Hilliard, Austin T.

BACKGROUND: Predictive performance of polygenic risk scores (PRS) varies across populations. To facilitate equitable clinical use, we developed PRS for coronary heart disease (CHD; PRS CHD ) for 5 genetic ancestry groups. METHODS: We derived ancestry-specific and multi-ancestry PRS CHD based on pruning and thresholding (PRS PT ) and ancestry-based continuous shrinkage priors (PRS CSx ) applied to summary statistics from the largest multi-ancestry genome-wide association study meta-analysis for CHD to date, including 1.1 million participants from 5 major genetic ancestry groups. Following training and optimization in the Million Veteran Program, we evaluated the best-performing PRS CHD in 176,988 individuals across 9 diverse cohorts. RESULTS: Multi-ancestry PRS PT and PRS CSx outperformed ancestry-specific PRS PT and PRS CSx across a range of tuning values. Two best-performing multi-ancestry PRS CHD (ie, PRS PTmult and PRS CSxmult ) and 1 ancestry-specific (PRS CSxEUR ) were taken forward for validation. PRS PTmult demonstrated the strongest association with CHD in individuals of South Asian ancestry and European ancestry (odds ratio per 1 SD [95% CI, 2.75 [2.41–3.14], 1.65 [1.59–1.72]), followed by East Asian ancestry (1.56 [1.50–1.61]), Hispanic/Latino ancestry (1.38 [1.24–1.54]), and African ancestry (1.16 [1.11–1.21]). PRS CSxmult showed the strongest associations in South Asian ancestry (2.67 [2.38–3.00]) and European ancestry (1.65 [1.59–1.71]), lower in East Asian ancestry (1.59 [1.54–1.64]), Hispanic/Latino ancestry (1.51 [1.35–1.69]), and the lowest in African ancestry (1.20 [1.15–1.26]). CONCLUSIONS: The use of summary statistics from a large multi-ancestry genome-wide meta-analysis improved the performance of PRS CHD in most ancestry groups compared with single-ancestry methods. Despite the use of one of the largest and most diverse sets of training and validation cohorts to date, improvement of predictive performance was limited in African ancestry. This highlights the need for larger genome-wide association study datasets of underrepresented populations to enhance the performance of PRS CHD .

Abstract Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading cause of death, yet its genetic determinants are not fully elucidated. We report a multi-ethnic genome-wide association study of CAD involving nearly a quarter of a million cases, incorporating the largest cohorts to date of Whites, Blacks, and Hispanics from the Million Veteran Program with existing studies including CARDIoGRAMplusC4D, UK Biobank, and Biobank Japan. We verify substantial and nearly equivalent heritability of CAD across multiple ancestral groups, discover 107 novel loci including the first nine on the X-chromosome, identify the first eight genome-wide significant loci among Blacks and Hispanics, and demonstrate that two common haplotypes are largely responsible for the risk stratification at the well-known 9p21 locus in most populations except those of African origin where both haplotypes are virtually absent. We identify 15 loci for angiographically derived burden of coronary atherosclerosis, which robustly overlap with the strongest and earliest loci reported to date for clinical CAD. Phenome-wide association analyses of novel loci and externally validated polygenic risk scores (PRS) augment signals from the insulin resistance cluster of risk factors and consequences, extend previously established pleiotropic associations of loci with traditional risk factors to include smoking and family history, and confirm a substantially reduced transferability of existing PRS to Blacks. Downstream integrative genomic analyses reinforce the critical role of endothelial, fibroblast, and smooth muscle cells within the coronary vessel wall in CAD susceptibility. Our study highlights the value of a multi-ethnic design in efficiently characterizing the genetic architecture of CAD across all human populations.