Oelsner, Elizabeth C.

ImportanceIdentifying factors associated with resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic can inform targeted interventions and resource allocation for groups disproportionately affected by systemic inequities.ObjectiveTo examine factors associated with self-reported resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic in racially and ethnically diverse, community-dwelling US adults.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis cross-sectional study was conducted as part of the Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R) study, which assessed the associations of the pandemic with self-reported resilience of participants from 14 established US prospective cohorts since January 2021. This report includes participants who responded to the self-reported resilience question on C4R questionnaires. Data was initially analyzed from October 2023 to May 2024, with updated analyses performed from August 2024 to April 2025.ExposureRace and ethnicity, behavior factors, health conditions, and social determinants of health measurements accessed before and during the COVID-19 pandemic through cohort visits and C4R questionnaires.Main Outcomes and MeasuresSelf-reported resilience was collected via 1 question (from the Brief Resilience Scale) in C4R questionnaires, “I tend to bounce back quickly after hard times.” Participants who answered agree or strongly agree were classified as resilient, and those who reported neutral, disagree, or strongly disagree were classified as not resilient. Modified Poisson regression was performed to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) and access multivariable-adjusted associations with resilience.ResultsOf 31 045 participants (18 672 [60%] women; 10 746 [34.6%] aged <65 years), 1185 (3.8%) identified as American Indian, 6728 (21.7%) as Black, 293 (0.9%) as East Asian, 6311 (20.3%) as Hispanic, 565 (1.8%) as South Asian, and 15 961 (51.3%) as White; a total of 23 103 participants (74.4%) self-identified as resilient. Compared with White participants, Black and Hispanic participants had higher prevalence of self-reported resilience (adjusted PR [aPR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.06; aPR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.06-1.11; respectively) and American Indian and East Asian participants had lower prevalence (aPR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.86-0.94; aPR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.68-0.84; respectively). Higher education, being married or living as married, higher income, and overweight were also associated with higher prevalence of resilience. Being female, having diabetes, and being unemployed were associated with lower prevalence of self-reported resilience. Compared with participants with public insurance only, participants with private insurance had higher prevalence of resilience (aPR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.10). COVID-19 vaccination and infection statuses were not significantly associated with resilience. Modification analyses showed important racial and ethnic differences in how factors such as hypertension, marital status, and insurance status were associated with resilience.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cross-sectional study of 31 045 adults, self-reported resilience varied by race, ethnicity, and sociodemographic factors. These findings highlight the complex interplay of individual and social factors in shaping the perception of resilience.

Importance SARS-CoV-2 infection has been linked to neurotoxic effects and cognitive deficits. Objective To determine whether decreases in cognitive function were accelerated after SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with individuals not infected. Design, Setting, and Participants Multicenter, prospective cohort study from 2016 to 2022 among 3525 participants alive on March 1, 2020, and enrolled in The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and the Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research study who completed a prepandemic cognitive assessment and a pandemic-era assessment of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Final analyses performed in November 2024. Exposure SARS-CoV-2 infection determined via self-report of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test or health care professional diagnosis of COVID-19, a positive SARS-CoV-2 antinucleocapsid antibody response, or presence of an administrative code for COVID-19 on medical records. Main outcomes and measures A neuropsychological battery assessed multiple cognitive domains, and a cocalibrated confirmatory factor analysis generated factor scores for global cognitive function. The primary outcome was the rate of excess change in cognitive function. Results The 3525 eligible participants had a mean (SD) age of 80.8 (4.7) years, 2085 (59.1%) were female, 752 (21.4%) were Black, and 2773 (78.6%) were White. SARS-CoV-2 infection was detected among 307 participants (8.7%), 103 of whom (33.6%) were hospitalized. Among uninfected participants, the mean annualized change in cognitive function was −0.09 (95% CI, −0.13 to −0.04). Compared with this rate, change was faster (β = −0.06; 95% CI, −0.09 to −0.02) among participants hospitalized for infection, but not different from participants who were infected but not hospitalized (β = 0.00; 95% CI, −0.02 to 0.03). The association among participants hospitalized for infection was evident in the cognitive domains of memory and executive function, but not language. Conclusions and relevance This cohort study of older participants found accelerated decreases in cognition among individuals hospitalized for SARS-CoV-2 infection, but not nonhospitalized infection, in comparison with individuals not yet infected.

Abstract RATIONALE: Susceptibility to severe COVID-19 and long COVID may be influenced by pre-existing lung structure. ECG-gated, non-contrast cardiac CT scans, originally acquired for assessing coronary artery calcium, are available in multiple longitudinal cohort studies and have been previously validated against lung CT scans for densitometry; however, protocol variation across cohorts may hinder direct comparison. To address this, we developed a quality control (QC) rubric to grade cardiac CT scans for standardized quantitative lung measures across cohorts. METHODS: C4R assessed SARS-CoV-2 infection and outcomes in 14 NHLBI cohorts, of which 10 (six community-based and four longitudinal case-control studies) included CT scans (12,459 participants with lung and 13,752 with cardiac CTs). Logic rules were applied to categorize scans (Table): Grade “A-B” scans had 2-3.5mm slice thickness, at least 20 axial slices, no lung cropping in axial view and lung and airway volumes greater than the cohort-specific 1st percentile. “C-D” scans had one lung obscured by cropping around the heart, so quantitative measures were restricted to the lung in complete view. “F-H” scans were deemed unusable, suffering from low slice count (<20), severe image cropping, low lung or airway volumes (< 1st%ile). Visual inspection was performed on a sample from each category to ensure accuracy. Percent of lung voxels in low attenuation areas < -950 HU (LAA950), high attenuation areas (-600 to -250 HU, HAA) and 15th percentile HU value (perc15) were measured. Within-participant variability was quantified using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). RESULTS: We performed QC on cardiac CT scans from an initial sample of 6,275 participants from three C4R cohorts (ARIC, CARDIA, MASALA), imaged with GE or Siemens scanners. Of these, 5,125 (81.7%) were graded “A-B”, 496 (7.9%) were “C-D” and 654 (10.4%) were “F-H”. The percentage of “F-H” scans varied widely across cohorts [<1% to 26%] due to image cropping. Among the 5,621 cardiac CT scans graded A-D, the mean±SD for LAA950, HAA and perc15 respectively were 1.1±2.1%, 7.2±4.7% and -887±33 HU. Repeated imaging was available for 107 participants (time interval 5.1±0.7y). For paired scans in grades A-B (n=101/107), the within-participant correlation for LAA950, HAA and perc15 were 0.91, 0.38 and 0.74 respectively. CONCLUSION: Initial application of QC to cardiac CT scans identified scans with high reproducibility, with the aim to provide valid quantitative lung metrics on over 20,000 highly characterized participants in C4R.

Abstract RATIONALE: Chronic lower respiratory diseases (CLRD) confer higher risks from respiratory viral infections, hence CLRD patients are prioritized for influenza, pneumococcal, and COVID-19 vaccination. Nonetheless, vaccine deferral and declination remain common. Given that COVID-19 vaccination is particularly polarizing, and attitudes toward it may differ from other vaccines, we assessed COVID-19 vaccination behaviors and attitudes in adults with versus without CLRD and/or smoking history, which is strongly associated with CLRD risk. METHODS: We pooled data from 10 cohorts participating in the Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R) that collected pre-pandemic data on self-reported physician diagnosis of asthma or COPD. C4R assessed COVID-19 vaccination status through three waves of standardized questionnaires (2020-2022, 2021-2023, 2023-2024). Prompt COVID-19 vaccination was defined as self-report of receiving at least one COVID-19 vaccine by May 1, 2021. Cumulative COVID-19 vaccine count was self-reported on the Wave 3 Questionnaire. Vaccine attitudes and receipt of influenza and/or pneumococcal vaccines were self-reported on the Wave 1 or 2 Questionnaire. Age-adjusted Poisson regression was used to test associations of vaccination behaviors with CLRD and smoking status at the most recent pre-pandemic exam. RESULTS: Of 20,034 participants (pre-pandemic COPD, 9.3%; asthma, 11.7%; current smoking, 13.4%; former smoking, 36.3%), 64.2% reported prompt COVID-19 vaccination. Among the subset of 10,626 participants completing the Wave 3 Questionnaire in 2023-24, the median COVID-19 vaccine count was 3 (Q1:2, Q3:4). Compared to participants without CLRD, prompt vaccination was more likely in those with asthma (RR=1.04, 95%CI:1.01-1.07, p=0.008) and less likely with COPD (RR=0.94, 95%CI:0.91-0.98, p=0.001), but there were no differences in doses for asthma and COPD. Compared to never smokers, former smoking participants were more likely to receive prompt vaccination (RR=1.11, 95%CI:1.08-1.13, p<0.0001) and more vaccine doses (RR=1.03, 95%CI:1.01-1.05, p=0.015); conversely, current smoking was inversely associated with prompt vaccination (RR=0.94, 95%CI:0.91-0.97, p=0.001) and was associated with fewer doses (RR=0.93, 95%CI:0.89-0.96, p<0.0001). Participants with CLRD versus without CLRD were more likely to report receiving influenza and pneumococcal vaccines, but they were more likely to believe that vaccines are unsafe or ineffective (figure). CONCLUSIONS: COPD was associated with lower likelihood of prompt COVID-19 vaccination. Current smoking was associated with both lower likelihood of prompt COVID-19 vaccination and a lower number of COVID-19 vaccine doses by 2023-24. These associations may be partly attributed to negative vaccine attitudes and beliefs. How the COVID-19 pandemic may have influenced vaccine behaviors and attitudes merits additional study.

Abstract RATIONALE: Deferral and declination of the COVID-19 vaccine is correlated with many factors, including different health guidelines and difficulties accessing the vaccine. In the US, COVID-19 vaccines were made available in tranches of clinical risk starting in December 2020 and were available to all adults on April 19, 2021. In the post-pandemic period, repeating COVID-19 vaccination with updated formulations is broadly recommended. Given that the public health impact of vaccine allocation strategies depends on public acceptance of vaccination, we aimed to evaluate demographic, clinical and social correlates of (1) receiving at least one COVID-19 vaccine by May 1, 2021 (prompt vaccination) and (2) the total number of vaccine doses received (vaccine count) through 2023-2024. METHODS: The Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R) is a prospective observational meta-cohort study comprising 14 extant NIH-funded population-based cohorts. C4R assessed COVID-19 vaccination using three waves of standardized questionnaires (2020-2021, 2021-2023, 2023-2024). Prompt vaccination was defined by participant self-report of vaccination before May 1, 2021; participants vaccinated after May1, 2021 were classified as non-prompt; participants with missing vaccination information were excluded. Vaccine count was defined by self-report on the 2023-2024 wave Questionnaire. Demographic, clinical and social factors were classified by self-report and/or objective measures from the most recent pre-pandemic cohort exam. Poisson models regressed either prompt vaccination or vaccine count on pre-pandemic factors. RESULTS: Of 17,866 participants (mean age, 6713 years; 60.1% female; 42.1% non-Hispanic White, 22.0% Black, 28.9% Hispanic/Latino, 3.4% American Indian, 2.3% South Asian, 1.4% East Asian), 11,481 (64.3%) reported prompt vaccination. Of the subset of 14,529 participants completing the Wave 3 questionnaire, the median vaccine count in 2023-24 was 3 (Q1, 2; Q3 4). Likelihood of prompt vaccination was higher with greater age, income, and education and with history of diabetes and hypertension; prompt vaccination was less likely with male sex, current smoking, and non-White race and ethnicity (table). Similar associations were observed with respect to vaccine count (table). CONCLUSIONS: In a diverse C4R cohort community-based sample, earlier and greater COVID-19 vaccination was associated with older age and several clinical comorbidities; in contrast, later and lesser vaccine uptake was observed among historically marginalized groups. Whether disparities in COVID-19 vaccination could contribute to disparities in post-COVID-19 conditions merits further investigation.

Abstract Rationale: SARS-CoV-2 infection may be associated with new or worsening respiratory symptoms that, if persistent, may contribute to “Long COVID.” Research is needed on the prevalence and risk determinants of Long COVID and related respiratory symptoms in adults with and without pre-existing obstructive lung disease or smoking history. Methods: C4R is a prospective, observational study that collected information on SARS-CoV-2 infection using standardized methods across 14 NIH-funded cohorts. The third wave of C4R questionnaires, administered June 2023 to January 2025, assessed self-reported Long COVID via the question, “Do you think that you are experiencing, or have ever experienced, what has been called “long COVID,” or symptoms related to COVID at least a month after your infection?” Questionnaires also assessed the presence (vs absence) of 22 symptoms that have been linked to Long COVID, including cough, shortness of breath, and post-exertional malaise. Pre-pandemic obstructive lung disease (COPD or asthma) and smoking status (ever/never) were harmonized from self-reported data collected at the most recent pre-pandemic cohort exam. Poisson regression was used to assess prevalence ratios (PRs) adjusting for age, sex, BMI, education, and pre-pandemic hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and depressive symptoms. PRs for respiratory symptoms were tested according to self-reported Long COVID and history of non-hospitalized or hospitalized infection; effect modification by pre-pandemic lung disease and smoking was assessed by multiplicative interaction terms and in fully stratified models. Results: Among 23,434 questionnaire respondents, 1,484 (6.3%) self-reported Long COVID, including 246/1,262 (19.5%) with pre-pandemic lung disease and 664/4,018 (16.5%) with smoking history. The adjusted PR for Long COVID was 1.17 (95%CI:0.99-1.39;P=0.06) comparing participants with/without lung disease and 1.17 (95%CI:1.04-1.32;P=0.01) comparing participants with/without smoking history. Respiratory symptoms were more prevalent in those with self-reported Long COVID, as well as in those with a history of hospitalized or non-hospitalized infection (Table). Associations were generally stronger in participants without pre-pandemic lung disease (p-interaction<0.05 for all comparisons). Respiratory symptoms were also more prevalent with a history of repeated, and pre-Omicron infections, and were less prevalent among participants vaccinated prior to their first infection; findings were similar even after excluding participants with self-reported Long COVID. Conclusions: Long COVID is common, particularly in adults with pre-existing COPD or asthma or smoking history. Long COVID and history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, including non-hospitalized infections, was associated with greater respiratory symptom burden. Whether SARS-CoV-2 infection or Long COVID are associated with development or progression of obstructive lung diseases warrants future studies.

Abstract RATIONALE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is common in the general population and is associated with inflammation and compromised immune function. Since these mechanisms are hypothesized to promote severe COVID-19, we tested associations of pre-pandemic CKD with incident COVID-19 hospitalization or death in a large, multi-ethnic, US general population-based meta-cohort of adults. METHODS: Data were harmonized and pooled from 9 NIH-funded longitudinal cohorts participating in the Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R). CKD was classified by KDIGO 2024 CKD guideline (Low Risk, Moderately Increased Risk, High Risk, Very High Risk) using pre-pandemic urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate using creatinine (eGFRcr). Incident COVID-19 hospitalization or death was ascertained over 2020−2023 via self-report and active surveillance, with medical record adjudication in a subset. In our primary analysis, we assessed associations between CKD stages and incident COVID-19 hospitalization or death. A secondary analysis examined joint association of CKD stages and the number of comorbidities (obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease) with the severe COVID-19. Multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by cause-specific Cox regression, adjusting for socio-demographics and smoking. RESULTS: Among 26,039 multi-ethnic adult participants (mean age 66.1±14.8, 60.6 % female, 28.6% Whites, 3.2% Asians, 20.6% Blacks, 41.3% Hispanics, 6.3% American Indians) with a median follow-up of 550 days since the onset of the pandemic (baseline: March 1, 2020), there were 734 incident COVID-19 hospitalizations or deaths. The mean time since CKD markers were measured before the baseline was 6.5 years. The cumulative incidence of severe COVID-19 was 2.3, 3.5, 6.5, and 7.3% across CKD risk stages, and similar patterns were observed within variant types (Figure 1). Compared to participants with Low Risk of CKD, there was a graded increased hazards of severe COVID-19 across CKD stages, with HRs (95% CIs) of 1.27 (1.03−1.55) for Moderately Increased Risk, 2.33 (1.77−3.06) for High Risk, and 2.72 (1.89−3.92) for Very High Risk. In a joint analysis, both increased CKD risk and a higher number of comorbidities were associated with a higher risk of severe COVID-19, showing the highest HR of 12.29 (5.75−26.27) in Very High Risk individuals with four comorbidities compared to Low Risk individuals with none. CONCLUSIONS: Higher CKD stages were associated with a greater risk of COVID-19 hospitalization or death and the risk is substantially heightened with additional comorbidities. These results suggest that adults with CKD and related comorbidities may merit enhanced COVID-19 risk mitigation.

Abstract Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and pulmonary emphysema were the third-leading cause of death globally in 2019. Besides alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, emphysema lacks disease-modifying medications due to its heterogeneity and there remains a need to further investigate emphysema subtypes to advance its diagnosis and treatment. Recent unsupervised machine learning of the texture and anatomical location of emphysema on computed tomography (CT) images of the lung defined six quantitative CT emphysema subtypes uniquely associated with specific gene variants, environmental exposures, symptoms, physiology and clinical events. We aim to identify associations of plasma proteins with each CT emphysema subtype cross-sectionally in a multi-ethnic general population sample. MESA is a prospective cohort study that recruited 6,814 participants from six communities who self-identified as White, Black, Hispanic, or Asian race/ethnicity, ages 45-84 years old and free of clinical cardiovascular disease in 2000-02. The MESA Lung Study performed CT scans among 3,137 participants in 2010-12, which were labeled with previously described (PMID: 37268414) CT emphysema subtypes. Proteomics was assessed using SomaScan version 4.1 assay (7,596 plasma proteins). Linear regression models were adjusted for age, height, weight, sex, race, educational attainment, smoking status, pack years, urine cotinine level, body-mass index (BMI), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), CT scanner manufacturer and other CT emphysema subtypes. Results were adjusted to reflect a False Discovery Rate (FDR) p-value of less than 5% using the Benjamini-Hochberg method. Among 2,343 participants with both CT and proteomic data (mean age 69.5 years, 52.3% women, 23.7% with COPD), we identified statistically significant associations of proteins with the vanishing lung subtype (42 proteins; top hit Natural cytotoxicity triggering receptor 3 ligand 1, q = 2.9[asterisk]10-9), restrictive combined pulmonary fibrosis/emphysema (CPFE) subtype (11 proteins; top hit Integrin alpha-2/b1, q=1.0[asterisk]10-5), the combined bronchitis-apical emphysema subtype (9 proteins; top hit Desmoglein-2, q=8.8[asterisk]10-13), and the diffuse emphysema subtype (4 proteins; top hit Pulmonary surfactant-associated protein D, q=5.7[asterisk]10-3). No significant proteins were associated with the obstructive CPFE or senile subtypes after FDR correction. Most proteins were uniquely associated with one CT emphysema subtype, while a few proteins were associated with more than one subtype. This study identified specific proteins for different CT emphysema subtypes, many of which have been related less specifically to emphysema, including pulmonary surfactant production, anti-inflammatory pathways, and mitochondrial deregulation, amongst others. Validation of these proteomic associations can provide insight into further pathway assessment, clinical biomarker discovery, and targeted prevention of emphysema in the general population.

Abstract Background:Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major global health burden, with genome-wide association studies explaining only a fraction of its heritability. Recent advancements, including large-scale, multi-ancestry whole-genome sequencing and a focus on severe, early-onset cases, offer promising avenues to identify additional COPD-related variants. Furthermore, recent studies show that adjusting for polygenic risk scores (PRS) enhances statistical power to detect rare variants, advancing efforts to understand COPD's genetic basis. Methods:We performed a whole genome sequencing association study of severe, early-onset COPD (FEV1 < 50%, age ≤ 55), FEV1 and FEV1/FVC in eight population-based studies (ARIC, CARDIA, CFS, CHS, FHS, HCHS/SOL, JHS, MESA) and seven COPD-enriched studies (COPDGene, ECLIPSE, Boston Early-Onset COPD Study, LTRC, TCGS (Poland), ICGN, SPIROMICS). We performed single-variant analyses using regenie software, applying a genome-wide significance threshold of P < 5.0 x 10-8. For rare variant set (MAF <1%) analysis, we annotated variants with loss of function or deleterious missense using WGS Annotator and prediction tools LOFTEE, SIFT, and PolyPhen2, then analyzed these variants with SKATO-ACAT method in regenie, adjusting for covariates including sex, sequencing center, and principal components of ancestry. We additionally evaluated adjusting the analyses for PRSs for lung function traits. Results: We analyzed 53,028 participants including 34,751 European, 12,508 African, 1,088 Latino American, and 674 East Asian ancestry. Across cohorts, we analyzed 5,063 severe (FEV1 < 50%) COPD cases, among whom 1,103 were early-onset (age ≤ 55). Excluding variants within 1 Mbp of known variants, single-variant analysis identified 68 novel associations (MAC ≥ 30), with 8 common associations (MAF ≥ 1%) in 6 genomic regions. Our most significant novel association for severe early-onset COPD was rs74297390 (intergenic to POM121L12, MAF = 9.6%, Beta = 0.41, P = 3.5 x 10-8). For FEV1 and FEV1/FVC ratio, variants near DKK2 and AKR1E2 were significantly associated and were replicated in an independent dataset (Shrine et al., 2019). DKK2 is an antagonist in the Wnt pathway. In a preliminary variant set analysis, CHRM3-AS1 was associated with severe early-onset COPD, GPAT with FEV1, and COL8A1I and HMCN1 with FEV1/FVC. With PRS adjustment, ST6GALNAC5 was associated with FEV1/FVC. Conclusions: In a whole genome sequencing study of lung function and severe early-onset COPD, we identified new loci for COPD-related phenotypes, including two novel loci that replicated in an independent dataset. Ongoing work involves variant set-based analyses with additional covariate adjustments, as well as PRS adjustments for binary traits.