Importance Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of premature death worldwide. Assessing the LDL-C–related burden is critical for guiding prevention and treatment strategies. Objectives To estimate the global, regional, and national burden of ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke attributable to elevated LDL-C (relative to 35-54 mg/dL) from 1990 to 2023 and to quantify the contributions of population growth, aging, risk-deleted burden, and exposure changes to burden trends. Design, Setting, and Population This comparative risk assessment, part of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023, estimated population-level LDL-C exposure and associated health loss in 204 countries and territories. Mean LDL-C levels were estimated using spatiotemporal gaussian process regression based on 806 studies across 161 countries. Relative risks were derived from meta-analyses of 38 randomized clinical trials. Population-attributable fractions for deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were estimated by age and sex for adults aged 25 years or older from 1990 to 2023, with 95% uncertainty intervals. Exposure Population-level LDL-C concentrations. Main Outcomes and Measures Population-attributable fractions, counts, and rates (all ages and age standardized per 100 000) of LDL-C–attributable deaths and DALYs from ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke, with uncertainty intervals. Results In 2023, elevated LDL-C accounted for 3.6 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval, 2.2-5.4 million; 6.0% of global mortality) and 90.7 million DALYs (95% uncertainty interval, 58.9-123.3 million; 3.2% of DALYs). Although global all-ages rates remained stable, age-standardized death and DALY rates decreased by 45.6% and 39.5%, respectively, since 1990. In 2023, age-standardized LDL-C–attributable DALY rates were highest in Eastern Europe and lowest in high-income Asia-Pacific. One-third of the global LDL-C burden occurred in India and China. Population growth and aging drove the increasing burden, with notable regional disparities in LDL-C exposure and risk-deleted DALY rates shifting toward middle-sociodemographic settings. Conclusions and Relevance Despite declining age-standardized rates, the absolute LDL-C burden has increased since 1990 due to demographic changes and has shifted toward middle-sociodemographic countries. Measurement and surveillance gaps persist. Strengthened prevention, diagnosis, and treatment access strategies are essential to mitigate the health burden of LDL-C.
Gaps in Guideline Adherence for Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis in North America—A 5‐Year Analysis
ABSTRACT Background and Aims Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a progressive cholestatic liver disease with a high risk of malignancy and limited therapeutic options. Both the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) and the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) recommend structured baseline evaluation, fibrosis staging and longitudinal surveillance. However, real‐world adherence to these practices in North America remains unclear. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1300 patients with PSC enrolled in the Consortium for Autoimmune Liver Diseases (CALiD) registry between 2018 and 2024 across 19 centres in North America. Guideline adherence was assessed for diagnostic measures at baseline (colonoscopy to establish IBD status and noninvasive fibrosis staging) and longitudinal surveillance (colonoscopy in PSC‐IBD, abdominal imaging for hepatobiliary cancer surveillance and CA 19‐9 testing). Prescribing patterns for ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) were also characterised. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate demographic, clinical and socioeconomic predictors of adherence. Results At diagnosis, 78.8% of eligible patients with available data underwent colonoscopy to establish IBD status, and 45% underwent noninvasive fibrosis staging. During follow‐up, only 30%–35% of patients with PSC‐IBD underwent colonoscopy annually, while abdominal imaging for hepatobiliary cancer surveillance declined from 74% at Year 1 to 51% by Year 4. CA 19‐9 testing was documented in 47% over 5‐year period. UDCA was prescribed in 51% at baseline, with median dose of 12.5 mg/kg/day. Socioeconomic factors, including lower education and household income, were associated with reduced adherence, while cirrhosis strongly predicted completion of surveillance imaging. Conclusions Adherence to guideline‐based care in PSC remains suboptimal in North America Suboptimal adherence was observed for strongly recommended practices with longstanding guideline support (colonoscopy to establish IBD status; annual CRC surveillance in PSC‐IBD) as well as practices where guideline consensus has evolved more recently or where societies differ (baseline fibrosis assessment; hepatobiliary cancer imaging). Efforts to standardise care and address socioeconomic barriers are urgently needed to improve outcomes.
African American race does not confer an increased risk of clinical events in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis
Background: The natural history of primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) among African Americans (AA) is not well understood. Methods: Transplant-free survival and hepatic decompensation–free survival were assessed using a retrospective research registry from 16 centers throughout North America. Patients with PSC alive without liver transplantation after 2008 were included. Diagnostic delay was defined from the first abnormal liver test to the first abnormal cholangiogram/liver biopsy. Socioeconomic status was imputed by the Zip code. Results: Among 850 patients, 661 (77.8%) were non-Hispanic Whites (NHWs), and 85 (10.0%) were AA. There were no significant differences by race in age at diagnosis, sex, or PSC type. Inflammatory bowel disease was more common in NHWs (75.8% vs. 51.8% p =0.0001). The baseline (median, IQR) Amsterdam-Oxford Model score was lower in NHWs (14.3, 13.4–15.2 vs. 15.1, 14.1–15.7, p =0.002), but Mayo risk score (0.03, −0.8 to 1.1 vs. 0.02, −0.7 to 1.0, p =0.83), Model for End-stage Liver Disease (5.9, 2.8–10.7 vs. 6.4, 2.6–10.4, p =0.95), and cirrhosis (27.4% vs. 27.1%, p =0.95) did not differ. Race was not associated with hepatic decompensation, and after adjusting for clinical variables, neither race nor socioeconomic status was associated with transplant-free survival. Variables independently associated with death/liver transplant (HR, 95% CI) included age at diagnosis (1.04, 1.02–1.06, p <0.0001), total bilirubin (1.06, 1.04–1.08, p <0.0001), and albumin (0.44, 0.33–0.61, p <0.0001). AA race did not affect the performance of prognostic models. Conclusions: AA patients with PSC have a lower rate of inflammatory bowel disease but similar progression to hepatic decompensation and liver transplant/death compared to NHWs.
Adequate versus deep response to ursodeoxycholic acid in primary biliary cholangitis: To what extent and under what conditions is normal alkaline phosphatase level associated with complication-free survival gain?
Background and Aims: Normal alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels in ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA)-treated patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) are associated with better long-term outcome. However, second-line therapies are currently recommended only when ALP levels remain above 1.5 times the upper limit of normal (×ULN) after 12-month UDCA. We assessed whether, in patients considered good responders to UDCA, normal ALP levels were associated with significant survival gains. Approach and Results: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 1047 patients with PBC who attained an adequate response to UDCA according to Paris-2 criteria. Time to liver-related complications, liver transplantation, or death was assessed using adjusted restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis. The overall incidence rate of events was 17.0 (95% CI: 13.7–21.1) per 1000 out of 4763.2 patient-years. On the whole population, normal serum ALP values (but not normal gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), or aspartate aminotransferase (AST); or total bilirubin < 0.6 ×ULN) were associated with a significant absolute complication-free survival gain at 10 years (mean 7.6 months, 95% CI: 2.7 - 12.6 mo.; p = 0.003). In subgroup analysis, this association was significant in patients with a liver stiffness measurement ≥ 10 kPa and/or age ≤ 62 years, with a 10-year absolute complication-free survival gain of 52.8 months (95% CI: 45.7–59.9, p < 0.001) when these 2 conditions were met. Conclusions: PBC patients with an adequate response to UDCA and persistent ALP elevation between 1.1 and 1.5 ×ULN, particularly those with advanced fibrosis and/or who are sufficiently young, remain at risk of poor outcome. Further therapeutic efforts should be considered for these patients.
Severe vitamin D deficiency is a prognostic biomarker in autoimmune hepatitis
SummaryBackgroundVitamin D deficiency has been implicated in the outcome of chronic liver disease.AimTo determine the frequency of severe vitamin D deficiency in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), assess its association with treatment non‐response, and evaluate the relationship between vitamin D status and liver‐related mortality and need for transplantation.MethodsTwo hundred and nine patients were evaluated by liver tissue examination at presentation. Serum vitamin D levels were determined, and serum levels <25 nmol/L (10 ng/mL) were considered severely deficient. Treatment non‐response was defined as non‐normalised aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase and immunoglobulin G levels during conventional immunosuppressive therapy. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using binary logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards model.ResultsThe mean vitamin D level was 60 ± 38 nmol/L (range, 3‐263 nmol/L), and 42 patients (20%) had severe vitamin D deficiency. Treatment non‐response was more common in patients with severe vitamin D deficiency than in patients without (59% vs 41%, P = 0.04). Severe vitamin D deficiency was also independently associated with a higher risk of developing cirrhosis (HR 3.40; 95% CI 1.30‐8.87, P = 0.01) and liver‐related mortality or requirement for liver transplantation (LT; HR 5.26, 95% CI, 1.54‐18.0, P = 0.008). Patients with persistent severe deficiency following vitamin D supplementation continued to have poor outcomes.ConclusionsSevere vitamin D deficiency is associated with treatment non‐response, progression to cirrhosis, and liver‐related death or need for LT. Severe vitamin D deficiency is a prognostic biomarker in AIH.