Pankratz, V. Shane

Abstract Background: Women with benign breast disease (BBD) have increased breast cancer risk, and histologic features of the lesion stratify individual risk. We hypothesized that the concentration and type of terminal duct lobular units in BBD tissue is associated with future breast cancer risk. Methods: A nested case-control series of 770 breast cancer cases and 1273 age- and year of biopsy-matched controls was identified within a cohort of 13,647 women with BBD from 1967-2001 (median follow-up 15.3 years). One representative H&E slide from each biopsy was reviewed by a single pathologist, who recorded total # of lobules present, and # of fibrocystic lobules (total and # with epithelial proliferation). Samples were also evaluated for lobular involution and primary BBD histology. Lobule density (LD) was calculated as # of lobules/cm2 in each tissue section. Breast cancer associations with LD's (total, fibrocystic, proliferative) were examined with conditional logistic regression. Odds ratios are reported per 1 SD increase in LD. Results: Each LD measure was significantly associated with involution and primary BBD histology (p<0.0001 for each). Fibrocystic (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.06-1.28) and proliferative (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.16-1.61) LD were each associated with case status (p≤0.001) but total LD did not reach significance (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.0-1.20; p=0.06). LD associations were somewhat attenuated after adjusting for involution (total OR 1.04 p=0.41; fibrocystic OR 1.13 p=0.02; proliferative OR 1.28 p=0.002) and primary BBD histology (total OR 1.04 p=0.49; fibrocystic OR 1.08 p=0.15; proliferative OR 1.18 p=0.07). Conclusions: The density of proliferative lobules in benign breast biopsy tissue is related to other BBD histologic features but may provide additional breast cancer risk stratification among women with proliferative BBD. Additional research will more fully evaluate the ability of this promising novel measure to predict breast cancer risk. Lobule Density Measures (lobules per square cm) All values are Medians Total Lobule Density Fibrocystic Lobule Density Proliferative Lobule Density Overall 17.5 4.5 0.7 Cases 18.1 4.9 1.3 Controls 17.0 4.2 0.4 Primary BBD Histology Nonproliferative disease 16 3.3 0 Proliferative disease 18.6 5.8 2.7 Atypical hyperplasia 20.9 6.2 3.3 Involution Category None 28.7 5.3 1.0 Partial 19.0 5 1.2 Complete 8.5 2.1 0 Citation Format: Amy C. Degnim, Lynn C. Hartmann, Tanya L. Hoskin, Marlene H. Frost, V Shane Pankratz, Derek C. Radisky, Lorelle L. Benetti, Celine M. Vachon, Teresa M. Allers, Robert A. Vierkant, Daniel W. Visscher. Density of breast lobules in benign breast tissue and association with future breast cancer risk. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 104th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2013 Apr 6-10; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2013;73(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 155. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2013-155

Abstract Background: Optimal early detection and prevention strategies for breast cancer are predicated on our ability to accurately identify women at increased risk for disease. Current breast cancer risk prediction models rely on clinical and epidemiologic features. As demonstrated with other cancers, such as those of the cervix and colon, cancer risk assessment is enhanced when the tissue at risk is examined for evidence of premalignant abnormalities. Here, we present a multivariate model for individualized breast cancer risk prediction that incorporates tissue features identified from biopsies from women with benign breast disease (BBD). Methods: We used our cohort of more than 9000 women diagnosed with BBD at the Mayo Clinic from 1967–1991, and identified a nested case:control series of 377 women who developed cancer (cases) matched with 734 women who did not (controls). We identified a set of variables that either alone or in two-way interactions contributed to a multivariable risk prediction model. We combined this relative risk model with the baseline incidence of breast cancer and the baseline hazard of death from our full BBD cohort to develop a risk prediction tool that computes absolute risk estimates for breast cancer. We calculated 5-year risk predictions for these cases and controls using our model and using the Gail model and compared c-statistics from these risk predictions. We validated our model using an independent set of 378 breast cancer cases and 728 matched controls drawn from our BBD cohort. Results: Cases and controls in the model development data set differed significantly on a number of features when examined individually. Those included in a multivariable relative risk model for breast cancer among women with BBD are shown below. After including interactions between lobular involution, and histologic impression, with age at first live birth/number of children, and degree of involution with sclerosing adenosis, we devised a model that predicts the absolute risk of breast cancer. Predicted five-year risks in the model development series, we observed a c-statistic of 0.66, higher than the c-statistic of 0.61 for the Gail model. With risk prediction estimates from our validation series of cases and matched controls, the c-statistic of our model decreased to 0.59 and the c-statistic for the Gail model was 0.55. Conclusion: We have identified an initial risk prediction model for breast cancer in women with BBD. The identified model includes basic demographic information as well as a number of histologic features of the tissue samples. Its initial performance is promising, providing improved discrimination over the Gail model in our replication data set. Further work is needed to identify features which might provide additional predictive information for breast cancer risk. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2012;72(24 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-12-03.

Abstract INTRODUCTION: Mammographic breast density is a strong risk factor for breast cancer (BC). We established the Mayo Mammography Health Study (MMHS) cohort study at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota (MN) to examine the association of breast density with BC. We evaluated the influence of the image acquisition technique on the density and BC association. METHODS: From October 2003 to September 2006, all women scheduled for screening mammography at the Mayo Clinic were invited to participate. Eligible women were residents of MN, Iowa (IA) or Wisconsin (WI); age 35+; and had no personal history of BC. A risk factor questionnaire, consent form and permission to link to tumor registries were obtained. Incident BC was identified through 2009 by linkage to the Mayo and state cancer registries. A case-cohort of all incident BCs and 2300 randomly selected women (the subcohort) were used to examine the association of breast density and BC using digitized film mammograms at the time of enrollment while controlling for the influence of the acquisition parameters (peak kilovoltage, milliampere-second, and compressed breast thickness). Two density measures were considered: a quantitative percent density (PD) measure estimated using the computer-assisted thresholding program, Cumulus (University of Toronto), and the 4-category clinical BI-RADS measure. Proportional hazards regression was used to calculate hazards ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for BC associated with quartiles of PD (0-6.2%,6.3-14.9%, 15.0-25.7% and 25.8%+) and BI-RADS categories 1-4 (almost entirely fatty to extremely dense). All models included age, postmenopausal hormone use (PMH), BMI, and menopausal status. The influence of acquisition parameters was evaluated by examining models with and without their inclusion. RESULTS: A total of 20,982 (50%) women participated in MMHS; 1058 (5%) with a prior history of BC were excluded, for a total cohort of 19,924. Compared to nonresponders, responders were younger (57.5 vs. 58.4 yrs), more likely to have ever used PMH (45% vs. 33%), and more likely to have a BC family history (19% vs 16%). The case-cohort consisted of 317 incident cases and 2300 women in the subcohort. Women were excluded from the current analysis if PD could not be estimated or if acquisition parameters were not available, leaving 249 cases and 1937 in the subcohort. As expected, PD was associated with BC [HR (95% CI): 1.0 (REF), 2.1 (1.4-3.1), 3.0 (2.0-4.5), and 4.6 (3.0-7.0) for quartiles; p-trend<0.001]. Controlling for acquisition parameters attenuated the association [HR (95% CI): 1.0 (REF), 2.3 (1.5-3.4), 2.4 (1.6-3.7), and 3.0 (1.8-5.0) for quartiles; p-trend<0.001]. Results for BI-RADS density were similar to those for PD. CONCLUSION: This study confirms that breast density is a significant risk factor for BC and demonstrates that the acquisition technique confounds the density and BC risk association. Citation Format: {Authors}. {Abstract title} [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 102nd Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2011 Apr 2-6; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2011;71(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 3716. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2011-3716

Abstract Background: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) identified variants at 19p13.1 and ZNF365 (10q21.2) as risk factors for breast cancer among BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers, respectively. We explored associations with ovarian cancer and with breast cancer by tumor histopathology for these variants in mutation carriers from the Consortium of Investigators of Modifiers of BRCA1/2 (CIMBA). Methods: Genotyping data for 12,599 BRCA1 and 7,132 BRCA2 mutation carriers from 40 studies were combined. Results: We confirmed associations between rs8170 at 19p13.1 and breast cancer risk for BRCA1 mutation carriers [HR, 1.17; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07–1.27; P = 7.42 × 10−4] and between rs16917302 at ZNF365 (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.73–0.97; P = 0.017) but not rs311499 at 20q13.3 (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.94–1.31; P = 0.22) and breast cancer risk for BRCA2 mutation carriers. Analyses based on tumor histopathology showed that 19p13 variants were predominantly associated with estrogen receptor (ER)-negative breast cancer for both BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers, whereas rs16917302 at ZNF365 was mainly associated with ER-positive breast cancer for both BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers. We also found for the first time that rs67397200 at 19p13.1 was associated with an increased risk of ovarian cancer for BRCA1 (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05–1.29; P = 3.8 × 10−4) and BRCA2 mutation carriers (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.10–1.52; P = 1.8 × 10−3). Conclusions: 19p13.1 and ZNF365 are susceptibility loci for ovarian cancer and ER subtypes of breast cancer among BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers. Impact: These findings can lead to an improved understanding of tumor development and may prove useful for breast and ovarian cancer risk prediction for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 21(4); 645–57. ©2012 AACR.

Abstract Background: Uncontrolled proliferation is a defining feature of the malignant phenotype. Ki67 is a marker for proliferating cells and is overexpressed in many breast cancers. Atypical hyperplasia is a premalignant lesion of the breast (relative risk ∼ 4.0). Here we asked if Ki67 expression could stratify risk in women with atypia.Methods: Ki67 expression was assessed immunohistochemically by digital image analysis in archival sections from 192 women with atypia diagnosed at the Mayo Clinic 1/1/67-12/31/91. Risk factor and follow-up data were obtained via study questionnaire and medical records. Observed breast cancer events were compared to population expected rates (Iowa SEER) using standarized incidence ratios (SIRs). We examined both short-term (within 10 years) and long-term (after 10 years) risk of breast cancer (BC) following atypia biopsy.Results: The median value for percent positive cells for Ki67 was 1.0%; the 75th percentile value was 2.3%. Based on the empirical distribution of staining values in our cohort, we selected a cutoff of 2% cells positive to separate high from low staining. There were no differences in Ki67 levels by age at biopsy, type of atypia (ADH, ALH, or both), number of foci of atypia, or family history. 32 women developed BC over a median of 14.6 years. Among them, those with ≥2% Ki67 expression had a shorter time to breast cancer (median 5.5 years, IQR=3.2-7.2) than those with <2% cells positive (median=13.8 years, IQR=11.6-20.3). There was a positive association between Ki67 overexpression (≥2% of cells positive) and risk of BC in the first 10 years of follow-up (SIR=4.42 [95% CI 2.21-8.84]). This excess risk resulted in a 10-year cumulative incidence of 14.1%. In contrast, in the women with low Ki67 expression, we found no increased risk of BC in the first 10 years, with SIR 1.01 (95% CI 0.38-2.70), which was significantly lower than the women with high expression (p=0.01). The 10-year cumulative incidence of BC was 3% for the low Ki67group, in line with population averages. After 10 years, risk increased significantly in the low Ki67 group [SIR 5.69 (3.63-8.92)] vs. no increased risk in the high Ki67 group [SIR 0.78 (0.11-5.55)]. We formally examined this apparent time-dependent difference in incidence patterns by Ki67 staining levels via Poisson regression analysis, and found a statistically significant interaction between pre- vs. post-10 years incidence and high vs. low staining levels (p<0.001).Conclusions: Ki67 appears to be a time-varying biomarker of risk of breast cancer in women with atypical hyperplasia. Women whose atypias show higher proliferation rates have an increased risk for an earlier BC (within 10 years). Those with lower proliferation rates tend to develop BCs later, after 10 years. Ki67 levels may help to define the time period of greatest risk for women with atypia. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 909.

Abstract Background: Women with benign breast disease are at elevated breast cancer risk. In order to accurately predict a woman's individual risk of breast cancer, a breast cancer risk-prediction model is needed that incorporates significant breast cancer risk factors. This report describes two factors: tissue based assessment of lobular involution, and radiological marker- mammographic density (MD). Lobular involution, or physiologic atrophy of the breast glandular epithelium, is inversely associated with breast cancer risk. MD is a strong positive risk factor for breast cancer. With increasing age, the extent of lobular involution increases while MD decreases. However, it is unclear whether involution and MD represent independent breast cancer risk factors. We examined breast cancer risk associated with lobular involution and MD in women with benign breast disease (BBD) to determine whether these features are independently associated with breast cancer risk.Methods: Using the Mayo Clinic Surgical and Pathology Indices, 9376 women ages 18 to 85 with benign excisional breast biopsy between January 1, 1967 and December 31, 1991 were identified and formed the Mayo BBD cohort. We studied a sub-cohort of women diagnosed with BBD between 1985 and 1991 (when MD was clinically assessed and recorded) who had a mammogram within 6 months of the BBD diagnosis. Breast cancer outcomes were determined through the Mayo medical records and a study-specific questionnaire. Lobular involution extent was assessed in background tissue as 'none' (0% lobules involuted), 'partial' (1-74% lobules involuted) or 'complete' (≥75% lobules involuted). MD was classified as Wolfe's parenchymal pattern (PP) as N1/ fatty; P1; P2; and DY/ homogenously dense. Hazard ratios and confidence intervals were calculated using Cox regression analyses, adjusting for confounders: age, parity, BMI, BBD histology, menopausal status, family history, PP and involution extent.Results: A total of 2666 women in the Mayo BBD cohort, with biopsies between 1985 and 1991, had a mammogram within 6 months of the breast biopsy. The mean age at biopsy was 54.6 years. After a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, 172 (6.5%) women developed breast cancer. After adjustment for PP and other confounders, women with no or partial involution had elevated risk compared to women with complete involution (HR 2.62 [95% CI 1.39, 4.94] for no involution and 1.61 [95% CI 1.03, 2.53] for partial involution; complete involution as reference group; p for trend 0.003). Moreover, women with dense breasts were at greater risk compared to women with nondense breasts (HR 1.67 [95% CI 1.0, 2.73] for DY pattern, 1.96 [95% CI 1.2 – 3.21] for P2, 1.23 [95% CI 0.67, 2.26] for P1; N1 category as reference group; p for trend 0.02). Multivariate analyses also showed that women with the combination of no involution and dense breasts had greater risk compared to those with complete involution and nondense breasts (HR 4.08 [95% CI 1.72, 9.68]).Conclusion: Lobular involution and MD are both risk factors for breast cancer; this report is the first to demonstrate that each provides unique information about breast cancer risk. These findings emphasize the potential for inclusion of both these factors in future breast cancer risk-prediction models. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 6064.

Abstract Abstract #62 Background: Breast cancer is the leading cause of cancer deaths in younger women (25 to 49 years of age). Young women with breast cancer also have worse overall survival and increased risk of recurrence compared to older women with breast cancer. Innovative approaches to understanding risk factors and tissue characteristics for the younger population can improve understanding of breast cancer etiology and enhance risk-stratification for these women. This study was aimed at examining breast cancer risk factors among young women (<50 years) with BBD. Materials and Methods: Utilizing the Mayo Clinic Surgical and Pathology Indices, women ages 18 to 85 who had benign excisional breast biopsy between January 1, 1967 and December 31, 1991 were identified. The diagnosis of breast cancer served as the study endpoint and was determined using the Mayo medical record and questionnaire information from study participants. The breast pathologist, blinded to the initial diagnosis and clinical outcome, performed pathology review. BBD was classified as non-proliferative disease (NPD), proliferative disease without atypia (PDWA), or atypical hyperplasia (AH). Age-related lobular involution (reduction in number and size of acini per lobule) was classified as none-0%, partial- 1 to74%, or complete- >75% involution. Relative risk (RR) was estimated by comparing the number of observed breast cancers with the number expected, based on breast cancer rates in the Iowa Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry. Results: Of the 9376 women in the Mayo BBD cohort, 4460 women were aged <50 years at BBD diagnosis and formed the study cohort. The mean age at BBD diagnosis was 39.4 (+ 8.3) years. With a median follow-up of 20 years, 326 breast cancer cases were identified. The histologic findings were NPD in 72% of women, PDWA in 26%, and AH in 2%. The relative risk of breast cancer for the overall cohort of young women with BBD was 1.5 (95% CI [1.4, 1.7]). The relative risk among those with AH was 6.9 (95% CI [4.6, 10.1), compared with a RR of 2.0 (95% CI [1.7, 2.4]) for PDWA, and RR of 1.2 (95% CI [1.0, 1.4]) for NPD. Risk was associated with extent of lobular involution (RR for no involution was 1.7 (95%CI [1.4, 2.1]); partial involution 1.4 (95%CI [1.2, 1.7]); complete involution 0.7 (95%CI [0.3, 1.4]). Family history was available for 83% of the cohort and RR was 2.2 (95% CI [1.7, 2.8]) for women with strong family history and was 1.3 (95% CI [1.1, 1.6]) for women with no family history. Discussion: Young women with BBD are at increased risk of breast cancer. Risk is high in women with atypical hyperplasia, and those with a family history of breast cancer. Lobular involution is associated with reduced breast cancer risk in this population, suggesting a role in modifying breast cancer risk. These findings suggest the need for further research in this population, along with tissue-based studies to examine the processes leading to breast cancer, and enable identification of those women at highest risk. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(2 Suppl):Abstract nr 62.

Abstract Abstract #5008 Background: Accurate, individualized risk prediction for breast cancer is lacking. Tissue-based features, such as the terminal duct lobular unit (TDLU), may help to stratify women into different risk levels as breast lobules are the anatomic sites of origin of breast cancer. As women age, these lobular structures should regress, which results in reduced breast cancer risk. Regression, however, does not occur in all women.
 Materials and Methods: We have quantified the extent of lobule regression on a benign breast biopsy in 85 breast cancer cases and 142 age-matched controls from the Mayo Benign Breast Disease Cohort, by determining number of acini/lobule and lobular area. We also calculated Gail model 5-year predicted risks for these women.
 Results: There is a step-wise increase in breast cancer risk with increasing numbers of acini/lobule (p=0.0004). Adjusting for Gail model score, parity, histology, and family history did not attenuate this association.
 
 Lobular area was similarly associated with risk. The Gail model estimates were associated with risk of breast cancer (p=0.03). We examined the individual accuracy of these measures using the concordance (c) statistic. The Gail model c-statistic was 0.60 (95% CI; 0.50-0.70); the acinar count c-statistic was 0.65 (95% CI; 0.54-0.75). Combining acinar count and lobular area, the c-statistic was 0.68 (95% GI; 0.58-0.78). Adding the Gail model to these did not improve the c-statistic.
 
 Discussion: Novel, tissue-based features that reflect the status of a woman's normal breast lobules are strongly associated with breast cancer risk. These features appear to provide more accurate risk assessment than the currently used Gail model. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(2 Suppl):Abstract nr 5008.

Abstract Abstract #4037 Background: Mammographic breast density is a strong and consistent risk factor for breast cancer. Women with dense tissue in over 60 to 75% of the breast are at 4 to 6 times greater risk than women with little or no density. However, the biology of breast density is not well understood and studies at the tissue level are limited. We present the first report of a tissue-based study of breast density, sampling mammographically dense and non-dense areas of the breast of healthy women with the goal of examining histologic correlates.
 Materials and Methods: Healthy women volunteers aged 40 to 85 years, with no breast symptoms, normal screening mammogram within 6 months, and no personal history of breast cancer were considered eligible. Women with breast-related symptoms, those on endocrine therapy, or with bleeding tendencies were excluded from participation. Sixty consecutive eligible women were enrolled in the study- results are based on the first 34 participants. Eligible women underwent an ultrasound-guided, core-needle breast biopsy of mammographically dense and non-dense areas of the breast, performed by a single experienced radiologist. Quantitative assessment of breast tissue from dense and non-dense areas was performed for epithelium, stroma, and fat. In addition, we assessed the difference in the extent of lobular involution (complete, partial and none) between dense and non-dense areas. We used means and SD to describe distributions in each tissue type. Signed rank test was used to assess within woman differences between dense and non-dense tissue.
 Results: The mean age of the participants was 50.1 years (range 40 to 79 years). The histological findings are outlined below.
 
 Dense tissue is comprised of increased stroma and epithelium and decreased fat, consistent with prior reports on breast density. The finding of 'no involution' was greater in dense tissue compared to non-dense tissue (24% versus 8.8%); non-dense tissue had greater proportion of complete involution compared to dense tissue (82.5% versus 35.2%).
 Discussion: This report is the first to quantify histology in tissue sampled from dense and non-dense regions of the healthy breast. We find a dramatic difference in tissue composition between dense and non-dense tissue in the breast. Future studies using this tissue to assess molecular markers will further help to characterize pathways through which density may increase breast cancer risk. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(2 Suppl):Abstract nr 4037.

Abstract Abstract #4033 Background: Aromatase activity within the breast is a source of estrogen that may cause breast cancer. Mammographic density (MD) is a risk factor for breast cancer whose biologic basis is unknown. Our study compared aromatase expression in tissue from dense and non-dense areas of the breasts of healthy volunteers.
 Methods: Participants were 40+ yrs, had a screening mammogram with visible MD, no history of cancer and were not on endocrine therapy. Ultrasound-guided core biopsies were done within 6 months of mammography to obtain three paired cores from mammographically dense and non-dense regions of the breast. Immunostaining for aromatase expression employed the streptavidin-biotin amplification method using the recently developed 677 mouse monoclonal antibody. Immunoreactivity (IR) was scored in terms of proportion of cells staining positive for aromatase (PPC) (0=<1%, 1=1-25%, 2=26-50%, 3=51+% (and 4=75%+ for adipocytes)) and relative immunointensity (0=none, 1=weak, 2=moderate, 3=intense) for each cell type (stroma, normal ductal epithelium, adipocytes). A composite score weighting the PPC by their relative intensity (range 0-9; 0-12 for adipocytes) was also calculated. The sum of the composite score across the three cell types provided a global assessment of aromatase IR. Repeated measures analyses evaluated differences in aromatase IR for dense compared to non-dense tissue within and across cell types. Parameter estimates (β) indicated the average difference between dense and non-dense IR.
 Results: 18 (37%) of the 49 participants were premenopausal (median age 46 yrs). Summing across cell types, the global composite score showed increased aromatase IR on sections sampled from dense vs. non-dense regions (β=5.3,p<0.001). This global difference reflected increased aromatase IR in the stroma and normal ductal epithelium from dense sections (vs. non-dense). For 42 women with >1% stromal cells on each section, there was evidence for increased IR on dense sections as indicated by the greater PPCs (β=0.9), relative intensity (β=0.7) and composite score (β=2.7)(p's<0.001). Similarly, for 20 women with >1% normal ductal epithelium in both dense and non-dense sections, there was a greater composite score (β=1.4,p=0.004) for cells on dense sections although differences for PPC (β=0.3,p=0.11) and relative intensity (β=0.3,p=0.09) did not reach statistical significance. No differences were seen in IR for adipocytes from the two density regions (46 women). Findings were unchanged with adjustment for covariates, including proportions of each cell type per section.
 Conclusions: There is strong evidence for increased aromatase expression in the stromal and normal ductal epithelium of dense vs. non-dense tissue. These results support ongoing research into mammographic density as a biomarker of effect of aromatase inhibitors. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(2 Suppl):Abstract nr 4033.