Olén, Ola

Background & Aims: We examined treatment patterns and clinical outcomes in a contemporary cohort of children with newly diagnosed inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in a large, commercially insured U.S. population. Methods: Using the OptumLabs® Data Warehouse, we created an inception cohort of physician-diagnosed IBD in children aged 6–17 years between 2007–23. We examined cumulative incidence of hospitalization, surgery, safety events, and medication use in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), overall and stratified by diagnostic era, race and ethnicity, sex, and age at diagnosis. Results: Among 787 children with newly diagnosed CD (age at diagnosis, 13.4±2.9y; 57% male; 82% White, 5% Black, 7% Hispanic) followed over mean 4.6±3.0y, 5-year risk of IBD-related hospitalization and major surgery was 30% and 10%, respectively. In children diagnosed in 2019–23, 1-year cumulative use of corticosteroids and advanced therapy was 46% and 75%, respectively; advanced therapy use increased significantly over time (aHR, 3.43 [95% CI, 2.71–4.32] for 2019–23 vs. 2007–12), while corticosteroid use declined (0.67 [0.53–0.84]). Risk of IBD-related hospitalization was lower in children diagnosed between 2019–23 (0.65 [0.43–0.97]) compared with those diagnosed between 2007-12; surgical risk did not decline significantly, with confidence intervals compatible with a clinically meaningful reduction. Among 399 children with newly diagnosed UC (age at diagnosis, 14.0±3.0y; 53% male; 78% White, 5% Black, 7% Hispanic) followed over 4.5±3.0y, 5-year risk of IBD-related hospitalization and colectomy was 36% and 8%, respectively. Advanced therapy use increased significantly over time (4.46 [2.85–6.98] for 2019–23 vs. 2007–12), with no significant change in hospitalization or surgical risk across eras. No consistent racial and ethnic, age, or sex differences in advanced therapy use or clinical outcomes were identified in either CD or UC. Conclusions: In a contemporary cohort of commercially insured children with newly diagnosed IBD, early advanced therapy use has increased markedly over time. Surgical risk did not decline significantly in either disease; however, the study was not powered to exclude a clinically meaningful reduction, and these findings are hypothesis-generating rather than conclusive.

Abstract Introduction Despite regulatory mandates for advanced therapy (AT) washout periods of up to 5 drug half-lives before enrolling patients in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) trials, the evidence base for these requirements is largely empirical, and whether shorter intervals independently increase the risk of serious infections in real-world practice remains unknown. Methods Using the OptumLabs Data Warehouse, we identified adult patients with IBD who initiated a new AT (tumor necrosis factor antagonists, vedolizumab, interleukin (IL)-12/23 or IL-23 antagonists, or Janus kinase inhibitors) between 2018 and 2023 using a class-specific new-user design. We examined whether exposure to AT within the preceding 12 months (vs no exposure to AT within that window) and timing of discontinuation (≤1 month, 1-<3 months, or 3-12 months) were associated with risk of serious infections using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Results Among 21 564 AT initiators (47 ± 18 years; 52% female; 57% Crohn’s disease), 7490 (34.7%) had AT exposure within the preceding 12 months. Over a mean follow-up of 1.6 ± 0.9 y, 1955 (9.1%) experienced a serious infection. Prior AT exposure was associated with higher infection risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07-1.33), consistent in inverse probability of treatment-weighted analyses (HR, 1.20 [1.06-1.37]). Among patients with prior exposure, timing of discontinuation was not associated with infection risk (HR, 1.17 [0.95-1.43] for ≤1 month vs 3-12 months; HR, 1.01 [0.83-1.22] for 1-<3 months), with no dose–response relationship on continuous modeling. Discussion AT exposure within the preceding 12 months is associated with modestly higher risk of serious infection after initiating a new AT in IBD, but timing of discontinuation does not independently influence this risk.

Abstract Background Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is associated with increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), likely driven by systemic inflammation. Treating inflammation may reduce this risk. We aimed to investigate MACE across different therapies in patients with IBD. Methods We used Swedish nationwide registers (2007–2023) to describe MACE rates (ischemic heart disease, stroke, heart failure, and cardiovascular mortality) in patients with IBD receiving different therapies. For contextualization, we compared MACE rates during therapy exposure periods in patients with IBD with matched (by age, sex, and residence) general population comparators without IBD. Comparisons included exposure periods naïve to immunomodulators/advanced therapies and periods of different treatments (immunomodulators, TNF-α inhibitors (TNFi), vedolizumab, ustekinumab, and Janus kinase inhibitors). Each patient could contribute with multiple periods, with a new period starting upon switch of therapy. Incidence rates (IRs) and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were estimated by using Cox regression (Model 1: conditioned on matching variables; Model 2: additional adjustment for Charlson Comorbidity Index). Among patients with IBD, we performed 1:1 propensity score (PS)-matched analysis, with exposure periods of TNFi or vedolizumab as the reference, to compare MACE rates between advanced therapies. In these comparisons, we adjusted for demographics, disease characteristics, healthcare utilization, prior treatment, and cardiovascular risk factors. Results We included 106,894 patients with IBD with 99,661 exposure periods naïve to immunomodulators/advanced therapy, 60,573 exposure periods of immunomodulators, and 71,551 of advanced therapies. Distribution of age, sex and disease duration differed substantially across therapy exposures (data not shown). Compared with the general population, MACE rates in patients with IBD were similar across therapies (IRs=3.0-13.0/1,000 person-years; aHRs=1.02-1.49) (Table 1), and significantly increased only for exposure periods naïve to immunomodulators/advanced therapy, immunomodulators, or ustekinumab. In PS-matched comparisons, no significant differences were found between periods of TNFi, vedolizumab and other advanced therapies (Table 2). Conclusion Therapy exposure periods in patients with IBD showed only slightly increased MACE rates compared to corresponding periods in the general population, and significantly so only for periods naïve to immunomodulators/advanced therapy and exposure to immunomodulators or ustekinumab. In PS-matched analyses of patients with IBD, no significant differences in MACE rates were observed when comparing exposure periods of different advanced therapies. Conflict of interest: Eriksson, Carl: Served as speaker/advisory board member for Janssen Cilag AB and Tillotts Pharma. Forss, Anders: Served as speaker/advisory board member for Janssen Cilag AB and Tillotts Pharma. Singh, Siddharth: Dr. Singh has research grants from Pfizer. Halfvarson, Jonas: Grant support: Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research (RB13-0160 to J.H.), the Swedish Research Council (2020-02021 to J.H.), the Örebro University Hospital research foundation (OLL-890291 to J.H.), NordForsk (90569 to J.H.) and Vinnova ( 2019-01185 to JH and 2024-01155 co-applicant), IHI, EU, INTERCEPT (Grant agreement number 101194780, co-applicant), miGut-Health, HORIZON-HLTH-2022, EU (Grant Agreement 101095470, Co-applicant), 3TR, IMI 2, EU, (Grant agreement number 831434, Co-applicant), Janssen, MSD, and Takeda. Consulting and/or advisory board fees from: AbbVie, Alfasigma, Aqilion, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, Celltrion, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Galapagos, Gilead Sciences, Hospira, Index Pharmaceuticals, Janssen, Johnson &amp Johnson, MEDA, Medivir, Medtronic, Merck, Merck Sharp &amp Dohme, Novartis, Pfizer, Prometheus Laboratories Inc., Sandoz, Shire, STADA, Takeda, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Tillotts Pharma, Vifor Pharma, UCB and speaker’s fees from: AbbVie, Alfasigma, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Galapagos, Gilead, Hospira, Janssen, Johnson &amp Johnson, Merck Sharp &amp Dohme, Novartis, Pfizer, Shire, Takeda, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Tillotts Pharma and research grant support from Janssen, Merck Sharp &amp Dohme and Takeda. Sun, Jiangwei: No conflicts Söderling, Jonas: Dr. Söderling has worked on projects at Karolinska Institutet and SWIBREG partly financed by grants from Ferring and Janssen. Everhov, Åsa H: Dr Everhov has worked on projects at Karolinska Institutet and SWIBREG, partly financed by grants from Ferring and Janssen. Bröms, Gabriella: Dr. Bröms has served as a speaker for Takeda and Janssen and worked on projects at Karolinska Institutet, partly financed by Janssen, UCB and Pfizer. James, Stefan: Dr. James reports institutional research grants from Novo Nordisk, Astra Zeneca, Amgen, Jansen, Alnylam and proctor fees from Medtronic. Ludvigsson, Jonas: Dr. Ludvigsson has coordinated an unrelated study for the Swedish IBD Quality Register (SWIBREG). That study received funding from Jansen Corporation. Ludvigsson has also received financial support from MSD/Merck for unrelated research on inflammatory bowel disease, and for developing a paper reviewing national healthcare registers in China. Ludvigsson has an ongoing research collaboration with Takeda about celiac disease and is discussing additional collaboration on chronic liver disease with this company. Olen, Ola: Karolinska Institutet has received research grants from Pfizer, Janssen, AbbVie, Takeda, Ferring, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Alfasigma for projects led by Olén. Ola Olén has also received fees for lectures from Pfizer, Janssen, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Takeda.

Abstract During the 20th century, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) was considered a disease of early-industrialized regions in North America, Europe, and Oceania. At the turn of the 21st century, incidence of IBD increased in newly-industrialized and emerging regions in Africa, Asia, and Latin America, while prevalence in early-industrialized regions started to grow steadily. Changes in incidence and prevalence denote evolution of IBD across four epidemiologic stages: Stage 1 (Emergence), characterized by low incidence and prevalence; stage 2 (Acceleration in Incidence), characterized by rapidly rising incidence and low prevalence; and stage 3 (Compounding Prevalence), characterized by decelerating, plateauing, or declining incidence and steadily rising prevalence. A fourth stage (Prevalence Equilibrium) has been proposed where the slope of prevalence plateaus due to shifting demographics of an aging IBD population, but it has not yet been evidenced. To date, these stages have been theoretical without specific incidence/prevalence indicators defining transition points. Using real-world data from 490 population-based studies comprising 80 global regions and spanning over a century (1920–2023), we show spatiotemporal transitions across stages 1–3 and model transition towards stage 4. Understanding the evolution of IBD across epidemiologic stages allows healthcare systems to better prepare for the future worldwide burden of IBD.