Abstract Background and Aims Artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms in 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) provides promising age prediction methods. This study investigated whether the discrepancy between ECG-derived AI-predicted age (AI-ECG age) and chronological age, termed electrocardiographic aging (ECG aging), is associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) risk. Methods An AI-ECG age prediction model was developed using a large-scale dataset (1 533 042 ECGs from 689 639 participants) and validated with six independent and multi-national datasets (737 133 ECGs from 330 794 participants). The AI-ECG age gap was calculated across two South Korean cohorts [mean (standard deviation) follow-up: 4.1 (4.3) years for 111 483 participants and 6.1 (3.8) years for 37 517 participants], one UK cohort [3.0 (1.6) years; 40 973 participants], and one US cohort [12.9 (8.6) years; 90 639 participants]. Participants were classified into two groups: normal group (age gap < 7 years) and ECG-aged group (age gap ≥ 7 years). The predictive capability of ECG aging for new- and early-onset AF risk was assessed. Results The mean AI-ECG ages were 51.9 (16.2), 47.4 (12.5), 68.4 (7.8), and 56.7 (14.6) years with age gaps of .0 (6.8), −.1 (6.0), 4.7 (8.7), and −1.4 (8.9) years in the two South Korean, UK, and US cohorts, respectively. In the ECG-aged group, increased risks of new-onset AF were observed with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 2.50 (2.24–2.78), 1.89 (1.46–2.43), 1.90 (1.55–2.33), and 1.76 (1.67–1.86) in the two South Korean, UK, and US cohorts, respectively. For early-onset AF, odds ratios were 2.89 (2.47–3.37), 1.94 (1.39–2.70), 1.58 (1.06–2.35), and 1.79 (1.62–1.97) in these cohorts compared with the normal group. Conclusions The AI-derived ECG aging was associated with the risk of new- and early-onset AF, suggesting its potential utility to identify individuals for AF prevention across diverse populations.
Quality indicators for the care and outcomes of adults with atrial fibrillation
Abstract Aims To develop quality indicators (QIs) that may be used to evaluate the quality of care and outcomes for adults with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods and results We followed the ESC methodology for QI development. This methodology involved (i) the identification of the domains of AF care for the diagnosis and management of AF (by a group of experts including members of the ESC Clinical Practice Guidelines Task Force for AF); (ii) the construction of candidate QIs (including a systematic review of the literature); and (iii) the selection of the final set of QIs (using a modified Delphi method). Six domains of care for the diagnosis and management of AF were identified: (i) Patient assessment (baseline and follow-up), (ii) Anticoagulation therapy, (iii) Rate control strategy, (iv) Rhythm control strategy, (v) Risk factor management, and (vi) Outcomes measures, including patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). In total, 17 main and 17 secondary QIs, which covered all six domains of care for the diagnosis and management of AF, were selected. The outcome domain included measures on the consequences and treatment of AF, as well as PROMs. Conclusion This document defines six domains of AF care (patient assessment, anticoagulation, rate control, rhythm control, risk factor management, and outcomes), and provides 17 main and 17 secondary QIs for the diagnosis and management of AF. It is anticipated that implementation of these QIs will improve the quality of AF care.