Dikilitas, Ozan

BACKGROUND: Performance and transferability of contemporary polygenic risk scores (PRS) for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease phenotypes may vary across PRS methods, training data, and trait ascertainment. METHODS: We aimed to investigate the performance and transferability of contemporary PRS for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease subtypes: coronary heart disease (CHD), abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), ischemic stroke (IS), and peripheral artery disease (PAD), using the All of Us Workbench, which consists of a large, diverse cohort with whole-genome sequence data. We also developed and evaluated a multi-trait PRS for each subtype. Performance of PRS for 4 atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease subtypes was compared across genetic similarity groups in 245 388 All of Us participants. Groups genetically similar to European, African, admixed American, and remaining groups (combined as other) were used to assess PRS for CHD, IS, AAA, PAD, and multi-trait. RESULTS: PRS for CHD and AAA performed better than IS and PAD. For CHD, CHD PGS003725 performed the best (hazard ratio per SD increase [95% CI]), across genetic ancestry groups, European, and African (1.72 [1.67–1.78], 1.23 [1.17–1.29]), with CHD PGS004696 being best for admixed American (1.91 [1.70–2.15]), and CHD PGS003356 for other (1.75 [1.58–1.95]). The best performing PRS for AAA was AAA Multi for European, other, and admixed American (1.71 [1.52–1.92], 1.59 [1.07–2.37], 1.50 [0.90–2.52]) and AAA PGS003972 for African (1.39 [1.19–1.63]). For IS, IS Multi performed best for other and European (1.49 [1.17–1.89], 1.33 [1.25–1.42]), and IS PGS000039 performed best in admixed American and African (1.17 [1.07–1.27], 1.09 [1.04–1.15]). For PAD, PAD Multi performed best for all groups (other, 1.51 [1.19–1.92]; European, 1.32 [1.24–1.41]; admixed American, 1.23 [1.05–1.45]; and African, 1.18 [1.04–1.34]). CONCLUSIONS: Multi-trait and multi-ancestry PRS performed better than individual trait and/or single ancestry PRS for each atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease phenotype across ancestrally diverse and admixed individuals, with minimal change including adjustment for conventional risk factors.

Abstract Pathogenic variants in cardiomyopathy genes confer substantial disease risk, yet clinical penetrance varies widely. The population-level prevalence, age-specific penetrance, and the extent to which polygenic susceptibility modifies disease risk across diverse ancestries remain poorly defined. This population-based cohort study leveraged genome sequencing and linked electronic health record data from the All of Us Research Program (n=414,830). This study found that P/LP variants in cardiomyopathy-associated genes were present in 0.91% of participants (95% CI, 0.88%–0.94%), with similar prevalence across ancestry groups. Compared with non-carriers, variant carriers had significantly higher odds of all-cause heart failure (ACHF, OR, 2.58; 95% CI, 2.31–2.89), non-ischemic heart failure (NIHF, OR, 2.74; 95% CI, 2.42–3.10), and non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM, OR, 4.99; 95% CI, 4.44–5.63). Among carriers, by age 50 years, 24.5% (95% CI, 14.5%–33.4%) developed ACHF, 17.2% (95% CI, 8.8%–24.8%) developed NIHF, and 30.1% (95% CI, 19.5%–40.2%) developed NICM. Higher polygenic risk for heart failure was independently associated with increased risk of ACHF (OR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.74–1.89), NIHF (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.58–1.75), and NICM (OR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.59–1.80). Among carriers with elevated polygenic risk, odds of disease were substantially higher than among non-carriers at average polygenic risk (ACHF: OR, 4.71; 95% CI, 4.17–5.32; NIHF: OR, 4.56; 95% CI, 3.99–5.22; NICM: OR, 8.51; 95% CI, 7.44–9.73). Results showed that P/LP variants in cardiomyopathy genes were relatively common in this large, ancestrally diverse cohort, and conferred increased risk of cardiomyopathy and HF, with incomplete but clinically meaningful penetrance. Polygenic risk for HF independently and additively increased disease risk across ancestries. Integrating both may improve risk stratification and enable more precise, equitable care.

BACKGROUND: In the Myocardial Infarction Genes clinical trial (URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT01936675), participants at intermediate risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) were randomized to receive a Framingham risk score (Framingham risk score group, n=103) or an integrated risk score (integrated risk score group [IRS g ], n=104) that additionally included a polygenic risk score. After 6 months, IRS g participants had higher statin initiation and lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. We conducted a post hoc 10-year follow-up analysis to investigate whether disclosure of a polygenic risk score for CHD was associated with a reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). METHODS: Participants were followed from randomization in October 2013 to September 2023 to ascertain MACE, testing for CHD, and changes in risk factors. The primary outcome was time to first MACE, defined as cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, and nonfatal stroke. Statistical analyses included Cox proportional hazards regression and linear mixed-effects models. RESULTS: We followed all participants who completed the trial, 100 in Framingham risk score group and 103 in IRS g (mean age at the end of follow-up, 68.2±5.2; 48% male). During a median follow-up of 9.5 years, 9 MACEs occurred in Framingham risk score group and 2 in IRS g (hazard ratio, 0.20 [95% CI, 0.04–0.94]; P =0.042). In Framingham risk score group, 47 (47%) underwent at least 1 diagnostic test for CHD, compared with 30 (29%) in IRS g (hazard ratio, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.32–0.81]; P =0.004). A higher proportion of IRS g participants were on statin therapy during the first 4 years postrandomization and had a greater reduction in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol for up to 3 years postrandomization. No significant differences were observed between 2 groups in other traditional cardiovascular risk factors during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Disclosure of an integrated risk score that included a polygenic risk score to individuals at intermediate risk for CHD was associated with lower MACE incidence after 10 years, likely due to higher statin initiation, leading to lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels.

BACKGROUND: Predictive performance of polygenic risk scores (PRS) varies across populations. To facilitate equitable clinical use, we developed PRS for coronary heart disease (CHD; PRS CHD ) for 5 genetic ancestry groups. METHODS: We derived ancestry-specific and multi-ancestry PRS CHD based on pruning and thresholding (PRS PT ) and ancestry-based continuous shrinkage priors (PRS CSx ) applied to summary statistics from the largest multi-ancestry genome-wide association study meta-analysis for CHD to date, including 1.1 million participants from 5 major genetic ancestry groups. Following training and optimization in the Million Veteran Program, we evaluated the best-performing PRS CHD in 176,988 individuals across 9 diverse cohorts. RESULTS: Multi-ancestry PRS PT and PRS CSx outperformed ancestry-specific PRS PT and PRS CSx across a range of tuning values. Two best-performing multi-ancestry PRS CHD (ie, PRS PTmult and PRS CSxmult ) and 1 ancestry-specific (PRS CSxEUR ) were taken forward for validation. PRS PTmult demonstrated the strongest association with CHD in individuals of South Asian ancestry and European ancestry (odds ratio per 1 SD [95% CI, 2.75 [2.41–3.14], 1.65 [1.59–1.72]), followed by East Asian ancestry (1.56 [1.50–1.61]), Hispanic/Latino ancestry (1.38 [1.24–1.54]), and African ancestry (1.16 [1.11–1.21]). PRS CSxmult showed the strongest associations in South Asian ancestry (2.67 [2.38–3.00]) and European ancestry (1.65 [1.59–1.71]), lower in East Asian ancestry (1.59 [1.54–1.64]), Hispanic/Latino ancestry (1.51 [1.35–1.69]), and the lowest in African ancestry (1.20 [1.15–1.26]). CONCLUSIONS: The use of summary statistics from a large multi-ancestry genome-wide meta-analysis improved the performance of PRS CHD in most ancestry groups compared with single-ancestry methods. Despite the use of one of the largest and most diverse sets of training and validation cohorts to date, improvement of predictive performance was limited in African ancestry. This highlights the need for larger genome-wide association study datasets of underrepresented populations to enhance the performance of PRS CHD .

Background: The implications of secondary findings detected in large-scale sequencing projects remain uncertain. We assessed prevalence and penetrance of pathogenic familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) variants, their association with coronary heart disease (CHD), and 1-year outcomes following return of results in phase III of the electronic medical records and genomics network. Methods: Adult participants (n=18 544) at 7 sites were enrolled in a prospective cohort study to assess the clinical impact of returning results from targeted sequencing of 68 actionable genes, including LDLR , APOB , and PCSK9 . FH variant prevalence and penetrance (defined as low-density lipoprotein cholesterol >155 mg/dL) were estimated after excluding participants enrolled on the basis of hypercholesterolemia. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the odds of CHD compared to age- and sex-matched controls without FH-associated variants. Process (eg, referral to a specialist or ordering new tests), intermediate (eg, new diagnosis of FH), and clinical (eg, treatment modification) outcomes within 1 year after return of results were ascertained by electronic health record review. Results: The prevalence of FH-associated pathogenic variants was 1 in 188 (69 of 13,019 unselected participants). Penetrance was 87.5%. The presence of an FH variant was associated with CHD (odds ratio, 3.02 [2.00–4.53]) and premature CHD (odds ratio, 3.68 [2.34–5.78]). At least 1 outcome occurred in 92% of participants; 44% received a new diagnosis of FH and 26% had treatment modified following return of results. Conclusions: In a multisite cohort of electronic health record–linked biobanks, monogenic FH was prevalent, penetrant, and associated with presence of CHD. Nearly half of participants with an FH-associated variant received a new diagnosis of FH and a quarter had treatment modified after return of results. These results highlight the potential utility of sequencing electronic health record–linked biobanks to detect FH.

Background: Sequencing Mendelian arrhythmia genes in individuals without an indication for arrhythmia genetic testing can identify carriers of pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants. However, the extent to which these variants are associated with clinically meaningful phenotypes before or after return of variant results is unclear. In addition, the majority of discovered variants are currently classified as variants of uncertain significance, limiting clinical actionability. Methods: The eMERGE-III study (Electronic Medical Records and Genomics Phase III) is a multicenter prospective cohort that included 21 846 participants without previous indication for cardiac genetic testing. Participants were sequenced for 109 Mendelian disease genes, including 10 linked to arrhythmia syndromes. Variant carriers were assessed with electronic health record–derived phenotypes and follow-up clinical examination. Selected variants of uncertain significance (n=50) were characterized in vitro with automated electrophysiology experiments in HEK293 cells. Results: As previously reported, 3.0% of participants had P/LP variants in the 109 genes. Herein, we report 120 participants (0.6%) with P/LP arrhythmia variants. Compared with noncarriers, arrhythmia P/LP carriers had a significantly higher burden of arrhythmia phenotypes in their electronic health records. Fifty-four participants had variant results returned. Nineteen of these 54 participants had inherited arrhythmia syndrome diagnoses (primarily long-QT syndrome), and 12 of these 19 diagnoses were made only after variant results were returned (0.05%). After in vitro functional evaluation of 50 variants of uncertain significance, we reclassified 11 variants: 3 to likely benign and 8 to P/LP. Conclusions: Genome sequencing in a large population without indication for arrhythmia genetic testing identified phenotype-positive carriers of variants in congenital arrhythmia syndrome disease genes. As the genomes of large numbers of people are sequenced, the disease risk from rare variants in arrhythmia genes can be assessed by integrating genomic screening, electronic health record phenotypes, and in vitro functional studies. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier; NCT03394859.

AbstractStatistical methods to integrate multiple layers of data, from exposures to intermediate traits to outcome variables, are needed to guide interpretation of complex data sets for which variables are likely contributing in a causal pathway from exposure to outcome. Statistical mediation analysis based on structural equation models provide a general modeling framework, yet they can be difficult to apply to high‐dimensional data and they are not automated to select the best fitting model. To overcome these limitations, we developed novel algorithms and software to simultaneously evaluate multiple exposure variables, multiple intermediate traits, and multiple outcome variables. Our penalized mediation models are computationally efficient and simulations demonstrate that they produce reliable results for large data sets. Application of our methods to a study of vascular disease demonstrates their utility to identify novel direct effects of single‐nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) on coronary heart disease and peripheral artery disease, while disentangling the effects of SNPs on the intermediate risk factors including lipids, cigarette smoking, systolic blood pressure, and type 2 diabetes.

Background: Lp(a) (lipoprotein [a]) levels are higher in individuals of African ancestry (AA) than in individuals of European ancestry (EA). We examined associations of genetically predicted Lp(a) levels with (1) atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease subtypes: coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, peripheral artery disease, and abdominal aortic aneurysm and (2) nonatherosclerotic cardiovascular disease phenotypes, stratified by ancestry. Methods: We performed (1) Mendelian randomization analyses for previously reported cardiovascular associations and (2) Mendelian randomization–phenome-wide association analyses for novel associations. Analyses were stratified by ancestry in electronic Medical Records and Genomics, United Kingdom Biobank, and Million Veteran Program cohorts separately and in a combined cohort of 804 507 EA and 103 580 AA participants. Results: In Mendelian randomization analyses using the combined cohort, a 1-SD genetic increase in Lp(a) level was associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease subtypes in EA—odds ratio and 95% CI for coronary heart disease 1.28 (1.16–1.41); cerebrovascular disease 1.14 (1.07–1.21); peripheral artery disease 1.22 (1.11–1.34); abdominal aortic aneurysm 1.28 (1.17–1.40); in AA, the effect estimate was lower than in EA and nonsignificant for coronary heart disease 1.11 (0.99–1.24) and cerebrovascular disease 1.06 (0.99–1.14) but similar for peripheral artery disease 1.16 (1.01–1.33) and abdominal aortic aneurysm 1.34 (1.11–1.62). In EA, a 1-SD genetic increase in Lp(a) level was associated with aortic valve disorders 1.34 (1.10–1.62), mitral valve disorders 1.18 (1.09–1.27), congestive heart failure 1.12 (1.05–1.19), and chronic kidney disease 1.07 (1.01–1.14). In AA, no significant associations were noted for aortic valve disorders 1.08 (0.94–1.25), mitral valve disorders 1.02 (0.89–1.16), congestive heart failure 1.02 (0.95–1.10), or chronic kidney disease 1.05 (0.99–1.12). Mendelian randomization–phenome-wide association analyses identified novel associations in EA with arterial thromboembolic disease, nonaortic aneurysmal disease, atrial fibrillation, cardiac conduction disorders, and hypertension. Conclusions: Many cardiovascular associations of genetically increased Lp(a) that were significant in EA were not significant in AA. Lp(a) was associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in four major arterial beds in EA but only with peripheral artery disease and abdominal aortic aneurysm in AA. Additionally, novel cardiovascular associations were detected in EA.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation targets improvement in quality of life (QoL). Data is scarce on predictors of QoL improvement following ablation. We aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics underlying differential response in QoL after AF ablation (with or without arrhythmia recurrence). Methods: All patients undergoing AF ablation (2013–2016) at our center were prospectively enrolled in a fully automated patient-reported outcomes registry. A large number of variables were collected including AF symptom severity scale and AF burden (as indicated by AF frequency and duration scores). Patients were divided into 3 groups based on self-report of QoL improvement: remarkable (super responders), mild/moderate, and unchanged or worse (nonresponders). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models assessed clinical characteristics and QoL outcomes. Results: A total of 956 patients were included (25% females, mean age 63.9). Most patients (≈80%) were super responders (n=761), 138 (14.4%) had mild/moderate improvement, and 57 (5.9%) were nonresponders. The strongest predictors of remarkable QoL improvement were freedom of arrhythmia recurrence (OR, 2.42 [95% CI, 1.27–4.59], P =0.007) and lower AF burden at 12 months. Similarly, higher AF burden was significantly associated with clinical nonresponse. In patients with observed clinical recurrence-QoL mismatch, changes in AF burden at 12 months were the main predictors of QoL outcome, with lower burden predicting higher improvement in QoL and vice versa. Conclusions: Most patients derive significant QoL benefit from AF ablation. Freedom from arrhythmia recurrence and lower AF burden predict remarkable QoL improvement following ablation.

Background Atherosclerosis in >1 vascular bed (ie, polyvascular disease), often a feature of peripheral artery disease (PAD), is associated with high morbidity and mortality. We sought to identify risk factors for polyvascular involvement in patients with PAD. Methods and Results We performed 2‐sample Mendelian randomization using an inverse‐variance‐weighted approach, to assess 60 exposures including size and lipid content of atherogenic lipoproteins, blood pressure, glycated hemoglobin, and smoking as causal mediators for polyvascular disease in patients with PAD. Genetic instruments for these exposures were obtained from prior genome‐wide association studies. Patients with PAD were from the Mayo Vascular Disease Biorepository, and polyvascular disease (ie, concomitant coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and/or abdominal aortic aneurysm) was ascertained by validated phenotyping algorithms. Of 3279 patients with PAD, 61% had polyvascular disease. Genetically predicted levels of the lipid content and/or particle measures of very small and small size very low‐density lipoprotein, intermediate‐density lipoprotein, and large low‐density lipoprotein were associated with polyvascular disease: odds ratios (OR) of 1.80 (95% CI, 1.23–2.61), 1.70 (95% CI, 1.17–2.61), and 1.40 (95% CI, 1.09–1.80) per 1 SD increase in genetically determined levels, respectively. Both genetically predicted diastolic and systolic blood pressure were associated with polyvascular disease; OR per 10 mm Hg genetic increase in diastolic and systolic blood pressure were 1.66 (95% CI, 1.19–2.33) and 1.31 (95% CI, 1.07–1.60), respectively. Conclusions Lifetime exposure to increased lipid content and levels of very small and small very low‐density lipoprotein, intermediate‐density lipoprotein, and large low‐density lipoprotein particles as well as elevated blood pressure are associated with polyvascular involvement in patients with PAD. Reduction in levels of such exposures may limit progression of atherosclerosis in patients with PAD.