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High dose chemotherapy followed by autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation (auto HCT) is a standard therapy for patients with plasma cell disorders (PCD). A barrier to improving candidate selection for auto HCT is appraisal of risk for transplant related complications. Electrocardiography (ECG) is a standard pre-HCT test to evaluate the potential for arrhythmia and structural heart disease. We hypothesized that an artificial intelligence (AI) based interpretation of ECG waveform data (AI-ECG) could enhance risk prediction for cardiac-specific and other outcomes following auto HCT for patients with PCD. To test this hypothesis, we used several AI-ECG tools developed using a deep-learning based approach that were trained to predict comorbidity (Attia et al, Lancet 2019 & Grogan et al, Mayo Clin Proc 2021). Model outputs include a scaled prediction value indicating increasing risk for atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF), reduced ejection fraction (EF), or cardiac amyloidosis. We evaluated this tool in 9,225 ECGs obtained from 849 patients (median 6 ECGs/patient, inter-quartile range: 3-12) who underwent first or subsequent auto HCT at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center between 2016-2022 and who had a diagnosis of multiple myeloma (N = 810), amyloidosis (N = 37), or other PCD (N = 2). The endpoints were to determine whether baseline AI-ECG prediction of AF risk correlated with peri-transplant AF events, and to explore whether model outputs correlated with survival and other cardiac clinical outcomes. The mean age of patients was 61.0 years (range 23.7 - 81.2) and median follow up was 2.7 years post auto HCT. Contributing cardiovascular risk factors included a prior history of AF (N = 101, 11.9%), coronary or cerebrovascular disease (N = 95, 11.2%), and diabetes mellitus (N = 98, 11.5%). Reduced dose melphalan (< 200 mg/m 2) was administered in 26%. The HCT-comorbidity index (HCT-CI) was high risk (≥3) in 52.7%. The one-year overall survival and progression-free survival in the whole cohort was 94% (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 92 - 95%) and 86% (84 - 89%), respectively. Among patients not in AF at pre HCT evaluation, the 90-day cumulative incidence of AF was 5.6% (4.2 - 7.3%). In univariable competing risk regression, baseline pre HCT AI-ECG appraisal of AF risk was strongly correlated with incidence AF in patients who were in sinus rhythm before HCT (hazard ratio (HR): 25.1, 95% CI: 11.7 - 53.7, p < 0.001). In a multivariable model adjusting for patient age and HCT-CI, AI-ECG AF predicted risk remained associated with incidence of post HCT AF (HR: 13.4, 95% CI: 5.9 - 30.4, p < 0.001). Considering a decision threshold identified during original model training, AI-ECG predicted AF events with an accuracy of 75% (Mcnemar's p < 2 x 10 -16). The precision, recall, and F1-score were 0.94, 0.77, and 0.85, respectively. AI-ECG predicted age correlated highly with actual patient age (Spearman rho = 0.59, p < 2 x 10 -16). Amyloid risk scores were highly correlated with a known clinical history of amyloidosis (median 0.45 versus 0.05, Wilcoxon rank-sum p < 0.001). Patients with EF < 50% had greater prediction scores for cardiomyopathy compared to patients with normal EF (median 0.23 versus 0.01, Wilcoxon rank-sum p <0.001). In univariable analysis, increasing AI-ECG predicted age (HR 1.02, CI: 1.003 - 1.04, p = 0.02) and predicted AF risk score (HR: 3.2, CI: 1.4 - 7.2, p = 0.006) were associated with risk for death, whereas predicted amyloid score and predicted low EF were not associated with decreased survival. In multivariable analysis of all patients that considered patient age, hematopoietic comorbidity index, and remission status at HCT, increasing predicted AF score trended towards association with increased risk for death (HR: 2.3, 95%CI: 1.0 - 5.5, p = 0.059). Predicted AF score correlated highly with the HCT-CI and patient age. Finally, we examined whether risk prediction for low EF correlated with peri-HCT fluid overload (FO) defined by absolute weight gain. The incidence of ≥ 10% weight gain (grade 2 FO) and ≥ 20% weight gain (grade 3 FO) at 180 days post HCT was 7.4% (95% CI: 5.8%, 9.3%) and 1.0% (95% CI: 0.5%, 1.8%), respectively. Predicted low EF was not associated with development of either grade 2 or grade 3 FO in this population. In summary, AI-ECG predicts episodes of AF in patients undergoing auto HCT for PCD and may augment transplant risk appraisal when considered in conjunction with other measures of comorbidity.

Abstract Background Atrial functional mitral regurgitation (AFMR) is an increasingly recognized cause of functional MR thought to result from left atrial enlargement and myopathy in the setting of preserved left ventricular geometry and function. AFMR mostly occurs in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and/or heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Purpose We investigated whether the use of an artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) can identify patients with new-onset AF and sinus rhythm (SR) who are at highest risk of developing AFMR. Methods Adults with a new diagnosis of AF between 2010 and 2021 who had a transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) within 1 month after AF diagnosis were identified. Similarly, adults in SR who never had AF diagnosis and had a TTE during the same period were identified. Exclusion criteria from both groups included >mild MR at baseline, primary mitral valve disease, cardiomyopathy, ≥moderate aortic valve disease, current or previous low ejection fraction, enlarged left ventricle, cardiac devices, previous cardiac surgeries, and the absence of follow-up TTE ≥6 months from baseline. Only patients who had ECG within 10 days of the TTE were included. When multiple ECGs were available, the closest was considered. A previously trained AI-ECG algorithm to detect the probability of AF was utilized. Incident AFMR was defined as >mild functional MR in the absence of >mild left ventricle enlargement or dysfunction. Diastolic dysfunction was defined according to ASE/EACVI guidelines. Results Overall, 1,570 patients with new-onset AF (median age 67 years; 34% females) and 16,802 patients in SR (median age 59 years; 46% females) were included. The median AI ECG probability for AF was 43% (IQR 26%-59%) in the new-onset AF group and 2% (0.5%-7%) in the SR group, Figure 1. Incident AFMR occurred in 152 patients in the AF group over median 3.06 (IQR 1.5-5.2) years of follow-up and in 482 patients in the SR group over median 3.0 (1.5-5.6) years of follow-up. The probability of silent AF by the AI-ECG was associated with incident AFMR in the new-onset AF group [hazard ratio 1.19 (95% CI 1.11-1.28) per 10%, p <.001] and the SR group [hazard ratio 1.19 (95% CI 1.12-1.25) per 10%, p <.001]. The AI ECG-derived AF probability remained as an independent risk factor for AFMR in multivariable analysis in both AF and SR, Table 1. Conclusion The AI ECG for AF might be able to reflect the degree of left atrial myopathy and thus the risk of incident AFMR in patients with AF and SR.Distribution of AI ECG probability of AFMultivariable risk factors for AFMR

Abstract Background Cardiomyopathy is a leading cause of pregnancy-related mortality and represents the number one cause of death in the late postpartum period. Purpose The goal of this study was to prospectively evaluate the effectiveness of an artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) and a point-of-care artificial intelligence-enhanced digital stethoscope for cardiomyopathy screening among pregnant and postpartum women. Methods We conducted a single-arm prospective study of pregnant and postpartum women (up to 12 months following delivery) enrolled at three sites between October 2021 and October 2022. Study participants completed a standard 12-lead ECG, ECG + phonocardiogram recordings with a digital stethoscope, a demographic questionnaire, and a transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) within a 24-hour period. Diagnostic performance of the AI-ECG and digital stethoscope for cardiomyopathy detection, defined as left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 45%, was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) and standard measures of diagnostic performance. Results We included 100 consecutive pregnant and postpartum women who provided informed consent and had at least one ECG recorded, completed the questionnaire, and had an echocardiogram performed. All participants self-identified as female, and 41% were recruited from a federally qualified health center. The median age of participants was 31 years (Q1: 27, Q3: 34). Thirty-eight percent identified as non-Hispanic White, 32% as non-Hispanic Black, 21% as Hispanic or Latino, 6% as Asian, and 3% as Other (1 Native Hawaiian and 2 multiracial). Five percent (5/100) had LVEF <45%. The 12-lead AI-ECG model demonstrated close to perfect discrimination (accuracy 99%; AUC 1.00, sensitivity 100%) for detection of cardiomyopathy with 1 false positive screen (LVEF 49%), Figure 1A. The digital stethoscope (angled position) had an AUC of 0.99 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.00) for detection of LVEF <45%. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the digital stethoscope were 60%, 98%, 60% and 98%, respectively for detection of LVEF <45% (Figure 1B & 1C). Conclusions In this small prospective study, we found that 5% of pregnant and postpartum women had cardiomyopathy, a potentially life-threatening condition, and that a rapid, inexpensive, ubiquitous, massively scalable point-of-care test - the ECG - showed promising results, identifying it with an AUC > 0.98 with the application of artificial intelligence.Figure 1

Abstract Background Premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) are the most common arrhythmia affecting the ventricle. Frequent PVCs are associated with the development of PVC-cardiomyopathy (CM). It is known that the PVC burden has a direct correlation to the severity of left ventricular (LV) dysfunction. However, only 5% of patients with frequent PVCs (>10,000 per day) have associated PVC-CM. Thus, selecting patients for therapy options with drugs or catheter ablation is challenging, especially, when patients are asymptomatic with the PVCs. Purpose To train a deep learning model to predict the probability of low LV ejection fraction (LVEF) in patients with PVCs on a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Methods Using 69,440 paired 12-lead ECGs (containing at least one PVC), and echocardiogram data, including the left ventricular ejection fraction at Mayo Clinic, we trained a convolutional neural network to identify patients with ventricular dysfunction, defined as ejection fraction ≤35%, using the ECG data alone. ECGs were acquired at a sampling rate of 500 Hz using a Marquette ECG machine (GE Healthcare) and stored using the MUSE data management system for later retrieval. Comprehensive 2-D or 3-D and Doppler echocardiography were available for all patients. We trained a convolutional neural network using the Keras framework with TensorFlow (Google). The ECG-echocardiogram pairs were divided into a 60:20:20 training:validation:test split. Results The mean age of the patients used to train the model was 69.9 ± 13.0 years, and 65.2 percent of patients were male. The mean LVEF for this population was 52 ± 14.9 %, and the proportion of patients with low LVEF was 16.8 percent. The model yielded values for area under the curve, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 0.897, 0.830, 0.813, and 0.816, respectively (Figure 1). A representative example of model prediction of normal LVEF and low LVEF is shown in Figure 2. Conclusion Using large-scale data, we have trained a highly accurate convolutional neural network with excellent predictive accuracy for LV systolic dysfunction using the surface ECG. Such a tool would be invaluable for cardiologists when risk-stratifying patients with frequent PVCs, especially those that are asymptomatic. Patients at risk will benefit from early referral to electrophysiologists for drug therapy and catheter ablation to mitigate the risk of PVC-CM.Figure 1Figure 2

Abstract Background Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), of which coronary artery disease (CAD) is the primary manifestation, is the leading cause of death worldwide. The AHA/ACC Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE) facilitates risk stratification and initiation of primary prevention of ASCVD, however their performance is suboptimal. Purpose We develop an artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis (AI-ECG) algorithm to detect different stages of CAD and assessed the value of AI-ECG over PCE to predict incident myocardial infarction (MI) and survival over 3-years. Methods Using electronic health record data from approximately 7 million patients seen at over 70 hospitals and clinics across 5 states in the USA, we created independent AI-ECG models to identify elevated coronary artery calcium (CAC) by computer tomography, the presence of obstructive CAD by stress test or angiography, and left ventricular regional akinesis by echocardiogram, presumed to represent prior MI. Deep structured data, AI-enabled natural language processing of unstructured data were used to ensure cohort, and physician review of labeling were used to ensure cohort accuracy. These models were ensembled into a single model that was used to assess the utility of AI-ECG for predicting new occurrence MI in PCE- and age-stratified cohorts of patient with no prior history of ASCVD, over a 3-year timeframe using Cox’s proportional hazards analysis. Results A total of 6,080 patients (15,192 ECGs) were labeled positive for CAC ≥ 300, 12,561 patients (18,915 ECGs) positive for obstructive CAD, and 10,767 patients (23,870 ECGs) positive for regional akinesis. AI-ECG for identifying elevated CACS, obstructive CAD, and regional akinesis achieved AUROCs of 0.86, 0.80, and 0.93, respectively. All AI-ECG models identified increased 3-year risk for MI and death in AI-ECG positive versus AI-ECG negative patients and subgroups with 2 or 3 positive results had stepwise increased risk (Figure A). In a 3-year survival analysis of all-comer patients, the hazard ratio for those that tested positive on 1, 2, or 3 versus 0 positive disease-specific models were 1.61 (1.53-1.69). 2.40 (2.27-2.55), 3.42 (3.21-3.65), respectively. Risk stratification was also observed in cohorts without prior ASCVD stratified by low and high PCE-derived 10-year ASCVD risk (Figure B) and in cohorts stratified by age, including under the age of 40. Conclusions AI-ECG has potential to address unmet need for accessible risk stratification in patients in whom PCE under, over, or insufficiently estimate ASCVD risk, and in whom risk assessment over periods of time shorter than 10 years is desired.

OBJECTIVE The literature on non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) brain metastases (BMs) managed using stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) relies mainly on single-institution studies or randomized controlled trials (RCTs). There is a literature gap on clinical and radiological outcomes of SRS for NSCLC metastases in real-world practice. The objective of this study was to benchmark mortality and progression outcomes in patients undergoing SRS for NSCLC BMs and identify risk factors for these outcomes using a national quality registry. METHODS The SRS Registry of the NeuroPoint Alliance was used for this study. This registry included patients from 16 enrolling sites who underwent SRS from 2017 to 2022. Data are prospectively collected without a prespecified research purpose. The main outcomes of this analysis were overall survival (OS), out-of-field recurrence, local progression, and intracranial progression. All time-to-event investigations included Kaplan-Meier analyses and multivariable Cox regressions. RESULTS Two hundred sixty-four patients were identified, with a mean age of 66.7 years and a female proportion of 48.5%. Most patients (84.5%) had a Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) score of 80–100, and the mean baseline EQ-5D score was 0.539 quality-adjusted life years. A single lesion was present in 53.4% of the patients, and 29.1% of patients had 3 or more lesions. The median OS was 28.1 months, and independent predictors of mortality included no control of primary tumor (hazard ratio [HR] 2.1), KPS of 80 (HR 2.4) or lower (HR 2.4), coronary artery disease (HR 2.8), and 5 or more lesions present at the time of SRS treatment (HR 2.3). The median out-of-field progression-free survival (PFS) was 24.8 months, and the median local PFS was unreached. Intralesional hemorrhage was an independent risk factor of local progression, with an HR of 6.0. The median intracranial PFS was 14.0 months and was predicted by the number of lesions at the time of SRS (3–4 lesions, HR 2.2; 5–14 lesions, HR 2.5). CONCLUSIONS In this real-world prospective study, the authors used a national quality registry and found favorable OS in patients with NSCLC BMs undergoing SRS compared with results from previously published RCTs. The intracranial PFS was mainly driven by the emergence of new lesions rather than local progression. A greater number of lesions at baseline was associated with out-of-field progression, while intralesional hemorrhage at baseline was associated with local progression.

Abstract Aims Cardiotoxicity is a serious side effect of anthracycline treatment, most commonly manifesting as a reduction in left ventricular ejection fraction (EF). Early recognition and treatment have been advocated, but robust, convenient, and cost-effective alternatives to cardiac imaging are missing. Recent developments in artificial intelligence (AI) techniques applied to electrocardiograms (ECGs) may fill this gap, but no study so far has demonstrated its merit for the detection of an abnormal EF after anthracycline therapy. Methods and results Single centre consecutive cohort study of all breast cancer patients with ECG and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) evaluation before and after (neo)adjuvant anthracycline chemotherapy. Patients with HER2-directed therapy, metastatic disease, second primary malignancy, or pre-existing cardiovascular disease were excluded from the analyses as were patients with EF decline for reasons other than anthracycline-induced cardiotoxicity. Primary readout was the diagnostic performance of AI-ECG by area under the curve (AUC) for EFs < 50%. Of 989 consecutive female breast cancer patients, 22 developed a decline in EF attributed to anthracycline therapy over a follow-up time of 9.8 ± 4.2 years. After exclusion of patients who did not have ECGs within 90 days of a TTE, 20 cases and 683 controls remained. The AI-ECG model detected an EF < 50% and ≤ 35% after anthracycline therapy with an AUC of 0.93 and 0.94, respectively. Conclusion These data support the use of AI-ECG for cardiotoxicity screening after anthracycline-based chemotherapy. This technology could serve as a gatekeeper to more costly cardiac imaging and could enable patients to monitor themselves over long periods of time.

Background: The gap between electrocardiogram (ECG) artificial intelligence-derived age (ECG-Age) and chronological age (Age-Gap) predicts cardiovascular (CV) comorbidities and mortality reflecting physiologic age. Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are traumatic and harmful events that impact adulthood CV outcomes. We hypothesized that ACEs would be associated with physiologic age as determined by the Age-Gap. Methods: We applied a previously validated ECG-Age algorithm to the ECGs of 1,988 consecutive individuals aged ≥18, that within 2 years completed an ACEs questionnaire as part of psychological evaluations for weight management. The ACE questionnaire assesses 3 psychosocial domains (i) childhood abuse (psychological, physical or sexual), (ii) household dysfunction (substance abuse, mental illness, female figure treated violently, criminal behavior and parental separation/divorce) and (iii) neglect (emotional or physical) before age 18; results ranged 0 to 10 and were categorized as burden (0, 1-3, and ≥4) and presence (abuse, household dysfunction, neglect). Age-Gap was operationalized as (≤mean or > mean) positive values reflect physiological aging. Logistic regression analyses tested the association between ACE and Age-Gap. Results: Mean ± SD chronological age was 49±13 yr, ECG-Age 54±12 yr, Age-Gap 4.26±8.95 yr,75% women, average ACE 2±2, 32% experienced 0, 44% 1-3, and 24% ≥4 ACEs. Age-Gap was 1.4 years higher in those who experienced at least 1 ACE. Compared to those who didn’t experience ACE those who faced 1-3 ACE were more likely to have an Age-Gap >mean (OR 1.28 95%CI 1.57-1.04) independent of sex and the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index Fig A. Also, they were more prone to experiencing neglect and household dysfunction Fig B. Conclusions: Age-gap was associated with ACEs burden and domains, underscoring the need to identify ACEs during clinical evaluations to prevent ACEs at the individual, family, and community levels.