The number and timing of unplanned admissions to inpatient teaching services vary. Recent changes to resident duty hours make it essential to maximize learning experiences and balance workload on these services. Queueing theory provides a mechanism for understanding and planning for the variations in admissions and daily census. Daily admissions, length of stay, and daily census were modeled for a teaching inpatient family medicine service over 46 months using an M/G/∞ queueing model. Q–Q plots and a Kolmogorov–Smirnov test were used to check the fit of actual data to the model. Admissions and daily census followed a Poisson distribution (λ = 3.28 and λ = 8.28, respectively), while length-of-stay followed a lognormal distribution (µ = 0.49, σ2 = 0.83). The M/G/∞ queueing model proved useful for predicting overflow admission frequency, defining expected resident workload in terms of patient-days, and determining hospital unit size requirements.
Association of the Colorectal CpG Island Methylator Phenotype with Molecular Features, Risk Factors, and Family History
AbstractBackgroundLate‐onset Alzheimer's disease (AD) is heritable with 20 genes showing genome‐wide association in the International Genomics of Alzheimer's Project (IGAP). To identify the biology underlying the disease, we extended these genetic data in a pathway analysis.MethodsThe ALIGATOR and GSEA algorithms were used in the IGAP data to identify associated functional pathways and correlated gene expression networks in human brain.ResultsALIGATOR identified an excess of curated biological pathways showing enrichment of association. Enriched areas of biology included the immune response (P = 3.27 × 10−12 after multiple testing correction for pathways), regulation of endocytosis (P = 1.31 × 10−11), cholesterol transport (P = 2.96 × 10−9), and proteasome‐ubiquitin activity (P = 1.34 × 10−6). Correlated gene expression analysis identified four significant network modules, all related to the immune response (corrected P = .002–.05).ConclusionsThe immune response, regulation of endocytosis, cholesterol transport, and protein ubiquitination represent prime targets for AD therapeutics.
Effects of Multiple Genetic Loci on Age at Onset in Late-Onset Alzheimer Disease
AbstractBackgroundLess is known about the genetic basis of Alzheimer's disease (AD) in African Americans (AAs) than in non‐Hispanic whites.MethodsWhole exome sequencing (WES) was performed on seven AA AD cases. Disease association with potentially AD‐related variants from WES was assessed in an AA discovery cohort of 422 cases and 394 controls. Replication was sought in an AA sample of 1037 cases and 1869 controls from the Alzheimer Disease Genetics Consortium (ADGC).ResultsForty‐four single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from WES passed filtering criteria and were successfully genotyped. Nominally significant (P < .05) association to AD was observed with two African‐descent specific AKAP9 SNPs in tight linkage disequilibrium: rs144662445 (P = .014) and rs149979685 (P = .037). These associations were replicated in the ADGC sample (rs144662445: P = .0022, odds ratio [OR] = 2.75; rs149979685: P = .0022, OR = 3.61).ConclusionsBecause AKAP9 was not previously linked to AD risk, this study indicates a potential new disease mechanism.
Care Coordination, Family-Centered Care, and Functional Ability in Children with Special Health Care Needs in the United States
The purpose of this study was to determine if there was an association between care coordination, family-centered care, and functional ability among children with special health care needs (CSHCN). Analysis of data from the 2005–2006 National Survey of CSHCN revealed that the percentages of CSHCN receiving care coordination and family-centered care were 59.3 and 66.3, respectively. Children who did not receive care coordination had a 53% higher adjusted odds (odds ratio=1.53, 95% confidence interval 1.21–1.94, P <0.001) for a limitation in functional ability compared to CSHCN who received care coordination. Family-centered care was not associated with a limitation in functional ability in CSHCN ( P =0.61). CSHCN are underserved with regard to care coordination and this appears to be associated with impaired functional ability. Longitudinal studies are needed to confirm causality. ( Population Health Management 2014;17:233–238)
Abstract 1434: Levels of IL-12 family cytokines in ascitic fluid are associated with extent and resectability of ovarian cancer and correlate with overall survival.
Abstract Background: Ovarian cancer (OC) is commonly associated with ascites and predominantly remains in the peritoneal cavity. Soluble factors present in ascites such as growth factors and cytokines likely play a key role in local tumor behavior including stage, invasiveness and resectability and survival. Members of IL-12 family (IL-12p70, IL-23, IL-27 and IL-35) play a critical role in the regulation of inflammatory response. However, their role as local factors in ovarian cancer growth has not been well studied. We hypothesized that that the level of these important immunomodulatory and pro-inflammatory cytokines are associated with the clinical behavior of OC. Methods: Ascites fluid was collected and analyzed from women undergoing maximal debulking surgery for presumed OC, and relevant clinical endpoints were abstracted. Concentrations of IL-12 related cytokines (IL-23, IL-27, IL-35, and IL-12p70) were assessed by ELISA. Cytokines were also assessed on matching pre-surgery plasma samples. Cytokine concentrations between matched ascites and plasma samples were examined using scatter plots and Spearman correlations. Associations between ascites concentrations and clinical characteristics were assessed using Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. Associations between ascites levels with overall survival in newly diagnosed invasive OC patients were assessed by Cox proportional hazards models using a log2 transformation. Results: Ascites fluid was analyzed from 20 patients with primary epithelial OC including 18 serous histology, 19 patients with stage III or IV disease: 16 (80%) were optimally debulked. We observed that higher levels of IL-12p70 were associated with locally invasive disease including higher rates of sub-optimal debulking (p=0.0074) and stage IV disease (p=0.012). For other IL-12 family members we observed similar associations between higher cytokine levels and suboptimal disease and stage IV disease including IL-23 (p=0.73, p=0.17), IL-27 (p=0.041, p=0.018), and IL35 (p=0.12, p=0.11), respectively. In addition, increase in IL-23 was associated with worse overall survival (log2 HR = 1.85, p=0.031). Conclusions: Higher levels of IL-12 family of cytokines in ascitic fluid are associated with several surrogates of biological aggressiveness in OC including stage, resectability and survival. Given the importance of local tumor environment on clinical behavior, a detailed understanding of IL-12 pathway may help in developing novel therapeutic strategies to treat OC. Citation Format: Eati Basal, Mathew S. Block, Matthew J. Maurer, Krista Goergen, Courtney L. Erskine, Marshall Behrens, Kimberly R. Kalli, Keith Knutson, William Cliby. Levels of IL-12 family cytokines in ascitic fluid are associated with extent and resectability of ovarian cancer and correlate with overall survival. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 104th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2013 Apr 6-10; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2013;73(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 1434. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2013-1434
Functional Connectivity in Autosomal Dominant and Late-Onset Alzheimer Disease
Objective— To evaluate the predictive value of abdominal aortic calcium (AAC) for incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) independent of coronary artery calcium (CAC). Approach and Results— We evaluated the association of AAC with CVD in 1974 men and women aged 45 to 84 years randomly selected from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants who had complete AAC and CAC data from computed tomographic scans. AAC and CAC were each divided into following 3 percentile categories: 0 to 50th, 51st to 75th, and 76th to 100th. During a mean of 5.5 years of follow-up, there were 50 hard coronary heart disease events, 83 hard CVD events, 30 fatal CVD events, and 105 total deaths. In multivariable-adjusted Cox models including both AAC and CAC, comparing the fourth quartile with the ≤50th percentile, AAC and CAC were each significantly and independently predictive of hard coronary heart disease and hard CVD, with hazard ratios ranging from 2.4 to 4.4. For CVD mortality, the hazard ratio was highly significant for the fourth quartile of AAC, 5.9 ( P =0.01), whereas the association for the fourth quartile of CAC (hazard ratio, 2.1) was not significant. For total mortality, the fourth quartile hazard ratio for AAC was 2.7 ( P =0.001), and for CAC, it was 1.9, P =0.04. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses showed improvement for both AAC and CAC separately, although improvement was greater with CAC for hard coronary heart disease and hard CVD, and greater with AAC for CVD mortality and total mortality. Sensitivity analyses defining AAC and CAC as continuous variables mirrored these results. Conclusions— AAC and CAC predicted hard coronary heart disease and hard CVD events independent of one another. Only AAC was independently related to CVD mortality, and AAC showed a stronger association than CAC with total mortality.