Conners, Katie

Introduction: Over 6 million people in the U.S. have heart failure (HF), less than half are expected to survive beyond 5 years. The need to better stratify mortality risk in HF is recognized. Frailty is associated with mortality in HF but not routinely measured clinically. As frailty is linked to inflammation and malnutrition, we hypothesized that the Metabolic Vulnerability Index (MVX) a multimarker score of systemic inflammation (small HDL particles, GlycA) and malnutrition (leucine, valine, isoleucine, citrate), could serve as a biomarker of frailty to predict mortality risk. Methods: Clinical data and plasma were collected from 1,389 patients from a HF community cohort between 2003-2012. We measured frailty using the Rockwood Index as the proportion of deficits present out of 32 physical limitations and comorbidities. MVX was calculated from the nuclear magnetic resonance LipoProfile® test. Patients were categorized by frailty (0-0.15; 0.16-0.27; 0.28-0.78) and MVX (33.4-50, 50-60, 60-70, 70-85.8) cutpoints. Cox models estimated the association of frailty and MVX assignment with mortality, adjusted for Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic HF (MAGGIC) score, a validated clinical risk score for HF mortality. Results: Frailty and MVX scores were available in 985 patients (median age 77, IQR: 67-84; 48% women). Higher frailty was associated with higher MVX (p-trend < 0.001). The highest frailty and MVX groups experienced large increases in risk of death, after adjustment for MAGGIC score (HR=3.3, 95% CI=2.6-4.2) and (HR=2.7, 95% CI=2.1-3.5), respectively. When adjusted for one another and MAGGIC score, MVX and frailty associations with death were only minimally attenuated: frailty (HR=3.2, 95% CI=2.5-4.0) and MVX (HR=2.4, 95% CI=1.9-3.2) (Figure 1). Conclusion: In this community cohort of patients with HF, frailty and MVX are positively associated with one another. However, both indicators are independently associated with an increased risk of death and can contribute to risk stratification.

Introduction: Heart Failure (HF) is a syndrome of high comorbidity and mortality. The impact of comorbidities on life expectancy in HF is well studied, but guideline-recommended disease-centric risk scores such as the Meta-analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) score may not fully account for the effect of comorbidities. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (Charlson) is a validated measure that quantifies the prognostic impact of comorbidities. Objective: To examine the incremental value of Charlson over MAGGIC in predicting death in HF. Methods: In a population-based HF cohort, we computed MAGGIC and Charlson scores using electronically linked medical records. Patients were divided based on ejection fraction (EF) into reduced [EF <50%, HFrEF] or preserved [EF ≥50%, HFpEF]. Cox regression was performed to assess the association between the risk scores and mortality. The incremental value of Charlson over MAGGIC was tested by calculating the area under the ROC [receiver operating characteristic] curves (AUCs) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: We studied 1,388 patients with HF validated using the Framingham criteria (mean age, 75±13 years, 48% female, mean EF, 49±17%). The median Charlson was 7.0 (interquartile range 5.0-9.0) and was higher in HFpEF than HFrEF (7.0 [5.0-9.0] vs. 6.0 [4.0-8.3] respectively. Over a median follow-up of 13.9 years (13.3-14.2), mortality was 17.4% (95% CI, 15.4 -19.3%) and 36.8% (95% CI, 34.2-39.3%) at 1, and 3 years respectively. In regression analysis, increasing MAGGIC and Charlson were independently associated with death (HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.08-1.11 and HR,1.22, 95% CI 1.20-1.24, both p <0.001) irrespective of EF. Discrimination ability was improved by adding Charlson over MAGGIC (Table), reaching statistical significance at 3 years. Conclusion: In this HF cohort, the Charlson index provided an added value over MAGGIC in predicting the risk of death at 3 years. These findings emphasize the importance of accounting for comorbidities in mid-term risk stratification in HF.

Background: Heart failure (HF) is associated with metabolic alterations, including ketogenesis. However, determinants of ketogenesis and risk of mortality in HF is not defined. Total ketone bodies (KB) include β-hydroxybutyrate, acetoacetate, and acetone and can be measured in plasma by nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR). The aim of this study is to determine the relationship between KB and clinical characteristics in a community HF cohort and to assess the association between KB and all-cause mortality. Methods: A population-based cohort of 1,389 HF patients was prospectively enrolled between 2003 and 2012. Plasma KB was measured by LP4 NMR LipoProfile ® assay/test on the Vantera® NMR analyzer platform. A conditional inference tree method (ctree R Package) was used to determine optimal KB group cut points. Associations between clinical characteristics and KB were measured with Wilcoxon rank sum test and Pearson’s Chi-squared test. Kaplan-Meier method estimated survival. Cox regression analyses were used to estimate associations between KB concentrations and mortality. Results: Among the 1,382 HF patients with KB measurements, the median age was 78 years (IQR 68-84) and 52% were men. Median KB was 180 μM (IQR 134-308). Patients were divided into two groups with lower KB (≤471.5 μM) and higher KB (>471.5 μM). Patients with higher KB (N=210) had lower BMI, higher BNP, and were more likely to be in the New York Heart Association class III-IV; however, these patients were less likely to have hyperlipidemia, coronary disease, or diabetes mellitus (P < 0.05). Age, sex, creatinine, ejection fraction, or Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic HF (MAGGIC) score did not differ by KB group. Higher KB was associated with worse survival (figure). After adjustment for the MAGGIC score, higher KB was associated with increased risk of mortality (HR 1.3; 95% CI, 1.08-1.48). Conclusions: In this community HF cohort, higher KB was associated with increased mortality, independent of the MAGGIC score.

Rationale: Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of death in women. To address its determinants including persisting cardiovascular risk factors amplified by sex and race inequities, novel personalized approaches are needed grounded in the engagement of participants in research and prevention. Objective: To report on a participant-centric and personalized dynamic registry designed to address persistent gaps in understanding and managing cardiovascular disease in women. Methods and Results: The American Heart Association and Verily launched the Research Goes Red registry (RGR) in 2019, as an online research platform available to consenting individuals over the age of 18 years in the United States. RGR aims to bring participants and researchers together to expand knowledge by collecting data and providing an open-source longitudinal dynamic registry for conducting research studies. As of July 2021, 15 350 individuals have engaged with RGR. Mean age of participants was 48.0 48.0±0.2 years with a majority identifying as female and either non-Hispanic White (75.7%) or Black (10.5%). In addition to 6 targeted health surveys, RGR has deployed 2 American Heart Association-sponsored prospective clinical studies based on participants’ areas of interest. The first study focuses on perimenopausal weight gain, developed in response to a health concerns survey. The second study is designed to test the use of social media campaigns to increase awareness and participation in cardiovascular disease research among underrepresented millennial women. Conclusions: RGR is a novel online participant-centric platform that has successfully engaged women and provided critical data on women’s heart health to guide research. Priorities for the growth of RGR are centered on increasing reach and diversity of participants, and engaging researchers to work within their communities to leverage the platform to address knowledge gaps and improve women’s health.