Yu, Hee Tae

Abstract Background and Aims Artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms in 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) provides promising age prediction methods. This study investigated whether the discrepancy between ECG-derived AI-predicted age (AI-ECG age) and chronological age, termed electrocardiographic aging (ECG aging), is associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) risk. Methods An AI-ECG age prediction model was developed using a large-scale dataset (1 533 042 ECGs from 689 639 participants) and validated with six independent and multi-national datasets (737 133 ECGs from 330 794 participants). The AI-ECG age gap was calculated across two South Korean cohorts [mean (standard deviation) follow-up: 4.1 (4.3) years for 111 483 participants and 6.1 (3.8) years for 37 517 participants], one UK cohort [3.0 (1.6) years; 40 973 participants], and one US cohort [12.9 (8.6) years; 90 639 participants]. Participants were classified into two groups: normal group (age gap < 7 years) and ECG-aged group (age gap ≥ 7 years). The predictive capability of ECG aging for new- and early-onset AF risk was assessed. Results The mean AI-ECG ages were 51.9 (16.2), 47.4 (12.5), 68.4 (7.8), and 56.7 (14.6) years with age gaps of .0 (6.8), −.1 (6.0), 4.7 (8.7), and −1.4 (8.9) years in the two South Korean, UK, and US cohorts, respectively. In the ECG-aged group, increased risks of new-onset AF were observed with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 2.50 (2.24–2.78), 1.89 (1.46–2.43), 1.90 (1.55–2.33), and 1.76 (1.67–1.86) in the two South Korean, UK, and US cohorts, respectively. For early-onset AF, odds ratios were 2.89 (2.47–3.37), 1.94 (1.39–2.70), 1.58 (1.06–2.35), and 1.79 (1.62–1.97) in these cohorts compared with the normal group. Conclusions The AI-derived ECG aging was associated with the risk of new- and early-onset AF, suggesting its potential utility to identify individuals for AF prevention across diverse populations.

Abstract Background Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are intertwined, sharing common risk factors and influencing each other in a reciprocal manner. While left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) stands as a hallmark of HF's hemodynamic profile, its direct correlation with heightened AF risk remains uncertain. Our recent validation of an artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) algorithm for LVDD detection has opened new avenues. Yet, whether AI-ECG-detected LVDD correlates with long-term AF risk remains unexplored. Methods We performed a retrospective study among all patients with a comprehensive LVDD assessment from the test population of the AI-ECG LVDD study between September 2001 and June 2022. Patients with prior documented AF according to health records or previous ECG were excluded. Patients were classified by AI-ECG as normal diastolic function (DF), grade 1 (G1), grade 2 (G2), or grade 3 (G3) LVDD. We assessed the risk of AF across AI-ECG LVDD grade, with normal DF as reference, with competing risk models. Results Of 97,023 patients free of AF at baseline, 63,533 (65.4%), 10,776 (11.1%), 18,940 (19.5%), and 3,774 (3.9%) were classified as normal DF, G1-LVDD, G2-LVDD, and G3-LVDD, respectively. Worse AI-ECG LVDD was associated with older age, lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and higher rates of HF, diabetes, hypertension, chronic pulmonary disease, renal failure, and cardiovascular disease (p-of-trend<0.001 for all). Over a median follow-up of 4.8 years (interquartile range 1.8-9.2 years), new-onset AF occurred in 6,795 (7.0%) patients. In multivariable survival analysis, adjusted to multiple risk factors including LVEF and clinical HF, G2 and G3 LVDD, representing patients with high filling pressures, were independently associated with a higher AF-risk [G2-LVDD: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.64 (95% confidence interval (95%CI) 1.52-1.73), G3-LVDD: aHR 2.24 (95%CI 2.02-2.48)]. Conclusion The AI-ECG LVDD algorithm independently predicts long-term AF risk, regardless of LVEF and clinical HF status, highlighting its potential for identifying high-risk populations and guiding proactive monitoring and management.

Abstract Background The determination of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) and filling pressure in patients with significant (>moderate) mitral regurgitation (MR) poses a complex challenge. We recently validated an artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) algorithm to detect LVDD and estimate LV filling pressures. Methods This retrospective study sought to examine the risk of all-cause mortality across AI-ECG LVDD grades. Patients from the AI-ECG LVDD study test cohort who underwent transthoracic echocardiography confirming significant MR and an ECG within fourteen days of each other at Mayo Clinic between 09/2001 and 06/2022 were included. LVDD status was determined based on the index ECG, and patients were categorized into groups representing normal diastolic function (NDF) or LVDD grades 1 (G1), 2 (G2), or 3 (G3). Results Of 4,019 patients with significant MR (mean age 69.8, 49.0% women), 1,175 (29.2%), 1,881 (46.8%), and 963 (24.0%) were classified by AI-ECG as NDF/G1-LVDD, G2-LVDD, and G3-LVDD, respectively. The median mitral effective regurgitant orifice area was 26 mm² (interquartile range 20-36 mm²). Over a median follow-up of 3.5 years, 1,636 (40.7%) patients died. In multivariable survival analysis adjusted for multiple risk factors, a worse AI-ECG LVDD grade was independently associated with an increased death risk [G2DD: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.98 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.63-2.40), G3DD: aHR 2.59 (95% CI 2.09-3.20)]. These findings were consistent when accounting for mitral valve intervention and among patients with >moderate MR or after mitral valve intervention. Conclusion In patients with significant MR, the grading of LVDD by AI-ECG is independently associated with all-cause mortality.

Introduction: Left ventricular diastolic function and filling pressure (FP) can be assessed by echocardiography and cardiac catheterization. Recently, a novel artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled ECG has proven to be effective in identifying increased FP determined by echocardiographic assessment of diastolic function. Aims: We aimed to compare a prognostic value of AI-ECG determination of FP compared to echocardiography and catheterization. Methods: This study included 4,213 patients who had a transthoracic echocardiogram and ECG within 30 days before hemodynamic cardiac catheterization. Increased FP was defined as pulmonary artery wedge pressure >15 mmHg by catheterization and grade 2 or 3 diastolic dysfunction by echocardiography based on diastolic function guidelines. Increased FP by ECG was identified using previously developed AI-ECG. AI-ECG performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating curve. We assessed the risk of all-cause mortality using Kaplan-Meier estimate and multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models. Results: AI-ECG had AUCs of 0.8 and 0.7 for predicting increased FP determined by echocardiography and catheterization, respectively. Death was observed in 2,776 (34%) patients over a median follow-up of 7.7 years (IQR 7.1, 8.3). Survival of patients with normal and increased FP by AI-ECG, Echocardiography, and catheterization are shown in Figure 1a. Concordant diagnoses of normal and increased FP by AI-ECG and catheterization or echocardiography had the highest and lowest survival rates, respectively. When FP by AI-ECG was discordant, survival was better predicted by AI-ECG compared to echocardiography and catheterization (Figure 1b). Conclusion: AI-ECG for FP has a potential to discriminate prognosis further compared to FP determined by echocardiography or catheterization.