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Abstract TP187: Comparison of Balloon Guide Catheter versus Non-Balloon Guide Catheter for Mechanical Thrombectomy in Distal Medium Vessel Occlusion
Kallmes, David F. , Bilgin, Cem , Şenol, Yiğit Can , Maier, Ilko , Kasab, Sami Al , Kim, Joon‐Tae , Quintero, Stacey C, Rai, Ansaar , Starke, Robert M. , Psychogios, Marios, Tanweer, Omar , Polifka, Adam , Park, Min S. , Levitt, Michael , Moss, Mark, Dumont, Travis M., Williamson, Richard , Kan, Peter , Chowdhry, Shakeel , Ezzeldin, Mohamad , Brinjikji, Waleed , Spiotta, Alejandro M , Senol, Yigit Can , Orscelik, Atakan , Bilgin, Cem , Kobeissi, Hassan , Elawady, Sameh Samir , Cunningham, Conor M. , Matsukawa, Hidetoshi , Zandpazandi, Sara , Sowlat, Mohammad‐Mahdi , Jabbour, Pascal , Quintero, Stacey C, Psychogios, Marios‐Nikos , Samaniego, Edgar A , Arthur, Adam Stephen , Yoshimura, Shinichi , Cuellar, Hugo , Howard, Brian M , Alawieh, Ali , Romano, Daniele G., Mascitelli, Justin R , Fragata, Isabel , Osbun, Joshua W , Crosa, Roberto , Matouk, Charles , Levitt, Michael, Navía, Pedro , Leacy, Reade De

Stroke | February 1, 2024 | Volume: 55 | Issue: Suppl_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1161/str.55.suppl_1.tp187 Get It

Introduction: While balloon guide catheters (BGCs) enhance safety and efficacy of mechanical thrombectomy in large vessel occlusions, their impact on distal medium vessel occlusion (DMVO) remains underexplored. This study aimed to compare the outcomes of BGC vs non-BGC in DMVO thrombectomy. Methods: This retrospective study focused on DMVO cases defined as occlusions in M2-M4 middle cerebral artery, anterior cerebral artery, and posterior cerebral artery. Baseline characteristics and technical and clinical outcomes were compared between the two groups, with subgroup analysis in first-line thrombectomy techniques, including ADAPT, stent retriever, and Solumbra. First pass effect (FPE) was defined as a modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction (mTICI) score ≥ 2C after the first pass. Results: A total of 1,508 patients were included, of whom 231 (15.3%) were in the BGC group and 1,277 (84.7%) were in the Non-BGC group. The BGC group was associated with a lower mTICI score ≥ 2C (overall: 43.2% vs. 52.7%, p = 0.01; ADAPT: 42.2% vs. 57.1%, p = 0.01; Solumbra: 32.4% vs. 51.4%, p = 0.005), longer puncture to intracranial access time (overall: 15 vs. 8 min, p < 0.001; ADAPT: 17 vs. 8 min, p < 0.001; Solumbra: 12 vs. 8 min, p = 0.02), and longer puncture to recanalization time (overall: 97 vs. 35 min, p < 0.001; ADAPT: 100 vs. 28 min, p < 0.001; Solumbra: 78 vs. 46 min, p < 0.001; Stent retriever: 95 vs. 45 min, p < 0.001 ). The BGC group also had a lower FPE rate (17.4% vs. 30.7%, p = 0.03) in the Solumbra subgroup. In terms of clinical outcomes, the BGC group had a lower rate of distal embolization (overall: 8.8% vs. 14.9%, p = 0.02), but there were no significant differences in other clinical outcomes between the two groups in first-line thrombectomy techniques. Conclusions: Our findings showed that the use of BGC in DMVO had a lower mTICI score, reduced FPE rates, decreased distal embolization, and longer procedure times. Figure 1: Figure 2:
Abstract TMP88: Impact of Tandem Vertebrobasilar Occlusion on Outcome of Mechanical Thrombectomy for Basilar Artery Occlusion
Nawabi, Noah, Uchida, Kazutaka , Maier, Ilko , Kasab, Sami Al , Jabbour, Pascal , Kim, Joon‐Tae , Quintero, Stacey C, Rai, Ansaar , Starke, Robert M. , Psychogios, Marios, Grossberg, Jonathan A , Tanweer, Omar , Polifka, Adam , Park, Min S. , Brinjikji, Waleed , Moss, Mark, Dumont, Travis M., Williamson, Richard , Navía, Pedro , Kan, Peter , Chowdhry, Shakeel , Ezzeldin, Mohamad , Spiotta, Alejandro M , Navia, Pedro , Cunningham, Conor M. , Elawady, Sameh Samir , Matsukawa, Hidetoshi , Sowlat, Mohammad‐Mahdi , Zandpazandi, Sara , Orscelik, Atakan , Jabbour, Pascal , Psychogios, Marios‐Nikos , Shaban, Amir , Arthur, Adam Stephen , Yoshimura, Shinichi , Cuellar, Hugo , Alawieh, Ali , Romano, Daniele G., Mascitelli, Justin R , Fragata, Isabel , Osbun, Joshua W , Crosa, Roberto , Matouk, Charles , Levitt, Michael R. , Leacy, Reade De

Stroke | February 1, 2024 | Volume: 55 | Issue: Suppl_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1161/str.55.suppl_1.tmp88 Get It

Introduction: The efficacy of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) for tandem vertebrobasilar occlusion (tVBO) is not well established in patients with basilar artery occlusion (BAO). Objective: To investigate the treatment outcomes of MT in tVBO. Method: This international, multicenter, retrospective cohort included patients with MT for tVBO and isolated BAO from 2013 to 2023. The primary outcome was the 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score 0-2. Secondary outcomes included complete recanalization (modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Ischemia [mTICI] ≥ 2C) and 90-day mortality rate. These outcomes were compared between tVBO and isolated BAO groups. Adjustment factors were age, sex, admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), pre-morbid mRS, onset to groin duration, and intravenous tissue plasminogen activator. Results: Among 10,229 patients, 689 had BAO. Of those, 61 (9.7%) had a tVBO. Median age was 61 [IQR 53-74] years and 29 (47.5%) patients were female. Compared to isolated BAO, tVBO group had lower age (61 [53-74] versus 68 [58-79], P<0.001) and lower admission NIHSS (15 [7 - 22] versus 17 [9-26], P≤0.05). There was no significant difference in the rate of complete recanalization between the two groups (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.39-1.79; P=0.60) However, the tVBO group had significantly lower odds of a favorable outcome compared to the isolated BAO group (aOR: 0.35; 95% CI: 0.13-0.83; P=0.023) and higher odds of 90-day mortality (aOR: 3.51; 95% CI: 1.59-7.85; P=0.002). Binary regression analysis revealed that age (OR 0.98; 95% CI 0.96 - 1.00; P=0.019), admission NIHSS (OR 0.90; 95% CI 0.87-0.93; P<0.001), premorbid mRS (OR 0.71; 95% CI 0.53-0.93; P=0.016), successful recanalization (OR 2.94; 95% CI 1.71-5.15; P<0.001), and tVBO (OR 0.33; 95% CI 0.11-0.86; P=0.031) were significant predictors of 90-day favorable outcome. Conclusion: tVBO was associated with poor outcomes. Further efforts should be aimed at improving outcomes for this subpopulation.
Abstract 153: First Pass Effect in Mechanical Thrombectomy for Anterior Circulation Acute Ischemic Stroke is Modified by Procedure Time: Proposal of a New Measure for Thrombectomy Procedures
Renedo, Daniela , Maier, Ilko , Kasab, Sami Al , Kim, Joon‐Tae , Quintero, Stacey C, Rai, Ansaar , Starke, Robert M. , Psychogios, Marios, Grossberg, Jonathan A , Tanweer, Omar , Polifka, Adam , Park, Min S. , Brinjikji, Waleed , Moss, Mark, Dumont, Travis M., Williamson, Richard A., Kan, Peter , Spiotta, Alejandro M , Havenon, Adam H de, Koo, Andrew B. , Reeves, Benjamin C. , Jabbour, Pascal , Psychogios, Marios‐Nikos , Shaban, Amir , Arthur, Adam Stephen , Yoshimura, Shinichi , Cuellar, Hugo , Alawieh, Ali , Romano, Daniele, Mascitelli, Justin R , Fragata, Isabel , Osbun, Joshua W , Crosa, Roberto , Levitt, Michael R. , Williamson, Richard, Navía, Pedro , Sheth, Kevin N. , Havenon, Adam de , Matouk, Charles

Stroke | February 1, 2024 | Volume: 55 | Issue: Suppl_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1161/str.55.suppl_1.153 Get It

Objective: To determine whether first pass effect (FPE) after mechanical thrombectomy (MT) for anterior circulation large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke (LVO-AIS) is modified by procedural time (PT). Methods: The Stroke Thrombectomy and Aneurysm Registry (STAR), a multi-center international dataset, was retrospectively analyzed for anterior circulation LVO-AIS treated by MT who achieved excellent reperfusion (TICI 2c/3). The primary outcome was good functional outcome as defined by a 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-2. The primary study exposure was first pass success (FPS, 1 pass vs ≥2 passes) and the secondary exposure was PT. Logistic regression models were fit-adjusted and marginal effects used to assess the interaction of PT (≤30 vs >30 minutes) and FPS, adjusting for potential confounders including time from last known well to start of MT. Results: A total of 1,310 patients had excellent reperfusion. These patients were divided into two cohorts based on PT: ≤30 minutes (777 patients, 59.3%) and > 30 minutes (533 patients, 40.7%). Good functional outcome was observed in 658 patients (50.2%). The interaction term between FPS and PT was significant (p=0.018). Individuals with FPS in ≤30 minutes had 11.5% higher adjusted predicted probability of good outcome compared with those who required ≥2 passes (58.2% vs. 46.7%, p=0.001). However, there was no significant difference in the adjusted predicted probability of good outcome based on FPS in individuals with PT >30 minutes (p=0.763). This relationship appeared identical in models with PT treated as a continuous variable. Conclusion: In a large, real-world, multi-national dataset, we find that FPE is importantly modified by PT. The added clinical benefit of FPE is lost in longer procedures (>30 minutes). These data argue for a new metric for MT procedures, namely, FPE 30 , that better represents the ideal of fast, complete reperfusion with a single pass of a thrombectomy device.
Performance of the Lumipulse plasma Aβ42/40 and pTau181 immunoassays in the detection of amyloid pathology
Wiste, Heather J. , Bornhorst, Joshua A. , Li, Yan , Graff‐Radford, Jonathan , Vemuri, Prashanthi , Lowe, Val J. , Jack, Clifford R. , Petersen, Ronald C. , Algeciras‐Schimnich, Alicia , Algeciras-Schimnich, Alicia , Figdore, Daniel J. , Jack, Clifford R , Vemuri, Prashanthi , Bornhorst, Joshua , Bateman, Randall J. , Knopman, David S.

Alzheimer's & Dementia: Diagnosis, Assessment & Disease Monitoring | February 1, 2024 | Volume: 16 | Issue: 1 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/dad2.12545 | PMID 38304322 Get It

AbstractINTRODUCTIONThis study evaluated the performance of the Lumipulse plasma beta‐amyloid (Aβ) 42/40 and pTau181 compared to other assays to detect an abnormal amyloid‐positron emission tomography (PET).METHODSPlasma samples from cognitively unimpaired (N = 179) and MCI/AD dementia (N = 36) individuals were retrospectively evaluated. Plasma Aβ42/40 and pTau181 were measured using the Lumipulse and Simoa immunoassays. An immunoprecipitation mass spectrometry (IP‐MS) assay for plasma Aβ42/40 was also evaluated. Amyloid‐PET status was the outcome measure.RESULTSLumipulse and IP‐MS Aβ42/40 exhibited the highest diagnostic accuracy for detecting an abnormal amyloid‐PET (areas under the curve [AUCs] of 0.81 and 0.84, respectively). The Lumipulse and Simoa pTau181 assays exhibited lower performance (AUCs of 0.74 and 0.72, respectively). The Simoa Aβ42/40 assay demonstrated the lowest diagnostic accuracy (AUC 0.57). Combining Aβ42/40 and pTau181 did not significantly improve performance over Aβ42/40 alone for Lumipulse (AUC 0.83) or over pTau181 alone for Simoa (AUC 0.71)DISCUSSIONThe Lumipulse Aβ42/40 assay showed similar performance to the IP‐MS Aβ42/40 assay for detection of an abnormal amyloid‐PET; and both assays performed better than the two p‐tau181 immunoassays. The Simoa Aβ42/Aβ40 assay was the least accurate at predicting an abnormal amyloid‐PET status.Highlights Lumipulse plasma Aβ42/Aβ40 AUC for abnormal amyloid‐PET detection was 0.81. This performance was comparable to previously reported IP‐MS and higher than Simoa. Performance of Alzheimer's disease blood biomarkers varies between assays.
Importance of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) collection protocol for the accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease when using CSF biomarkers
Algeciras‐Schimnich, Alicia , Bornhorst, Joshua A. , Algeciras-Schimnich, Alicia , Bornhorst, Joshua

Alzheimer's & Dementia | January 30, 2024 | Volume: 20 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 3657-3658

10.1002/alz.13721 | PMID 38288880 Get It

Correlation of urinary comprehensive genomic profile with risk of recurrence of BCG-unresponsive non-muscle invasive bladder cancer treated with atezolizumab in SWOG S1605.
St-Laurent, Marie-Pier , Plets, Melissa , Lucia, Scott, Koshkin, Vadim S. , Bivalacqua, Trinity J. , Kassouf, Wassim , Porten, Sima P. , Bangs, Rick , Meeks, Joshua J. , Caruso, Vincent M. , Phillips, Kevin G. , Levin, Trevor G. , Black, Peter C. , Singh, Parminder Pal , McConkey, David James , Stratton, Kelly , Tangen, Catherine M. , Thompson, Ian M. , Bicocca, Vincent T. , Lerner, Seth P.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | January 29, 2024 | Volume: 42 | Issue: 4_suppl | Pages: 529-529

10.1200/jco.2024.42.4_suppl.529 Get It

529 Background: Radical cystectomy is recommended for patients with BCG-unresponsive (BU) non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) due to high risk of progression. Improved methods for assessing these risks would greatly facilitate the potential for bladder preservation. Here, we tested the capacity of the urinary comprehensive genomic profile (uCGP) to predict event-free survival (EFS) in patients with BU-NMIBC treated with atezolizumab in the single arm phase 2 trial SWOG S1605. Methods: Urine was collected from patients with BU NMIBC (CIS, Ta, T1) treated with at least one dose of intravenous atezolizumab at baseline and before the 5th cycle of therapy (3 months). The uCGP was assessed using UroAmp (Convergent Genomics). Risk scores for recurrence at baseline and at 3 months were calculated by a prespecified machine learning algorithm incorporating alterations in 60 genes and low pass whole genome sequencing, and categorized as high versus low. Molecular response was classified based on change in uCGP between the two time points. Risk scores and molecular response were submitted to SWOG for clinical correlation with EFS using a Cox model, adjusting for CIS status. Time to event was calculated from date of study entry (baseline risk) or from the 2nd collection time (3-month risk) to first high grade (HG) recurrence or persistent CIS at 3 months. Death unrelated to bladder cancer and patients last known to be alive without HG recurrence were censored at date of last visit. Results: Samples were provided at baseline in 89 patients and before the 5th cycle in 77; 68 had both samples available for paired analysis. The risk score at baseline was classified as high in 69% of samples (73% for CIS ±Ta/T1 and 62% for Ta/T1). At 12 and 18 months the EFS probabilities were 26% and 23% for high-risk and 67% and 51% for low-risk patients, respectively, with a HR of 2.82 (95% CI: 1.58, 5.03; p<0.001). The risk score at the 3-month timepoint was classified as high in 81% of samples, and the EFS probabilities at 12 and 18 months after urine collection were 26% and 22% for high-risk and 80% and 72% for low-risk patients, respectively, with a HR of 3.39 (95% CI: 1.41, 8.13; p<0.006). Molecular response to treatment was classified as complete (CR) in 8%, partial (PR) in 14%, stable (SD) in 25% and progression (PD) in 46%, with 7% having no detectable genomic abnormalities at both time points. Clinical recurrence was observed by 18 months in 0/6 patients with CR, 7/9 (78%) with PR, 11/14 (79%) with SD and 25/33 (76%) with PD by genomic profile. Conclusions: This study suggests that uCGP at baseline and after 4 cycles of treatment can identify genomic patterns associated with an increased risk of HG persistence, recurrence or progression in BU NMIBC treated with immune checkpoint inhibition. Future studies will determine if this can be used to guide early treatment intensification.
African American race does not confer an increased risk of clinical events in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis
Yazdanfar, Maryam , Zepeda, Joseph , Dean, Richard , Wu, Jialin , Goldberg, David S. , Lammert, Craig , Prenner, Stacey, Reddy, K. Rajender , Pratt, Daniel S. , Forman, Lisa , Assis, David N. , Lytvyak, Ellina , Carey, Elizabeth J. , Korzenik, Joshua R. , Karagozian, Raffi, Hameed, Bilal , Chandna, Shaun , Yu, Lei , Bowlus, Christopher L. , Korzenik, Joshua , Bowlus, Christopher L , Lytvyak, Ellina , Levy, Cynthia , Montaño‐Loza, Aldo J. , Gordon, Stuart C. , Ahn, Joseph , Schlansky, Barry L

Hepatology Communications | January 29, 2024 | Volume: 8 | Issue: 2 | Pages: No page available

10.1097/hc9.0000000000000366 | PMID 38285883 Get It

Background: The natural history of primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) among African Americans (AA) is not well understood. Methods: Transplant-free survival and hepatic decompensation–free survival were assessed using a retrospective research registry from 16 centers throughout North America. Patients with PSC alive without liver transplantation after 2008 were included. Diagnostic delay was defined from the first abnormal liver test to the first abnormal cholangiogram/liver biopsy. Socioeconomic status was imputed by the Zip code. Results: Among 850 patients, 661 (77.8%) were non-Hispanic Whites (NHWs), and 85 (10.0%) were AA. There were no significant differences by race in age at diagnosis, sex, or PSC type. Inflammatory bowel disease was more common in NHWs (75.8% vs. 51.8% p =0.0001). The baseline (median, IQR) Amsterdam-Oxford Model score was lower in NHWs (14.3, 13.4–15.2 vs. 15.1, 14.1–15.7, p =0.002), but Mayo risk score (0.03, −0.8 to 1.1 vs. 0.02, −0.7 to 1.0, p =0.83), Model for End-stage Liver Disease (5.9, 2.8–10.7 vs. 6.4, 2.6–10.4, p =0.95), and cirrhosis (27.4% vs. 27.1%, p =0.95) did not differ. Race was not associated with hepatic decompensation, and after adjusting for clinical variables, neither race nor socioeconomic status was associated with transplant-free survival. Variables independently associated with death/liver transplant (HR, 95% CI) included age at diagnosis (1.04, 1.02–1.06, p <0.0001), total bilirubin (1.06, 1.04–1.08, p <0.0001), and albumin (0.44, 0.33–0.61, p <0.0001). AA race did not affect the performance of prognostic models. Conclusions: AA patients with PSC have a lower rate of inflammatory bowel disease but similar progression to hepatic decompensation and liver transplant/death compared to NHWs.
Closing the gap: improving the percentage of Annual Wellness Visits among Medicare patients
O’Laughlin, Danielle , Martin, Andrew , Perry, Joshua E., Hurley, Vincent, Costello, Colleen, Wingo, Majken T. , Strelow, Brittany , Curran, Sean , Perry, Joshua, Wingo, Majken, Strelow, Brittany A , O'Laughlin, Danielle J , Curran, Sean, Perry, Joshua, Hurley, Vincent, Costello, Colleen, Olson, Rachel

BMJ Open Quality | January 24, 2024 | Volume: 13 | Issue: 1 | Pages: e002554

10.1136/bmjoq-2023-002554 | PMID 38267215 Get It

Background The Medicare Annual Wellness Visit (AWV) allows providers to acquire critical information about patients’ health through a review of vitals, environmental risks, and medical and family history. These visits are free to those enrolled in Medicare and prioritize patient–provider relationship building and preventative care. Despite this, AWV completion rates are suboptimal. Methods A quality improvement project was aimed to increase the percentage of AWVs among Medicare patients in a primary care internal medicine practice from a baseline of 1.7% completion to 2.7% in 3 months from January to April 2023. Intervention With eligible patients identified, a standardized approach was created where an AWV appointment was ordered, and a patient message explaining the benefit of the appointment was sent by the patient portal. Results Our AWV intervention resulted in 72 patients being seen for an AWV, which increased the percentage of completed AWVs in the division by 2.1% from 1.7% to 3.8% in 3 months. Conclusion This intervention will continue to improve AWV rates and improve patient care for Medicare patients in internal medicine. It could be applied to other areas of primary care and within other health systems.
Cost-Effectiveness of Reduced-Intensity Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Older Patients With High-Risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome: Analysis of BMT CTN 1102
Saber, Wael , Bansal, Aasthaa , Li, Li , Scott, Bart L. , Sangaralingham, Lindsey R. , Thao, Viengneesee , Roth, Joshua A. , Wright, Winona , Pidala, Joseph A. , Mishra, Asmita , Westervelt, Peter, Nakamura, Ryotaro , Ramsey, Scott D. , Li, Lily , Mishra, Asmita , Maziarz, Richard Thomas , McGuirk, Joseph , Cutler, Corey S. , Ramsey, Scott , Steuten, Lotte , McGuirk, Joseph P.

JCO Oncology Practice | January 23, 2024 | Volume: 20 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 572-580

10.1200/op.23.00413 | PMID 38261970 Get It

PURPOSE BMT CTN 1102 was a phase III trial comparing reduced-intensity allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (RIC alloHCT) to standard of care for persons with intermediate- or high-risk myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). We report results of a cost-effectiveness analysis conducted alongside the clinical trial. METHODS Three hundred eighty-four patients received HCT (n = 260) or standard of care (n = 124) according to availability of a human leukocyte antigen–matched donor. Cost-effectiveness was calculated from US commercial and Medicare perspectives over a 20-year time horizon. Health care utilization and costs were estimated using propensity score–matched cohorts of HCT recipients in the OptumLabs Data Warehouse (age 50-64 years) and Medicare (age 65 years and older). EuroQol 5 Dimension (EQ-5D) surveys of trial participants were used to derive health state utilities. RESULTS Extrapolated 20-year overall survival for those age 50-64 years was 29% for HCT (n = 105) versus 13% for usual care (n = 44) and 31% for HCT (n = 155) versus 12% for non-HCT (n = 80) for those age 65 years and older. HCT was more effective (+2.36 quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs] for age 50-64 years and +2.92 QALYs for age 65 years and older) and more costly (+$452,242 in US dollars (USD) for age 50-64 years and +$233,214 USD for age 65 years and older) than usual care, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $191,487 (USD)/QALY and $79,834 (USD)/QALY, respectively. For persons age 50-64 years, there was a 29% chance that HCT was cost-effective using a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $150K (USD)/QALY and 51% at a $200K (USD)/QALY. For persons age 65 years and older, the probability was 100% at a WTP >$150K (USD)/QALY. CONCLUSION Among patients age 65 years and older with high-risk MDS, RIC HCT is a high-value strategy. For those age 50-64 years, HCT is a lower-value strategy but has similar cost-effectiveness to other therapies commonly used in oncology.
The Global Evolution of Inflammatory Bowel Disease across Four Epidemiologic Stages
Hracs, Lindsay , Gorospe, Julia, Buie, Michael , Quan, Joshua , Goddard, Quinn , Caplan, Léa , Markovinović, Ante , Abbey, Yvonne , Abdullah, Murdani , Balderramo, Domingo , Bernstein, Çharles N. , Burisch, Johan , Chong, Vui Heng , Dotan, Iris , Ouali, Sara El , Forss, Anders, Dao, Hang Viet , Baños, Fabián Juliao , Kaibullayeva, Jamilya , Kobayashi, Taku , Miao, Yinglei , Ng, Ka Kei , Olén, Ola , Simadibrata, Marcellus , Sun, Yang , Turner, Dan , Vergara, Beatriz, Wei, Shu Chen, Yang, Suk‐Kyun , Kobayashi, Taku , Kaplan, Gilaad G. , Windsor, Joseph W. , Cummings, Michael K. , Coward, Stephanie B. , Williamson, Tyler S. , Abreu, María T. , Ahuja, Vineet , Ali, Raja Affendi Raja , Altuwaijri, Mansour A. , Banerjee, Rupa , Benchimol, Eric I. , Bernstein, Charles Noah , Brunet, Eduard , Dutta, Usha , Forbes, Angela J. , Forss, Anders, Gearry, Richard B. , Hartono, Juanda Leo , Hilmi, Ida Normiha , Hodges, Phoebe , Jones, Gareth‐Rhys , Kelly, Paul , Kotze, Paulo Gustavo , Lakatos, Péter L. , Lees, Charlie W. , Limsrivilai, Julajak , Lo, Bobby Zhao Sheng , Loftus, Edward V. , Ludvigsson, Jonas F. , Mak, Joyce Wing Yan , Okabayashi, Shinji , Panaccione, Remo , Paudel, Mukesh Sharma , Quaresma, Abel Botelho , Rubin, David T. , Suzuki, Hidekazu , Toro, Martín , Wei, Shu Chen, Yamamoto-Furusho, Jesus , Ng, Siew C.

No container title available | January 23, 2024 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.21203/rs.3.rs-3846147/v1 Get It

Abstract During the 20th century, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) was considered a disease of early-industrialized regions in North America, Europe, and Oceania. At the turn of the 21st century, incidence of IBD increased in newly-industrialized and emerging regions in Africa, Asia, and Latin America, while prevalence in early-industrialized regions started to grow steadily. Changes in incidence and prevalence denote evolution of IBD across four epidemiologic stages: Stage 1 (Emergence), characterized by low incidence and prevalence; stage 2 (Acceleration in Incidence), characterized by rapidly rising incidence and low prevalence; and stage 3 (Compounding Prevalence), characterized by decelerating, plateauing, or declining incidence and steadily rising prevalence. A fourth stage (Prevalence Equilibrium) has been proposed where the slope of prevalence plateaus due to shifting demographics of an aging IBD population, but it has not yet been evidenced. To date, these stages have been theoretical without specific incidence/prevalence indicators defining transition points. Using real-world data from 490 population-based studies comprising 80 global regions and spanning over a century (1920–2023), we show spatiotemporal transitions across stages 1–3 and model transition towards stage 4. Understanding the evolution of IBD across epidemiologic stages allows healthcare systems to better prepare for the future worldwide burden of IBD.