Alger, Heather M.

Background: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a life-threatening disease affecting up to 1% of the global population. Diagnosis can be challenging and is often delayed due to the need for advanced imaging and invasive procedures. The use of artificial intelligence applied to ECGs (ECG-AI) has been shown to detect subtle patterns in voltage-time data and may be a valuable tool for the early detection of PH. Hypothesis and Purpose: To evaluate the performance of a previously trained, ECG-AI algorithm to detect PH (ECG-AI PH) using real-world data (RWD) collected in a multicenter, validation study. A joint primary hypothesis required sensitivity (Sn), specificity (Sp), positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) to exceed the null values of 76%, 70%, 10% and 90%. Study Design and Methods: This retrospective validation study was conducted at 5 geographically diverse U.S. health systems. Adult subjects were eligible for inclusion if they had a 12-lead ECG paired with an echocardiogram (Echo) in which tricuspid regurgitation velocity (TRV) was recorded, following presentation with dyspnea. Patients were classified according to echocardiographic criteria as either PH (PH+, TRV >3.4 m/s) or controls (PH-, TRV ≤2.8 m/s) to simulate the real-world use of ECG-AI, where a positive result could lead to a follow-up Echo. The study database was locked before processing the digital ECGs with ECG-AI PH. Performance was also estimated in a subset of subjects that later had a right heart catheterization using mPAP ≥ 20mmHg as the definition of PH. Results: A total of 14281 subjects (53% female, 63% aged 50+ years) met the inclusion criteria, including 3019 PH+ cases and 11262 PH- controls (Figure). Sn and Sp were 84.0% (95% CI: 82.6%, 85.3%) and 71.7% (95% CI: 70.9%, 72.6%), respectively. The positive and negative predictive values were 18.9% (95% CI: 18.4%, 19.4%) and 98.3% (95% CI: 98.1%, 98.4%), respectively, at 7.3% prevalence. Each endpoint met pre-defined performance criteria. In the subset of 1683 subjects with a follow up RHC, performance remained robust (Sn 85% (1155/1358); Sp 46% (151/325)). Conclusion: While ECG-AI PH was first developed as an investigational tool to detect PH, continued development as software as a medical device for clinical use demonstrated that the algorithm retained strong performance to detect PH in diverse, non-overlapping clinical settings and patient populations.

Introduction: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a life-threatening, progressive disease with non-specific symptoms, often leading to delayed diagnosis. Early identification of World Health Organization Group 1 (Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension, PAH) and Group 4 (Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension, CTEPH) is essential, as effective therapies can improve outcomes. Hypothesis: An electrocardiogram-based AI algorithm for PH detection (ECG-AI PH) may enable earlier diagnosis and reduce healthcare utilization, including hospitalizations and procedures. Methods: Retrospective analysis used a de-identified data platform of >7M clinical records from a multistate integrated health system. Adult precapillary PH patients (mPAP >20 mmHg, PVR >2 WU, PCWP ≤15 mmHg) were identified as PAH or CTEPH based on ICD codes, use of approved therapies, or surgical interventions (for CTEPH) between 2002 and 2024. ECG-AI PH was applied to ECGs within 30 days of diagnostic right heart catheterization, using a 5:1 randomly sampled PH-negative control cohort. Training set patients were excluded. Clinical event frequency was compared between two intervals: from first possible PH symptom (dyspnea, syncope, chest pain, fatigue, lower limb swelling) to diagnosis, and from symptom onset to first positive ECG-AI PH prediction. Results: A total of 1882 PAH and 359 CTEPH patients met inclusion criteria. Of these, 1340 PAH and 258 CTEPH patients had symptom codes prior to diagnosis. Both groups showed prolonged intervals from symptom onset to diagnosis, with multiple diagnostic procedures and hospitalizations (Figure). ECG-AI PH performance evaluation on the test set included 647 PAH and 152 CTEPH patients. ECG-AI PH achieved AUCs of 0.90 and 0.89 for PAH and CTEPH, sensitivities of 80.3% and 76.8%, and specificities of 83.4% and 82.4%. Among those tested, 576 PAH and 95 CTEPH patients had a positive ECG-AI PH prediction after symptom onset but before diagnosis. Compared to the current patient journey, the interval between initial symptoms and a positive output from ECG-AI PH was shorter and had fewer diagnostic tests/visits. Conclusion: ECG-AI PH demonstrated strong performance in detecting PAH and CTEPH. It may reduce diagnostic delays, support earlier PH-focused screening (e.g., echocardiograms evaluating the right heart), enable earlier intervention, and reduce pre-diagnosis healthcare burden, benefitting both patient outcomes and healthcare system efficiency.

Abstract Background Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), of which coronary artery disease (CAD) is the primary manifestation, is the leading cause of death worldwide. The AHA/ACC Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE) facilitates risk stratification and initiation of primary prevention of ASCVD, however their performance is suboptimal. Purpose We develop an artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis (AI-ECG) algorithm to detect different stages of CAD and assessed the value of AI-ECG over PCE to predict incident myocardial infarction (MI) and survival over 3-years. Methods Using electronic health record data from approximately 7 million patients seen at over 70 hospitals and clinics across 5 states in the USA, we created independent AI-ECG models to identify elevated coronary artery calcium (CAC) by computer tomography, the presence of obstructive CAD by stress test or angiography, and left ventricular regional akinesis by echocardiogram, presumed to represent prior MI. Deep structured data, AI-enabled natural language processing of unstructured data were used to ensure cohort, and physician review of labeling were used to ensure cohort accuracy. These models were ensembled into a single model that was used to assess the utility of AI-ECG for predicting new occurrence MI in PCE- and age-stratified cohorts of patient with no prior history of ASCVD, over a 3-year timeframe using Cox’s proportional hazards analysis. Results A total of 6,080 patients (15,192 ECGs) were labeled positive for CAC ≥ 300, 12,561 patients (18,915 ECGs) positive for obstructive CAD, and 10,767 patients (23,870 ECGs) positive for regional akinesis. AI-ECG for identifying elevated CACS, obstructive CAD, and regional akinesis achieved AUROCs of 0.86, 0.80, and 0.93, respectively. All AI-ECG models identified increased 3-year risk for MI and death in AI-ECG positive versus AI-ECG negative patients and subgroups with 2 or 3 positive results had stepwise increased risk (Figure A). In a 3-year survival analysis of all-comer patients, the hazard ratio for those that tested positive on 1, 2, or 3 versus 0 positive disease-specific models were 1.61 (1.53-1.69). 2.40 (2.27-2.55), 3.42 (3.21-3.65), respectively. Risk stratification was also observed in cohorts without prior ASCVD stratified by low and high PCE-derived 10-year ASCVD risk (Figure B) and in cohorts stratified by age, including under the age of 40. Conclusions AI-ECG has potential to address unmet need for accessible risk stratification in patients in whom PCE under, over, or insufficiently estimate ASCVD risk, and in whom risk assessment over periods of time shorter than 10 years is desired.

Rationale: Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of death in women. To address its determinants including persisting cardiovascular risk factors amplified by sex and race inequities, novel personalized approaches are needed grounded in the engagement of participants in research and prevention. Objective: To report on a participant-centric and personalized dynamic registry designed to address persistent gaps in understanding and managing cardiovascular disease in women. Methods and Results: The American Heart Association and Verily launched the Research Goes Red registry (RGR) in 2019, as an online research platform available to consenting individuals over the age of 18 years in the United States. RGR aims to bring participants and researchers together to expand knowledge by collecting data and providing an open-source longitudinal dynamic registry for conducting research studies. As of July 2021, 15 350 individuals have engaged with RGR. Mean age of participants was 48.0 48.0±0.2 years with a majority identifying as female and either non-Hispanic White (75.7%) or Black (10.5%). In addition to 6 targeted health surveys, RGR has deployed 2 American Heart Association-sponsored prospective clinical studies based on participants’ areas of interest. The first study focuses on perimenopausal weight gain, developed in response to a health concerns survey. The second study is designed to test the use of social media campaigns to increase awareness and participation in cardiovascular disease research among underrepresented millennial women. Conclusions: RGR is a novel online participant-centric platform that has successfully engaged women and provided critical data on women’s heart health to guide research. Priorities for the growth of RGR are centered on increasing reach and diversity of participants, and engaging researchers to work within their communities to leverage the platform to address knowledge gaps and improve women’s health.