McKian, KP

Abstract The association between hormone replacement therapy (HRT) and breast cancer risk in women with benign breast disease (BBD) is unclear. However, others have shown that HRT use is associated with the development of proliferative breast disease (Rohan et. al, CEBP 2008). To better clarify potential risks associated with postmenopausal hormone use in women with BBD, we performed a nested case control study within the Mayo Clinic Benign Breast Disease Cohort. In the cohort, there are 11,079 women who had benign breast biopsies between 1967 and 1996 and for whom we have outcome and risk factor data, including use of HRT. We studied 947 cases (breast cancer after BBD) and two controls matched to each case based on age and year of BBD. Information on use of HRT was obtained through use of questionnaires and medical record review with a mean time of follow up of 17.4 years. HRT use, histology, involution status, and family history were all evaluated for impact on breast cancer risk in a multivariate model. As shown in Table 1, when looking at effects of histology, involution, and family history, we confirmed previously reported findings of risk (Hartmann LC et. al, NEJM 2005). Specifically, we saw increased risk in women with AH vs. PDWA or NP, decreased risk with complete involution vs. partial or no involution, and increased risk with strong family history vs. weak or no family history. Associations of hormone replacement therapy and other relevant clinical variables with risk of breast cancer Multivariate model simultaneously including all variables listed in the table. HRT=hormone replacement therapy. NP=non-proliferative. PDWA=proliferative disease without atypia. AH=atypical hyperplasia We found that women who had used HRT had no higher risk of developing breast cancer than women who had not used HRT. Specifically, with Never Users as the reference group, those with 5 years or less exposure had OR 0.80 (0.56-1.15); 6-10 years, 0.85 (0.56-1.28) and 11+ years, 0.51 (0.36-0.72), p =0.002. In conclusion, we found that HRT use among postmenopausal women with BBD was not associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. In this case-control set, we confirmed previous findings regarding well established risk factors of histology, involution status, and family history. While HRT use may contribute to the development of proliferative breast disease, we do not see that HRT is associated with additional breast cancer risk, beyond that of the proliferative disease itself. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2010;70(24 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-09-03.

Abstract Abstract #5008 Background: Accurate, individualized risk prediction for breast cancer is lacking. Tissue-based features, such as the terminal duct lobular unit (TDLU), may help to stratify women into different risk levels as breast lobules are the anatomic sites of origin of breast cancer. As women age, these lobular structures should regress, which results in reduced breast cancer risk. Regression, however, does not occur in all women.
 Materials and Methods: We have quantified the extent of lobule regression on a benign breast biopsy in 85 breast cancer cases and 142 age-matched controls from the Mayo Benign Breast Disease Cohort, by determining number of acini/lobule and lobular area. We also calculated Gail model 5-year predicted risks for these women.
 Results: There is a step-wise increase in breast cancer risk with increasing numbers of acini/lobule (p=0.0004). Adjusting for Gail model score, parity, histology, and family history did not attenuate this association.
 
 Lobular area was similarly associated with risk. The Gail model estimates were associated with risk of breast cancer (p=0.03). We examined the individual accuracy of these measures using the concordance (c) statistic. The Gail model c-statistic was 0.60 (95% CI; 0.50-0.70); the acinar count c-statistic was 0.65 (95% CI; 0.54-0.75). Combining acinar count and lobular area, the c-statistic was 0.68 (95% GI; 0.58-0.78). Adding the Gail model to these did not improve the c-statistic.
 
 Discussion: Novel, tissue-based features that reflect the status of a woman's normal breast lobules are strongly associated with breast cancer risk. These features appear to provide more accurate risk assessment than the currently used Gail model. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(2 Suppl):Abstract nr 5008.