Kramer, Holly

Abstract RATIONALE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is common in the general population and is associated with inflammation and compromised immune function. Since these mechanisms are hypothesized to promote severe COVID-19, we tested associations of pre-pandemic CKD with incident COVID-19 hospitalization or death in a large, multi-ethnic, US general population-based meta-cohort of adults. METHODS: Data were harmonized and pooled from 9 NIH-funded longitudinal cohorts participating in the Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R). CKD was classified by KDIGO 2024 CKD guideline (Low Risk, Moderately Increased Risk, High Risk, Very High Risk) using pre-pandemic urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate using creatinine (eGFRcr). Incident COVID-19 hospitalization or death was ascertained over 2020−2023 via self-report and active surveillance, with medical record adjudication in a subset. In our primary analysis, we assessed associations between CKD stages and incident COVID-19 hospitalization or death. A secondary analysis examined joint association of CKD stages and the number of comorbidities (obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease) with the severe COVID-19. Multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by cause-specific Cox regression, adjusting for socio-demographics and smoking. RESULTS: Among 26,039 multi-ethnic adult participants (mean age 66.1±14.8, 60.6 % female, 28.6% Whites, 3.2% Asians, 20.6% Blacks, 41.3% Hispanics, 6.3% American Indians) with a median follow-up of 550 days since the onset of the pandemic (baseline: March 1, 2020), there were 734 incident COVID-19 hospitalizations or deaths. The mean time since CKD markers were measured before the baseline was 6.5 years. The cumulative incidence of severe COVID-19 was 2.3, 3.5, 6.5, and 7.3% across CKD risk stages, and similar patterns were observed within variant types (Figure 1). Compared to participants with Low Risk of CKD, there was a graded increased hazards of severe COVID-19 across CKD stages, with HRs (95% CIs) of 1.27 (1.03−1.55) for Moderately Increased Risk, 2.33 (1.77−3.06) for High Risk, and 2.72 (1.89−3.92) for Very High Risk. In a joint analysis, both increased CKD risk and a higher number of comorbidities were associated with a higher risk of severe COVID-19, showing the highest HR of 12.29 (5.75−26.27) in Very High Risk individuals with four comorbidities compared to Low Risk individuals with none. CONCLUSIONS: Higher CKD stages were associated with a greater risk of COVID-19 hospitalization or death and the risk is substantially heightened with additional comorbidities. These results suggest that adults with CKD and related comorbidities may merit enhanced COVID-19 risk mitigation.

Background and objectives It is unclear whether the presence of albuminuria modifies the effects of intensive systolic BP control on risk of eGFR decline, cardiovascular events, or mortality. Design, setting, participants, & measurements The Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial randomized nondiabetic adults ≥50 years of age at high cardiovascular risk to a systolic BP target of <120 or <140 mm Hg, measured by automated office BP. We compared the absolute risk differences and hazard ratios of ≥40% eGFR decline, the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial primary cardiovascular composite outcome, and all-cause death in those with or without baseline albuminuria (urine albumin-creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g). Results Over a median follow-up of 3.1 years, 69 of 1723 (4%) participants with baseline albuminuria developed ≥40% eGFR decline compared with 61 of 7162 (1%) participants without albuminuria. Incidence rates of ≥40% eGFR decline were higher in participants with albuminuria (intensive, 1.74 per 100 person-years; standard, 1.17 per 100 person-years) than in participants without albuminuria (intensive, 0.48 per 100 person-years; standard, 0.11 per 100 person-years). Although effects of intensive BP lowering on ≥40% eGFR decline varied by albuminuria on the relative scale (hazard ratio, 1.48; 95% confidence interval, 0.91 to 2.39 for albumin-creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g; hazard ratio, 4.55; 95% confidence interval, 2.37 to 8.75 for albumin-creatinine ratio <30 mg/g; P value for interaction <0.001), the absolute increase in ≥40% eGFR decline did not differ by baseline albuminuria (incidence difference, 0.38 events per 100 person-years for albumin-creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g; incidence difference, 0.58 events per 100 person-years for albumin-creatinine ratio <30 mg/g; P value for interaction =0.60). Albuminuria did not significantly modify the beneficial effects of intensive systolic BP lowering on cardiovascular events or mortality evaluated on relative or absolute scales. Conclusions Albuminuria did not modify the absolute benefits and risks of intensive systolic BP lowering.

Data are limited on whether valvular calcification is associated with aortic wall stiffness. We tested whether aortic valve calcification (AVC) and/or mitral valve calcification (MVC) is inversely associated with aortic distensibility (AD). Cross-sectional study conducted in a subset of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) included 3676 MESA participants aged 44 to 84 years with AD measured with magnetic resonance imaging and with AVC and MVC measured with noncontrast cardiac computed tomography scans. Both AVC and MVC were divided into 3 categories: zero, < median values (low), and ≥ median values (high) for patients with nonzero values. Overall, 88% (n = 3256) and 92% (n = 3365) of participants had zero AVC and MVC, while 6% (n = 211) and 4% (n = 156) had low, and 6% (n = 209) and 4% (n = 155) had high values of AVC and MVC, respectively. The AVC was independently associated with AD after adjusting for age, gender, and ethnicity ( P = .035). No association was noted between AVC groups and AD after adjustment for all covariates or MVC groups and AD in any model.