Citations

Abstract Background: Approximately 70% of breast cancers are estrogen receptor-positive (ER+), and endocrine therapies, including selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERMs) and aromatase inhibitors (AIs), are standard-of-care. However, interpatient variability in treatment response and relapse remains substantial, suggesting underlying germline pharmacogenomic factors that modify ER signaling. Here, we mapped ER pharmacogenomic eQTLs to identify germline variants that modulate transcriptional responses to estradiol (E2) and tamoxifen (Tam). Methods: We treated 30 genotyped lymphoblastoid cell lines (LCLs) with vehicle, E2, Tam, or E2+Tam and performed RNA-seq to quantify ligand-induced expression fold changes. Using MatrixEQTL, we identified SNP-gene PGx-eQTLs (cis, ±200 kb), requiring evidence of ER transcriptional specificity via (i) reversal by dual treatment, and (ii) overlap with ER ChIP-seq binding annotations. Clinical relevance was assessed by linkage to breast cancer GWAS datasets, including NSABP, MA.27, and M3. Chromatin regulatory states were annotated (ChromHMM), and transcription factor motif enrichment was performed from SNP-centered ±200 bp regions. Results: Distinct PGx-eQTL architectures were identified for E2 and Tam, with partial overlap in ligand-responsive loci. ER PGx-eQTL variants were predominantly enriched in enhancer chromatin and co-localized with canonical ER-binding motifs. Integrative analysis with GWAS of breast cancer outcomes highlighted multiple drug-response-associated loci, including rs311392-MRPL15 and rs7953325-SYCP3. High MRPL15 expression was linked to shorter relapse-free survival, whereas high SYCP3 expression correlated with improved outcomes. Additional loci derived from a GWAS catalog for cancer and hormone phenotypes included rs2850247-SIK2 and rs11673604-LSM4, where higher SIK2 expression was associated with improved relapse-free survival and higher LSM4 expression with poorer outcomes. Conclusions: We identified ligand-dependent ER PGx-eQTLs that mechanistically connect germline regulatory variants to transcriptional response heterogeneity and clinical endocrine therapy outcomes. These SNP-gene relationships represent potential biomarkers for precision endocrine therapy selection and may reveal endocrine-dependent therapeutic vulnerabilities. Citation Format: Martin Meng, Huanyao Gao, August John, Arnab Ghosh, Shreya Indulkar, Liewei Wang, . Estrogen receptor-mediated pharmacogenomic eQTLs as predictors of endocrine therapy response in breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 3610.

Abstract Background: Glioblastoma recurrence is inevitable despite aggressive surgical resection of contrast enhancing (CE) tumor. Unlike the deep molecular characterization of CE glioblastoma, unresected infiltrating tumor, representing minimal residual disease (MRD) has not been well profiled. Increasingly, clinical trials are being conducted in the MRD setting for glioblastoma patients, necessitating understanding of unresected infiltrating tumor for targeted therapeutic development. Methods: Visium HD spatial transcriptomics was used to profile a cohort of newly diagnosed, treatment-naïve glioblastoma patients that underwent supramaximal resection, with both core and infiltrating in situ components. Spatial profiles generated expression signatures of infiltrative and CE tumor. For in silico prediction of therapeutics targeting the MRD, expression signatures of infiltrative and CE tumor were compared with drug perturbation signatures from the NIH L1000 database using the sRGES method to predict reversal of disease expression patterns. IC50 data from human cell lines were aggregated from the Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer or individual study data while blood-brain barrier (BBB) penetrance was predicted using the CNS-MPO approach. Findings: Infiltrative tumor expression profiles were enriched for genes corresponding to neural and oligodendrocyte progenitor like cells. In contrast CE glioblastoma displayed mesenchymal and astrocytic programs, suggesting spatial concentration of glioblastoma states within MRD and CE tumor. For CE glioblastoma, proteasome inhibitors and glucocorticoid receptor agonists were predicted to have the highest antitumor activity. In contrast, histone deacetylase inhibitors (HDACi) were highly ranked for MRD while exhibiting low predicted efficacy in CE tumor. Synergy analysis of drug candidates provided multiple dual treatment options for both the CE and MRD contexts. Conclusions: Cumulatively, these data indicate that the resected tumor does not reflect the MRD state, providing clarity on why targeted therapeutics for glioblastoma have not been particularly successful. Spatial profiling of the MRD demonstrates vulnerability to unique drug targets, which if utilized in the correct setting could confer greater survival benefit. Citation Format: Harrshavasan Congivaram, Shashwat Tripathi, Mateo Gomez, Katy McCortney, Ching Man Wai, Ruochen Du, Thomas K. Sears, Jianzhong Zhang, Daniel J. Brat, Craig M. Horbinski, Mark W. Youngblood, Jared T. Ahrendsen, Adam M. Sonabend, Stephen T. Magill, Matthew C. Tate, Maciej S. Lesniak, Sean Sachdev, Timothy Sita, Priya Kumthekar, Karan Dixit, Robin Buerki, Ditte Primdahl, Mustafa Khasraw, John de Groot, David A. Reardon, Rimas V. Lukas, Roger Stupp, Amy B. Heimberger. In silico screening of therapeutics candidates targeting minimal residual disease in glioblastoma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 2496.

Abstract Background: Epidemiologic and other studies have identified environmental, occupational, and genetic risk factors for lymphoid and myeloid malignancies, but most studies have been conducted in Western populations. Investigations in populations with differing exposure patterns, distributions of disease subtypes, and genetic architecture are needed to fully understand hematopoietic tumor etiology. Methods: We conducted a large, multicenter, hospital-based case-control study of lymphoid and myeloid neoplasms in East Asia (AsiaLymph), including 5,671 lymphoid cases, 1,879 myeloid cases, and 3,858 controls. Participants completed a computer-assisted personal interview and provided biospecimens. Cases underwent central pathology review and were coded into the WHO Classification. Herein, we describe the study methods in detail and report association results for education, body mass index, and family history. Results: Greater BMI at age 20 but not at age 40 was associated with odds of total lymphoid neoplasm (per 5 kg/m2 increase: OR [95% CI]: 1.18 [1.09-1.27]), total myeloid neoplasm (OR [95% CI]: 1.17 [1.05-1.29]), and several subtypes. Greater educational attainment was associated with increased odds of total lymphoid neoplasm (for college vs. less than primary education: OR [95% CI]: 1.41 [1.21-1.65]) but not myeloid neoplasm (OR [95% CI]: 1.17 [0.95-1.45]; p-heterogeneity=0.02). There were also positive associations between family history of hematologic cancer in first degree relatives and odds of lymphoid neoplasm (OR [95% CI]: 1.53 [1.15-2.03]) and myeloid neoplasm (OR [95% CI]: 1.65 [1.11-2.44]) and specific subtypes. None of the evaluated risk factors were associated with NK/T-cell lymphoma, which supports a distinct etiology for this subtype. Conclusion: The AsiaLymph Study is one of the largest molecular epidemiology studies of both lymphoid and myeloid neoplasms with standardized World Health Organization classification of histopathologic subtypes and will serve as a valuable resource for etiologic investigations into risk factors for these malignancies. Citation Format: Qing Lan, Lauren M. Hurwitz, John K. Chan, Tai Hing Lam, Kexin Chen, Yok Lam Kwong, Xu Caigang, Brian CH Chiu, Raymond Liang, Ip Dennis, Wei Hu, Bryan Bassig, Mark Purdue, Jun Xu, Sarah Locke, Sophia S. Wang, James R. Cerhan, Sonja Berndt, Jonathan N. Hofmann, Jianxin Shi, Kai Yu, Shahinaz Gadalla, Lisa J. McReynolds, Rena Jones, Hongji Dai, Zhangyan Lyu, Lugui Qiu, Wei Liu, Huilai Zhang, Xianhuo Wang, Lindsay M. Morton, Stephen Chanock, Martha Linet, Melissa C. Friesen, Roel Vermeulen, Nathaniel Rothman. A multi-center hospital-based case-control study of lymphoid and myeloid neoplasms (AsiaLymph): Study design and initial findings for education, body mass index, and family history [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 5051.

Abstract To enhance the prediction of traumatic brain injury (mTBI) outcomes, we propose a deep learning approach that integrates brain computed tomography (CT) scans with corresponding synthetic T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (T1-MRI). Our method significantly outperforms the prediction using CT scans alone. TRACK-TBI Pilot dataset, which includes imaging and clinical outcome data from patients with TBI, is studied. The hypothesis is brain CT and T1-MRI complement each other and together will improve TBI prognosis compared to using either CT or T1-MRI alone. Since CT and T1-MRI may not be available for the same individual, we employed a specialized version of a generative adversarial network (GAN), known as fixed-point GAN (FP-GAN). FP-GAN was trained using unpaired CT and T1-MRI scans to generate synthetic T1-MRIs from real CT scans. This process produced pseudo-paired CT-MRI data, which was then used to train a deep learning classifier for outcome prediction. The classifier consists of dual parallel 3D ResNet-18 models, each independently processing T1-MRI and CT scans. We used Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE) scores at 3 months post-TBI as the measure of patient outcomes. To avoid data leakage, the subjects used in FP-GAN and ResNet-18 model have no overlap. We further divided the paired data, allocating 69 samples for 5-fold cross-validation and 17 samples for testing. Prognostic performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), F1-score (the harmonic mean of precision and recall), sensitivity (true positive rate) and specificity (true negative rate). For binary classification, we defined good recovery as GOSE ≥ 7 (positive) and poor recovery (negative) as 3 ≤ GOSE ≤ 6. Accordingly, our training set consists of 24 subjects with poor recovery and 45 subjects with good recovery, while the testing set includes 5 subjects with poor recovery and 12 subjects with good recovery. A DeLong test on AUC confirms that the improvement from incorporating synthetic T1-MRI (AUC = 0.76 ± 0.10) is statistically significant (P < 0.05) compared to using CT alone (AUC = 0.68 ± 0.13). The significant improvement from using the combination of real CT and synthetic T1-MRI in sensitivity (SEN = 0.95 ± 0.07) and overall performance metrics, such as F1-score (F1 = 0.84 ± 0.03), suggests that the proposed approach provides a robust and effective prognostic approach compared to using CT alone (SEN = 0.83 ± 0.18 and F1 = 0.76 ± 0.07). This pilot research demonstrates the potential of a deep learning-based harmonization model to bridge the gap between CT and T1-MRI in TBI assessment. By integrating synthetic T1-MRI with CT, prediction performance is substantially enhanced.

Abstract Background: The Alaska Tribal Health System is working to increase colorectal cancer (CRC) screening among Alaska Native peoples. It is unknown why people who initially agree to screening might not follow through to complete their screening. Methods: As part of a larger intervention investigating multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) test use in rural Alaska communities, we interviewed Alaska Native people who had agreed to scheduling a colonoscopy or having a mt-sDNA kit sent to their home but who did not complete their selected test. Results: Of 531 Alaska Native people who initially agreed but did not complete screening, 299 (56%) were able to be contacted for a follow-up survey. Of those, 256 (86%) answered the survey; 187/224 (83%) who had chosen mt-sDNA, and 69/75 (93%) who had chosen colonoscopy. Reported reasons for non-completion of stool DNA test kits included being busy or forgetting, being uncomfortable doing a stool test, and not knowing how to do the test or concerns over how to return the kit for processing. Reasons for non-completion of colonoscopy included scheduling issues, physical health issues, travel, and housing barriers, as well as cost, fear, and being too busy. Of note, many respondents in both groups indicated they would still be interested in CRC screening in the future or were currently pursuing screening. Conclusions: This was the first exploration of reasons for non-adherence to CRC screening after initial test request by Alaska Native people. Many of the identified themes are amenable to health care system changes for future interventions to improve screening outreach and uptake. Citation Format: Diana Redwood, Christie A. Flanagan, Lauren Jeffries, Melissa Toffolon, Joseph Klejka, Lila J. Finney Rutten, Judith S. Kaur, John B. Kisiel. Non-completion of colorectal cancer screening among Alaska Native people in an intervention trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 2474.

Abstract Background: The cellular balance between saturated and monounsaturated fatty acids is a defining feature of tumor lipid metabolism, with SCD1 functioning as a key modulator through the production of MUFAs. Elevated SCD1 activity and MUFA accumulation have been documented in hepatocellular carcinomas, although the consequences of restricting MUFA synthesis have not been fully clarified. Methods: A selective SCD1 inhibitor, SSI-4, was evaluated across established human HCC cell lines and xenograft models. Measurements included cell viability, lipid compositional analyses, and characterization of stress response pathways at both molecular and biochemical levels. The effects of MUFA depletion were studied in vitro and in vivo, with attention to ER stress, apoptosis, ferroptosis markers, and autophagy induction. Results: SSI-4 treatment led to marked reduction in cellular MUFA content and an increase in saturated fatty acid pools. The resulting metabolic stress correlated with activation of unfolded protein response components, caspase-mediated cell death, and the upregulation of ferroptosis-associated genes. Triglyceride and MUFA levels declined precipitously, as confirmed by mass spectrometry-based lipidomics. Tumor growth was suppressed in PDX models and evidence of autophagic flux was apparent in sensitive cell lines. Variability in response highlights metabolic heterogeneity in HCC. Conclusions: Targeted disruption of MUFA biosynthesis inflicts metabolic vulnerability on HCC cells, precipitating membrane alterations and activation of multiple cell death programs. These findings recommend further investigation into metabolic interventions exploiting MUFA depletion, with consideration for stratifying patients according to lipid metabolic phenotypes. Funding: This work is supported by Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center and the Jay and Deanie Stein Career Development Award for Cancer Research at Mayo Clinic Jacksonville and the Mayo Clinic Translational Hepatobiliary Cancer SPORE P50CA210964 Career Enhancement Program (CEP) and Florida Department of Health/Florida Cancer Innovation Fund C25C23. Citation Format: Justyna J. Gleba, Victoria N. Rios, Brian M. Necela, Skyeler M. Klinge, Matt L. Pawlush, Mike J. Redig, Aylin Alasonyalilar-Demirer, Han W. Tun, John A. Copland III, . Disrupting tumor lipid homeostasis by MUFA depletion drives cell death in HCC [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 7333.

Abstract INTRODUCTION: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the 2nd most fatal cancer in the U.S.; most benefits of CRC screening are from detection of advanced pre-cancerous lesions (APLs). With a goal to improve non-invasive stool test APL sensitivity, we sought novel APL signatures in stool metaproteomes (host- and gut microbiome-derived proteins) among cancer-free controls (CTRL), APL, and CRC patients. Since dysbiosis in gut microbiota is associated with CRC initiation, we also examined the microbial source of differentially expressed proteins (DEPs). METHODS: Mass spectrometry was performed on archival stool supernatants (n=63 patients; 15 CTRL, 32 APL [16 adenomas & 16 sessile serrated lesions], 16 CRC). A sectioning and database-enrichment strategy was applied for peptide-spectrum matching. Microbial and human-derived proteins were searched against the Integrated Gene Catalogue (IGC) and UniProt human reference proteome. DEPs were identified using thresholds of P < 0.05 and fold-change ≥ 1.5. Pathway annotation of human DEPs was performed with the REVIGO webserver, while gut microbial DEPs were functionally categorized using the KEGG Automatic Annotation Server (KAAS). To assess the taxonomic distribution of microbial DEPs, sequences were aligned against the NCBI non-redundant database using BLASTP. RESULTS: Mass spectrometry detected 879 human and 32,514 microbiome-derived proteins. When limiting detection to proteins present in ≥ 75% of patients, only 117 human and 204 microbial proteins remained. There were 17 (4,875), 288 (9,638), and 63 (3,053) unique human (microbial) proteins detected in CTRL, APL, and CRC groups, respectively. When the protein presence cutoff was set at >30% of patients, there were 52 (13 human [11 upregulated, 2 downregulated], 39 microbial [28 upregulated, 11 downregulated]) DEPs detected for the CRC + APL vs CTRL comparison. Some pathways associated with upregulated human DEPs included: inflammatory response, cellular response to iron, and endothelial cell migration. The top upregulated microbial DEPs were derived from the Phocaeicola, Lachnospiraceae, and Oscillospiraceae genera. The top downregulated microbial DEPs belonged to the Bacteroides, Eubacterium, Agathobacter, Coprococcus, and Blautia genera. CONCLUSION: This work highlights the biological diversity and molecular heterogeneity of the stool proteome. We identified several host and microbial protein markers that differentiate APLs and early CRC from controls. These results provide a foundation for future validation studies, which are necessary to determine the clinical utility of these protein biomarkers prior to their integration into a noninvasive stool test. Citation Format: Emmalee J. Northrop-Albrecht, Vinod K. Gupta, William R. Taylor, Jason P. Sinnwell, Doug W. Mahoney, Patrick H. Foote, Kelli N. Burger, Jaeyun Sung, John B. Kisiel, . Comprehensive investigation of stool metaproteomes among patients with precancerous lesions and colorectal cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 7656.

Abstract Background: Multiple myeloma is the second most common adult blood cancer and remains incurable, despite recent advances. The IMWG/IMS recently published updated risk criteria, Consensus Genomic Staging (CGS), combining genomic events with clinical measures to identify high-risk patients (Avet-Loiseau, et al. JCO 2025). We applied CGS risk criteria to baseline samples from the Multiple Myeloma Research Foundation CoMMpass Study (NCT01454297), a prospective, longitudinal observational study that enrolled more than1100 participants between 2011-2017. Methods: We assessed patient risk following CGS criteria. Criteria 1: del(17p), with a cutoff of >20% clonal fraction, and/or TP53 mutation. Criteria 2: an IgH translocation including t(4;14), t(14;16), or t(14;20) along with 1q+ and/or del(1p32). Criteria 3: monoallelic del(1p32) along with 1q+ or biallelic del(1p32). Criteria 4: beta-2 microglobulin >= 5.5 mg/L with normal creatinine. Patients meeting one or more criteria were classified as High Risk. To test if risk showed association with genetic ancestry, we grouped patients into those with high African genetic ancestry and those with low African genetic ancestry. Genetic ancestry was measured using ADMIXTURE in comparison to 1000 Genomes. Results: We evaluated the CGS risk status of 877 CoMMpass patients, finding 69.2% (573/828) to be Standard Risk (SR) and 30.8% (255/828) to be High Risk (HR). HR patients showed worse progression-free survival (median PFS 26.3 months vs. 42.5 months; log rank test, p < 0.0001) and overall survival (median OS 63.9 months vs. median not reached; p < 0.0001). 10.6% (91/858) of patients met Criteria 1, 10.7% (93/873) met Criteria 2, 5.6% (49/877) met Criteria 3, and 8.7% (73/835) met Criteria 4. We found 14.2% (123/867) of patients to have high African-like genetic ancestry (AFR-high) and 85.8% (744/867) to have low African-like genetic ancestry (AFR-low). We observed significantly fewer HR patients within the AFR-high group (20%, 23/115) than in the AFR-low group (32.4%, 231/712) (Fisher’s exact test, p = 0.0065). The AFR-high group met HR criteria at a lower rate across all criteria, but only with Criteria 3 was the difference significant (p-value = 0.03). Higher levels of creatinine in AFR-high patients may have impacted meeting the normal creatinine requirement of Criteria 4. Conclusions: HR patients comprise 30.8% of CoMMpass subjects and show significantly worse PFS and OS than SR patients. AFR-high patients met HR criteria at a lower rate than AFR-low patients according to the CGS criteria. Clinical trials that utilize CGS criteria to determine patient eligibility may be challenged to enroll a representative patient population, including AFR-high patients. Screening and eligibility criteria should be carefully considered to mitigate potential enrollment disparities. Citation Format: Steven M. Foltz, Chaitanya R. Acharya, Alexander Gout, Yuxin Jin, David E. Avigan, Ravi Vij, Shaji Kunnathu Kumar, Sagar Lonial, Hearn Cho, Katie Wozniak, Jonathan J. Keats, Craig Cole, John D. Carpten, George J. Mulligan. Multiple myeloma risk classification of CoMMpass using Consensus Genomic Staging identifies differences between patients with high and low African genetic ancestry [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 3887.

Abstract Lipid metabolism plays an important role in lung cancer growth, survival, and therapeutic resistance. Stearoyl-CoA desaturase 1 (SCD1), the enzyme that converts saturated fatty acids (SFAs) into monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs), represents a metabolic vulnerability since cancer cells depend on MUFAs for membrane biosynthesis, ER homeostasis, and alternative energy to glucose. SSI-4 (a.k.a MTI-301) is a selective SCD1 inhibitor currently in Phase I clinical evaluation for metastatic, unresectable, or refractory solid cancers, but its activity in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) has not yet been characterized. To evaluate how NSCLC models respond to SCD1 blockade, we performed an initial screen of a panel of 17 human non-small cell lung cancer cell lines treated with 100 nM SSI-4 under defined serum conditions. Cell viability assays identified 9 responding cell lines, and dose-response studies confirmed IC50 values ranging from approximately 0.65 to 45.5 nM. Rescue experiments showed that adding oleic acid, an SCD1 regulated MUFA, reversed SSI-4-mediated growth inhibition, confirming mechanistically that this effect occurs through SCD1 blockade. Western blot analysis confirmed that SSI-4 treatment increased markers of endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress and apoptosis in sensitive lines, consistent with disruption of lipid homeostasis. In contrast, non-responsive lines exhibited minimal induction of these stress pathways and retained viability despite treatment. Soft agar assays further showed that SSI-4 reduced anchorage-independent colony formation in responsive lines, indicating that SCD1 inhibition suppresses a key malignant growth property in these NSCLC models. Collectively, these findings demonstrate that SSI-4 selectively inhibits proliferation in a subset of NSCLC cells through an SCD1-dependent mechanism by reducing MUFA availability and activating stress and apoptotic signaling. This work establishes a framework for subsequent in vivo studies and lays the foundation for exploring SCD1 inhibition as a potential therapeutic strategy for patients with limited treatment options in NSCLC, while also advancing understanding of the mechanisms by which SCD1 supports tumor survival. Citation Format: Valeria Romina Salerno Gonzales, Lauren Antal, Tamiel Nichole Turley, John A. Copland III. Inhibition of stearoyl-CoA desaturase 1 (SCD1) by SSI-4 as a therapeutic strategy in non-small cell lung cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 2942.

Abstract Background: Personalizing chemoradiotherapy (chemoRT) for locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC) is limited by the lack of early biomarkers that inform response during treatment. Current circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) molecular residual disease assays predict post-treatment outcomes but lack mid-treatment utility. ctDNA burden estimation has traditionally relied on variant-centric metrics such as maximum variant allele fraction (Max VAF), which rely on mutation-specific signals and may be confounded by histology-dependent shedding variability, allelic imbalance, and clonal hematopoiesis. Here we present circulating tumor fraction estimate (ctFE), a machine-learning composite score that integrates VAF distributions, copy-number alterations, and germline B-allele frequency deviations to approximate global tumor burden using a widely available, tumor-naïve clinical platform. Methods: A burden-based ctFE threshold was derived using pre-treatment plasma from a prospective phase II clinical trial of MR-guided hypofractionated chemoRT (LA-WU, n=26), locked, and applied unchanged to early mid-treatment samples (day 10-14). To test scalability and generalizability, its prognostic performance was validated in two real-world cohorts: 94 LA-NSCLC patients receiving definitive chemoRT (LA-RW) and 309 oligometastatic NSCLC patients receiving consolidative RT (OM-RW). ctFE and Max VAF were compared as continuous predictors across cohorts. Results: ctFE consistently outperformed Max VAF. In LA-WU, pre-treatment ctFE was associated with overall survival (OS HR=1.15, p=0.04) and progression-free survival (PFS HR=1.84, p=0.009), whereas Max VAF was not. Mid-treatment ctFE remained prognostic for PFS (HR=1.14, p=0.026). Early ctFE dynamics defined three molecular response groups with marked OS separation: consistently low, responder, and nonresponder groups (median OS 60.8 vs 13.0 vs 2.9 months, respectively; p<0.001). In multivariable models including both biomarkers, higher ctFE remained independently associated with worse survival in LA-RW (OS HR=1.88, p=0.010) and OM-RW (OS HR=1.37, p=0.040; PFS HR=1.45, p=0.008), whereas Max VAF did not. The locked ctFE threshold stratified OS across all cohorts (LA-WU HR=5.93; LA-RW HR=9.08; OM-RW HR=2.26; all p<0.001). Conclusion: ctFE provides clinically meaningful pre- and mid-treatment risk stratification and consistently outperforms Max VAF across locally advanced and oligometastatic NSCLC cohorts. We show that ctFE is a biologically informative, clinically generalizable and scalable ctDNA burden metric measurable using a tumor-naïve, off-the-shelf assay, supporting its practical utility in biomarker-adapted radiotherapy strategies. Citation Format: Ayesha Hashmi, Jessica Linford, Pradeep S. Chauhan, Kaushal Parikh, Rotem Ben-Shachar, John Guittar, Malvika Pillai, Jyoti Patel, Matteo Bergsagel, Nicholas P. Semenkovich, Kenneth R. Olivier, Sean S. Park, Dawn Owen, David M. Routman, Katie N. Lee, Alex D. Sherry, Aaron S. Mansfield, Daniel Morgensztern, Ramaswamy Govindan, Clifford G. Robinson, Carmen Bergom, Saiama N. Waqar, Bruna Pellini Ferreira, Gregory R. Vlacich, Aadel A. Chaudhuri. Early ctDNA quantification by ctFE outperforms Max VAF for survival stratification across locally advanced and oligometastatic NSCLC treated with radiotherapy [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 1183.