Attia, Zachi I.

Background: Artificial intelligence (AI) can be used to predict a person’s age from the electrocardiogram (ECG) (AI-ECG age) and has been proposed as a measurement of biological age. The difference between AI-ECG age and chronological age (defined as delta-age) is an independent predictor of mortality in the general population. This study assessed the relationship between AI ECG estimated age and mortality among adults living with congenital heart disease (CHD). Methods: A previously validated neural network to estimate AI-ECG age was used to analyze standard digital 12-lead ECGs in a cohort of subjects aged >18 years seen in the adult CHD (ACHD) clinic between 1992 to 2023. A single ECG, collected during the year of the first visit to the ACHD clinic was analyzed to compute the delta-age.. A positive delta-age indicates an AI ECG estimated age higher than the subject’s chronological age. The relationship between the delta-age and mortality was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for influential clinical factors including chronologic age, sex, ACHD severity, NYHA class and history of arrhythmia. Results: Of 5,780 subjects tested (50% females), the mean chronological age was 39.1 ± 15.0 years. AI ECG estimated age was 52.3 ± 16.6 years. Complexity of CHD was classified as mild, moderate, and severe in 7.4%, 73.9% and 18.7% of patients respectively. Patients with severe CHD had the highest delta-age of 17.1 (±18.2) years followed by moderate 12.7 (±13.6) y and simple 7.7 (±11.5) y. Patients with single ventricle had the highest deviation in AI estimated age [median delta-age 21.0 (IQR 28.6) y] followed by those with a systemic right ventricle [median delta-age of 16.3 (IQR 29.3) y]. During a median follow-up of 6.4 y (25th – 75th centile 1.58 – 13.7 y), mortality occurred in 839 (14.5%) patients. After adjusting for chronological age, CHD severity, and other clinical variables, delta-age gap was associated with increased mortality risk (HR 1.06 (1.03 – 1.09) per 5-year increment in delta-age, p<0.005), Table 1. Conclusion: The difference between AI ECG and chronological age is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in ACHD patients.

Background: Our team recently developed an Artificial Intelligence model that enables the identification of increased left ventricular filling pressures using a single-lead electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) with excellent performance (AUC 0.91). However, its ability to predict incident heart failure (HF) in the community is yet to be evaluated. Hypothesis: We tested the hypothesis that the output from the AI-ECG will predict the long-term incidence of heart failure (HF) and HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and would refine the HF predictive capabilities of the AHA Predicting Risk of Cardiovascular Disease EVENTs (PREVENT TM ) Equations. Methods: Leveraging the resources of the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) we analyzed data from patients who sought primary care in Olmsted County, MN, between 1997-2003 with passive follow-up until April 2024. We included those with a digital ECG at baseline and excluded those who were part of the original algorithm development or history of heart failure. The diagnosis of heart failure was ascertained by using ICD codes (ICD9-428,ICD10-I.50) and a word search for the terms related to heart failure. HFpEF was ascertained using the Ejection Fraction (EF) data closest to the heart failure diagnosis date, using EF more than 40% as the criterion. We tested the association between AI-ECG predicted probabilities and new-onset HF and HFpEF using Cox proportional hazard models. These models were also adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors and were stratified to evaluate the effect of the AI-ECG output on PREVENT TM -predicted HF at 10 years. Results: We included 20,276 subjects, mean age 55±14.03, 52% women, 92% non-Hispanic white. After 18.2±8.5 years of follow-up, 4,008 (19.76%) were diagnosed with HF and 3,812 (18.8%) HFpEF. Risks of HF and HFpEF significantly increased in patients with increased left ventricular filling pressures by AI-ECG, independent of risk factors, all p for trend <0.001, see Fig A-B , respectively. AI-ECG enhanced the prediction capabilities of the PREVENT TM score across all risk groups, see Fig-C. Conclusions: AI-ECG-Derived increased left ventricular filling pressure is associated with new-onset HF and HFpEF in the community and was associated with incidental heart failure at any PREVENT TM risk category. Those results suggest a potential role of AI ECG in predicting heart failure.

Background: Many medications, electrolyte perturbations, and several diseases can prolong the QTc beyond its 99 th percentile value resulting in acquired QT prolongation (AQTP). In contrast, approximately 1 in 2,000 people have congenital long QT syndrome (LQTS) hallmarked by pathological QT prolongation. Recently, we developed an AI-ECG model to distinguish these two groups, however this model does not elucidate which ECG segments distinguish LQTS from AQTP. Methods: Using the cohort from our previous study, all patients with LQTS evaluated in the Mayo Clinic Genetic Heart Rhythm Clinic and controls were included. Next, every patient/control with ≥1 ECG above age- and sex-specific 99 th percentile for QTc was selected and matched at 1:100 ratio. Subsequently, 5 ML algorithms (logistic regression, Naïve Bayes, random forest, Gradient boosting and XGBoost) were trained using 52 features representing segments of the 12-lead ECG (e.g. wave peak times, amplitudes, areas under wave, duration; 52x12 features). Training and testing sets were spilt at 80:20 ratio and 5-fold cross validation was performed to prevent overfitting. Following analysis, the top 100 features were re-analyzed to refine results. Results: Among >1,600 patients with LQTS, 690 had ≥ 1 ECG with a QTc above the established threshold compared to 28,186 controls. Following age- and sex-matching and splitting, 22,410 (training), and 5,776 (testing) ECGs were used. Of the 5 ML algorithms, XGBoost demonstrated best performance (AUC 0.913, accuracy 0.836, sensitivity 0.857, specificity 0.835) to distinguish LQTS from AQTP. Following filtering for the top 100 features, performance of the algorithm remained high with AUC of 0.912 (accuracy 0.84, sensitivity 0.841, specificity 0.84). The features with the greatest impact on classification output included time from T wave onset to T wave peak (leads V1, V4, V4), QRS interval duration (leads V1, V3, V4, aVR), and amplitude at end of ST segment (aVF). Conclusions: Distinguishing monogenetically driven LQTS from multi-factorial AQTP is critical in clinical practice for proper management, mitigation of offending QT-prolonging factors, and treatment. Building on our previously developed AI-ECG-LQTS ‘mutation detector’, this model identifies some of the elements within the ‘black box’ that distinguish an ECG and QTc stemming from a patient with LQTS compared to a similar prolonged QTc value that is arising due to non-genetic, acquired QT-prolonging factors.

Background: Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) predicts mortality in cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) patients. A novel artificial intelligence enhanced electrocardiogram (AIECG) algorithm can predict LVDD and mortality in general populations but has not been examined in the cardiac intensive care unit (CICU). We aim to assess if LVDD by AI-ECG is associated with in-hospital and one-year mortality in CICU patients. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we included consecutive unique adults admitted to the Mayo Clinic CICU from 2007 to 2018 with an admission AIECG, which AI assigned LVDD grade (0 to 3). Medial mitral E/e’ ratio >15 on transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) defined elevated filling pressures. AIECG and TTE assessment of LVDD were used to assign patients to four groups based on TTE as gold standard: true and false negative, and true and false positive. In-hospital mortality was evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. One-year survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariable Cox proportional-hazards. Results: We included 11,868 patients (median age 69.5 years, 37.7% females); 48% had heart failure and 44% had acute coronary syndromes. AIECG LVDD grades were: grade 0 (normal), 33%; grade 1, 7%; grade 2, 39%; grade 3, 21%. In-hospital (adjusted OR) and one-year (adjusted HR) mortality increased in each higher AIECG LVDD grade (Figure A/B), before and after adjustment including TTE measurements. Patients with grade 2-3 LVDD by AIECG and medial mitral E/e’ ratio >15 by TTE (true positive) had the highest in-hospital (adjusted OR 2.5 [1.7-3.9]) and one-year (adjusted HR 1.9 [1.5-2.5]) mortality (Figure C/D), and mortality was elevated similarly in patients with either grade 2-3 LVDD by AIECG (false positive) or medial mitral E/e’ ratio >15 by TTE (false negative). Conclusions: The AIECG LVDD grade was strongly associated with in-hospital and one-year mortality in CICU patients, even after adjusting for clinical variables and TTE measurements. Patients with concordant AIECG and TTE for elevated filling pressures (true positive) were at highest risk.

BACKGROUND: While clinical practice guidelines advocate for multidisciplinary heart team (MDHT) discussions in coronary revascularization, variability in implementation across health care settings remains a challenge. This variability could potentially be addressed by language learning models like ChatGPT, offering decision-making support in diverse health care environments. Our study aims to critically evaluate the concordance between recommendations made by MDHT and those generated by language learning models in coronary revascularization decision-making. METHODS: From March 2023 to July 2023, consecutive coronary angiography cases (n=86) that were referred for revascularization (either percutaneous or surgical) were analyzed using both ChatGPT-3.5 and ChatGPT-4. Case presentation formats included demographics, medical background, detailed description of angiographic findings, and SYNTAX score (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery; I and II), which were presented in 3 different formats. The recommendations of the models were compared with those of an MDHT. RESULTS: ChatGPT-4 showed high concordance with decisions made by the MDHT (accuracy 0.82, sensitivity 0.8, specificity 0.83, and kappa 0.59), while ChatGPT-3.5 (0.67, 0.27, 0.84, and 0.12, respectively) showed lower concordance. Entropy and Fleiss kappa of ChatGPT-4 were 0.09 and 0.9, respectively, indicating high reliability and repeatability. The best correlation between ChatGPT-4 and MDHT was achieved when clinical cases were presented in a detailed context. Specific subgroups of patients yielded high accuracy (>0.9) of ChatGPT-4, including those with left main disease, 3 vessel disease, and diabetic patients. CONCLUSIONS: The present study demonstrates that advanced language learning models like ChatGPT-4 may be able to predict clinical recommendations for coronary artery disease revascularization with reasonable accuracy, especially in specific patient groups, underscoring their potential role as a supportive tool in clinical decision-making.

Background Early detection of left and right ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD and RVSD respectively) in children can lead to intervention to reduce morbidity and death. Existing artificial intelligence algorithms can identify LVSD and RVSD in adults using a 12‐lead ECG; however, its efficacy in children is uncertain. We aimed to develop novel artificial intelligence–enabled ECG algorithms for LVSD and RVSD detection in pediatric patients. Methods and Results We identified 10 142 unique pediatric patients (age≤18) with a 10‐second, 12‐lead surface ECG within 14 days of a transthoracic echocardiogram, performed between 2002 and 2022. LVSD was defined quantitatively by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). RVSD was defined semiquantitatively. Novel pediatric models for LVEF ≤35% and LVEF <50% achieved excellent test areas under the curve of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.89–0.98) and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83–0.94) respectively. The model to detect LVEF <50% had a sensitivity of 0.85, specificity of 0.80, positive predictive value of 0.095, and negative predictive value of 0.995. In comparison, the previously validated adult data‐derived model for LVEF <35% achieved an area under the curve of 0.87 (95% CI, 0.84–0.90) for LVEF ≤35% in children. A novel pediatric model for any RVSD detection reached a test area under the curve of 0.90 (0.87–0.94). Conclusions An artificial intelligence–enabled ECG demonstrates accurate detection of both LVSD and RVSD in pediatric patients. While adult‐trained models offer good performance, improvements are seen when training pediatric‐specific models.

Abstract Background Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are intertwined, sharing common risk factors and influencing each other in a reciprocal manner. While left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) stands as a hallmark of HF's hemodynamic profile, its direct correlation with heightened AF risk remains uncertain. Our recent validation of an artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) algorithm for LVDD detection has opened new avenues. Yet, whether AI-ECG-detected LVDD correlates with long-term AF risk remains unexplored. Methods We performed a retrospective study among all patients with a comprehensive LVDD assessment from the test population of the AI-ECG LVDD study between September 2001 and June 2022. Patients with prior documented AF according to health records or previous ECG were excluded. Patients were classified by AI-ECG as normal diastolic function (DF), grade 1 (G1), grade 2 (G2), or grade 3 (G3) LVDD. We assessed the risk of AF across AI-ECG LVDD grade, with normal DF as reference, with competing risk models. Results Of 97,023 patients free of AF at baseline, 63,533 (65.4%), 10,776 (11.1%), 18,940 (19.5%), and 3,774 (3.9%) were classified as normal DF, G1-LVDD, G2-LVDD, and G3-LVDD, respectively. Worse AI-ECG LVDD was associated with older age, lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and higher rates of HF, diabetes, hypertension, chronic pulmonary disease, renal failure, and cardiovascular disease (p-of-trend&lt;0.001 for all). Over a median follow-up of 4.8 years (interquartile range 1.8-9.2 years), new-onset AF occurred in 6,795 (7.0%) patients. In multivariable survival analysis, adjusted to multiple risk factors including LVEF and clinical HF, G2 and G3 LVDD, representing patients with high filling pressures, were independently associated with a higher AF-risk [G2-LVDD: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.64 (95% confidence interval (95%CI) 1.52-1.73), G3-LVDD: aHR 2.24 (95%CI 2.02-2.48)]. Conclusion The AI-ECG LVDD algorithm independently predicts long-term AF risk, regardless of LVEF and clinical HF status, highlighting its potential for identifying high-risk populations and guiding proactive monitoring and management.

Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of death and burden globally, warranting the need to explore novel predictors of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) using new technologies. Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enhanced ECG (AI-ECG) algorithms can provide information on cardiovascular health of individuals, independent of conventional risk factors. Purpose The current study aimed to understand whether a previously described AI-ECG sex estimation algorithm could be applied for risk stratification of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), with a focus on a population without previous history of MACE. Methods Patients having 12-lead ECGs between 2018-2019 were included and followed up until August 2023. Exclusion criterion was a prior history of MACE. AI-ECG sex estimation was determined using a previously described algorithm predicting sex based on 12-lead ECGs. The algorithm generates outputs ranging from 0 to 1, representing the estimated probability of being male. Outputs above 0.5 were considered as AI-ECG-estimated male, and below as AI-ECG-estimated female. This was compared with biological sex to determine whether the two matched. Inconsistency between AI-ECG estimated sex and biological sex was defined as discordance. MACE was defined as myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, non-fatal stroke, and all-cause death. Results Among 80,578 subjects (mean age 59.1 ± 16.1 years, 52.4% female), 9.7% exhibited sex discordance in AI-ECG estimation. Discordance was associated with a 56% higher risk of MACE (HR, 1.56, 95% CI 1.46-1.65, p &lt;0.001), and remained significant in multivariable analysis with traditional risk factors (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.27-1.43, p &lt;0.001) (Figure 1). Sex-specific analysis showed increased MACE risk in both discordant males and females (Figure 2). Conclusion In patients with no history of MACE, discordance in AI-ECG sex estimation is associated with increased risk of MACE. These findings suggest the potential of AI-ECG sex estimation algorithm for risk assessment, especially in patients with no history of MACE.Figure 1.Cox proportional hazard modelFigure 2.Kaplan-Meier of MACE by sex

Abstract Background Existing clinical preoperative risk assessment tools such as the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) have been used extensively to predict perioperative major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis using Deep Learning can identify hidden features that human eyes cannot identify and might help further risk stratify patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Objective We aimed to develop a Deep Learning model that predicts perioperative MACE in patients undergoing elective noncardiac surgeries. Methods We included patients ≥ 18-year-old who underwent elective non-cardiac surgery between 2000-2021. MACE was validated in duplicate and were defined as a composite of in-hospital myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest or mortality. A convolutional neural network was developed using ECGs within 30 days before surgery. We randomly split subjects into training, internal validation, and testing datasets in a 7:1:2 ratio. Performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUC) values on the testing dataset. Models trained included AI-ECG models to predict in-hospital MACE and to predict in-hospital mortality, and AI-ECG+RCRI models to predict in-hospital MACE and to predict in-hospital mortality. All models were validated using 30-day validated outcomes (MACE or all-cause mortality) in a community-based cohort and were compared with the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) score using AUC values. Findings: We included 195,214 patients who underwent a total of 241,999 surgeries. 169,214 ECGs were used in the training dataset, 24,234 in the internal validation dataset, and 48,551 in the testing dataset. In the test cohort, the AI-ECG algorithm discriminated risk for in-hospital MACE with an AUC of 0.82 (95% CI 0.79-0.85). The algorithm similarly discriminated 30-day MACE with an AUC value of 0.79 (95% CI 0.77-0.81) surpassing the discrimination of the RCRI score AUC of 0.69 (95% CI 0.66-0.72). All models’ performances are shown in Figure1A. The AI-ECG model to predict in-hospital mortality had an AUC of 0.83 (95% CI 0.80-0.86) and predicted 30-day mortality with an AUC of 0.80 (95% CI 0.77-0.82). Other models’ performances are shown Figure1B. Training the AI-ECG models including RCRI data did not improve the AI-ECG models’ performance. Conclusion AI-ECG models with no additional clinical data can improve perioperative risk prediction in non-cardiac surgery, outperforming a conventional and widely used risk stratification tool such as the RCRI.

Abstract Background The concept of ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) was developed by the American Heart Association (AHA) as a composite of seven health factors and behaviors labeled as the Life’s Simple 7 (LS7). Ideal CVH has been associated with complex measures of cardiovascular aging. We hypothesized that physiologic aging, as determined by a simple, routinely used tool such as the electrocardiogram (ECG) enabled by an artificial intelligence algorithm to predict an individual’s physiologic age (ECG age), will be associated with poor CVH as defined by an adapted version of the AHA LS7. Methods We conducted an observational retrospective study of consecutive patients aged ≥18 years who sought care between June 2019 and March 2022, self-reported behavioral history through a validated intake questionnaire in clinical outpatient visits, had a clinically indicated ECG within one year, and provided research authorization. We applied a previously developed AI-ECG convolutional neural network to derive the ECG-Age. We excluded patients with missing data, those with body mass index (BMI) &lt;18.5 kg/m2, previous history of left-bundle branch block, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and non-skin cancer. An adapted version of the LS7 was used to define CVH, which includes anthropometrics (e.g., BMI), behavioral history (e.g., smoking, physical activity, and diet), vital signs (e.g., blood pressure), and laboratory values (e.g., total cholesterol, and fasting glucose). CVH was stratified as ideal, intermediate, and poor if the LS7 score had values of 9-14, 7-8, and 0-6, respectively, constructed by adding 2,1 or 0 points to each metric that met each category criteria, respectively. Accelerated aging was defined as having a Delta-Age ≥1SD above the mean, whereas Delta-age was defined as ECG minus chronological age. Logistic regression models tested the association between CVH categories and positive Delta-Age while adjusting for chronological age and sex. Results We included 114,214 individuals (53.3% females, 86.9% Caucasian). Mean chronological age was 57.7±14 years and mean AI-ECG- Age was 58 ± 12.44 years (R2 0.80, p-value &lt;0.001). Mean Delta-Age was 0.28 ±8.8 years. LS7 average score was 8.3 ± 2.23; 46.8% had ideal, 31.5% intermediate, and 21.7% had poor CVH (Figure A). Compared to those with ideal CVH, those with poor CVH were more than 50% more likely to have Delta-Age ≥1SD (OR 1.61, CI 95% 1.54-1.69, p-value: &lt;0.001), independent of chronological age and sex. (Figure B). Conclusion Poor CVH, defined by the AHA LS7, is linked with biological aging as determined by AI-enabled ECG, highlighting the importance of promoting CVH in adults as a strategy to decelerate biological aging and reduce its associated mortality.