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Corpechot, Christophe

0000-0002-7920-9784

Mayo Clinic

Inserm

Citations 11

Meta‐Analysis: PPAR Agonists for Pruritus and Quality of Life in Primary Biliary Cholangitis
Martins, Adrielly , Khakoo, Nidah S. , Corpéchot, C., Kremer, Andreas E. , Murad, M. Hassan, Sultan, Shahnaz , Levy, Cynthia, Reynolds, John , Kremer, Andreas E , Corpechot, Christophe , Rousseau, Alexandra , Reynolds, John M., Levy, Cynthia

Alimentary Pharmacology & Therapeutics | March 23, 2026 | Volume: 63 | Issue: 9 | Pages: 1190-1200

10.1111/apt.70634 Get It

ABSTRACT Background and Aims Pruritus is a frequent and debilitating symptom in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), substantially impairing sleep, mood and quality of life. Peroxisome proliferator‐activated receptor (PPAR) agonists are promising second‐line therapies for patients with an inadequate response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). We conducted a systematic review and meta‐analysis to evaluate the efficacy of PPAR agonists on pruritus and health‐related quality of life (HRQoL) in PBC. Methods We systematically searched for randomised placebo‐controlled trials (RCTs) of PPAR agonists in PBC through December 2025. Eligible studies reported validated pruritus or HRQoL outcomes. Main outcomes were NRS and PBC‐40 total score. Pooled estimates were calculated using random‐effects models and expressed as mean differences (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results Five RCTs evaluating bezafibrate, elafibranor and seladelpar ( n = 660; 390 PPAR agonist; 270 placebo) met the inclusion criteria. For pruritus intensity analyses, data were restricted to participants with moderate‐to‐severe baseline symptoms (NRS ≥ 4) when available. PPAR agonists significantly reduced NRS scores at 3 months (MD, −1.39; 95% CI: −2.49 to −0.29), 6 months (MD, −1.17; 95% CI: −1.96 to −0.38) and 12 months (MD, −1.73; 95% CI, −3.00 to −0.46); in individual agent analyses, bezafibrate and seladelpar reached statistical significance at two or more time points. While improvements were also noted in PBC‐40 itch‐domain and 5D‐itch score, an impact on overall HRQoL as reflected by PBC‐40 total score could not be demonstrated, with a lower level of certainty. Conclusions PPAR agonists, notably bezafibrate and seladelpar, reduce pruritus severity in PBC patients with moderate‐to‐severe symptoms and consistently improve itch‐specific outcomes. However, effects on global HRQoL remain uncertain. These findings underscore the incorporation of validated, symptom‐focused endpoints in future PBC trials.
Comparative effectiveness of peroxisome proliferator–activated receptor agonists as second-line therapies for primary biliary cholangitis: A systematic review and network meta-analysis
Martins, Adrielly , Khakoo, Nidah S. , Reddy, Anish, Reynolds, John , Murad, Mohammed , Sultan, Shahnaz , Reddy, Anish , Reddy, Anish, Corpechot, Christophe , Rousseau, Alexandra , Levy, Cynthia

Hepatology | October 6, 2025 | Volume: 83 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 721-734

10.1097/hep.0000000000001465 Get It

Background and Aims: Primary biliary cholangitis is a chronic cholestatic liver disease that may progress to cirrhosis and liver failure. For patients with inadequate response or intolerance to ursodeoxycholic acid, peroxisome proliferator–activated receptor (PPAR) agonists have emerged as second-line options. This study assessed the comparative effectiveness and safety of PPAR agonists in primary biliary cholangitis through a systematic review and network meta-analysis. Approach and Results: A systematic review identified randomized controlled trials evaluating PPAR agonists versus ursodeoxycholic acid, with or without placebo. A frequentist network meta-analysis assessed biochemical response (primary outcome) and ALP normalization (secondary outcome). Pairwise meta-analyses were performed for percentage change in ALP and total bilirubin, and adverse events leading to treatment discontinuation. Data were stratified by baseline ALP, and a random-effects model was used. Eight randomized controlled trials (727 participants) evaluating 4 PPAR agonists were included. All agents outperformed placebo in achieving biochemical response and ALP normalization. Bezafibrate ranked highest for the primary outcome; both bezafibrate and seladelpar ranked highest for the secondary outcome. Percentage ALP reduction did not vary by baseline ALP. Total bilirubin changes were similar across arms, and treatment discontinuations due to adverse events were infrequent. Conclusions: PPAR agonists are effective second-line therapies for primary biliary cholangitis. Treatment ranking differences likely reflect variations in outcomes, populations, and drug mechanisms. In the absence of head-to-head trials, network meta-analysis provides important insights into comparative effectiveness. Further studies are warranted to confirm long-term safety and improve the evaluation of patient-centered outcomes.
Adequate versus deep response to ursodeoxycholic acid in primary biliary cholangitis: To what extent and under what conditions is normal alkaline phosphatase level associated with complication-free survival gain?
Lemoinne, Sara , Soret, Pierre‐Antoine , Gulamhusein, Aliya , Lytvyak, Ellina , Olivas, Ignasi , Eaton, John E. , Sebode, Marcial , Lohse, Ansgar W. , Nevens, Frederik , Cazzagon, Nora , Zago, Alessandra , Russo, Francesco Paolo , Floreani, Annarosa , Abbas, Nadir , Thorburn, Douglas , Delamarre, Adèle , Sobenko, Natalia , Villamil, Alejandra , Patwardhan, Vilas , Rigamonti, Cristina , Meer, Adriaan van der , Veer, Rozanne de, Zigmond, Ehud , Yehezkel, Eyal , Bruns, Tony , Große, Karsten , Wetten, Aaron , Jones, David , Dumortier, Jérôme , Pageaux, Georges‐Philippe , Lédinghen, Victor de , Chazouillères, Olivier , Groups, the Global & ERN Rare-Liver PBC Study, Osman, Karim T. , Bruns, Tony , Patwardhan, Vilas R , Lytvyak, Ellina , Corpechot, Christophe , Hansen, Bettina E. , Hirschfield, Gideon M. , Montaño‐Loza, Aldo J. , Parés, Albert , Schramm, Christoph , Dalekos, George Ν. , Gatselis, Nikolaos , Abbas, Nadir , Trivedi, Palak Jitendrakumar , Saffioti, Francesca , Barkai, László , Roccarina, Davide , Calvaruso, Vincenza , Fichera, Anna, Villamil, Alejandra , Medina‐Morales, Esli , Bonder, Alan , Carbone, Marco , Invernizzi, Pietro , Cristoferi, Laura , Kremer, Andreas E. , Deibel, Ansgar , Dyson, Jessica Katharine , Carrat, Fabrice , Groups, the Global & ERN Rare-Liver PBC Study

Hepatology | September 21, 2023 | Volume: 79 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 39-48

10.1097/hep.0000000000000529 Get It

Background and Aims: Normal alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels in ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA)-treated patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) are associated with better long-term outcome. However, second-line therapies are currently recommended only when ALP levels remain above 1.5 times the upper limit of normal (×ULN) after 12-month UDCA. We assessed whether, in patients considered good responders to UDCA, normal ALP levels were associated with significant survival gains. Approach and Results: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 1047 patients with PBC who attained an adequate response to UDCA according to Paris-2 criteria. Time to liver-related complications, liver transplantation, or death was assessed using adjusted restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis. The overall incidence rate of events was 17.0 (95% CI: 13.7–21.1) per 1000 out of 4763.2 patient-years. On the whole population, normal serum ALP values (but not normal gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), or aspartate aminotransferase (AST); or total bilirubin < 0.6 ×ULN) were associated with a significant absolute complication-free survival gain at 10 years (mean 7.6 months, 95% CI: 2.7 - 12.6 mo.; p = 0.003). In subgroup analysis, this association was significant in patients with a liver stiffness measurement ≥ 10 kPa and/or age ≤ 62 years, with a 10-year absolute complication-free survival gain of 52.8 months (95% CI: 45.7–59.9, p < 0.001) when these 2 conditions were met. Conclusions: PBC patients with an adequate response to UDCA and persistent ALP elevation between 1.1 and 1.5 ×ULN, particularly those with advanced fibrosis and/or who are sufficiently young, remain at risk of poor outcome. Further therapeutic efforts should be considered for these patients.
Ursodeoxycholic Acid Treatment–Induced GLOBE Score Changes Are Associated With Liver Transplantation-Free Survival in Patients With Primary Biliary Cholangitis
Veer, Rozanne C. de , Hooff, Maria C. van , Thorburn, Douglas , Janssen, Harry L.A. , Nevens, Frederik , Lindor, Keith D. , Floreani, Annarosa , Ponsioen, Cyriel Y. , Mayo, Marlyn J. , Mason, Andrew L. , Goet, Jorn , Bruns, Tony , Verhelst, Xavier , Meer, Adriaan J. van der, Group, on behalf of the Global PBC Study, Bruns, Tony , Mason, Andrew , Verhelst, Xavier , Corpechot, Christophe , Invernizzi, Pietro , Lammers, Willem J. , Battezzati, Pier Maria , Parés, Albert , Kowdley, Kris V. , Trivedi, Palak Jitendrakumar , Hirschfield, Gideon M. , Dalekos, George Ν. , Gatselis, Nikolaos , Hansen, Bettina E. , Harms, Maren H. , Meer, Adriaan J. van der, Group, on behalf of the Global PBC Study

American Journal of Gastroenterology | January 9, 2023 | Volume: 118 | Issue: 7 | Pages: 1196-1203

10.14309/ajg.0000000000002128 Get It

INTRODUCTION: Treatment of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) can improve the GLOBE score. We aimed to assess the association between changes in the GLOBE score (ΔGLOBE) and liver transplantation (LT)–free survival in patients with PBC who were treated with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). METHODS: Among UDCA-treated patients within the Global PBC cohort, the association between ΔGLOBE (ΔGLOBE 0–1 : during the first year of UDCA, ΔGLOBE 1–2 : during the second year) and the risk of LT or death was assessed through Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Overall, 3,775 UDCA-treated patients were included; 3,424 (90.7%) were female, the median age was 54.0 (interquartile range [IQR] 45.9–62.4) years, and the median baseline GLOBE score was 0.25 (IQR −0.47 to 0.96). During a median follow-up of 7.2 (IQR 3.7–11.5) years, 730 patients reached the combined end point of LT or death. The median ΔGLOBE 0–1 was −0.27 (IQR −0.56 to 0.02). Cox regression analyses, adjusted for pretreatment GLOBE score and ΔGLOBE 0–1 2 , showed that ΔGLOBE was associated with LT or death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.28, 95% confidence interval 1.81–2.87, P < 0.001). The interaction between baseline GLOBE score and ΔGLOBE 0–1 was not statistically significant ( P = 0.296). The ΔGLOBE 1–2 was associated with LT or death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.19, 95% confidence interval 1.67–2.86, P < 0.001), independently from the baseline GLOBE score and the change in GLOBE score during the first year of UDCA. DISCUSSION: UDCA-induced changes in the GLOBE score were significantly associated with LT-free survival in patients with PBC. While the relative risk reduction of LT or death was stable, the absolute risk reduction was heavily dependent on the baseline prognosis of the patient.
Liver transplant‐free survival according to alkaline phosphatase and GLOBE score in patients with primary biliary cholangitis treated with ursodeoxycholic acid
Veer, Rozanne C. de , Harms, Maren H. , Thorburn, Douglas , Janssen, Harry L.A. , Nevens, Frederik , Lindor, Keith D. , Floreani, Annarosa , Ponsioen, Cyriel Y. , Mayo, Marlyn J. , Parés, Albert , Mason, Andrew L. , Bruns, Tony , Buuren, Henk R. van , Meer, Adriaan J. van der, Group, the Global PBC Study, van der Meer, Adriaan J , Invernizzi, Pietro , Lindor, K D , Mayo, Marlyn J , Mason, Andrew , Hirschfield, Gideon M , Bruns, Tony , Verhelst, Xavier , Corpechot, Christophe , Invernizzi, Pietro , Battezzati, Pier Maria , Kowdley, Kris V. , Trivedi, Palak Jitendrakumar , Hirschfield, Gideon M. , Dalekos, George Ν. , Gatselis, Nikolaos , Verhelst, Xavier , Lammers, Willem J. , Hansen, Bettina E. , Meer, Adriaan J. van der, Group, the Global PBC Study

Alimentary Pharmacology & Therapeutics | September 23, 2022 | Volume: 56 | Issue: 9 | Pages: 1408-1418

10.1111/apt.17226 Get It

SummaryBackgroundAfter 1 year of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA), patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) may have a normal GLOBE score despite high alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels.AimTo assess the association between ALP and liver transplantation (LT)‐free survival according to the GLOBE scoreMethodsAmong patients with a normal or elevated GLOBE score in the Global PBC cohort, the association between ALP after 1 year of UDCA and the risk of LT/death was assessed. The LT‐free survival was compared with that of a matched general population.ResultsAfter 1 year of UDCA, ALP was associated with the risk of LT/death (aHR 1.31, 95% CI 1.003–1.72, p = 0.048) among 2729 patients with a normal GLOBE score. The 10‐year LT‐free survival among these patients with an ALP >2.0 × ULN was 94.0% (95% CI 90.1–97.9) for those <50 years, and 82.6% (95% CI 76.5–88.7) for those ≥50 years, which was significantly lower (p = 0.040) and similar (p = 0.736) to that of the matched population, respectively. The 10‐year LT‐free survival in patients ≥50 years with normal GLOBE score and normal ALP (90.8%, 95% CI 87.7–93.9) was significantly higher (p = 0.022) than the matched population. Among 1045 patients with an elevated GLOBE score, ALP was associated with LT/death only in those <50 years (aHR 1.38, 95% CI 1.06–1.81, p = 0.016).ConclusionThe LT‐free survival of patients with PBC with a normal GLOBE score is optimal in case of normal ALP levels, also in relation to the general population. Despite their generally favourable prognosis, an elevated ALP level may still indicate a need for add‐on therapy.
P09 Long-term obeticholic acid (OCA) for Primary Biliary Cholangitis (PBC) in a clinical trial improved event free survival (death, liver transplant and hepatic decompensation) compared to external controls from the GLOBAL PBC real-world database
Perez, Carla , Adekunle, Femi, Mayne, Tracy J. , Malecha, Elizabeth Smoot, Ness, Eric , Meer, Adriaan J Van Der, Nevens, Frederik , Bruns, Tony , Floreani, Annarosa , Mayo, Marlyn J. , Thorburn, Douglas , Gulamhusein, Aliya , Bowlus, Christopher L. , Lindor, Keith D. , Bruns, Tony , Bowlus, Christopher L , Meer, Adriaan van der , Lammers, Willem J. , Trivedi, Palak Jitendrakumar , Battezzati, Pier Maria , Kowdley, Kris V. , Cazzagon, Nora , Mason, Andrew L. , Parés, Albert , Londoño, Maria, Invernizzi, Pietro , Carbone, Marco , Lleò, Ana , Dalekos, George Ν. , Gatselis, Nikolaos , Verhelst, Xavier , Janssen, Harry L.A. , Trauner, Michael , Corpechot, Christophe , Hirschfield, Gideon M. , Hansen, Bettina E.

Abstracts | September 20, 2022 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: A37-A37

10.1136/gutjnl-2022-basl.60 Get It

Machine learning in primary biliary cholangitis: A novel approach for risk stratification
Gerussi, Alessio , Verda, Damiano , Komori, Atsumasa , Inao, Mie , Mochida, Satoshi , Yoshiji, Hitoshi , Lindor, Keith D. , Cazzagon, Nora , Floreani, Annarosa , Marzioni, Marco , Cristoferi, Laura , Valsecchi, Maria Grazia , Hansen, Bettina E. , Carbone, Marco , Namisaki, Tadashi , Lindor, K D , Marzioni, Marco , Vespasiani-Gentilucci, Umberto , Cristoferi, Laura , Tanaka, Atsushi , Invernizzi, Pietro , Bernasconi, Davide P , Carbone, Marco , Abe, Masanori , Hirschfield, Gideon M. , Parés, Albert , Corpechot, Christophe , Alvaro, Domenico , Muselli, Marco , Hansen, Bettina E. , Invernizzi, Pietro

Liver International | December 24, 2021 | Volume: 42 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 615-627

10.1111/liv.15141 Get It

AbstractBackground & AimsMachine learning (ML) provides new approaches for prognostication through the identification of novel subgroups of patients. We explored whether ML could support disease sub‐phenotyping and risk stratification in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC).MethodsML was applied to an international dataset of PBC patients. The dataset was split into a derivation cohort (training set) and a validation cohort (validation set), and key clinical features were analysed. The outcome was a composite of liver‐related death or liver transplantation. ML and standard survival analysis were performed.ResultsThe training set was composed of 11,819 subjects, while the validation set was composed of 1,069 subjects. ML identified four clusters of patients characterized by different phenotypes and long‐term prognosis. Cluster 1 (n = 3566) included patients with excellent prognosis, whereas Cluster 2 (n = 3966) consisted of individuals at worse prognosis differing from Cluster 1 only for albumin levels around the limit of normal. Cluster 3 (n = 2379) included young patients with florid cholestasis and Cluster 4 (n = 1908) comprised advanced cases. Further sub‐analyses on the dynamics of albumin within the normal range revealed that ursodeoxycholic acid‐induced increase of albumin >1.2 x lower limit of normal (LLN) is associated with improved transplant‐free survival.ConclusionsUnsupervised ML identified four novel groups of PBC patients with different phenotypes and prognosis and highlighted subtle variations of albumin within the normal range. Therapy‐induced increase of albumin >1.2 x LLN should be considered a treatment goal.
Number needed to treat with ursodeoxycholic acid therapy to prevent liver transplantation or death in primary biliary cholangitis
Veer, Rozanne C. de , Thorburn, Douglas , Janssen, Harry L.A. , Lindor, Keith D. , Parés, Albert , Floreani, Annarosa , Mayo, Marlyn J. , Nevens, Frederik , Ponsioen, Cyriel Y. , Buuren, Henk R. van , van der Meer, Adriaan J , Harms, Maren H. , Lammers, Willem J. , Corpechot, Christophe , Trivedi, Palak Jitendrakumar , Hirschfield, Gideon M. , Invernizzi, Pietro , Battezzati, Pier Maria , Mason, Andrew L. , Kowdley, Kris V. , Hansen, Bettina E.

Gut | December 16, 2019 | Volume: 69 | Issue: 8 | Pages: 1502-1509

10.1136/gutjnl-2019-319057 Get It

Objective The clinical benefit of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) has never been reported in absolute measures. The aim of this study was to assess the number needed to treat (NNT) with UDCA to prevent liver transplantation (LT) or death among patients with PBC. Methods The NNT was calculated based on the untreated LT-free survival and HR of UDCA with respect to LT or death as derived from inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted Cox proportional hazard analyses within the Global PBC Study Group database. Results We included 3902 patients with a median follow-up of 7.8 (4.1–12.1) years. The overall HR of UDCA was 0.46 (95% CI 0.40 to 0.52) and the 5-year LT-free survival without UDCA was 81% (95% CI 79 to 82). The NNT to prevent one LT or death within 5 years (NNT5y) was 11 (95% CI 9 to 13). Although the HR of UDCA was similar for patients with and without cirrhosis (0.33 vs 0.31), the NNT5y was 4 (95% CI 3 to 5) and 20 (95% CI 14 to 34), respectively. Among patients with low alkaline phosphatase (ALP) (≤2× the upper limit of normal (ULN)), intermediate ALP (2–4× ULN) and high ALP (>4× ULN), the NNT5y to prevent one LT or death was 26 (95% CI 15 to 70), 11 (95% CI 8 to 17) and 5 (95% CI 4 to 8), respectively. Conclusion The absolute clinical efficacy of UDCA with respect to LT or death varied with baseline prognostic characteristics, but was high throughout. These findings strongly emphasise the incentive to promptly initiate UDCA treatment in all patients with PBC and may improve patient compliance.
Milder disease stage in patients with primary biliary cholangitis over a 44‐year period: A changing natural history
Perez, Carla Fiorella Murillo, Goet, Jorn , Lammers, Willem J. , Gulamhusein, Aliya , Buuren, Henk R. van , Ponsioen, Cyriel Y. , Carbone, Marco , Mayo, Marlyn J. , Floreani, Annarosa , Parés, Albert , Nevens, Frederik , Bruns, Tony , Thorburn, Douglas , Lindor, Keith D. , Zachou, Kalliopi , Poupon, Raoul, Verhelst, Xavier , Janssen, Harry L.A. , Group, on behalf of the GLOBAL PBC Study, Goet, Jorn C , Bruns, Tony , Carbone, Marco , Verhelst, Xavier , Mason, Andrew L. , Corpechot, Christophe , Invernizzi, Pietro , Battezzati, Pier Maria , Kowdley, Kris V. , Dalekos, George Ν. , Hirschfield, Gideon M. , LaRusso, Nicholas F. , Trivedi, Palak Jitendrakumar , Hansen, Bettina E. , Group, on behalf of the GLOBAL PBC Study

Hepatology | December 9, 2017 | Volume: 67 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 1920-1930

10.1002/hep.29717 Get It

Changes over time in the presenting features and clinical course of patients with primary biliary cholangitis are poorly described. We sought to describe temporal trends in patient and disease characteristics over a 44‐year period across a large international primary biliary cholangitis cohort of 4,805 patients diagnosed between 1970 and 2014, from 17 centers across Europe and North America. Patients were divided into five cohorts according to their year of diagnosis: 1970‐1979 (n = 143), 1980‐1989 (n = 858), 1990‐1999 (n = 1,754), 2000‐2009 (n = 1,815), and ≥2010 (n = 235). Age at diagnosis, disease stage, response to ursodeoxycholic acid, and clinical outcomes were compared. Mean age at diagnosis increased incrementally by 2‐3 years per decade from 46.9 ± 10.1 years in the 1970s to 57.0 ± 12.1 years from 2010 onward (P < 0.001). The female to male ratio (9:1) and antimitochondrial antibody positivity (90%) were not significantly variable. The proportion of patients presenting with mild biochemical disease (according to Rotterdam staging) increased from 41.3% in the 1970s to 72.2% in the 1990s (P < 0.001) and remained relatively stable thereafter. Patients with a mild histological stage at diagnosis increased from 60.4% (1970‐1989) to 76.5% (1990‐2014) (P < 0.001). Correspondingly, response to ursodeoxycholic acid according to Paris‐I criteria increased; 51.7% in the 1970s and 70.5% in the 1990s (P < 0.001). Recent decades were also characterized by lower decompensation rates (18.5% in the 1970s to 5.8% in the 2000s, P < 0.001) and higher 10‐year transplant‐free survival (48.4%, 68.7%, 79.7%, and 80.1% for each respective cohort; P < 0.001). Conclusion: In recent decades, a pattern of primary biliary cholangitis presentation consistent with an older age at diagnosis alongside reduced disease severity has been noted; the observed trends may be explained by an increase in routine testing of liver function and/or a changing environmental trigger. (Hepatology 2018;67:1920‐1930).
Stratification of hepatocellular carcinoma risk in primary biliary cirrhosis: a multicentre international study
Lammers, Willem J. , Buuren, Henk R. van , Parés, Albert , Floreani, Annarosa , Janssen, Harry L.A. , Invernizzi, Pietro , Battezzati, Pier Maria , Ponsioen, Cyriel Y. , Poupon, Raoul , Mayo, Marlyn J. , Burroughs, Andrew K. , Nevens, Frederik , Lleò, Ana , Caballería, Llorenç , Lindor, Keith D. , Hirschfield, Gideon M. , Bruns, Tony , Boonstra, Kirsten , Trivedi, Palak Jitendrakumar , Corpechot, Christophe , Mason, Andrew L. , Kowdley, Kris V. , Hansen, Bettina E. , Bruns, Tony , Invernizzi, Pietro , Hirschfield, Gideon M

Gut | January 8, 2015 | Volume: 65 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 321-329

10.1136/gutjnl-2014-308351 Get It

Objective Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an infrequent yet critical event in primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC); however, predictive tools remain ill-defined. Our objective was to identify candidate risk factors for HCC development in patients with PBC. Design Risk factor analysis was performed in over 15 centres from North America and Europe spanning >40 years observation period using Cox proportional hazards assumptions, logistic regression, and Kaplan-Meier estimates. Results Of 4565 patients with PBC 123 developed HCC, yielding an incidence rate (IR) of 3.4 cases/1000 patient-years. HCC was significantly more common in men (p<0.0001), and on univariate analysis factors at PBC diagnosis associated with future HCC development were male sex (unadjusted HR 2.91, p<0.0001), elevated serum aspartate transaminase (HR 1.24, p<0.0001), advanced disease (HR 2.72, p=0.022), thrombocytopenia (HR 1.65, p<0.0001), and hepatic decompensation (HR 9.89, p<0.0001). As such, non-treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid itself was not associated with cancer development; however, 12-month stratification by biochemical non-response (Paris-I criteria) associated significantly with future risk of HCC (HR 4.52, p<0.0001; IR 6.6 vs 1.4, p<0.0001). Non-response predicted future risk in patients with early stage disease (IR 4.7 vs 1.2, p=0.005), advanced disease (HR 2.79, p=0.02; IR 11.2 vs 4.4, p=0.033), and when restricting the analysis to only male patients (HR 4.44, p<0.001; IR 18.2 vs 5.4, p<0.001). On multivariable analysis biochemical non-response remained the most significant factor predictive of future HCC risk (adjusted HR 3.44, p<0.0001). Conclusions This uniquely powered, internationally representative cohort robustly demonstrates that 12-month biochemical non-response is associated with increased future risk of developing HCC in PBC. Such risk stratification is relevant to patient care and development of new therapies.