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Al‐Shammari, Ali Saad

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4298-5456

Mayo Clinic

University of Baghdad

Citations 7

Intensive Versus Standard Systolic Blood Pressure Targets Following Successful Endovascular Thrombectomy for Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Systematic Review With Frequentist and Bayesian Meta-Analysis
Ibrahim, A, Islam, M Rafiqul , Khalil, Ibrahim , Al‐Shammari, Ali Saad , Mourad, Sohaila , Balbaa, Elsayed, Elbenawi, Hossam , Sattar, Yasar , Katsanos, Aristeidis H. , Andò, Giuseppe , Ibrahim, Ahmed , Islam, M Rafiqul , Khalil, Ibrahim , Al-Shammari, Ali Saad , Balbaa, Elsayed , Sattar, Yasar , Katsanos, Aristeidis H , Andò, Giuseppe , Manasrah, AlMothana

Stroke: Vascular and Interventional Neurology | April 14, 2026 | Volume: 6 | Issue: 3 | Pages: No page available

10.1161/svin.125.002200 Get It

BACKGROUND: Blood pressure management following successful reperfusion with endovascular thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion remains debated. This meta-analysis aimed to determine whether intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) management improves clinical outcomes compared with a standard approach after endovascular thrombectomy. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science through October 2025 for relevant randomized controlled trials comparing intensive (SBP target <140 mm Hg) versus standard (SBP target <180 mm Hg) management. The primary efficacy and safety outcomes were functional independence (modified Rankin Scale score, 0–2) and any intracranial hemorrhage, respectively. We performed frequentist and Bayesian random-effects meta-analyses, supplemented by trial sequential analysis. RESULTS: Six randomized controlled trials comprising 1972 patients were included. In frequentist analysis, intensive SBP management was associated with a significantly reduced likelihood of achieving functional independence (risk ratio, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.73–0.93]). Bayesian analysis confirmed this harmful effect (posterior median risk ratio, 0.83 [95% credible interval, 0.7–1.02]), with a posterior probability of benefit of only 3.2%. Furthermore, ordinal shift analysis indicated that intensive SBP management was associated with a significant shift toward worse functional outcomes across the full modified Rankin Scale score distribution (common odds ratio, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.10–1.44]), a finding supported by a low posterior probability of benefit of 2.1%. No significant differences were observed in the risk of any intracranial hemorrhage (risk ratio, 1.05 [95% CI, 0.96–1.16]). The corresponding Bayesian analysis yielded a posterior risk ratio estimate of 1.05 (95% credible interval, 0.90–1.21) for any intracranial hemorrhage, with a posterior probability of benefit of 23%. Trial sequential analysis indicated that the cumulative evidence reached the boundary for harm and futility for the primary efficacy and safety outcomes, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with acute ischemic stroke following successful endovascular thrombectomy, intensive SBP management was associated with worse functional outcomes and provided no clear safety benefit. These findings support a standard, guideline-based SBP management strategy over an intensive approach.
Abstract 4361481: Catheter Ablation for Ventricular Tachycardia in Ischemic Cardiomyopathy: A Meta-Analysis with Reconstructed Time-to-Event and Trial Sequential Analysis
Elbenawi, Hossam , Elsalmouny, Youmna, Mohamed, Kareem , Wagdy, Mohamed, Hamed, Belal, Thakurathi, Priyesh , Kalaiger, Abdul M., Ibrahim, Ahmed M. , Eisa, Mahmoud , Ibrahim, Ramzi , Zaaya, Morad, Almaadawy, Omar , Quelal, Karol , Lee, Justin Z. , Siontis, Konstantinos C. , Munoz, Freddy Del‐Carpio , DeSimone, Christopher P., Deshmukh, Abhishek , Agarwal, Siddharth , Agarwal, Siddharth , Hashim, Ahmed , Agarwal, Siddharth, Wagdy, Mohamed , Hamed, Belal, Al‐Shammari, Ali Saad , Ibrahim, Ramzi , Tan, Min Choon , Asad, Zain Ul Abideen , Desimone, Christopher, Deshmukh, Abhishek

Circulation | November 3, 2025 | Volume: 152 | Issue: Suppl_3 | Pages: No page available

10.1161/circ.152.suppl_3.4361481 Get It

Background: Ventricular tachycardia (VT) is a major contributor to death among ischemic heart disease (IHD) patients. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we evaluate the efficacy of catheter ablation in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy. Methods: We conducted a meta-analysis by searching the electronic database up to April 2025. Seven studies, including 1192 patients, were identified. A random-effect model was used to estimate pooled risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Trial sequential analysis was conducted to assess sample size adequacy. Results: Among Ischemic heart disease patients with ICDs, VT ablation was associated with a significant reduction in ICD shocks (RR = 0.50, 95% CI [0.34–0.74]), a trend toward reduced VT storm (RR = 0.64, 95% CI [0.40–1.04], p = 0.07), and lower rates of cardiovascular hospitalization (RR = 0.73, 95% CI [0.53–1.01], p = 0.06) compared to ICD alone. However, no significant differences were observed when compared to patients receiving ICD plus antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs). Additionally, VT ablation showed no significant impact on mortality or VT/VF recurrence compared to either ICD alone or ICD with AADs. Trial Sequential Analysis provided conclusive evidence for VT/VF recurrence outcomes, while further data are required for other outcomes. Conclusion: Among ischemic heart disease patients with ICD, VT ablation reduces ICD shocks, VT storm, and cardiovascular hospitalizations compared to ICD-only, but offers no significant advantage over ICD combined with antiarrhythmic drugs. VT ablation does not impact mortality or the recurrence of VT/VF. Trial Sequential Analysis confirmed conclusive evidence for VT/VF recurrence, while additional data is needed for other outcomes.
Catheter Ablation for Ventricular Tachycardia in Ischemic Cardiomyopathy: A Meta‐Analysis With Reconstructed Time‐to‐Event and Trial Sequential Analysis
Elbenawi, Hossam , Ayman, Youmna , Hashim, Ahmed , Wagdy, Mohamed, Thakurathi, Priyesh , Al‐Shammari, Ali Saad , Mohamed, Kareem A., Kalaiger, Abdul M., Ibrahim, Ahmed M. , Eisa, Mahmoud , Ibrahim, Ramzi , Zaaya, Morad, Almaadawy, Omar , Quelal, Karol , Lee, Justin Z. , Siontis, Konstantinos C. , Munoz, Freddy Del‐Carpio , Deshmukh, Abhishek , Agarwal, Siddharth , Al-Shammari, Ali Saad , Ibrahim, Ramzi , Tan, Min Choon , Quelal, Karol , Asad, Zain Ul Abideen , Siontis, Konstantinos C , Del-Carpio Munoz, Freddy , DeSimone, Christopher V , Deshmukh, Abhishek J , Agarwal, Siddharth , Kalaiger, Abdul Mukhtadir , Agarwal, Siddharth, Wagdy, Mohamed , Hamed, Belal Mohamed , Mohamed, Kareem A., Ibrahim, Ramzi , Asad, Zain Ul Abideen , Arenal, Ángel , DeSimone, Christopher V.

Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology | September 17, 2025 | Volume: 36 | Issue: 11 | Pages: 2934-2949

10.1111/jce.70075 Get It

ABSTRACT Background Ventricular tachycardia (VT) is a major contributor to sudden cardiac death among patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD). While catheter ablation reduces the arrhythmic burden, the impact on long‐term outcomes remains uncertain. We assess the efficacy of catheter ablation in patients with IHD. Methods We performed a meta‐analysis by systematically searching electronic databases from inception to April 2025. Pairwise, reconstructed time‐to‐event data meta‐analyses and Trial Sequential analyses were conducted. Results A total of seven studies (1192 participants) were included. Among patients with IHD with ICD, VT ablation was associated with a significant reduction in ICD shocks (RR = 0.50, 95% CI = [0.34–0.74]), a trend toward reduced VT storm (RR = 0.64, 95% CI = [0.40–1.04], p = 0.07), and lower rates of cardiovascular hospitalization (RR = 0.73, 95% CI = [0.53–1.01], p = 0.06) compared to ICD alone. However, no significant differences were observed when compared to patients receiving ICD plus antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs). VT ablation showed no significant impact on mortality or VT/VF recurrence compared to either ICD alone or ICD with AADs. Reconstructed Kaplan–Meier analysis for all‐cause mortality showed no significant difference between VT ablation and AAD + ICD. Trial Sequential Analysis provided conclusive evidence for VT/VF recurrence, while further data is required for other outcomes. Conclusion Among patients with IHD with ICD, VT ablation reduces ICD shocks, VT storm, and cardiovascular hospitalizations compared to ICD‐only therapy, but offers no significant advantage over ICD combined with AADs. VT ablation does not impact overall mortality or the recurrence of VT/VF. Trial sequential analysis confirmed conclusive evidence for VT/VF recurrence, while additional data is needed for other outcomes.
Impact of Anemia on Clinical Outcomes in Atrial Fibrillation Patients on Oral Anticoagulants: A Prognostic Meta‐Analysis
Amin, Ahmed Mazen , Elbenawi, Hossam , Odat, Ramez M. , Elgebaly, Mohamed , Al‐Shammari, Ali Saad , Manasrah, AlMothana , Nakhla, Michael , Ayman, Dina , Ali, Mohamed Ahmed , Helmi, Ahmed , Ternes, Caique M. P. , Zeb, Irfan , Deshmukh, Abhishek , Abuelazm, Mohamed , Ternes, Caique M P , Abdelazeem, Basel , Zeb, Irfan , Deshmukh, Abhishek J , DeSimone, Christopher V , d'Avila, Andre , Odat, Ramez M , Al-Shammari, Ali Saad , Ali, Mohamed Ahmed , Abuelazm, Mohamed , Abdelazeem, Basel , DeSimone, Christopher V.

Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology | December 24, 2024 | Volume: 36 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 430-448

10.1111/jce.16537 Get It

ABSTRACTBackgroundAnemia is frequently observed as a comorbidity in atrial fibrillation (AF), especially in elderly patients and in those on anticoagulation. This has been associated with poor clinical outcomes. We aim to investigate the impact of anemia on clinical outcomes in patients with AF on oral anticoagulation.MethodsWe comprehensively searched PubMed, WOS, SCOPUS, EMBASE, and CENTRAL through March 2024 and conducted a prognostic systematic review and meta‐analysis. All analyses were performed using R V. 4.3.1. This meta‐analysis was registered at PROSPERO (CRD42024556023).ResultsWe included 23 studies comprising 286,781 patients for analysis. Anemia had a significant association with an 84% increase in risk of major bleeding (HR: 1.84 with 95% CI [1.59, 2.13], p < 0.01), a 32% increase in the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (HR: 1.32 with 95% CI [1.10, 1.58], p < 0.01), a 98% increase in the risk of gastrointestinal bleeding (HR: 1.98 with 95% CI [1.67, 2.35], p < 0.01), and a 91% increase in the risk of all‐cause mortality (HR: 1.91 with 95% CI [1.46, 2.51], p < 0.01). However, the impact of anemia did not significantly affect the risk of stroke, transient ischemic stroke (TIA), or systemic embolism (HR: 1.07 with 95% CI [0.93, 1.22], p = 0.36).ConclusionAnemia was significantly associated with an increased risk of major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, gastrointestinal bleeding, and all‐cause mortality. However, anemia did not significantly impact stroke, TIA, or systemic embolism.
Cardiac troponin elevation and mortality in takotsubo syndrome: New insights from the international takotsubo registry
Stähli, Barbara E. , Schindler, Matthias , Schweiger, Victor , Cammann, Victoria L. , Szawan, Konrad A. , Niederseer, David , Würdinger, Michael , Schönberger, Alexander, Schönberger, Maximilian, Koleva, Iva, Mercier, Julien C., Petkova, Vanya, Mayer, Silvia, Gili, Sebastiano , Franke, Jennifer , Meder, Benjamin , Jaguszewski, Miłosz, Knorr, Maike, Jansen, Thomas , Lewinski, Dirk von , Burgdorf, Christof , Kherad, Behrouz , Tschöpe, Carsten , Sarcon, Annahita, Shinbane, Jerold S., Rajan, Lawrence, Michels, Guido, Pfister, Roman , Jacobshagen, Claudius, Karakas, Mahir , Pott, Alexander , Meyer, Philippe , Roffi, Marco , Wolfrum, Mathias , Fischer, Thomas, Vasankari, Tuija , Dworakowski, Rafał , MacCarthy, Philip , Osswald, Stefan , Galiuto, Leonarda , Chan, Christina , Bridgman, Paul , Beug, Daniel , Gilyarova, Ekaterina, Gilyarov, Mikhail , Akın, İbrahim , Poledníková, Karolína, Massoomi, Michael , Carrilho‐Ferreira, Pedro , Hauck, Christian , Paolini, Carla , Bilato, Claudio , Kobayashi, Yoshio , Ishibashi, Iwao, Himi, Toshiharu, Din, Jehangir , Rihal, Charanjit S. , Liu, Kan , Jörg, Lucas, Rickli, Hans , Böhm, M., Pinto, Fausto J. , Widimský, Petr , Felix, Stephan B. , Rottbauer, Wolfgang , Budnik, Monika , Opolski, Grzegorz , Thiele, Holger, Kong, William, Dalakoti, Mayank , Imori, Yoichi , Liberale, Luca , Münzel, Thomas , Bax, J. J., Ghadri, Jelena R. , Vece, Davide Di , Templin, Christian , Budnik, Monika , Roffi, Marco , Liberale, Luca , Montecucco, Fabrizio , von Lewinski, Dirk , Tschöpe, Carsten , Meyer, Philippe , Bilato, Claudio , Citro, Rodolfo , Vecchione, Carmine , Bossone, Eduardo , Neuhaus, Michael, Noutsias, Michel , D’Ascenzo, Fabrizio, Dichtl, Wolfgang , Cuneo, Alessandro , Köenig, Wolfgang , Banning, Adrian , Cuculi, Florim , Kobza, Richard , Airaksinen, Juhani , Napp, L. Christian , Kaiser, Christoph A. , Delmas, Clément , Lairez, Olivier , Shilova, Alexandra S. , El‐Battrawy, Ibrahim , Toušek, Petr , Winchester, David E. , Gałuszka, Jan , Ukena, Christian , Poglajen, Gregor , Kato, Ken , Al‐Shammari, Ali Saad , Prasad, Abhiram , Rihal, Charanjit S. , Schulze, Paul Christian , Bianco, Matteo , Pestana, Gonçalo , Nguyen, Thanh Ha Tuan , Maier, Lars S. , Braun-Dullaeus, Ruediger Christian , Hasenfuß, Gerd , Pieske, Burkert , Schunkert, Heribert , Thiele, Holger , Bauersachs, Johann , Horowitz, John D. , Mario, Carlo Di , Crea, Filippo , Luescher, T F , Ruschitzka, Frank T.

European Journal of Clinical Investigation | October 14, 2024 | Volume: 54 | Issue: 12 | Pages: No page available

10.1111/eci.14317 Get It

AbstractBackgroundThe clinical relevance of cardiac troponin (cTn) elevation in takotsubo syndrome (TTS) remains uncertain. The present study sought to investigate the role of cardiac troponin (cTn) elevations in mortality prediction of patients with Takotsubo syndrome (TTS).MethodsPatients enrolled in the International Takotsubo (InterTAK) Registry from January 2011 to February 2020 with available data on peak cTn levels were included in the analysis. Peak cTn levels during the index hospitalization were used to define clinically relevant myocardial injury. The threshold at which clinically relevant myocardial injury drives mortality at 1 year was identified using restricted cubic spline analysis.ResultsOut of 2′938 patients, 222 (7.6%) patients died during 1‐year follow‐up. A more than 28.8‐fold increase of cTn above the upper reference limit was identified as threshold for clinically relevant myocardial injury. The presence of clinically relevant myocardial injury was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality at 5 years (adjusted HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.18–2.12, p =.002). Clinically relevant myocardial injury was related to an increased 5‐year mortality risk in patients with apical TTS (adjusted HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.21–2.03, p =.001), in presence of physical stressors (adjusted HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.22–2.11, p =.001), and in absence of emotional stressors (adjusted HR 1.49, 95% CI, 1.17–1.89, p =.001).ConclusionThis study for the first time determined a troponin threshold for the identification of TTS patients at excess risk of mortality. These findings advance risk stratification in TTS and assist in identifying patients in need for close monitoring and follow‐up.
Cardiac biomarkers for diagnosing Takotsubo syndrome
Schweiger, Victor , Vece, Davide Di , Cammann, Victoria L. , Koleva, Iva, Würdinger, Michael , Gilhofer, Thomas , Rajman, Katja, Szawan, Konrad A. , Niederseer, David , Gili, Sebastiano , Franke, Jennifer , Meder, Benjamin , Knorr, Maike, Jansen, Thomas , Bruno, Francesco , Filippo, Ovidio De , Stefanini, Giulio , Wańha, Wojciech , Lewinski, Dirk von , Burgdorf, Christof , Kherad, Behrouz , Tschöpe, Carsten , Sarcon, Annahita, Shinbane, Jerold S., Rajan, Lawrence, Michels, Guido, Pfister, Roman , Jacobshagen, Claudius, Karakas, Mahir , Pott, Alexander , Meyer, Philippe , Roffi, Marco , Wolfrum, Mathias , Fischer, Thomas, Vasankari, Tuija , Dworakowski, Rafał , MacCarthy, Philip , Osswald, Stefan , Galiuto, Leonarda , Chan, Christina , Bridgman, Paul , Beug, Daniel , Gilyarova, Ekaterina, Poledníková, Karolína, Massoomi, Michael , Carrilho‐Ferreira, Pedro , Hauck, Christian , Paolini, Carla , Bilato, Claudio , Kobayashi, Yoshio , Ishibashi, Iwao, Himi, Toshiharu, Din, Jehangir , Rihal, Charanjit S. , Jörg, Lucas, Rickli, Hans , Böhm, Michael , Pinto, Fausto J. , Widimský, Petr , Felix, Stephan B. , Rottbauer, Wolfgang , Budnik, Monika , Opolski, Grzegorz , Kong, William , Dalakoti, Mayank , Imori, Yoichi , Münzel, Thomas , Lüscher, Thomas F. , Ghadri, Jelena R. , Templin, Christian , Citro, Rodolfo , Vecchione, Carmine , Bossone, Eduardo , Meder, Benjamin , Bruno, Francesco , De Filippo, Ovidio , Campo, Gianluca , von Lewinski, Dirk , Tschöpe, Carsten , Pfister, Roman , Koenig, Wolfgang , Meyer, Philippe , Banning, Adrian , Kobza, Richard , Galiuto, Leonarda , Lairez, Olivier , Gilyarov, Mikhail , Akin, Ibrahim , Ukena, Christian , Hauck, Christian , Paolini, Carla , Bilato, Claudio , Böhm, Michael , Widimský, Petr , Rottbauer, Wolfgang , Schunkert, Heribert , Thiele, Holger , Bauersachs, Johann , Di Mario, Carlo , Bax, Jeroen J , Templin, Christian , Koleva, Iva, Citro, Rodolfo , Vecchione, Carmine , Bossone, Eduardo , Neuhaus, Michael, Jaguszewski, Miłosz , Noutsias, Michel , D’Ascenzo, Fabrizio , Campo, Gianluca , Raposeiras‐Roubín, Sergio , Dichtl, Wolfgang , Cuneo, Alessandro , Köenig, Wolfgang , Banning, Adrian , Cuculi, Florim , Kobza, Richard , Airaksinen, Juhani , Napp, L. Christian , Kaiser, Christoph A. , Delmas, Clément , Lairez, Olivier , Shilova, Alexandra S. , El‐Battrawy, Ibrahim , Toušek, Petr , Winchester, David E. , Gałuszka, Jan , Ukena, Christian , Poglajen, Gregor , Kato, Ken , Al‐Shammari, Ali Saad , Prasad, Abhiram , Rihal, Charanjit S. , Liu, Kan , Schulze, Paul Christian , Bianco, Matteo , Pestana, Gonçalo , Nguyen, Thanh Ha Tuan , Maier, Lars S. , Braun-Dullaeus, Ruediger Christian , Hasenfuß, Gerd , Pieske, Burkert , Horowitz, John D. , Mario, Carlo Di , Bax, Jeroen J. , Crea, Filippo , Ruschitzka, Frank T.

European Heart Journal | May 8, 2024 | Volume: 45 | Issue: 25 | Pages: 2254-2258

10.1093/eurheartj/ehae231 Get It

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of in-Hospital Death for Patients with Takotsubo Syndrome: The InterTAK-ML Model
Filippo, Ovidio De , Cammann, Victoria L. , Vece, Davide Di , Schweiger, Victor , Niederseer, David , Szawan, Konrad A. , Würdinger, Michael , Koleva, Iva, Bellino, Michele , Vecchione, Carmine , Bossone, Eduardo , Gili, Sebastiano , Franke, Jennifer , Meder, Benjamin , Knorr, Maike, Jansen, Thomas , Lewinski, Dirk von , Burgdorf, Christof , Kherad, Behrouz , Tschöpe, Carsten , Sarcon, Annahita, Shinbane, Jerold S., Rajan, Lawrence, Michels, Guido, Pfister, Roman , Jacobshagen, Claudius, Karakas, Mahir , Pott, Alexander , Meyer, Philippe , Roffi, Marco , Wolfrum, Mathias , Cuculi, Florim , Fischer, Thomas, Vasankari, Tuija , Dworakowski, Rafał , MacCarthy, Philip , Osswald, Stefan , Galiuto, Leonarda , Chan, Christina , Bridgman, Paul , Beug, Daniel , Gilyarova, Ekaterina, Gilyarov, Mikhail , Akın, İbrahim , Poledníková, Karolína, Winchester, David E. , Massoomi, Michael , Carrilho‐Ferreira, Pedro , Hauck, Christian , Paolini, Carla , Bilato, Claudio , Kobayashi, Yoshio, Ishibashi, Iwao, Himi, Toshiharu, Din, Jehangir , Rihal, Charanjit S. , Liu, Kan , Jörg, Lucas, Rickli, Hans , Böhm, Michael , Pinto, Fausto J. , Widimský, Petr , Felix, Stephan B. , Rottbauer, Wolfgang , Budnik, Monika , Opolski, Grzegorz , Bruno, Francesco , Kong, William , Dalakoti, Mayank , Imori, Yoichi , Münzel, Thomas , Crea, Filippo , Lüscher, Thomas F. , Ghadri, Jelena R. , Templin, Christian , Bossone, Eduardo , Vecchione, Carmine , Bruno, Francesco , von Lewinski, Dirk , Tschöpe, Carsten , Meyer, Philippe , Bilato, Claudio , Pancotti, Corrado , Silverio, Angelo , Dusi, Veronica , Parodi, Guido , Neuhaus, Michael, Jaguszewski, Miłosz , Noutsias, Michel , Dichtl, Wolfgang , Cuneo, Alessandro , Köenig, Wolfgang , Banning, Adrian , Kobza, Richard , Airaksinen, Juhani , Napp, L. Christian , Kaiser, Christoph A. , Delmas, Clément , Lairez, Olivier , Shilova, Alexandra S. , El‐Battrawy, Ibrahim , Toušek, Petr , Gałuszka, Jan , Ukena, Christian , Poglajen, Gregor , Kato, Ken , Himi, Toshiharu, Al‐Shammari, Ali Saad , Prasad, Abhiram , Rihal, Charanjit S. , Schulze, Paul Christian , Bianco, Matteo , Pestana, Gonçalo , Nguyen, Thanh Ha Tuan , Maier, Lars S. , Braun-Dullaeus, Ruediger Christian , Hasenfuß, Gerd , Pieske, Burkert , Schunkert, Heribert , Thiele, Hölger , Bauersachs, Johann , Horowitz, John D. , Mario, Carlo Di , Bax, Jeroen J. , Ruschitzka, Frank T. , Ferrari, Gaetano Maria De , Fariselli, Piero , Citro, Rodolfo , D’Ascenzo, Fabrizio

European Journal of Heart Failure | July 31, 2023 | Volume: 25 | Issue: 12 | Pages: 2299-2311

10.1002/ejhf.2983 Get It

ABSTRACT Aims Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is associated with a substantial rate of adverse events. We sought to design a machine learning (ML)-based model to predict the risk of in-hospital death and to perform a clustering of TTS patients to identify different risk profiles. Methods and results A ridge logistic regression-based ML model for predicting in-hospital death was developed on 3482 TTS patients from the International Takotsubo (InterTAK) Registry, randomly split in a train and an internal validation cohort (75% and 25% of the sample size, respectively) and evaluated in an external validation cohort (1037 patients). Thirty-one clinically relevant variables were included in the prediction model. Model performance represented the primary endpoint and was assessed according to area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity. As secondary endpoint, a K-medoids clustering algorithm was designed to stratify patients into phenotypic groups based on the 10 most relevant features emerging from the main model. The overall incidence of in-hospital death was 5.2%. The InterTAK-ML model showed an AUC of 0.89 (0.85–0.92), a sensitivity of 0.85 (0.78–0.95) and a specificity of 0.76 (0.74–0.79) in the internal validation cohort and an AUC of 0.82 (0.73–0.91), a sensitivity of 0.74 (0.61–0.87) and a specificity of 0.79 (0.77–0.81) in the external cohort for in-hospital death prediction. By exploiting the 10 variables showing the highest feature importance, TTS patients were clustered into six groups associated with different risks of in-hospital death (28.8% vs. 15.5% vs. 5.4% vs. 1.0.8% vs. 0.5%) which were consistent also in the external cohort. Conclusion A ML-based approach for the identification of TTS patients at risk of adverse short-term prognosis is feasible and effective. The InterTAK-ML model showed unprecedented discriminative capability for the prediction of in-hospital death.