Citations

Abstract Rationale: Adverse social determinants of health (SDOH) are common in COPD and associated with increased mortality. However, cause-specific mortality is understudied. We evaluated associations of neighborhood-level SDOH with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among individuals with or at-risk for COPD. Methods: SPIROMICS is an ongoing, multi-center, longitudinal observational study of individuals across the US with current or former personal smoking histories (≥20 pack-years), with or without spirometrically-defined COPD. We established geocoded neighborhood-level SDOH at baseline using 2010 census tract data, including specifically, area deprivation index (ADI) (range 0-100, 100 = most disadvantaged), poverty level (percentage of households below the poverty line), poor food access (>1/3 of residents with no access to fresh food stores within 1 mile in urban areas and 10 miles in rural areas), and food desert (low income plus poor food access). We ascertained all-cause and cause-specific mortality through 12/31/2021 using the National Death Index. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we evaluated the risk of all-cause mortality for each SDOH. We utilized competing-risk regression models to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular, respiratory, COPD (a subset of respiratory), and neoplastic causes of death individually with each SDOH. Models were adjusted for demographics, smoking status, pack-years, BMI categories, coronary heart disease, FEV1% predicted and study site. Effect modification by lung function was assessed using multiplicative interactions between SDOH and FEV1% predicted. Results: Among 2977 participants, mean ADI was 40.1±27.8. Within a participant's neighborhood, on average 10.4±10.4% of households were below the poverty line, 933 (31.3%) had poor food access, and 220 (7.4%) resided in a food desert. During a median follow-up of 7.8 years (IQR 5.6-9.2), 744 (25.0%) participants died, most commonly from respiratory causes including COPD. Neither ADI nor neighborhood poverty level were associated with all-cause mortality or any specific cause of death (Table). Despite lack of associations between food access and mortality (Table), individuals residing in a food desert had elevated risks of all-cause (HR: 1.36 [95%CI: 1.03-1.79]) and cardiovascular (HR: 2.62 [95%CI: 1.5-4.35]) deaths. There was no significant effect modification by lung function. Conclusions: In a large cohort of individuals with personal smoking histories, with or without COPD, living in a food desert was associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. However, neighborhood poverty level and food access, the two components of food desert, were not independently associated with mortality, suggesting the association of multimodal SDOH variables with mortality in this population.

Abstract Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and pulmonary emphysema were the third-leading cause of death globally in 2019. Besides alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, emphysema lacks disease-modifying medications due to its heterogeneity and there remains a need to further investigate emphysema subtypes to advance its diagnosis and treatment. Recent unsupervised machine learning of the texture and anatomical location of emphysema on computed tomography (CT) images of the lung defined six quantitative CT emphysema subtypes uniquely associated with specific gene variants, environmental exposures, symptoms, physiology and clinical events. We aim to identify associations of plasma proteins with each CT emphysema subtype cross-sectionally in a multi-ethnic general population sample. MESA is a prospective cohort study that recruited 6,814 participants from six communities who self-identified as White, Black, Hispanic, or Asian race/ethnicity, ages 45-84 years old and free of clinical cardiovascular disease in 2000-02. The MESA Lung Study performed CT scans among 3,137 participants in 2010-12, which were labeled with previously described (PMID: 37268414) CT emphysema subtypes. Proteomics was assessed using SomaScan version 4.1 assay (7,596 plasma proteins). Linear regression models were adjusted for age, height, weight, sex, race, educational attainment, smoking status, pack years, urine cotinine level, body-mass index (BMI), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), CT scanner manufacturer and other CT emphysema subtypes. Results were adjusted to reflect a False Discovery Rate (FDR) p-value of less than 5% using the Benjamini-Hochberg method. Among 2,343 participants with both CT and proteomic data (mean age 69.5 years, 52.3% women, 23.7% with COPD), we identified statistically significant associations of proteins with the vanishing lung subtype (42 proteins; top hit Natural cytotoxicity triggering receptor 3 ligand 1, q = 2.9[asterisk]10-9), restrictive combined pulmonary fibrosis/emphysema (CPFE) subtype (11 proteins; top hit Integrin alpha-2/b1, q=1.0[asterisk]10-5), the combined bronchitis-apical emphysema subtype (9 proteins; top hit Desmoglein-2, q=8.8[asterisk]10-13), and the diffuse emphysema subtype (4 proteins; top hit Pulmonary surfactant-associated protein D, q=5.7[asterisk]10-3). No significant proteins were associated with the obstructive CPFE or senile subtypes after FDR correction. Most proteins were uniquely associated with one CT emphysema subtype, while a few proteins were associated with more than one subtype. This study identified specific proteins for different CT emphysema subtypes, many of which have been related less specifically to emphysema, including pulmonary surfactant production, anti-inflammatory pathways, and mitochondrial deregulation, amongst others. Validation of these proteomic associations can provide insight into further pathway assessment, clinical biomarker discovery, and targeted prevention of emphysema in the general population.

Abstract RATIONALE The best described endotype of COPD is alpha-1 antitrypsin (AAT) deficiency, which is due to a genetic abnormality in the SERPINA1 gene. Homozygotes for the Z allele (PI[asterisk]ZZ individuals) carry the genotype most commonly associated with severe AAT deficiency, but a highly prevalent endotype is the heterozygous state (PI[asterisk]MZ individuals). Here we test the hypothesis that individuals with PI[asterisk]MZ genotype are at higher risk for COPD exacerbation and healthcare utilization compared to those with no pathogenic variants in the SERPINA1 gene (PI[asterisk]MM individuals). METHODS Real-world data on 4,456 individuals with available AAT genotyping were extracted from the Cleveland Clinic Health System (CCHS) electronic health records (EHR) and analyzed to compare the risk of moderate COPD exacerbation (defined as a short-term steroid prescription), all-cause emergent care (defined as an express care visit, urgent care visit, or emergency department visit), and all-cause hospitalization between individuals with PI[asterisk]MZ vs. PI[asterisk]MM genotypes. Cox proportional hazards models were used to adjust for age, sex, race, BMI, smoking status, comorbidity count, liver disease diagnosis, and median income by zip code.To assess the effect of AAT levels on outcomes, we categorized participants into three groups based on AAT level and used 90 mg/dL as a threshold given it is the lower limit of the normal reference range and genotype: MM individuals with an AAT level >90 mg/dL, MZ >90 mg/dL and MZ <90 mg/dL. To assess the effect of PI[asterisk]MZ genotype among individuals with pre-existing lung disease, we performed a subgroup analysis of individuals with at least a six-month inhaler prescription. RESULTS In this cohort, 308 individuals had a PI[asterisk]MZ genotype. PI[asterisk]MZ was associated with increased risk for moderate COPD exacerbations (adjusted HR [95% CI]: 1.66 [1.27, 2.17]) and hospitalizations (adjusted HR [95% CI]: 1.44 [1.19, 1.75]) compared to PI[asterisk]MM. The risk of hospitalization was higher among PI[asterisk]MZ individuals with AAT levels <90 mg/dL (adjusted HR [95% CI]: 1.59 [1.14, 2.23]) but not in those with AAT levels >90 mg/dL, as compared to PI[asterisk]MM. Sensitivity analysis in those treated with inhaler therapy showed overall similar results. CONCLUSIONS Increased hospitalizations and moderate COPD exacerbations among PI[asterisk]MZ individuals compared to PI[asterisk]MM individuals merit future prospective studies to better characterize the longitudinal course and healthcare utilization among those with an PI[asterisk]MZ genotype. Given the high prevalence of these carriers globally, PI[asterisk]MZ represents a COPD phenotype that invites additional investigation to identify biomarkers of worse disease and treatable traits.

Abstract Rationale: Individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have different clinical trajectories, some with minimal symptom burden, others experiencing recurrent exacerbations, the most severe of which require hospitalization. Existing diagnostics, including spirometry and symptom assessments, lack the precision to identify high-risk patients who may benefit from timely preventive therapies. Nuclear cell-free DNA (ncfDNA) is a well-established marker of systemic tissue injury, implicated in amplifying inflammation by triggering type 1 interferon release by activating DNA-sensing pathways. Because COPD is accompanied by inflammation and tissue injury systemically, we hypothesized that ncfDNA is associated with increased risk of severe exacerbations requiring hospitalization. Methods: Design: We utilized baseline plasma samples randomly selected from 672 individuals with COPD from the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcomes Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS) cohort, which prospectively collected exacerbation numbers and type. The primary endpoint was exacerbation requiring hospitalization. Secondary endpoints included total number of exacerbations (defined as use of oral steroids, antibiotics, or healthcare utilization) and severe exacerbations (defined as requiring emergency room care or hospitalization). Measure: We measured plasma ncfDNA using digital droplet PCR. Analysis: We assessed the association of ncfDNA with exacerbation outcomes using negative binomial regression or Cox regression, adjusting for age, percent post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), supplemental oxygen use, and smoking status. Results: In total, 57% (n=383) of COPD participants experienced exacerbations, 29% (n=197) at least one severe, and 22% (n=145) requiring hospitalization, the latter at a median of 622 days from enrollment (IQR=287-997). Higher ncfDNA levels at enrollment correlated with measures of COPD severity, including baseline FEV1 (beta = -0.12, 95% CI -0.18 to -0.049, p <0.001). Higher ncfDNA associated with increased risk of COPD exacerbation requiring hospitalization (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.40, 95% CI 1.12-1.75, p =0.003) and severe exacerbations (IRR 1.36, 95% CI 1.11-1.67, p=0.002) and a trend towards total exacerbations (IRR 1.11, 95% CI 0.98-1.26, p= 0.09). The primary outcome, risk of time-to-first hospitalization, correlated significantly with higher ncfDNA with hazard ratio (HR) 1.23, 95% CI 1.01-1.49, p=0.037. Conclusion: These results suggest that ncfDNA may serve as a predictor for severe and hospitalization-associated COPD exacerbations. To better understand the relationship between ncfDNA and COPD pathophysiology, follow-up studies should explore longitudinal trends and cfDNA tissue sources, and their link to COPD exacerbations.

AbstractINTRODUCTIONHigher male prevalence in sporadic behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD) has been reported. We hypothesized differences in phenotypes between genetic and sporadic bvFTD females resulting in underdiagnosis of sporadic bvFTD females.METHODSWe included genetic and sporadic bvFTD patients from two multicenter cohorts. We compared behavioral and cognitive symptoms, and gray matter volumes, between genetic and sporadic cases in each sex.RESULTSFemales with sporadic bvFTD showed worse compulsive behavior (p = 0.026) and language impairments (p = 0.024) compared to females with genetic bvFTD (n = 152). Genetic bvFTD females had smaller gray matter volumes than sporadic bvFTD females, particularly in the parietal lobe.DISCUSSIONFemales with sporadic bvFTD exhibit a distinct clinical phenotype compared to females with genetic bvFTD. This difference may explain the discrepancy in prevalence between genetic and sporadic cases, as some females without genetic mutations may be misdiagnosed due to atypical bvFTD symptom presentation.Highlights Sex ratio is equal in genetic behavioral variant of frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD), whereas more males are present in sporadic bvFTD. Distinct neuropsychiatric phenotypes exist between sporadic and genetic bvFTD in females. Phenotype might explain the sex ratio difference between sporadic and genetic cases.

Abstract Introduction: Most people who die from prostate cancer are older than 75 years. However, prostate cancer diagnosed at younger ages is often more aggressive. While epidemiologic studies have examined the association between age and survival in patients with prostate cancer overall, the clinical drivers of this relationship in patients with advanced disease remain unclear. We leveraged the International Registry of Men with Advanced Prostate Cancer (IRONMAN, NCT03151629) to (1) quantify the association between age and overall survival and (2) explore whether this association is explained by treatments. Methods: We included 3, 734 patients enrolled from 15 countries with new diagnoses of metastatic hormone sensitive (mHSPC, N=2, 642) or castration resistant prostate cancer (CRPC, N=1, 092). Age at enrollment was categorized as <55, 55-59, 60-64 (reference), 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, 80-84, 85+ years. We computed age-specific death rates (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) by disease state (mHSPC, CRPC) at enrollment. To explore whether this relationship was explained by treatment, we fitted disease state-stratified Cox models and sequentially adjusted for (1) de novo metastatic status and country, and (2) baseline treatment (androgen deprivation therapy [ADT] alone, ADT + androgen receptor pathway inhibitors [ARPI], ADT + chemotherapy, ADT + ARPI + chemotherapy, other). Results: Over 5.5 years of follow-up (median: 3.2 years, IQR: 1.7, 4.8), 995 patients died from any cause. Younger patients were more likely to have de novo metastatic disease. Among those with mHSPC at enrollment, the age-specific death rates per 1, 000 person-years followed a J-shaped pattern: 80 (95% CI: 54, 117) in patients under 55 years, 58 (46, 74) in patients aged 60-64, 102 (78, 133) in patients aged 80-84, and 172 (125, 236) in patients aged 85 and older. The death rates among those with CRPC followed a similar pattern, albeit rates were higher in magnitude: 212 (95% CI: 140, 323) in patients under 55 years, 153 (115, 202) in patients aged 60-64, 200 (155, 258) in patients aged 80-84, and 204 (142, 291) in patients aged 85 and older. After adjusting for disease state, country, and the timing of diagnosis of metastases, death rates were substantially higher for ages 75-79 (HR 1.4; 95% CI 1.1, 1.7), 80-84 years (HR 1.6; 95% CI 1.2, 2.1), and 85 years and older (HR 2.0; 95% CI: 1.5, 2.7) compared to ages 60-64 years. Patients aged under 55 years had 1.4-fold higher death rates (95% CI: 1.0, 1.9) compared to those 60-64 years. After additionally adjusting for baseline treatment, overall survival remained worse for the older patients and the youngest age group with hazard ratios remaining meaningfully unchanged. Conclusion: Age at enrollment is associated with overall survival in people with advanced prostate cancer enrolled in IRONMAN in a J-shaped pattern. This relationship is not explained by differences in baseline treatment. Citation Format: Hannah E. Guard, Michelle O. Sodipo, Colleen B. McGrath, Anna Siefkas, Lauren E. Howard, Konrad H. Stopsack, Christopher M. Sauer, Robert Dreicer, Emilio Esteban, Hassan M. Dogo, Ademola Popoola, Charles Waihenya, Anders Bjartell, Kim N. Chi, Sebastien Hotte, Richard Cathomas, Deborah Enting, Scott Tagawa, Michael Ong, Michael Kolinsky, Vincent Khoo, Joaquin Mateo, Chidiebere N. Ogo, Rana R. McKay, Stefanie Fischer, Heather H. Cheng, Russell Szmulewitz, Young E. Whang, Anand Sharma, Frédéric Pouliot, Simon Crabb, Monica S. Chatwal, Miguel A. Climent, Raymond McDermott, Ian D. Davis, Camille Ragin, Folakemi T. Odedina, Simon Anderson, Simone Badal, Natalie Greaves, Karen A. Autio, Laurel Cannon, Alyssa Chan-Cuzydlo, Marie Grant, Travis Gerke, Hannah D. McManus, Philip W. Kantoff, Daniel J. George, Lorelei A. Mucci, IRONMAN investigator team. Disentangling the association between age and overall survival in an international cohort of patients with advanced prostate cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 4935.

Introduction: Physical activity (PA) has been identified as a protective factor for dementia, but the mechanisms linking PA to brain health are unclear. To elucidate potential pathways linking PA to brain health, we tested the hypothesis that higher levels of late-life PA are associated with a lower burden of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) pathology, cerebrovascular disease, and neurodegeneration measured through brain imaging and plasma biomarkers. Methods: ARIC-NCS participants without dementia in 2011-13 and with measures of PA, 3T brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and stored plasma samples were examined (n=1,771; mean age: 76.5 years; 40.5% male; 27.6% Black). Participants were classified as meeting or not meeting 2018 aerobic PA guidelines based on a standardized interviewer-administered questionnaire. MRI biomarkers included white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume (cm 3 ), total brain volume (TBV) (cm 3 ), and cortical thickness (CT) (mm). Plasma biomarkers of the ratio of amyloid beta 42 to 40 (Aβ42/Aβ40), phosphorylated Tau-181 (p-Tau181), neurofilament light chain (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) were measured using Quanterix Simoa immunoassays. All biomarkers were standardized to measures in 2011-13 to facilitate comparisons. Covariate-adjusted linear regression models estimated cross-sectional associations of PA with MRI or plasma biomarkers. Covariate-adjusted linear mixed effects models quantified associations of PA with the 5-year rate of change in a subset of participants with MRI (n=669) or plasma (n=651) biomarkers at both baseline and follow-up from 2011-19 (median follow-up: 5.4 years). Results: Meeting versus not meeting aerobic PA guidelines was cross-sectionally associated with lower volumes of WMH (β = -0.16, 95% CI: -0.25, -0.07), higher TBV (β = 0.09; 95% CI: 0.05, 0.13), and lower plasma NfL (β = -0.102, 95% CI: -0.184, -0.021) ( Figure ). Late-life PA was not associated with 5-year rates of change in MRI or plasma biomarkers. Conclusions: Late-life PA was cross-sectionally associated with less neurodegeneration and cerebrovascular disease. Associations with 5-year changes in imaging and plasma biomarkers of AD pathology, cerebrovascular disease, or neurodegeneration were not statistically supported. Longitudinal biomarker studies with wearable devices that quantify other daily intensity-based movement metrics (e.g., light PA) and larger sample sizes are needed to further examine mechanisms linking PA to brain health.

Background: Despite the availability of effective vaccines and a recent decrease in annual deaths, coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) remains a leading cause of death. Serological studies of anti-nucleocapsid (N) antibody response to infection provide insights into host immunobiology of adaptive immune response, which holds promise for identifying high-risk individuals for adverse acute and chronic COVID-19 outcomes. Hypothesis: Among participants previously infected with SARS-CoV-2, traditional vascular disease risk factors are associated with higher anti-N antibodies while vaccination is associated with lower anti-N antibodies. Methods: Among previously infected participants, anti-N antibodies were measured from dried blood spots collected between February 2021-February 2023 among 1,419 Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R) participants with prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. We measured anti-N IgG antibodies reported as median fluorescence intensity (MFI) units; reactivity (i.e., seropositivity) was defined based on MFI above a validated threshold. Vascular disease risk factors were assessed via pre-pandemic in-person examination, questionnaires, and medical record review. Multivariable generalized linear models regressed anti-N reactivity (modified Poisson) or LN transformed MFI (linear). Results: Among 1,419 participants with prior infection, mean age (standard deviation) was 65.8(12.1) years, 61% were women, and 42.8% were self-reported from a race/ethnicity minority group. Participant reactivity to nucleocapsid peaked at 69% by 4 months post-infection and waned to only 44% ≥12 months after infection. After multivariable adjustment, higher anti-N antibody response was associated with older age, Hispanic (vs. White) or American Indian (vs. White) race/ethnicity, lower income and education, former smoking, and higher anti-spike antibody levels. Asian race (vs. White) and vaccination ( even after infection ) were associated with lower nucleocapsid reactivity; common cardiometabolic co-morbidities were not associated with anti-N reactivity or levels (Figures 1 and 2). Conclusions: Among participants previously infected with SARS-CoV-2, select sociodemographic and behavioral risk factors were associated with higher anti-N antibody levels while vaccination was associated with lower anti-N antibody levels. The observation that vaccination, even after infection, is related to lower anti-N antibody levels merits further investigation.

Introduction: Physical activity (PA) has been identified as a modifiable factor inversely associated with cognitive decline and dementia risk. However, most longitudinal studies to date have short follow-up and report inconsistent results on the benefit of PA to support brain health among older adults. In this study, we hypothesized that higher levels of PA measured in late life would be associated with slower rates of global and domain-specific cognitive decline and a lower risk of dementia over ~10 years in late life. Methods: Dementia-free participants (n=5,982; mean age: 76 years; 42% male, 23% Black) who completed the interviewer-administered Modified Baecke PA Questionnaire at ARIC visit 5 (2011-2013) were included. Using the PA component of the American Heart Association’s Life’s Simple 7, participants’ PA levels were categorized as ideal, intermediate, or poor. Cognitive tests were administered at ARIC visits 5 (2011-13), 6 (2016-17), 7 (2018-19), 8 (2020), and 9 (2021-22), and were used to calculate factor scores for global cognitive function and the domains of memory, language, and executive function. Linear mixed models estimated the association of PA with change in cognitive function. Dementia cases were defined by adjudicated review, telephone interviews, informant interviews, hospitalization records, and death certificates. Dementia risk was estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. All models adjusted for age, sex, race-center, education, APOE-ε4 allele, smoking, hypertension, body mass index, and diabetes. Results: Participants with ideal or intermediate PA, compared to poor PA, had slower rates of decline in global cognition, but no significant differences in rates of decline across individual cognitive domains. Over a median follow-up of 7.8 years, participants with ideal (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.60, 0.67) or intermediate (adjusted HR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.80, 0.91) PA had a reduced risk of dementia compared to participants with poor PA. Conclusions: Higher PA levels in late life demonstrated a protective association with long-term global cognitive decline and incident dementia. Although further research with more frequent and objective measures of PA is needed to determine the duration, frequency, and intensity of PA recommended to promote brain health in older adults, our findings suggest that promoting PA among aging populations offers a non-invasive and accessible approach to support brain health.

Introduction: Vascular risk factors of hypertension, diabetes, and smoking in midlife (45-64 years) and possibly early late-life (65-74 years) are associated with increased risk of dementia. Current estimates of population attributable risk for dementia assume vascular factors are independent and do not interact to increase risk of dementia, which may underestimate the combined impact of vascular risk reduction on dementia incidence. In this study, we evaluated the joint association and interaction of vascular risk factors on risk of dementia. Methods: We performed a prospective cohort analysis using the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study using up to 33 years of follow-up (1987-2020). We used age as baseline (45-54 years, n=7,731; 55-64 years, n=12,273; and 65-74 years, n=6,660). We defined hypertension as systolic blood pressure ≥130 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure ≥80 mm Hg, or anti-hypertension medication use. We defined diabetes as fasting glucose level ≥126 mg/dL, non-fasting glucose ≥200 mg/dL, self-reported physician diagnosis, or use of any diabetes medication. Current smoking was self-reported. We investigated additive and multiplicative interactions for combinations of vascular risk factors on incident (adjudicated) dementia by age 80 using joint effect variables in Cox regression models stratified by age of risk factor measurement (45-54 years, 55-64 years, or 65-74 years). For interaction analyses, parameter values >1 indicate positive interaction (synergy) and values <1 indicate negative interaction (antagonism). Results: In participants with risk factors measured in these baseline age strata, there were 801 (10%), 995 (8%), and 422 (6%) cases of incident dementia by age 80, respectively. Hypertension and diabetes exhibited positive interactions on the additive and multiplicative scales in midlife (Figure 1). Diabetes and smoking in midlife had positive additive interaction (value >1, Figure 2). All vascular risk factor combinations in late-life had negative interactions on the multiplicative scale (values <1, Figures 1-3). Conclusions: Hypertension with diabetes and diabetes with smoking, all measured in midlife, interact to increase risk of dementia by age 80. The overall impact of reducing midlife vascular risk factors on incident dementia could be sizeable. These findings highlight the importance of multifactor interventions addressing combinations of vascular risk factors for dementia prevention strategies.