESUS-E), (2) patients who underwent a comprehensive diagnostic workup without an identified etiology (ESUS 2.0), and (3) no advanced workup (ESUS-NAW). The primary outcome of recurrent ischemic stroke was assessed by comparing ESUS 2.0 to both ESUS-E and ESUS-NAW groups using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Of the 2,281 patients included, 694 (30%) were classified as ESUS-E, 344 (15%) as ESUS 2.0, and 1,443 (55%) as ESUS-NAW. The ESUS 2.0 group had a significantly lower annualized recurrence rate (1.98 per 100 person-years) compared to both the ESUS-NAW group (7.7 per 100 person-years; aHR 0.27, 95% CI: 0.11–0.62; p=0.002) and the ESUS-E group (6.10 per 100 person-years; aHR = 0.35; 95% CI 0.15–0.85, p=0.020). Within the ESUS-E group, cancer (aHR 5.33; 95% CI: 2.09–13.63; p < 0.001) and non-stenosing atherosclerotic disease or arch atheroma (aHR 3.40; 95% CI: 1.18–9.83; p = 0.023) were associated with significantly increased risk of recurrence when compared to ESUS 2.0. Conclusion: These findings demonstrate a lower risk of recurrent stroke in patients classified as ESUS 2.0, diverging from the 5–6% annual recurrence rates observed in prior ESUS trials. These findings suggest that patients who receive comprehensive diagnostic evaluation without identification of a specific etiology have a lower risk of recurrent stroke, an important consideration for the design of future ESUS studies.

ABSTRACT Based on anecdotal observation of fatty infiltration (FI) of the opponens pollicis (OPP) muscle in patients with thumb carpometacarpal (CMC) Osteoarthritis (OA), we sought to examine the association of FI with CMC OA. We reviewed 747 consecutive 3 T wrist magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies for evidence of FI in the thenar muscles. This population was divided into two cohorts based on radiographic analysis: a cohort without thumb CMC OA ( n = 440) and a second cohort with thumb CMC OA ( n = 307), staged according to the Eaton–Littler classification. Statistical analysis using logistic regression was performed to investigate clinical factors associated with the presence of FI in the thenar muscles. FI was present in 133 patients with CMC OA (43.3%). FI, when present, was located only in the OPP. We found no OPP FI in the cohort without CMC OA (440 patients). Among patients with CMC OA, increasing age, male sex and advanced OA stage were significantly associated with the presence of OPP FI. OPP FI is a frequent finding in CMC OA. This FI could affect the biomechanical function of the OPP. In the future, we plan to analyze clinical outcomes in CMC OA patients with and without FI, and more focused in vivo studies of OPP function. OPP FI could potentially affect the function and the stability of the thumb CMC joint in patients with CMC OA. Orthopaedic Research Society. Journal of Orthopaedic Research® 00:00–00, 2026.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) affects thousands of hospitalized patients annually, yet early detection remains challenging as serum creatinine elevation lags behind clinical deterioration. Decreased urine output (UO) represents a key diagnostic criterion of AKI, sometimes manifesting hours before biochemical changes; however, current manual monitoring methods are labor-intensive and prone to error. Here, we developed and validated a simple, cost-effective automated urine flow meter using non-contact optical sensors, a peristaltic pump, and microcontroller-based automation for precise, real-time monitoring of urine output in clinical settings, named P-meter. Three successive prototypes (V1, V2, V3) were validated against gold-standard gravimetric measurements over 285 h of testing during animal experiments that required bladder catheterization. Iterative refinement addressed miniaturization challenges, fluid dynamics optimization, and sensor positioning to achieve progressively improved accuracy. The optimized V3 prototype demonstrated further enhanced volumetric precision, stability, and flow accuracy with near-unity linearity vs. reference method (R2 = 0.9889), minimal bias (mean error −0.1 mL), and 94.18% agreement within confidence limits (n = 86), outperforming the initial V1 prototype (R2 = 0.9971, mean error −1.69 mL, n = 207) and intermediate V2 design (R2 = 0.9941, mean error 3.63 mL, n = 390), primarily in terms of reduced bias and improved agreement. The P-meter offers accurate urine output monitoring at a lower cost than commercial systems, facilitating its use in early AKI detection and thereby improving patient outcomes.

The purpose of this study was to examine the validity of a Garmin device for estimating heart rate, energy expenditure, and step count during incremental treadmill exercise. Eighteen physically active males (n = 12; mean ± SD age = 22.8 ± 4.7 years; body mass = 83.8 ± 13.4 kg) and females (n = 6; 24.2 ± 5.6 years; 65.2 ± 9.6 kg) completed an incremental treadmill test with the Garmin Vivoactive 4 and criterion methods measuring heart rate, energy expenditure, and step count. Mean absolute percent error (MAPE) and Bland–Altman plots were used to assess accuracy. Acceptable accuracy was defined as MAPE < 5% for heart rate and <10% for energy expenditure and step count. MAPE (±SD) values were 13.0 (±10.1), 19.1 (±15.0), and 4.6 (±5.3)% for heart rate, energy expenditure, and step count, respectively. The Bland–Altman regression analyses illustrated proportional bias was present for heart rate (r = 0.591, p < 0.001) and step count (r = 0.516, p = 0.028), but not energy expenditure (r = 0.351, p = 0.153). These findings indicated that the Garmin Vivoactive 4 provided acceptable accuracy for step count but unacceptable accuracy for heart rate and energy expenditure during incremental treadmill exercise.

Background: Sinonasal undifferentiated carcinoma (SNUC) is an extremely rare, high-grade, and aggressive tumor of the sinonasal tract. Due to the rarity of this malignancy, current treatment guidelines are based on small and often/mainly single-center retrospective datasets. In the absence of a universally accepted standard of care for SNUC, treatment approaches vary across countries and institutions, reflecting real-world clinical practice. The primary aim of this study was to describe real-world treatment and outcomes for patients with confirmed SNUC. Methods: This was an international, multi-center, retrospective, observational cohort study that pooled patients into the largest SNUC dataset to date. Fifteen centers were enrolled to contribute data, including seven from Europe, four from the United States, three from the United Kingdom, and one from Canada. In the absence of a universally accepted standard of care for SNUC, treatment approaches varied across countries and institutions, reflecting real-world clinical practice. Patients included were those with histologically confirmed SNUC who were treated between 1997 and 2021. Results: This study yielded 485 patients treated for SNUC. The median age at diagnosis was 55.6 years (IQR: 44.5–67.6), and 63.7% were male. Most cases presented at advanced stages, with 70.8% as T4a or T4b. Overall survival (OS) outcomes were available for 412 patients, with a median follow-up of 26.0 months. The 5- and 10-year OS were 47.2% (95% CI: 40.8–53.3%) and 39.6% (95% CI: 32.5–46.6%), respectively. Advanced age, dichotomized T-stage (T4a/b vs. T1–3), M-stage, and orbital involvement were significant poor prognostic factors on univariable analysis (p’s < 0.01). On multivariable analysis, orbital involvement (HR: 2.73, 95% CI: 1.42–5.27, p = 0.003) and distance metastasis stage (HR: 3.00, 95% CI: 1.25–7.21, p = 0.014) were both independently associated with worse OS. Conclusions: This observational study presents the largest multi-center cohort analysis of SNUC to date, providing new insights into prognostic factors for a rare cancer treated at global centers of excellence. Orbital involvement and the presence of metastases are candidate independent risk factors associated with poorer OS.

Abstract Hypoparathyroidism is an endocrine disease caused by insufficient levels of PTH, which acts directly on bone and kidney and indirectly on the intestine to regulate calcium and phosphate balance. In clinical trials, palopegteriparatide (TransCon PTH) treatment enabled independence from conventional therapy (no active vitamin D, ≤600 mg/d calcium) and maintained serum biochemistries within normal ranges. The current analyses describe patterns of change in BMD, serum bone turnover markers, and serum and urine calcium in adults with chronic hypoparathyroidism treated with palopegteriparatide through 3 years of the PaTH Forward trial. Baseline BMD Z-scores for the LS, TH, FN, and 1/3 distal radius were above zero, indicating bone mass exceeding age-adjusted normative values. BMD decreased from these elevated baseline levels with palopegteriparatide treatment, with larger reductions during the first 26 weeks and modest declines thereafter. Mean BMD Z-scores at week 162 remained above zero for all 4 sites. Participants with lower baseline BMD (Z-scores below −1 and T-scores below −2.5) generally exhibited lesser declines in BMD versus those with higher baseline BMD. Palopegteriparatide treatment was associated with early increases in bone resorption (serum C-terminal telopeptide of type I collagen, CTx) and bone formation (serum procollagen type 1 N-terminal propeptide, P1NP) that peaked at weeks 12 and 26, respectively, followed by declines to levels moderately higher than baseline at week 162. Mean CTx and P1NP in the overall population and the subgroup of postmenopausal women were below their upper limits of normal from weeks 58-162. At week 162, mean serum and median urine calcium remained within normal ranges and 91% of participants were independent from conventional therapy. These results suggest that long-term palopegteriparatide therapy in adults with chronic hypoparathyroidism gradually returns the skeleton toward its natural state thereby enhancing the skeleton’s contribution to calcium homeostasis.