AbstractBackgroundThe clinical relevance of cardiac troponin (cTn) elevation in takotsubo syndrome (TTS) remains uncertain. The present study sought to investigate the role of cardiac troponin (cTn) elevations in mortality prediction of patients with Takotsubo syndrome (TTS).MethodsPatients enrolled in the International Takotsubo (InterTAK) Registry from January 2011 to February 2020 with available data on peak cTn levels were included in the analysis. Peak cTn levels during the index hospitalization were used to define clinically relevant myocardial injury. The threshold at which clinically relevant myocardial injury drives mortality at 1 year was identified using restricted cubic spline analysis.ResultsOut of 2′938 patients, 222 (7.6%) patients died during 1‐year follow‐up. A more than 28.8‐fold increase of cTn above the upper reference limit was identified as threshold for clinically relevant myocardial injury. The presence of clinically relevant myocardial injury was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality at 5 years (adjusted HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.18–2.12, p =.002). Clinically relevant myocardial injury was related to an increased 5‐year mortality risk in patients with apical TTS (adjusted HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.21–2.03, p =.001), in presence of physical stressors (adjusted HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.22–2.11, p =.001), and in absence of emotional stressors (adjusted HR 1.49, 95% CI, 1.17–1.89, p =.001).ConclusionThis study for the first time determined a troponin threshold for the identification of TTS patients at excess risk of mortality. These findings advance risk stratification in TTS and assist in identifying patients in need for close monitoring and follow‐up.
Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiogram for arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy detection
Abstract Aims ECG abnormalities are often the first signs of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) and we hypothesized that an artificial intelligence (AI)-enhanced ECG could help identify patients with ARVC and serve as a valuable disease-detection tool. Methods and results We created a convolutional neural network to detect ARVC using a 12-lead ECG. All patients with ARVC who met the 2010 task force criteria and had disease-causative genetic variants were included. All case ECGs were randomly assigned in an 8:1:1 ratio into training, validation, and testing groups. The case ECGs were age- and sex-matched with control ECGs at our institution in a 1:100 ratio. Seventy-seven patients (51% male; mean age 47.2 ± 19.9), including 56 patients with PKP2, 7 with DSG2, 6 with DSC2, 6 with DSP, and 2 with JUP were included. The model was trained using 61 case ECGs and 5009 control ECGs; validated with 7 case ECGs and 678 control ECGs and tested in 22 case ECGs and 1256 control ECGs. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of the model were 77.3, 62.9, 3.32, and 99.4%, respectively. The area under the curve for rhythm ECG and median beat ECG was 0.75 and 0.76, respectively. Conclusion Our study found that the model performed well in excluding ARVC and supports the concept that the AI ECG can serve as a biomarker for ARVC if a larger cohort were available for network training. A multicentre study including patients with ARVC from other centres would be the next step in refining, testing, and validating this algorithm.
Machine Learning-Based Prediction of in-Hospital Death for Patients with Takotsubo Syndrome: The InterTAK-ML Model
ABSTRACT Aims Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is associated with a substantial rate of adverse events. We sought to design a machine learning (ML)-based model to predict the risk of in-hospital death and to perform a clustering of TTS patients to identify different risk profiles. Methods and results A ridge logistic regression-based ML model for predicting in-hospital death was developed on 3482 TTS patients from the International Takotsubo (InterTAK) Registry, randomly split in a train and an internal validation cohort (75% and 25% of the sample size, respectively) and evaluated in an external validation cohort (1037 patients). Thirty-one clinically relevant variables were included in the prediction model. Model performance represented the primary endpoint and was assessed according to area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity. As secondary endpoint, a K-medoids clustering algorithm was designed to stratify patients into phenotypic groups based on the 10 most relevant features emerging from the main model. The overall incidence of in-hospital death was 5.2%. The InterTAK-ML model showed an AUC of 0.89 (0.85–0.92), a sensitivity of 0.85 (0.78–0.95) and a specificity of 0.76 (0.74–0.79) in the internal validation cohort and an AUC of 0.82 (0.73–0.91), a sensitivity of 0.74 (0.61–0.87) and a specificity of 0.79 (0.77–0.81) in the external cohort for in-hospital death prediction. By exploiting the 10 variables showing the highest feature importance, TTS patients were clustered into six groups associated with different risks of in-hospital death (28.8% vs. 15.5% vs. 5.4% vs. 1.0.8% vs. 0.5%) which were consistent also in the external cohort. Conclusion A ML-based approach for the identification of TTS patients at risk of adverse short-term prognosis is feasible and effective. The InterTAK-ML model showed unprecedented discriminative capability for the prediction of in-hospital death.