Friedman, Paul A.

Abstract Aims ECG abnormalities are often the first signs of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) and we hypothesized that an artificial intelligence (AI)-enhanced ECG could help identify patients with ARVC and serve as a valuable disease-detection tool. Methods and results We created a convolutional neural network to detect ARVC using a 12-lead ECG. All patients with ARVC who met the 2010 task force criteria and had disease-causative genetic variants were included. All case ECGs were randomly assigned in an 8:1:1 ratio into training, validation, and testing groups. The case ECGs were age- and sex-matched with control ECGs at our institution in a 1:100 ratio. Seventy-seven patients (51% male; mean age 47.2 ± 19.9), including 56 patients with PKP2, 7 with DSG2, 6 with DSC2, 6 with DSP, and 2 with JUP were included. The model was trained using 61 case ECGs and 5009 control ECGs; validated with 7 case ECGs and 678 control ECGs and tested in 22 case ECGs and 1256 control ECGs. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of the model were 77.3, 62.9, 3.32, and 99.4%, respectively. The area under the curve for rhythm ECG and median beat ECG was 0.75 and 0.76, respectively. Conclusion Our study found that the model performed well in excluding ARVC and supports the concept that the AI ECG can serve as a biomarker for ARVC if a larger cohort were available for network training. A multicentre study including patients with ARVC from other centres would be the next step in refining, testing, and validating this algorithm.

Abstract Introduction The pivotal study of the extravascular implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator (EV ICD) recently demonstrated primary efficacy and safety endpoints comparable to previous ICD systems. Patient experience with this novel device has not been reported. The current study examined the standardized patient‐reported outcome (PRO) metrics of quality of life (QOL) and patient acceptance of the device. Methods The EV ICD Pivotal Study was a prospective, single‐arm, nonrandomized, global, premarket approval trial. Patients completed the 12‐Item Short Form Survey (SF‐12) QOL surveys at baseline and at 6 months following implant. Additionally, patients completed the Florida Patient Acceptance Survey (FPAS) QOL survey at 6 months. Results From baseline to 6 months, patients within the EV ICD Pivotal Study ( n = 247) reported statistically significant SF‐12 improvements in physical QOL (45.4 ± 9.4 vs. 46.8 ± 9.1 respectively, p = .020) and no changes in mental QOL (49.3 ± 10.4 vs. 50.5 ± 9.7, p = .061). No differences were noted by sex, atrial fibrillation, or the experience of ICD shock. EV ICD patients reported better total FPAS patient acceptance of their ICD than TV‐ICD or S‐ICD patients using historical norms comparisons (80.4 ± 15.7 vs. 70.2 ± 17.8, p < .0001 for S‐ICD and 73.0 ± 17.4, p = .004 for TV‐ICD). Conclusion The initial PROs for EV ICD patients indicated that patients had improvements in physical QOL from baseline to 6‐month follow‐up and markedly better overall acceptance of their ICD compared to a previous study with S‐ICD and TV‐ICD data. These initial results suggest that the EV ICD is evaluated positively by patients.

High dose chemotherapy followed by autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation (auto HCT) is a standard therapy for patients with plasma cell disorders (PCD). A barrier to improving candidate selection for auto HCT is appraisal of risk for transplant related complications. Electrocardiography (ECG) is a standard pre-HCT test to evaluate the potential for arrhythmia and structural heart disease. We hypothesized that an artificial intelligence (AI) based interpretation of ECG waveform data (AI-ECG) could enhance risk prediction for cardiac-specific and other outcomes following auto HCT for patients with PCD. To test this hypothesis, we used several AI-ECG tools developed using a deep-learning based approach that were trained to predict comorbidity (Attia et al, Lancet 2019 & Grogan et al, Mayo Clin Proc 2021). Model outputs include a scaled prediction value indicating increasing risk for atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF), reduced ejection fraction (EF), or cardiac amyloidosis. We evaluated this tool in 9,225 ECGs obtained from 849 patients (median 6 ECGs/patient, inter-quartile range: 3-12) who underwent first or subsequent auto HCT at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center between 2016-2022 and who had a diagnosis of multiple myeloma (N = 810), amyloidosis (N = 37), or other PCD (N = 2). The endpoints were to determine whether baseline AI-ECG prediction of AF risk correlated with peri-transplant AF events, and to explore whether model outputs correlated with survival and other cardiac clinical outcomes. The mean age of patients was 61.0 years (range 23.7 - 81.2) and median follow up was 2.7 years post auto HCT. Contributing cardiovascular risk factors included a prior history of AF (N = 101, 11.9%), coronary or cerebrovascular disease (N = 95, 11.2%), and diabetes mellitus (N = 98, 11.5%). Reduced dose melphalan (&lt; 200 mg/m 2) was administered in 26%. The HCT-comorbidity index (HCT-CI) was high risk (≥3) in 52.7%. The one-year overall survival and progression-free survival in the whole cohort was 94% (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 92 - 95%) and 86% (84 - 89%), respectively. Among patients not in AF at pre HCT evaluation, the 90-day cumulative incidence of AF was 5.6% (4.2 - 7.3%). In univariable competing risk regression, baseline pre HCT AI-ECG appraisal of AF risk was strongly correlated with incidence AF in patients who were in sinus rhythm before HCT (hazard ratio (HR): 25.1, 95% CI: 11.7 - 53.7, p &lt; 0.001). In a multivariable model adjusting for patient age and HCT-CI, AI-ECG AF predicted risk remained associated with incidence of post HCT AF (HR: 13.4, 95% CI: 5.9 - 30.4, p &lt; 0.001). Considering a decision threshold identified during original model training, AI-ECG predicted AF events with an accuracy of 75% (Mcnemar's p &lt; 2 x 10 -16). The precision, recall, and F1-score were 0.94, 0.77, and 0.85, respectively. AI-ECG predicted age correlated highly with actual patient age (Spearman rho = 0.59, p &lt; 2 x 10 -16). Amyloid risk scores were highly correlated with a known clinical history of amyloidosis (median 0.45 versus 0.05, Wilcoxon rank-sum p &lt; 0.001). Patients with EF &lt; 50% had greater prediction scores for cardiomyopathy compared to patients with normal EF (median 0.23 versus 0.01, Wilcoxon rank-sum p &lt;0.001). In univariable analysis, increasing AI-ECG predicted age (HR 1.02, CI: 1.003 - 1.04, p = 0.02) and predicted AF risk score (HR: 3.2, CI: 1.4 - 7.2, p = 0.006) were associated with risk for death, whereas predicted amyloid score and predicted low EF were not associated with decreased survival. In multivariable analysis of all patients that considered patient age, hematopoietic comorbidity index, and remission status at HCT, increasing predicted AF score trended towards association with increased risk for death (HR: 2.3, 95%CI: 1.0 - 5.5, p = 0.059). Predicted AF score correlated highly with the HCT-CI and patient age. Finally, we examined whether risk prediction for low EF correlated with peri-HCT fluid overload (FO) defined by absolute weight gain. The incidence of ≥ 10% weight gain (grade 2 FO) and ≥ 20% weight gain (grade 3 FO) at 180 days post HCT was 7.4% (95% CI: 5.8%, 9.3%) and 1.0% (95% CI: 0.5%, 1.8%), respectively. Predicted low EF was not associated with development of either grade 2 or grade 3 FO in this population. In summary, AI-ECG predicts episodes of AF in patients undergoing auto HCT for PCD and may augment transplant risk appraisal when considered in conjunction with other measures of comorbidity.

Abstract Background Atrial functional mitral regurgitation (AFMR) is an increasingly recognized cause of functional MR thought to result from left atrial enlargement and myopathy in the setting of preserved left ventricular geometry and function. AFMR mostly occurs in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and/or heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Purpose We investigated whether the use of an artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) can identify patients with new-onset AF and sinus rhythm (SR) who are at highest risk of developing AFMR. Methods Adults with a new diagnosis of AF between 2010 and 2021 who had a transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) within 1 month after AF diagnosis were identified. Similarly, adults in SR who never had AF diagnosis and had a TTE during the same period were identified. Exclusion criteria from both groups included &gt;mild MR at baseline, primary mitral valve disease, cardiomyopathy, ≥moderate aortic valve disease, current or previous low ejection fraction, enlarged left ventricle, cardiac devices, previous cardiac surgeries, and the absence of follow-up TTE ≥6 months from baseline. Only patients who had ECG within 10 days of the TTE were included. When multiple ECGs were available, the closest was considered. A previously trained AI-ECG algorithm to detect the probability of AF was utilized. Incident AFMR was defined as &gt;mild functional MR in the absence of &gt;mild left ventricle enlargement or dysfunction. Diastolic dysfunction was defined according to ASE/EACVI guidelines. Results Overall, 1,570 patients with new-onset AF (median age 67 years; 34% females) and 16,802 patients in SR (median age 59 years; 46% females) were included. The median AI ECG probability for AF was 43% (IQR 26%-59%) in the new-onset AF group and 2% (0.5%-7%) in the SR group, Figure 1. Incident AFMR occurred in 152 patients in the AF group over median 3.06 (IQR 1.5-5.2) years of follow-up and in 482 patients in the SR group over median 3.0 (1.5-5.6) years of follow-up. The probability of silent AF by the AI-ECG was associated with incident AFMR in the new-onset AF group [hazard ratio 1.19 (95% CI 1.11-1.28) per 10%, p &lt;.001] and the SR group [hazard ratio 1.19 (95% CI 1.12-1.25) per 10%, p &lt;.001]. The AI ECG-derived AF probability remained as an independent risk factor for AFMR in multivariable analysis in both AF and SR, Table 1. Conclusion The AI ECG for AF might be able to reflect the degree of left atrial myopathy and thus the risk of incident AFMR in patients with AF and SR.Distribution of AI ECG probability of AFMultivariable risk factors for AFMR

Abstract Background Implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) prevent sudden cardiac death in patients at high risk for ventricular arrhythmias, but conventional systems carry a risk of transvenous (TV) lead-related complications. The novel extravascular ICD (EV ICD) may reduce some of these complications, while offering anti-tachycardia pacing (ATP), pause prevention pacing, and a device of similar size and projected battery longevity as a TV ICD, by placing a lead substernally. The EV ICD Pivotal study demonstrated EV ICD safety and performance for termination of ventricular arrythmias at 6 months. Longer-term performance is unknown. Purpose To report the chronic safety and performance of the EV ICD system. Methods The extravascular implantable cardioverter defibrillator (EV ICD) Pivotal study was a prospective, international, single-arm, premarket clinical study. Patients with a class I or IIa indication for a single-chamber ICD per ESC or ACC/AHA/HRS guidelines were enrolled. Freedom from major system- and/or procedure-related complications at 18 mo was evaluated, as well as conversion of arrhythmias by anti-tachycardia pacing (ATP) or shock through all available follow up. Rates of ATP success were evaluated using the generalized estimating equation (GEE) and simple proportions. Results Implantation was attempted in 316 patients: 74.7% male, age 53.8±13.1 years, 82% primary prevention, left ventricular ejection fraction of 38.9%±15.4%, and New York Heart Association Class I (23.4%) or II/III (65.5%). Of 299 implanted patients (average follow up 16.2±7.2 mo), 19 experienced 80 spontaneous, appropriately treated arrhythmic episodes: 37 treated by ATP, 15 by ATP and shock, and 28 by shock alone with a Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimated 6.8% of patients experiencing appropriate therapy by 18 mo (Figure). Of discrete episodes treated with shock, 21/21 (100%) were successfully terminated. ATP was delivered in 12 patients, successfully treating 35/52 episodes (67.3%; GEE adjusted 59.0%). Inappropriate shocks occurred in 35 patients through all follow up, with a rate of 10.2% at 1 year. The KM estimate of freedom from major EV ICD system-or procedure-related complications rate through 18 mo was 91.9% (95% CI: 88.2% to 94.4%). The most common event was lead dislodgment (10 events in 9 patients) identified 0 to 120 days post-implant, predominantly due to anchoring technique. Conclusion The safety and effectiveness of a novel EV ICD system with a substernal lead extends through chronic follow up. Shocks were avoided in nearly half of all spontaneous episodes because of the availability of ATP.Figure

Abstract Background Cardiomyopathy is a leading cause of pregnancy-related mortality and represents the number one cause of death in the late postpartum period. Purpose The goal of this study was to prospectively evaluate the effectiveness of an artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) and a point-of-care artificial intelligence-enhanced digital stethoscope for cardiomyopathy screening among pregnant and postpartum women. Methods We conducted a single-arm prospective study of pregnant and postpartum women (up to 12 months following delivery) enrolled at three sites between October 2021 and October 2022. Study participants completed a standard 12-lead ECG, ECG + phonocardiogram recordings with a digital stethoscope, a demographic questionnaire, and a transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) within a 24-hour period. Diagnostic performance of the AI-ECG and digital stethoscope for cardiomyopathy detection, defined as left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) &lt; 45%, was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) and standard measures of diagnostic performance. Results We included 100 consecutive pregnant and postpartum women who provided informed consent and had at least one ECG recorded, completed the questionnaire, and had an echocardiogram performed. All participants self-identified as female, and 41% were recruited from a federally qualified health center. The median age of participants was 31 years (Q1: 27, Q3: 34). Thirty-eight percent identified as non-Hispanic White, 32% as non-Hispanic Black, 21% as Hispanic or Latino, 6% as Asian, and 3% as Other (1 Native Hawaiian and 2 multiracial). Five percent (5/100) had LVEF &lt;45%. The 12-lead AI-ECG model demonstrated close to perfect discrimination (accuracy 99%; AUC 1.00, sensitivity 100%) for detection of cardiomyopathy with 1 false positive screen (LVEF 49%), Figure 1A. The digital stethoscope (angled position) had an AUC of 0.99 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.00) for detection of LVEF &lt;45%. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the digital stethoscope were 60%, 98%, 60% and 98%, respectively for detection of LVEF &lt;45% (Figure 1B & 1C). Conclusions In this small prospective study, we found that 5% of pregnant and postpartum women had cardiomyopathy, a potentially life-threatening condition, and that a rapid, inexpensive, ubiquitous, massively scalable point-of-care test - the ECG - showed promising results, identifying it with an AUC &gt; 0.98 with the application of artificial intelligence.Figure 1

Abstract Background Premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) are the most common arrhythmia affecting the ventricle. Frequent PVCs are associated with the development of PVC-cardiomyopathy (CM). It is known that the PVC burden has a direct correlation to the severity of left ventricular (LV) dysfunction. However, only 5% of patients with frequent PVCs (&gt;10,000 per day) have associated PVC-CM. Thus, selecting patients for therapy options with drugs or catheter ablation is challenging, especially, when patients are asymptomatic with the PVCs. Purpose To train a deep learning model to predict the probability of low LV ejection fraction (LVEF) in patients with PVCs on a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Methods Using 69,440 paired 12-lead ECGs (containing at least one PVC), and echocardiogram data, including the left ventricular ejection fraction at Mayo Clinic, we trained a convolutional neural network to identify patients with ventricular dysfunction, defined as ejection fraction ≤35%, using the ECG data alone. ECGs were acquired at a sampling rate of 500 Hz using a Marquette ECG machine (GE Healthcare) and stored using the MUSE data management system for later retrieval. Comprehensive 2-D or 3-D and Doppler echocardiography were available for all patients. We trained a convolutional neural network using the Keras framework with TensorFlow (Google). The ECG-echocardiogram pairs were divided into a 60:20:20 training:validation:test split. Results The mean age of the patients used to train the model was 69.9 ± 13.0 years, and 65.2 percent of patients were male. The mean LVEF for this population was 52 ± 14.9 %, and the proportion of patients with low LVEF was 16.8 percent. The model yielded values for area under the curve, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 0.897, 0.830, 0.813, and 0.816, respectively (Figure 1). A representative example of model prediction of normal LVEF and low LVEF is shown in Figure 2. Conclusion Using large-scale data, we have trained a highly accurate convolutional neural network with excellent predictive accuracy for LV systolic dysfunction using the surface ECG. Such a tool would be invaluable for cardiologists when risk-stratifying patients with frequent PVCs, especially those that are asymptomatic. Patients at risk will benefit from early referral to electrophysiologists for drug therapy and catheter ablation to mitigate the risk of PVC-CM.Figure 1Figure 2

Abstract Background Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), of which coronary artery disease (CAD) is the primary manifestation, is the leading cause of death worldwide. The AHA/ACC Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE) facilitates risk stratification and initiation of primary prevention of ASCVD, however their performance is suboptimal. Purpose We develop an artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis (AI-ECG) algorithm to detect different stages of CAD and assessed the value of AI-ECG over PCE to predict incident myocardial infarction (MI) and survival over 3-years. Methods Using electronic health record data from approximately 7 million patients seen at over 70 hospitals and clinics across 5 states in the USA, we created independent AI-ECG models to identify elevated coronary artery calcium (CAC) by computer tomography, the presence of obstructive CAD by stress test or angiography, and left ventricular regional akinesis by echocardiogram, presumed to represent prior MI. Deep structured data, AI-enabled natural language processing of unstructured data were used to ensure cohort, and physician review of labeling were used to ensure cohort accuracy. These models were ensembled into a single model that was used to assess the utility of AI-ECG for predicting new occurrence MI in PCE- and age-stratified cohorts of patient with no prior history of ASCVD, over a 3-year timeframe using Cox’s proportional hazards analysis. Results A total of 6,080 patients (15,192 ECGs) were labeled positive for CAC ≥ 300, 12,561 patients (18,915 ECGs) positive for obstructive CAD, and 10,767 patients (23,870 ECGs) positive for regional akinesis. AI-ECG for identifying elevated CACS, obstructive CAD, and regional akinesis achieved AUROCs of 0.86, 0.80, and 0.93, respectively. All AI-ECG models identified increased 3-year risk for MI and death in AI-ECG positive versus AI-ECG negative patients and subgroups with 2 or 3 positive results had stepwise increased risk (Figure A). In a 3-year survival analysis of all-comer patients, the hazard ratio for those that tested positive on 1, 2, or 3 versus 0 positive disease-specific models were 1.61 (1.53-1.69). 2.40 (2.27-2.55), 3.42 (3.21-3.65), respectively. Risk stratification was also observed in cohorts without prior ASCVD stratified by low and high PCE-derived 10-year ASCVD risk (Figure B) and in cohorts stratified by age, including under the age of 40. Conclusions AI-ECG has potential to address unmet need for accessible risk stratification in patients in whom PCE under, over, or insufficiently estimate ASCVD risk, and in whom risk assessment over periods of time shorter than 10 years is desired.