Jarvik, Gail P.

Background Admixture mapping can be leveraged to identify genomic loci associated with disease traits in admixed individuals such as Hispanic Americans. Methods and Results We characterized fine‐scale population structure of participants (n=105 108) in the multiethnic eMERGE‐III (electronic Medical Records and Genomics) cohort, using reference panels from the 1000 Genomes Project and a Native American cohort. We defined “genetically admixed Hispanic Americans” as those having ≥10% Native American genetic ancestry (n=5025), in addition to European (specifically, Iberian) and African genetic ancestry. This population descriptor was subsequently applied to 3 other cohorts: the MESA (Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis; n=1176), WHI (Women’s Health Initiative; n=2873), and the HCHS/SOL (Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos; n=7804). We inferred local ancestry along the genome in genetically admixed Hispanic Americans in each cohort using RFMix2 with phased haplotypes from SHAPEIT2. Local ancestry proportions were used for admixture mapping of lipid traits (low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol, high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol, and triglycerides) using extended linear mixed models that incorporated multiple or single ancestries. After accounting for fixed‐effect covariates and random effects, ancestry proportions at the following loci were associated with lipid traits in the HCHS/SOL cohort: 11q12.2 ( P =6.8×10 −7 ) with low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol, 2p23.3 ( P =5.2×10 −7 ) with total cholesterol, and 11q23.3 ( P =7.3×10 −12 ) with triglycerides. The LDL cholesterol and triglyceride loci replicated in at least one independent cohort, whereas the total cholesterol locus showed suggestive evidence for replication in the eMERGE cohort ( P =0.073). Native American (NAMR) ancestry appeared to drive the LDL‐C association, whereas both NAMR and Iberian population in Spain (IBS) ancestries contributed to the triglyceride signal. Conclusions Admixture mapping in genetically admixed Hispanic Americans identified genomic loci influencing lipid traits and the different ancestral origins driving these associations.

Background: Susceptibility to cardiometabolic diseases (CDs) is shaped by genetic, socio-environmental, and lifestyle factors. We evaluated the associations of disease-specific polysocial risk scores (PSSs)— derived from social determinants of health (SDOH) and lifestyle factors—and genetic risk factors with six CDs, across self-identified race/ethnicity (SIRE) groups in the eMERGE IV cohort. Methods: The six CDs included: atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, chronic kidney disease, hyperlipidemia, obesity, and type 2 diabetes. Disease-specific PSSs were developed using machine-learning models based on 65 SDOH and lifestyle factors. Participants were grouped based on their SIRE as Asian, Black, Hispanic/Latino, and White. We evaluated PSS distributions across SIRE groups. Genetic risk was assessed through disease-specific polygenic risk scores (PRSs), monogenic etiologies, and family history (FamHx). High PSS and high PRS were defined as the top 5th percentile. Associations were tested using multivariable logistic regression; model performance was assessed using the C-statistic. Results: Among 20178 participants (50±15 years, 68% female, 40% non-White), the most frequently associated PSS components were physical activity, sleep, self-perceived health, and income. PSS distributions varied across SIRE groups, with Whites having the lowest and Black and Hispanic/Latinos the highest scores for most CDs (Figure 1). All PSSs were significantly associated with their respective CDs, independent of confounders (OR per 1 SD increase: 1.19–2.68; Figure 2-A). No significant interactions were observed between PSSs and PRSs or monogenic etiologies. However, significant interactions were noted between PSSs and FamHx for CKD and obesity. PSS and PRS effects on the odds of CDs were independent (Figure 2-B) and additive (Figure 2-C). Incorporating PSSs into models that included clinical and genetic risk factors improved predictive performance of risk prediction models (Figure 3). Conclusion: PSSs, reflecting socio-environmental and lifestyle disadvantage, varied significantly across SIRE groups and were associated with risk of six CDs, independent of and additive to PRS. Given the substantial variation in socio-environmental and lifestyle risks across SIRE groups, integrating these factors into risk prediction models for CDs may help address health disparities and enhance preventive efforts, especially in marginalized populations.

Background: We investigated the impact of genetic risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD) -polygenic risk score (PRS), familial hypercholesterolemia (FH), and family history (FamHx)- on CHD risk estimates, across the age spectrum, in two diverse cohorts of US adults -eMERGE IV (eIV) and All of Us (AoU). Methods: CHD was defined as myocardial infarction, unstable angina, and coronary revascularization. Self-identified race/ethnicity (SIRE) was used as a population descriptor. We calculated a PRS for CHD (PRS CHD , PGS004698), ascertained FH as the presence of pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants in FH genes, and defined FamHx as early-onset CHD in first-degree relatives. We employed Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) to estimate the 10y risk of CHD for adults ≥40y and modeled the association of conventional risk factors with CHD in adults <40y. AoU served as the training set, and eIV as the testing set. We analyzed the impact of PRS CHD and FamHx on CHD risk estimates by a) using multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models, assessing discrimination and the extent of risk reclassification; and b) net benefit analysis and decision curves to assess the performance of prediction models across actionable thresholds. Results: We analyzed data for 19348 participants from eIV (age 50±15, 68% female, 41% non-White) and 239645 participants from AoU (age 55±17, 61% female, 48% non-White). Genetic risk factors were significantly associated with CHD. PRS CHD performance varied by SIRE groups, while FamHx was consistent. The effects of PRS CHD and FamHx on CHD were independent and additive (Figure 1). In adults ≥40y, incorporating PRS CHD and FamHx into PCE improved discrimination (C-statistic increased from 0.719 to 0.753; P -diff=9.1×10 -3 , Figure 2) and reclassified risk in 19% and 20% of participants at the 7.5% and 10% 10y CHD risk thresholds, respectively. Between the 7.5% and 10% 10y CHD risk thresholds, incorporating PRS CHD and FamHx into the PCE improved the net benefit of the risk prediction models across White, Black, and Hispanic/Latino groups (Figure 3). Conclusion: PRS CHD and FamHx were independently and additively associated with CHD in two large diverse cohorts in the US. Incorporating PRS CHD and FamHx into PCE improved risk discrimination, reclassified risk in a significant portion of participants, and improved net benefit of the PCE across all three major SIRE groups, motivating the addition of these factors to clinical risk calculators.

Abstract Objectives To implementation an automated multi-institutional pipeline that delivers breast-cancer risk integrated with polygenic risk scores, monogenic variants, family history, and clinical factors, emphasizing operational challenges and their solutions. Materials and Methods A five-stage process was executed at ten sites. Data streams from REDCap surveys, PRS and monogenic reports, and MeTree pedigrees were normalized and forwarded through a REDCap plug-in to the CanRisk API. Results Integrated risk was returned to &gt;10 000 women; 3.6% were ≥25 % lifetime risk and 0.9% carried pathogenic variants. Pipeline generated score aligns well with manual generated ones. Major barriers such as heterogeneous pedigree formats, missing data, edge-case handling, and evolving model versions were identified and resolved through mapping rules, imputations, and iterative testing. Discussion Cross-platform data harmonization and stakeholder alignment were decisive for success. Borderline-risk communication and model-version drift remain open issues. Conclusion Large-scale PRS-integrated breast-cancer risk reporting is feasible but requires robust interoperability standards and iterative governance.

Abstract Current studies regarding the secondary use of electronic health records (EHR) predominantly rely on domain expertise and existing medical knowledge. Though significant efforts have been devoted to investigating the application of machine learning algorithms in the EHR, efficient and powerful representation of patients is needed to unleash the potential of discovering new medical patterns underlying the EHR. Here, we present an unsupervised method for embedding high-dimensional EHR data at the patient level, aimed at characterizing patient heterogeneity in complex diseases and identifying new disease patterns associated with clinical outcome disparities. Inspired by the architecture of modern language models—specifically transformers with attention mechanisms, we use patient diagnosis and procedure codes as vocabularies and treat each patient as a sentence to perform the patient embedding. We applied this approach to 34,851 unique medical codes across 1,046,649 longitudinal patient events, including 102,739 patients from the electronic Medical Records and GEnomics (eMERGE) Network. The resulting patient vectors demonstrated excellent performance in predicting future disease events (median AUROC = 0.87 within one year) and bulk phenotyping (median AUROC = 0.84). We then illustrated the utility of these patient vectors in revealing heterogeneous comorbidity patterns, exemplified by disease subtypes in colorectal cancer and systemic lupus erythematosus, and capturing distinct longitudinal disease trajectories. External validation using EHR data from the University of Washington confirmed robust model performance, with median AUROCs of 0.83 and 0.84 for bulk phenotyping tasks and disease onset prediction, respectively. Importantly, the model reproduced the clustering results of disease subtypes identified in the eMERGE cohort and uncovered variations in overall mortality among these subtypes. Together, these results underscore the potential of representation learning in EHRs to enhance patient characterization and associated clinical outcomes, thereby advancing disease forecasting and facilitating personalized medicine.

Apart from ancestry, personal or environmental covariates may contribute to differences in polygenic score (PGS) performance. We analyzed the effects of covariate stratification and interaction on body mass index (BMI) PGS (PGS BMI ) across four cohorts of European (N = 491,111) and African (N = 21,612) ancestry. Stratifying on binary covariates and quintiles for continuous covariates, 18/62 covariates had significant and replicable R 2 differences among strata. Covariates with the largest differences included age, sex, blood lipids, physical activity, and alcohol consumption, with R 2 being nearly double between best- and worst-performing quintiles for certain covariates. Twenty-eight covariates had significant PGS BMI –covariate interaction effects, modifying PGS BMI effects by nearly 20% per standard deviation change. We observed overlap between covariates that had significant R 2 differences among strata and interaction effects – across all covariates, their main effects on BMI were correlated with their maximum R 2 differences and interaction effects (0.56 and 0.58, respectively), suggesting high-PGS BMI individuals have highest R 2 and increase in PGS effect. Using quantile regression, we show the effect of PGS BMI increases as BMI itself increases, and that these differences in effects are directly related to differences in R 2 when stratifying by different covariates. Given significant and replicable evidence for context-specific PGS BMI performance and effects, we investigated ways to increase model performance taking into account nonlinear effects. Machine learning models (neural networks) increased relative model R 2 (mean 23%) across datasets. Finally, creating PGS BMI directly from GxAge genome-wide association studies effects increased relative R 2 by 7.8%. These results demonstrate that certain covariates, especially those most associated with BMI, significantly affect both PGS BMI performance and effects across diverse cohorts and ancestries, and we provide avenues to improve model performance that consider these effects.

Introduction: Relatively little is known about outcomes following return of secondary findings detected in large scale sequencing projects. We assessed 1-year outcomes following return of pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants associated with familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) in phase III of the eMERGE network (2015-2019). Methods: Adult participants (n=18,544) at 7 sites were enrolled in a prospective cohort study to study the clinical impact of returning results from targeted sequencing of 68 actionable genes, including LDLR , APOB , and PCSK9 . Process, intermediate, and/or clinical outcomes within 1-year after return of results (RoR) were ascertained by electronic health record (EHR) review. A process outcome was defined as referral to a specialist or ordering new tests, including lipid profile and screening tests for coronary heart disease. An intermediate outcome was defined as new diagnosis of FH or atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. A clinical outcome was defined as initiation or change in lipid-lowering medication. The primary outcomes were a new diagnosis of FH and modification of lipid lowering therapy. Results: Results were returned to 134 individuals, and data for 119 participants were available for the outcomes analysis. Process (86%), intermediate (49%), and/or clinical (26%) outcomes occurred in 92% of participants. Process outcomes included 72% with new tests ordered and 61% referred to a specialist. Before RoR, 86.5% of individuals with FH associated P/LP variants had a diagnosis of hypercholesterolemia but only 17.6% had a diagnosis of FH; 89% were on a statin but only 58% were on a high intensity statin. Following RoR, 44% (52/119) received a new diagnosis of FH. Lipid lowering treatment was modified in 26% (31/119), including initiation of a statin in 5%, increasing statin dose in 13%, and adding ezetimibe or a PCSK9 inhibitor in 12.6%. Conclusions: In a multisite cohort of EHR-linked biobanks, monogenic FH was underdiagnosed (only 17.6% had a specific diagnosis) and undertreated (only 58% were on a high intensity statin); 44% of participants received a new diagnosis of FH and 26% had lipid lowering treatment modified after RoR. These results highlight the clinical utility of returning FH variants in EHR-linked biobanks.

Background: The implications of secondary findings detected in large-scale sequencing projects remain uncertain. We assessed prevalence and penetrance of pathogenic familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) variants, their association with coronary heart disease (CHD), and 1-year outcomes following return of results in phase III of the electronic medical records and genomics network. Methods: Adult participants (n=18 544) at 7 sites were enrolled in a prospective cohort study to assess the clinical impact of returning results from targeted sequencing of 68 actionable genes, including LDLR , APOB , and PCSK9 . FH variant prevalence and penetrance (defined as low-density lipoprotein cholesterol >155 mg/dL) were estimated after excluding participants enrolled on the basis of hypercholesterolemia. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the odds of CHD compared to age- and sex-matched controls without FH-associated variants. Process (eg, referral to a specialist or ordering new tests), intermediate (eg, new diagnosis of FH), and clinical (eg, treatment modification) outcomes within 1 year after return of results were ascertained by electronic health record review. Results: The prevalence of FH-associated pathogenic variants was 1 in 188 (69 of 13,019 unselected participants). Penetrance was 87.5%. The presence of an FH variant was associated with CHD (odds ratio, 3.02 [2.00–4.53]) and premature CHD (odds ratio, 3.68 [2.34–5.78]). At least 1 outcome occurred in 92% of participants; 44% received a new diagnosis of FH and 26% had treatment modified following return of results. Conclusions: In a multisite cohort of electronic health record–linked biobanks, monogenic FH was prevalent, penetrant, and associated with presence of CHD. Nearly half of participants with an FH-associated variant received a new diagnosis of FH and a quarter had treatment modified after return of results. These results highlight the potential utility of sequencing electronic health record–linked biobanks to detect FH.